EGU24-4501, updated on 08 Mar 2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4501
EGU General Assembly 2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Unified Model of Forecasting Ozone

Zhenze Liu1, Ke Li1, Oliver Wild2, Ruth Doherty3, Fiona O'Connor4,5, and Steven Turnock4,6
Zhenze Liu et al.
  • 1School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
  • 2Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK
  • 3School of GeoSciences, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
  • 4Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
  • 5Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
  • 6University of Leeds Met Office Strategic Research Group, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK

The chemical transport models face challenges in simulating the concentrations of surface ozone accurately in all conditions when meteorology and chemical environment are changing. The capability of capturing the principle physical and chemical processes is clearly limited. We propose a unified framework based on deep learning to provide a more accurate prediction of surface ozone. The model is tailored to individual observation sites in China, forming a specific graph that would reflect the interaction between spatial and temporal connection in physics and chemistry. This mitigates the uncertainty associated with model resolution and emissions. We show that the model achieves the State-of-the-Art (SOTA) performance in simulating MDA8 ozone among current process-based and other deep learning models. The model structure is also flexible to be applied to other places where observations are available such as Europe and North America. This work underscores great benefits that can be gained through implementing more measurement sites to enhance the density of the model graph.

How to cite: Liu, Z., Li, K., Wild, O., Doherty, R., O'Connor, F., and Turnock, S.: Unified Model of Forecasting Ozone, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4501, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4501, 2024.