An Update on the Impact of Aeolus Doppler Wind Lidar Observations for Use in Numerical Weather Prediction at ECMWF

The latest results on the assessment of the impact of Aeolus Level-2B horizontal line-of-sight wind retrievals in global Numerical Weather Prediction at ECMWF will be presented.  Aeolus has been operationally assimilated at ECMWF since 9 January 2020.
Random and systematic error estimates were derived from observation minus background departure statistics.  The HLOS wind random error standard deviation is estimated to vary over the range 4.0-7.0 m/s for the Rayleigh-clear and 2.8-3.6 m/s for the Mie-cloudy; depending on atmospheric signal levels which in turn depends on instrument performance, atmospheric backscatter properties and the processing algorithms.
In Observing System Experiments (OSEs) Aeolus provides statistically significant improvement in short-range forecasts as verified by observations sensitive to temperature, wind and humidity.  Longer forecast range verification shows positive impact that is strongest at the 2-3 day forecast range; ~2% improvement in root mean square error for vector wind and temperature in the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere and polar troposphere.  Positive impact up to 9 days is found in the tropical lower stratosphere.  Both Rayleigh-clear and Mie-cloudy winds provide positive impact, but the Rayleigh accounts for most tropical impact. The Forecast Sensitivity Observation Impact (FSOI) metric is available since Aeolus was operationally assimilated, which confirms Aeolus is a useful contribution to the global observing system; with the Rayleigh-clear and Mie-cloudy winds providing similar overall short-range impact in 2020.  If the OSEs are ready in time, we will present the impact of the first reprocessed Aeolus data for the July-December 2019 period.