Bringing together climate scientists, impact modellers, and economists to build knowledge to effectively deal with climate change
Convener:
Conrad Wasko
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Co-conveners:
Giorgia Fosser,
Haider Ali,
Alessandro Caiani,
Francesco Dottori,
Hayley Fowler
Orals
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Mon, 24 Apr, 08:30–10:15 (CEST) Room 0.94/95
Posters on site
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Attendance Mon, 24 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) Hall X5
Posters virtual
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Attendance Mon, 24 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) vHall AS
With the advent of kilometre-scale convection-permitting models CPMs, high resolution remote sensed data sets, and global sub-daily rainfall observations, we are now in a position to bridge the gaps between disciplines. We have substantially improved the representation of sub-daily precipitation characteristics and have model output at a spatial resolution closer to what impacts modellers, for example hydrologists, need.
Unfortunately, impact studies at regional or sub-regional scale, which are crucial for effective adaptation strategies, are often limited to the direct economic impact of specific extreme events occurred in the past, like hurricane Katrina. As a result, impact studies rarely consider the indirect socio-economic effect or/and apply a probabilistic methodology to assess the potential direct and indirect impacts of extreme events in the future in specific regions.
This interdisciplinary session invites contributions that address the linkages between high-resolution climate scientists, impact as well as macro-economic and economic network models and end users with a special focus on:
- Recent advances in climate modelling for impact studies, particularly using high resolution convection- permitting models.
- Bias correction techniques to overcome bias in climate models affecting impact models.
- Analysis of the uncertainty propagation from climate into impact models.
- Improved understanding of processes that will alter hazards resulting from climate change.
- Novel use of new and existing data sets in characterising and quantifying climate change hazards and their socio-economic impacts.
- Examples of good practice, storylines and communication to both stakeholders and policymakers.
- Novel probabilistic approaches to assess not only the direct impacts generated by extremes, but also their indirect effects due to their propagation along supply chains and economic production and financial networks.
08:30–08:40
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EGU23-10210
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ECS
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On-site presentation
08:40–08:45
Make above presentation 13+2
08:55–09:00
Make above presentation 13+2
09:00–09:10
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EGU23-16492
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On-site presentation
Compounding effects of drought and heat stress on macroeconomy
(withdrawn)
09:10–09:15
Make above presentation 13+2
09:15–09:25
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EGU23-11432
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ECS
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On-site presentation
09:25–09:30
Make above presentation 13+2
09:30–09:40
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EGU23-7110
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ECS
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On-site presentation
09:40–09:45
Make above presentation 13+2
09:45–09:55
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EGU23-7522
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ECS
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On-site presentation
09:55–10:00
Make above presentation 13+2
10:00–10:10
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EGU23-7346
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Highlight
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Virtual presentation
10:10–10:15
Make above presentation 13+2
X5.113
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EGU23-14667
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ECS
Analysis of extreme precipitation and wind at convection-permitting resolution
(withdrawn)