Change in the Tropical Storms activity in the future over the Ganges basin

The understanding of climate change impacts on tropical storms (TS) activity is crucial for better planning and risk assessment. Despite the theory and modeling suggest an increase in the TS activity with warming, the change in TS characteristics remain uncertain due to the limitations in the global climate models and tracking algorithms (tracker). Here, we performed tracker-inter-comparison and model-evaluation to find out the reliability of trackers and models at simulating the TS characteristics. We found that both trackers produce qualitatively similar results but quantitative different results due to different specifications of the algorithms and model bias. Our results show a decline in the frequency but rise in the strength of TS in the future for the Ganges and the Mekong basin.