EGU23-12252
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-12252
EGU General Assembly 2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Fast migrating sequences within earthquake swarms

Josef Vlcek1, Tomas Fischer1, and Sebastian Hainzl2
Josef Vlcek et al.
  • 1Charles University, Faculty of Science, Department of hydrogeology, engineering geology and applied geophysics, Prague, Czechia
  • 2GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, 2.1 Physics of Earthquakes and Volcanoes, Potsdam, Germany

The hypocenters of earthquake swarms and injection-induced seismicity usually show systematic migration, which is considered to be a manifestation of their triggering mechanism. In many cases, the overall growth of clusters is accompanied by short sequences of rapid migration events, the origin of which is still not sufficiently clarified. We review the possible triggering mechanisms of these migrating episodes and propose a graphical method for distinguishing internal and external triggering forces. We also analyze the theoretical relationship between the evolution of the cumulative seismic moment and the rupture area and propose two models, the crack model and the rupture front model, which can explain the spreading of hypocenters. We developed an automatic algorithm for detecting fast migration episodes in seismicity data and applied it to relocated catalogs of natural earthquake swarms in California, West Bohemia, and Iceland, and to injection-induced seismicity. Fast migration episodes have been shown to be relatively frequent during earthquake swarms (8-20% of cluster events) compared to fluid-induced seismicity (less than 5% of cluster events). Although the migration episodes were detected independently of time, they grew monotonically with time and square-root dependence of radius on time was found suitable for majority of sequences. The migration velocity of the episodes of the order of 1 m/s was found and it anticorrelated with their duration, which results in a similar final size of the clusters in the range of first kilometers. Comparison of seismic moment growth and activated fault area with the predictions of the proposed models shows that both the rupture front model and the crack model are able to explain the observed migration and that the front model is more consistent with the data. Relatively low estimated stress drops in the range of 100 Pa to 1 MPa suggest that aseismic processes are also responsible for cluster growth. Our results show that the fast migrating episodes can be driven by stress transfer between adjacent events with the support of aseismic slip or fluid flow due to dynamic pore creation.

How to cite: Vlcek, J., Fischer, T., and Hainzl, S.: Fast migrating sequences within earthquake swarms, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-12252, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-12252, 2023.