Emergency shelter selection in the context of seismic risk. Case study – Bucharest, Romania

Big cities are prone to suffer important losses, both economic and human, in case of a risk occurrence. Bucharest is the most vulnerable European capital to earthquakes due to its exposure, being located about 130 km from the main seismic region of the country – Vrancea Region, and also due to its high physical and social vulnerability.

Based on the past experiences and on the present development of the city, there is an urge to find and to develop measures and policies for seismic risk mitigation. The first step in this direction, which is also the aim of the present work, is to assess the current situation regarding the vulnerability of the city and to understand the dimension of the losses throughout the city in case of a major earthquake event.

In this study we discuss the best locations to deploy shelters which can provide first-aid and temporary residence for those who lost their homes after an earthquake event. Our research is based on estimating the losses at a detailed scale and by knowing the limitations of the infrastructure (including emergency hospitals and roads) and of the public services (like the firefighters, ambulances, police, medical care etc.).

Social, economic and housing quality criteria were integrated in a multicriteria analysis in order to assess the most vulnerability hotspots at city level and to estimate losses. The results showed the presence of two extended areas, situated in the south-west and the western part of the city, with high vulnerability scores and high potential losses. These two areas were introduced into a new multicriteria analysis for finding suitable locations that can be used as indoor and outdoor shelters.

Our study is a step forward to increase the preparedness of the population, that will know where to go in case of need. It will also help the authorities that will better allocate their resources and overall mitigate the seismic risk.