ITS1.14/ERE6.11 | Modelling and exploring forest ecosystems under future climate and management.
Modelling and exploring forest ecosystems under future climate and management.
Convener: Andre (Mahdi) NakhavaliECSECS | Co-conveners: Daniela Dalmonech, Melania Michetti, Florian Hofhansl

Modelling and exploring forest ecosystems under future climate and management has never been more critical in the face of accelerated climate change and human-induced disturbances. Consequently, understanding the dynamics of forest ecosystems, which not only act as essential carbon sinks but also support biodiversity and a wide range of ecosystem services, and predicting their responses to changing environmental conditions and future management actions has become vital. To this end, this session aims to shed light on the innovations and advancements in forest modelling and assessment of ecosystem services, within the following focus areas:
1. Next-Generation Forest Models and Climate Dynamics: Overview of models designed to dynamically intertwine climate drivers with forest growth patterns, offering a thorough representation of carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus cycles to predict forest responses to climate impact.
2. Model-Data Fusion in Forest Modelling: Discussion on how to integrate data from different sources (e.g., remote sensing, forest inventories, eddy-covariance) into forest modelling frameworks. Overview of computational techniques applied for model calibration, evaluation, and averaging and for data assimilation.
3. Large-Scale Forest Modelling for Feedback Mechanisms: Exploration of tools that assess the complex feedback loops among forest adaptive/mitigative strategies, localised climate changes, natural disturbances, and the permanence of forest carbon stocks.
4. Future Climate and Management Driven Forest Structural Modelling: In-depth look at how alternative management practices and climate drivers influence forest architecture, yielding structural indicators pivotal for the evaluation of biodiversity and ecosystem services.
5. Framework for Linking Forest Structural Indicators to Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services: Discussion on innovative methodologies establishing connections between forest structural variables from cutting-edge models and biodiversity and ecosystem service indicators, prioritizing the assessment and economic evaluation of potential synergies and trade-offs in forest management decisions.
This session invites contributions from researchers, practitioners, and policymakers. It seeks to become a vibrant forum for exchanging knowledge, insights, and best practices, furthering our collective goal of ensuring sustainable and resilient forest ecosystems in a rapidly changing world.