EGU General Assembly 2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Change in the Tropical Storms activity in the future over the Ganges basin

Haider Ali1, Hayley Fowler1, Malcolm Roberts2, and Benoit Vanniere3
Haider Ali et al.
  • 1School of Engineering, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
  • 2Met Office, Exeter, UK
  • 3National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), University of Reading, Reading, UK

The understanding of climate change impacts on tropical storms (TS) activity is crucial for better planning and risk assessment. Despite the theory and modeling suggest an increase in the TS activity with warming, the change in TS characteristics remain uncertain due to the limitations in the global climate models and tracking algorithms (tracker). Here, we performed tracker-inter-comparison and model-evaluation to find out the reliability of trackers and models at simulating the TS characteristics. We found that both trackers produce qualitatively similar results but quantitative different results due to different specifications of the algorithms and model bias. Our results show a decline in the frequency but rise in the strength of TS in the future for the Ganges and the Mekong basin.

How to cite: Ali, H., Fowler, H., Roberts, M., and Vanniere, B.: Change in the Tropical Storms activity in the future over the Ganges basin, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-13826,, 2023.