Stand age diversity affects forests' resilience and stability, although unevenly.
- 11 Forest Modelling Lab., Institute for Agriculture and Forestry Systems in the Mediterranean, National Research Council of Italy (CNR-ISAFOM), Via Madonna Alta 128, 06128, Perugia, Italy (elia.vangi@isafom.cnr.it)
- 2geoLAB - Laboratory of Forest Geomatics, Dept. of Agriculture, Food, Environment and Forestry, Università degli Studi di Firenze, Via San Bonaventura 13, 50145 Firenze.
- 3National Biodiversity Future Centre (NBFC), Piazza Marina 61, 90133, Palermo, Italy
- 4Department of Agricultural and Forestry Sciences (UNITUS-DAFNE), Tuscia University of Viterbo, Via San Camillo de Lellis snc, 01100, Viterbo, Italy
- 5Department of Environmental Systems Science, Forest Ecology, Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
- 6Institute of BioEconomy, National Research Council of Italy (CNR-IBE), Via Madonna del Piano 10, 50019, Sesto Fiorentino (FI), Italy
- 7European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Directorate for Sustainable Resources, Ispra, Italy
- 8Fondazione per il Futuro delle Città, Firenze.
Tree age plays an essential role in forest ecosystems' functioning by affecting structural and physiological plant traits that modulate the water and carbon budgets. On the other hand, tree age distribution in forests depends on population dynamics and, therefore, on the balance between tree mortality and regeneration events, which are ultimately controlled by natural and anthropogenic disturbances. Therefore, the human-induced modulation of the tree age distribution in forests represents a significant and not fully explored pathway to optimize the stability and resilience of forests.
To examine the influence of age distribution on the stability and resilience of forest carbon budget under current and future climate conditions, we applied a biogeochemically process-based model to three past-managed forest stands and modeled their stability and resilience in terms of Net Primary Production (NPP) in the future as undisturbed systems. The model was forced with climate outputs of five Earth System Models under four representative climate scenarios plus one baseline climate scenario over a matrix of 11 age classes for each forest. We found that the NPP peak was reached in the young and middle-aged class (16- to 50-year-old) regardless of the climate scenario, as ecological theories postulate. Under climate change scenarios, the beech forest showed an increasing NPP as well as stability with increasing atmospheric CO2 and temperature across all age classes, while resilience remained stable. Conversely, in the spruce and Scots pine-dominated sites, NPP decreased under climate change scenarios. In coniferous stands, stability and resilience seem to be controlled mainly by age rather than the climate, with the older stands being more stable and resilient under all scenarios.
These findings highlight the importance of considering age classes and species-specific responses when assessing the impacts of climate change on forest stability and resilience, calling for tailored management strategies to enhance the adaptability of forests in the face of changing climatic conditions, reflecting the different species and age-dependent responses to climate.
How to cite: Vangi, E., Dalmonech, D., Cioccolo, E., Marano, G., Bianchini, L., Puchi, P., Grieco, E., Cescatti, A., Chirici, G., and Collalti, A.: Stand age diversity affects forests' resilience and stability, although unevenly., EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-8664, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-8664, 2024.
