EGU23-11431
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11431
EGU General Assembly 2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

emIAM v1.0: an emulator for Integrated Assessment Models using marginal abatement cost curves

Katsumasa Tanaka1,2, Weiwei Xiong3, Philippe Ciais1, Daniel Johansson4, and Mariliis Lehtveer4
Katsumasa Tanaka et al.
  • 1Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (LSCE), Gif-sur-Yvette, France (katsumasa.tanaka@lsce.ipsl.fr)
  • 2Earth System Division, National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Japan
  • 3School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China
  • 4Division of Physical Resource Theory, Department of Space, Earth, and Environment, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden

We developed an emulator for Integrated Assessment Models (emIAM) based on a marginal abatement cost (MAC) curve approach (Xiong et al., 2022a,b). Using the output of IAMs in the ENGAGE Scenario Explorer and the GET model, we derived a large set of MAC curves: ten IAMs; global and eleven regions; three gases CO2, CH4, and N2O; eight portfolios of available mitigation technologies; and two emission sources. We tested the performance of emIAM by coupling it with a simple climate model ACC2 (Tanaka et al., 2021). We found that the optimizing climate-economy model emIAM-ACC2 adequately reproduced a majority of original IAM emission outcomes under similar conditions, allowing systematic explorations of IAMs with small computational resources. emIAM can expand the capability of simple climate models as a tool to calculate cost-effective pathways linked directly to a temperature target.

References
1. Tanaka, K., O. Boucher, P. Ciais, D. J. A. Johansson, J. Morfeldt (2021) Cost-effective implementation of the Paris Agreement using flexible greenhouse gas metrics. Science Advances, 7, eabf9020. doi:10.1126/sciadv.abf9020. 
2. Xiong, W., K. Tanaka, P. Ciais, D. J. A. Johansson, M. Lehtveer (2022a) emIAM v1.0: an emulator for Integrated Assessment Models using marginal abatement cost curves. arXiv: 2212.12060 on 23 December 2022 (version 1). https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.12060
3. Xiong, W., K. Tanaka, P. Ciais, D. Johansson, M. Lehtveer (2022b) Data for "emIAM v1.0: an emulator for Integrated Assessment Models using marginal abatement cost curves" [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7478234

How to cite: Tanaka, K., Xiong, W., Ciais, P., Johansson, D., and Lehtveer, M.: emIAM v1.0: an emulator for Integrated Assessment Models using marginal abatement cost curves, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-11431, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11431, 2023.