ERE1.2 | Towards a sustainable low-emissions future: the role of low-carbon energy sources and Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) sector
EDI
Towards a sustainable low-emissions future: the role of low-carbon energy sources and Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) sector
Convener: Fabio CarvalhoECSECS | Co-conveners: Michael Obriejetan, Josefin WinbergECSECS, Maša Zorana Ostrogović Sever, Doroteja BitunjacECSECS, Katarína Merganičová, Anikó Kern
Orals
| Mon, 15 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST), 16:15–18:00 (CEST)
 
Room 0.96/97
Posters on site
| Attendance Mon, 15 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Mon, 15 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X4
Posters virtual
| Attendance Mon, 15 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Mon, 15 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X4
Orals |
Mon, 14:00
Mon, 10:45
Mon, 14:00
This session aims to combine two pertinent topics to address the long-term mitigation of climate change through the removal and reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, while also implementing strategies to conserve the environment and enhance biodiversity.

The first topic focuses on the environmental and socio-economic implications of low-carbon energy transitions.
Over the last decade, the transition towards low-carbon and renewable energy systems has accelerated significantly around the world to meet internationally agreed climate change targets through the reduction of GHG emissions from the energy sector. This has precipitated expansive land use or environmental change, with subsequent impacts on biodiversity and related ecosystem processes and services.
The aim is to pool environmental, technological, or societal research and gather new evidence and insights from around the world on the effects of low-carbon energy transitions on the environment.

The second topic deals with carbon emissions/removals estimates under Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF), with an emphasis on field measurements, remote sensing and modelling.
LULUCF is the only sector in national GHG inventories that accounts for carbon (C) removals. Therefore, it has been recognised as crucial for reaching long-term climate change mitigation objectives.
The aim is to provide an extensive overview of different methodological approaches that can be used for national scale estimates and highlight some of the main issues regarding data integration and model calibration and validation processes.

This session will provide a broad overview of the energy-food-water-environment nexus and advance knowledge of carbon fluxes under LULUCF sector to offer perspectives of the environmental implications of land use change for climate change mitigation.

Orals: Mon, 15 Apr | Room 0.96/97

Chairpersons: Josefin Winberg, Michael Obriejetan
14:00–14:10
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EGU24-1833
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ECS
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solicited
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Luuk Scholten, Gerlinde De Deyn, and Ron de Goede

Solar parks are a rapidly expanding novel land use primarily to produce renewable energy. However, the aim is to make them multifunctional, and limit negative impacts on soils or even improve soil quality. Solar panels change the microclimate and cause shading below the panels, influencing plant growth and carbon and water inputs to the soil, with potential cascading effects on the soil biota. This research aimed to test the effect of solar panels on earthworm and nematode communities in 12 solar parks with contrasting designs across the Netherlands. Earthworm abundance and diversity, plant biomass and nematode abundance were measured between (gap) and below the solar panels. Nematode abundance was also measured at the highest and lowest edges of the panels. Plant biomass, nematode abundance and earthworm abundance were all significantly lower below the solar panels compared to in the gap between the panels. Nematode abundance at the highest and lowest edges showed intermediate numbers compared to the gap and below the panels. These results show that solar parks have a large impact on the soil biota and stress the need for guidelines for ecologically sound solar park designs to prevent soil damage.

How to cite: Scholten, L., De Deyn, G., and de Goede, R.: Solar park impacts on plant biomass and earthworm and nematode communities, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-1833, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1833, 2024.

14:10–14:20
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EGU24-2933
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Csaba Tölgyesi, Botond Magyar, Kata Frei, Alida Anna Hábenczyus, Zoltán Bátori, and Róbert Gallé

Solar energy is the most rapidly growing renewable globally. However, ground-mounted solar panels have a high land requirement, leading to extensive, low-nature-value photovoltaic parks. This may be alleviated by considering ecological aspects during their planning, construction and mainetnance. The resulting ecovoltaic park can bring various benefits for the owners if ecosystem services related to the imporved ecological conditions are recognized and wisely utilized. A major step in developing ecovoltaic parks is the creation of a short but species-rich grassland ecosystem. There is little empirical evidence on how to achieve this; therefore, we set up an experimental sowing experiment in three formerly conventional photovoltaic parks located in the forest-steppe zone of Hungary. From the regional native grassland species pool, we selected short but competitive ones (two graminoids and 50 forbs that are often visited by pollinators), and sowed them in half of the parks (between panel rows) in October, 2022, while the other half was left as control. In 2023, we surveyed the vegetation of the sown and control parts of the parks and adjacent old-growth grasslands (as references), and found that total plant species richness and the species richness of grassland specialists increased compared to the control sites, but remained below the references. In contrast, the cumulative cover of grassland specialist species in the sown sites could reach the references. We also surveyed pollinator assemblages (hoverflies and wild bees), and found higher species richness and Shannon diversity in the sown parts then in the reference grasslands, while control parts of the parks showed intermediate values. This might have been caused by spillover from the sown parts, although flying pollinators might have also taken advantage of the permanent windshade among the panel rows of control parts, despite the low food supply compared to the reference grasslands. Our findings suggest a rapid improvement of plant and pollinator assemblages after sowing native seed mixtures in solar parks. The resulting high-nature-value grassland ecosystem can have many co-benefits for the owners, as (i) it requires lower management intensity due to the short vegetation, (ii) has the potential to offer high-quality forage for livestock or honey-bees, and (iii) lowers the widespread “not-in-my-backyard” syndrome of local inhabitants due to its attractive, flower-rich appearance.

How to cite: Tölgyesi, C., Magyar, B., Frei, K., Hábenczyus, A. A., Bátori, Z., and Gallé, R.: Introducing the first ecovoltaic parks of Hungary: a reconciliation between solar development and nature conservation, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-2933, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-2933, 2024.

14:20–14:30
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EGU24-13845
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On-site presentation
Yi-Jing Lee, Ming-Kuang Chung, and Wan-Ling Tseng

In Taiwan's rural areas, significant changes are underway in the once-predominant focus on traditional agriculture. The current landscape in rural areas is characterized not only by the presence of numerous factories but also by the increasing solar panels, driven by the ongoing transition to renewable energy sources. Despite numerous studies confirming the correlation between land use and temperature in urban areas, limited thermal research has been conducted in rural regions. Additionally, rural residents, particularly the elderly, are more sensitive to temperature variations.

The purpose of this study is to investigate whether the construction of iron rooftop factories and rooftop solar panel structures in rural environments results in significant differences in surface temperature and surrounding land use, thereby revealing the thermal impacts of these structures.Three coastal towns in central Taiwan were selected as the primary study area due to their higher density of solar panels and similar agricultural characteristics. Landsat 8 surface temperature data were utilized, with buffer zones established at 30-meter intervals from sample boundaries to explore variations in surface temperature and land use characteristics.

The findings reveal that rooftop solar panels and iron factories are predominantly surrounded by arid fields. As the distance from rooftop solar panels increases, the surface temperature gradually decreases, returning to ambient levels. However, no discernible changes in surface temperature were observed around iron rooftop factories. This study not only sheds light on the thermal impacts of these structures in rural environments but also points out the importance of land use control on thermal environments.

How to cite: Lee, Y.-J., Chung, M.-K., and Tseng, W.-L.: Coexisting Agriculture, Industry, and Energy in Rural Areas: Comparative Surrounding Surface Temperatures between Rooftop Solar Panels and Iron Rooftop in the Yunlin, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13845, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13845, 2024.

14:30–14:40
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EGU24-13733
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Shi Chen and Xi Lu

Against the backdrop of the rapid global rise of solar photovoltaic (PV) energy, its supply chain from manufacturing to installation has gradually exhibited dynamic spatial evolution, yet the spatiotemporal distribution of greenhouse gas emissions and mitigation throughout the entire PV industry chain has not received sufficient attention. The pathways to enhance the net mitigation benefits of PV through international collaboration across the entire industrial chain remains in its initial stage. This presentation will outline the author's systematic accounting of global supply chain carbon emissions and mitigation, combining spatiotemporal dynamic lifecycle assessments and scenario analyses. The analysis explored the spatiotemporal evolution of net greenhouse gas mitigation from 2009 to 2060 within the global PV industry. The study reveals that optimized collaboration between manufacturing and installation globally could increase the net mitigation effects of the entire industrial chain by 97.5 Gt carbon dioxide equivalent, equivalent to 1.9 times the global GHG emissions in 2020. This finding provides theoretical and empirical support for enhancing international strategic cooperation to enhance global greenhouse gas mitigation.

How to cite: Chen, S. and Lu, X.:  Greenhouse gas emissions and mitigation in the global solar photovoltaic industry chain, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13733, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13733, 2024.

14:40–14:50
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EGU24-22105
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Victoria Gallardo, Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero, and Sonia Jerez

The transition towards a decarbonized electricity system, based on renewable energies, is urgently needed to achieve the so-called carbon neutrality and help mitigating climate change, among other reasons. At the same time, there is a need for electricity production from renewable energies to be stable in time, or to follow the demand, without substantial fluctuations. The open-access step-wise model called CLIMAX exploits the fact that wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) power present a certain degree of spatio-temporal complementarity in order to reduce the volatility of their combined production at its minimum. In a previous study, CLIMAX was used to identify optimum deployments of PV and wind power facilities across five European domains (Jerez et al., 2023). Here, using these optimum capacity density scenarios, the installed capacity per European country for the period 2012-2020 as reported in IRENA (2020), and ERA5 reanalysis data for the same period, are used to compute capacity factors, and the wind-plus-solar electricity production is estimated and compared to that from a BASE scenario with a homogeneous spatial distribution of installations. Results show that the optimization of the spatial distribution of the wind-plus-solar installed capacities does not only enhance the stability of the energy production in time, but also in terms of mean values (i.e. efficiency). More precisely, an average improvement in the energy production of +47.5 TW·h per year, integrated over Europe, is obtained as compared to BASE. Consequently, pollutant emissions from thermal power plants could have been reduced if electricity would have been produced from these renewable sources. In this work, this reduction is estimated and, in a last step, the potential reduction of human deaths related to air pollution is also evaluated. Results encourage further efforts towards a low-carbon energy future.

 

REFERENCES:

Jerez, S., Barriopedro, D., García-López, A., Lorente-Plazas, R., Somoza, A. M., Turco, M., et al. (2023). An action-oriented approach to make the most of the wind and solar power complementarity. Earth's Future, 11, e2022EF003332. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003332.

IRENA. (2020). Renewable capacity statistics 2020. International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA).

How to cite: Gallardo, V., Jiménez-Guerrero, P., and Jerez, S.: Optimized renewable energy production for a low-carbon future to mitigate climate change and associated health impacts, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-22105, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-22105, 2024.

14:50–15:00
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EGU24-10664
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Bjarnhéðinn Guðlaugsson, Matej Secnik, Ivana Stepanovic, Bethany Bronkema, Marko Hocevar, and David Finger

In recent years, there has been an increased interest in technologies such as Vortex-induced vibration energy harvesters (VIV-EH) concerning the potential to harvest and utilise the energy potential in oceans, rivers, channels and water pipelines. VIV-EH could be an ideal solution for energy generation through harvesting the kinetic energy from flow-induced vibration in open water systems such as rivers, lakes and lagoons, as well as closed water systems like water pipe systems in water and energy infrastructure. The energy generated could enable a self-powered sensor monitoring system and, therefore, replace the need for batteries or diesel generators to power the monitoring system, enhancing the water system's reliability. One of the applications explored for deploying VIV-EHs is installing into existing water pipelines to harness the flow vibration for energy generation. Assessing the feasibility of new energy technology such as VIV-EH is crucial to successfully implementing any technology into the pre-existing system. To fully determine feasibility requires information and inputs attained from assessing multiple cross-dimensional factors, which can provide information on the positive and negative economic, environmental and societal impacts and technological barriers or opportunities related to implementing this technology to any existing system infrastructure. To address this, an assessment framework is being developed, incorporating data and calculations from Life Cycle Assessment for calculating environmental impacts, MatLab for calculating the VIV-EHs key characteristics, and stakeholder engagement for assessing the selection of crucial evaluation metrics. The assessment tool will allow the user to carry out a multi-dimensional (Socio-Economic, Technical, Environmental) or single-dimension feasibility assessment concerning the integration of VIV-EHs into existing water infrastructure using a web-based tool. The application of the assessment framework provides critical informations such as VIV-EH's energy generation potential and role in the energy transition towards a cleaner and green energy system, which are relevant to designing a technology implementation strategy. The framework is applied, tested and used to evaluate the potential of VIV-EHs in various case studies: i) a geothermal district heating network in Reykjavik, Iceland; ii) a drinking water supply system in Ferlach, Austria, and iii) the MOSE flood protection in the Lagoon of Venice, Italy. Preliminary results suggest that the VIV-EH can reach capacities to supply sufficient energy – measured in watts – to power sensors for monitoring, maintenance and operation of water infrastructure. This continuous supply for monitoring networks can increase the resilience of water infrastructure and improve water resource utilisation, which is becoming more critical during climate change. The findings will be used to develop the assessment tool further and provide information that can help build a strategy for deploying VIV-EHs into water and energy infrastructure across Europe. The framework is tested on representative case studies across Europe but can potentially be applied in any energy system worldwide.

How to cite: Guðlaugsson, B., Secnik, M., Stepanovic, I., Bronkema, B., Hocevar, M., and Finger, D.: Multi-Dimensional Feasibility Assessment of the Deployment of Vortex-induced vibration Energy Harvester to utilize hidden hydro potential in European water and energy infrastructure, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-10664, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10664, 2024.

15:00–15:10
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EGU24-12276
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Inge Ossentjuk, Jan Wiegner, Robbert Nienhuis, Jasper Griffioen, Antonis Vakis, and Matteo Gazzani

Abstract

Energy storage systems (ESS) are required to overcome the challenges of large-scale integration of variable renewable energy. Specifically, offshore ESS can increase the utilisation of offshore transmission cables and reduce stress on the grid. Marine pumped hydro storage (PHS) is a promising technology in this domain [1]. This study focuses on the role of a subsea PHS system in offshore wind farms, taking the Dutch North Sea as a case study. This novel technology stores electricity on the seabed by pumping water to a reservoir subject to the hydrostatic pressure of the overlying seawater, and releases it by letting the water flow back through a set of turbines to a second reservoir at atmospheric pressure, thus utilising the change in potential energy associated with pressure difference.

Anthropogenic activities increasingly deploy marine environments as sites of operation. Besides traditional uses like fisheries, navigation, defence and
mining, the climate and biodiversity crises respectively call for the uptake of offshore renewable energy systems and biodiversity-enhancing structures such as artificial reefs. These activities affect the marine host ecosystems, though impacts can be both beneficial (providing artificial habitats) and detrimental (disturbing species) [2].

The European Topic Centre on Inland, Coastal and Marine waters highlights the importance of marine spatial planning and environmental impact assessment (EIA) methods in elucidating conflicts of interest between the development of offshore renewable energy and protection of the marine environment [3]. Though the environmental impacts of offshore renewable energy projects such as wind and even wave farms have been investigated and are safeguarded by EIA legislation, only few studies can be found on offshore energy storage. Research on offshore ESS mainly focuses on either the (life-cycle) environmental impacts of a technology, or on the technical and/or economic performance in terms of efficiency, feasibility or costs and benefits. The combination is lacking for specific technologies and areas, such as subsea PHS. Therefore, this study integrates a techno-economic modelling approach with EIA methodology with the objective of obtaining the techno-environmental potential of subsea PHS as a novel offshore energy storage system.

First, a literature review is conducted to compose a framework for the assessment of biological, chemical and physical impacts of offshore energy storage systems, consisting of a list of impact indicators and, if available, threshold values. Second, the framework is applied to a case study of subsea PHS in the Dutch North Sea. The technical potential, i.e., the optimal installed capacity from a technical point of view, is determined by modelling the Dutch planned offshore wind farms until 2030, allowing for installation of the storage technology to minimise curtailment of wind energy in the system. The model is formulated as a mixed-integer linear program. Third, the impact indicators are investigated for the resulting technology size and, taking threshold values into account, the environmental potential is determined. Last, trade-offs between technical performance and ecological effects are identified and discussed.

References

[1] Wang et al. A review of marine renewable energy storage. International Journal of Energy Research, 2019.
[2] Taormina et al. A review of methods and indicators used to evaluate the ecological modifications generated by artificial structures on marine ecosystems. Journal of Environmental Management, 2022.
[3] Galparsoro et al. Mapping potential environmental impacts of offshore renewable energy. European Topic Centre on Inland, Coastal and Marine waters, 2022.

How to cite: Ossentjuk, I., Wiegner, J., Nienhuis, R., Griffioen, J., Vakis, A., and Gazzani, M.: The techno-environmental potential of offshore pumped hydro storage: A case study of the Dutch North Sea, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-12276, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-12276, 2024.

15:10–15:20
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EGU24-22175
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Maíra Padgurschi, Daniele de Souza Henzler, Gabriel Palma Petrielli, and Thayse A. D. Hernandes

Worldwide changes in the land use and climate are the main drivers that have triggered a decline in both biological and cultural diversities, and the degradation of ecosystems. In countries like Brazil, deforestation is the main source of greenhouse gas emissions, and it is increased, in some cases, by the degradation. As response to those challenges, degraded areas have emerged as a promising option for cultivating biomass to produce biorenewables, aligning with the concept of a 'green transition'. Brazil stands out as a viable region for new cropland requirement to address the global demand for biorenewables production. Nevertheless, despite the large areas of degraded pastureland in Brazil, identifying those for growing the crops avoiding worsening the principal causes of biodiversity loss is an issue to be addressed. We evaluated the ecological feasibility of degraded pasturelands as potential areas for biomass production. We selected four exclusion criteria based on the Brazilian legal framework and the conventions and agreements to which the country is a signatory. In 2021, Brazil had 98.1 Mha of degraded pasturelands with the largest portion (63.9 Mha) experiencing a moderate level of degradation, mostly in Amazon biome (22.3 Mha). In addition, Brazilian legislation for biofuels production (Renovabio) predicts the exclusion of Amazon and Pantanal (a Brazilian wetland) biomes as eligible areas. Those biomes were the first exclusion criteria, remaining 65.1 Mha after its exclusion. In terms of protected areas, another adopted criterion, the land of traditional populations evaluated contains fewer degraded areas (0.3 Mha), when compared to the other Brazilian conservation categories (1.2 Mha). In the excluded degraded pasturelands (55.8 Mha, in total), the restoration of native vegetation should be prioritized to enhance biodiversity loss and the mitigation of climate change. Restoration efforts may vary by region, but agroforestry systems using native species of the biome could be a positive alternative. In addition to prioritizing the recovery of habitat and biodiversity loss, this approach has the potential to decrease local social vulnerabilities and to promote sustainable biorenewables production. By prioritizing the conservation of biological diversity, Brazil still has 42.3 Mha available for biorenewables, which corresponds to almost the total area currently under soybean cultivation in the country. The greater availability of degraded pastureland areas is within the Brazilian savanna. In addition to be a biodiversity hotspot, the Brazilian savanna is also central to water supply, contributing to important river basins in the country. Future work should consider other criteria such as water scarcity and climate vulnerability since it is necessary to evaluate the whole biorenewables’ value chains to assure sustainability.

How to cite: Padgurschi, M., de Souza Henzler, D., Palma Petrielli, G., and A. D. Hernandes, T.: Degraded pasturelands for sustainable biorenewables production: an ecological approach, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-22175, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-22175, 2024.

15:20–15:30
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EGU24-20459
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Chenxi Lu

China and India, two of the world's leading carbon emitters, have pledged to achieve carbon neutrality by mid-century in alignment with the Paris Agreement. Central to this ambition is the electrification of their economies, and both nations have made significant strides in recent years. Yet, a thorough cost-benefit analysis of their energy transition progress and future energy transition pathways remains lacking. Here we adopt nine comprehensive models to assess the region-specific co-benefits related to carbon emission, air pollution, health and employment of energy transition in the power sector in China and India from 2015-2020 and further explore their most cost-effective pathways towards 1.5°C and 2°C scenarios in 2030-2050. We find that although the emissions contributed by the power sector in China and India from 2015 to 2020 resulted in more than 10,000 PM2.5 attributable deaths in 2020, the economic benefit of job creation of new installation of renewable power in 2020 was 68 (95% CI: 56-93) times and 6 (95% CI: 5-7) times than the monetary of health loss. Under the SSP1_RCP2.6 scenario, it will ultimately achieve the largest benefit (monetary health co-benefits) to cost (carbon mitigation cost) ratio for both countries in 2050, and India (14.6 (95% CI: 12.7-16.1) will obtain a larger ratio than that of China (4.1 (95% CI: 3.3-4.7)). We recommend both nations deepen their commitment to power sector transition, prioritizing low-carbon fuels and expanding education and skill training to support the emerging new energy economy.

How to cite: Lu, C.: Co-benefits and cost-benefit analysis of energy transition in the power sector in China and India, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-20459, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-20459, 2024.

15:30–15:40
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EGU24-6011
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Leveraging big data to unveil challenges and opportunities in truck electrification
(withdrawn)
Pei Zhao, Shaojun Zhang, Xiaomeng Wu, and Ye Wu
15:40–15:45
Coffee break
Chairpersons: Maša Zorana Ostrogović Sever, Doroteja Bitunjac
16:15–16:20
16:20–16:40
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EGU24-9583
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ECS
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solicited
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On-site presentation
William WM Verbiest, Corneille EN Ewango, Jean-Remy Makana, Simon Lewis, Marijn Bauters, Jean-François Bastin, Adeline Fayolle, Anaïs-Pasiphae Gorel, and Wannes Hubau

African tropical ecosystems possess great potential for nature-based solutions in mitigating fossil fuel emissions through absorbing and storing carbon in soil and vegetation. However, past studies mostly focused on pan-continental carbon balance quantification, often ignoring regional differences. Remarkably, few science-informed attempts have been made to refine carbon flux estimates at the national level within African rainforest countries. Yet, such refined estimates are essential to improve the quantification of Nationally Determined Contributions for the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.

In this contribution, we present preliminary results on quantifying national carbon budgets for African rainforest countries by disentangling three major carbon fluxes for the period 2001-2015: (1) net carbon uptake in tropical savannas, woodlands, and forests, (2) carbon losses from land-use change, and (3) fossil fuel emissions. Carbon fluxes in intact forests are quantified using ground-based data1, while the carbon uptake by intact savannas and woodlands is based on Net Primary Productivity assessments estimated from remote sensing products2,3. Furthermore, carbon emissions from land-use change are estimated by analyzing various satellite images and related products providing data on land-use change4–6, soil and tree carbon stocks7–12, fire emissions3,13,14, and carbon recovery in regrowing forests15–18 in tropical Africa. Country-level fossil fuel emissions are taken from the Global Carbon Project database19 to complete the national carbon balances.

We reveal that most Central and East African rainforest countries acted as net carbon sinks between 2001 and 2015, while West African rainforest countries exhibited minimal net carbon loss. Overall, tropical ecosystems have played an important role in mitigating carbon emissions due to land-use change and fossil fuels in African rainforest countries, particularly in Congo Basin countries. Our insights into nation-level carbon fluxes will be crucial for informing African rainforest countries, guiding climate policies to stay on track to keep global warming well below 2°C.

References:

1. Hubau, W. et al. Nature 579, 80–87 (2020).
2. Running, S.W. et al. BioScience 54, 547-560 (2004).
3. Randerson, J.T. et al. (2018).
4. Hansen, M.C. et al. Science (1979) 342, 846–850 (2013).
5. Vancutsem, C. et al. Sci Adv 7, eabe1603 (2021).
6. Curtis, P.G. et al. Science (1979) 361, 1108–1111 (2018).
7. Simard, M. et al. Nat Geosci 12, 40–45 (2019).
8. Avitabile, V. et al. Glob Chang Biol 22, 1406–1420 (2016).
9. Zarin, D.J. et al. Glob Chang Biol 22, 1336–1347 (2016).
10. Saatchi, S.S. et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 108, 9899–9904 (2011).
11. Baccini, A. et al. Nat Clim Chang 2, 182–185 (2012).
12. Poggio, L. et al. SOIL 7, 217–240 (2021).
13. Van Wees, D. et al. Geosci Model Dev 15, 8411–8437 (2022).
14. Di Giuseppe, F. et al. Atmos Chem Phys 18, 5359–5370 (2018).
15. Heinrich, V.H.A. et al. Nature 615, 436–442 (2023).
16. Deklerck, V. et al. Biol Conserv 233, 118–130 (2019).
17. Cook-Patton, S.C. et al. Nature 585, 545–550 (2020).
18. IPCC. 6 (2006).
19. Friedlingstein, P. et al. 14, 4811–4900 (2022).

How to cite: Verbiest, W. W., Ewango, C. E., Makana, J.-R., Lewis, S., Bauters, M., Bastin, J.-F., Fayolle, A., Gorel, A.-P., and Hubau, W.: Disentangling national carbon fluxes of African rainforest countries., EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-9583, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-9583, 2024.

16:40–16:50
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EGU24-13162
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Zahrasadat Mirsafi, Ken Day, William Parton, Naoya Takeda, and David Rowlings

Soil organic carbon dynamics are strongly influenced by soil and climate conditions, as well as management practices including grazing and cropping. Over the past two decades, biogeochemical models have been widely used for analysing the effect of different environmental and management variables on soil carbon, including potential change under hypothetical future climate and management scenarios. The DayCent model, which is a daily implementation of the Century model, considers the impacts of soil texture, climate, historical vegetation cover, and land management practices, including crop type, fertilizer additions, and cultivation events on soil carbon dynamics.

In this study, we calibrate the DayCent model for two long-term (38-year) native pasture exclosures at one location in south-eastern Queensland. These sites have had similar management, being ungrazed and burnt or mown at the beginning of each pasture growing season but differ with respect to soil type (texture and depth) and species composition. One site is dominated by kangaroo grass (Themeda triandra), which represents the species composition prior to the introduction of tree clearing and grazing by cattle in the late 1800s. The other site is dominated by black spear grass (Heteropogon contortus) which has become the dominant species in the region since that time. To reflect the long-term species composition changes in the region, kangaroo grass crop parameters were used to run the model to equilibrium from year 1 AD to the year 1900 for both sites, and spear grass parameters were introduced in 1901 for the spear grass site.

The model calibration concentrated on the key ‘crop’ parameters governing potential production, root to shoot ratio, and plant carbon to nitrogen ratio. The calibrated DayCent model accounted for only 21 percent of the observed year-to-year variability in end-of-season above-ground biomass at the kangaroo grass site and 58%  at the spear grass site. The observed biomass production for the two sites was most strongly correlated with simulated evapotranspiration during the growing season (R2 = 0.43 and 0.58 for kangaroo grass and spear grass respectively) and we found a strong correlation between simulated and observed soil water content to a depth of 50 cm at both sites (R2 = 0.64 and 0.6 for kangaroo grass and speargrass respectively).

Whilst year-to-year variability was not well simulated, the long-term average production of each site is the main driver of soil carbon. For both sites, the model overestimated the average observed above-ground biomass at the end of the growing season by approximately 15 percent. By this time of year, the plants have flowered and lost biomass through the detachment of seeds and seed heads as well as some dead leaves. The timing of this detachment process is difficult to simulate in DayCent and it is therefore likely that DayCent simulated the annual biomass production quite closely. It remains to validate the DayCent simulations against similar long-term production data at a further six long-term study sites at this location and to evaluate how well DayCent simulates observed soil carbon across soil types, both under grazed and ungrazed conditions.

How to cite: Mirsafi, Z., Day, K., Parton, W., Takeda, N., and Rowlings, D.: Calibration of the DayCent Model for Native Pastures in South-Eastern Queensland, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13162, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13162, 2024.

16:50–17:00
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EGU24-14079
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ECS
|
On-site presentation
Relationship between diffuse carbon dioxide emissions and soil types of the Xalapa Monogenetic Volcanic Field (XMVF)
(withdrawn)
Luis Morales and Patricia Jácome
17:00–17:10
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EGU24-9379
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ECS
|
On-site presentation
Le Chen

Highly accurate land cover (LC) information with fine spatial resolution serves as the cornerstone for reliable environmental insights, strategic land management, and ecological conservation. Yet, existing public LC products with 1-30m resolution exhibit considerable inconsistencies, particularly within complex terrains and fragmented habitats such as hill and gully regions, leading to uncertainties in various applications. In this context, our study innovatively targeted China's hilly and gully regions to develop an enhanced 10m resolution LC map for 2020, termed CLC-HG. The methodological advancement lied in fusing multiple LC products through accuracy evaluation, spatial consistency verification, object-oriented classification, and random forest classification. The research involved: (1) Strategic zoning of hilly and gully regions into five areas, selecting one or two representative validation regions within each; (2) Leveraging high-resolution imagery and 20000 field verification points to derive a 1m resolution land use dataset for validation regions, named GFLUCC, with 1m resolution and 95% accuracy; (3) Comprehensive validation of seven land use products spatial consistency and accuracy based on GFLUCC; (4) Filtering of layers based on spatial consistency, retaining regions with high and medium consistency; (5) Utilizing object-oriented classification and random forest classification, a higher-accuracy LC dataset was generated to replace the layers that were removed in the spatial consistency process; (6) Successful creation of CLC-HG, mirroring the accurate land use patterns of 2020. Our findings elucidated: (i) The superiority of WorldCover 10m in LC classification, contrasting with other products' regional inaccuracies; (ii) The influences of terrain complexity and human activity on accuracy, highlighting the precision in uniform areas versus the inaccuracy in complex regions; (iii) Substantial variations in spatial consistency across different terrains, with LP showing the weakest consistency; (iv) CLC-HG's remarkable performanced in identifying diverse LC types, boasting 85% overall accuracy; (v) Notable progress in classification accuracy with CLC-HG, uncovering the nuanced influences of land category complexity on consistency and human interventions on accuracy. This study breaks new ground by integrating multidimensional data and methodologies, contributing valuable insights for classification enhancements and more adept land resource management. The pioneering CLC-HGproduct holds significant potential to reduce uncertainties in global environmental change studies, ecosystem evaluations, and hazard assessments, marking an important step forward in remote sensing applications.

How to cite: Chen, L.: Multisource fusion for high-accuracy land cover mapping: A 10m resolution strategy in China's hill and gully regions , EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-9379, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-9379, 2024.

17:10–17:20
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EGU24-9260
|
On-site presentation
Remote sensing estimation of cover crop biomass using machine learning algorithms in Denmark
(withdrawn)
Komal Choudhary, Klaus Butterbach-bahl, and Tommy Dalgaard
17:20–17:30
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EGU24-4551
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Virtual presentation
Oz Kira, Julius Bamah, Alexander Muleta, and Shirley Bushner

The urban population is experiencing rapid growth, and it is estimated that around 90% of people will be living in cities by the year 2100. Given that urban areas are significant sources of greenhouse gas and pollutant emissions, and with the expectation that these urban areas will become even more densely populated, achieving sustainable urban living requires careful and well-informed urban planning for infrastructures capable of effectively mitigating these emissions. One commonly proposed approach to address this challenge is the implementation of urban green infrastructures, which are often regarded as net sinks for CO2. However, due to the diverse and varied land use within urban areas, our ability to precisely isolate and quantify their overall impact on the city's carbon balance is limited.

Our research aims to overcome this limitation by testing two distinct frameworks. The first integrates remote observations with local measurements to determine the carbon balance of green infrastructures at the city level, ultimately producing a detailed CO2 sequestration map of these infrastructures. The second utilizes satellite observations of solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence, a signal emitted exclusively by vegetation, to estimate urban vegetation's city-wide carbon sequestration potential. Our findings demonstrate that these two frameworks provide valuable insights into the carbon sequestration capacity of green infrastructures.

The frameworks developed in this study offer a significant advancement in understanding the contribution of green infrastructures to the carbon budget of cities. This improved understanding can inform the planning of low carbon-emitting cities and aid in identifying green areas with limited—or even negative—net carbon uptake. Additionally, the results of this research may be instrumental for policymakers and city planners in developing more sustainable urban environments.

How to cite: Kira, O., Bamah, J., Muleta, A., and Bushner, S.: Remote sensing-based frameworks to quantify city-level carbon fluxes in urban green infrastructures, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4551, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4551, 2024.

17:30–17:40
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EGU24-14214
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Jeongmin Lee, Heejae Jo, Whijin Kim, and Yowhan Son

The quantification of carbon sequestration in Urban Green Spaces (UGSs) is challenging due to their unique characteristics such as the fragmentation of green spaces, human-influenced species selection, and varying management practices. IPCC guidelines recommend calculating carbon sequestration in UGSs per individual tree or crown cover area. Although crown cover area-based estimation is commonly used in national greenhouse gas inventories, research on the growth rate based on crown cover area (CRW) and the effects of varying sampling methodologies is limited. This research aimed to calculate CRW [ton C (ha crown cover)-1 yr-1] in South Korea using two distinct sampling methods. MethodSS (MSS; Systematic Sampling Method) divided urban areas into 500m x 500m grids and selected a 5% sample (1,603 grids) randomly. Within each grid, three sites were chosen and vegetation at three points was surveyed. For analysis, only points with trees excluding shrubs were included. MethodCS (MCS; Categorized Sampling Method) divided UGSs into three categories: street trees, urban parks, and others. For each category, 48 sites with three plots each were selected. In the street trees category, a plot consisted of 20 trees, while in urban parks and others, a plot was defined as a 20 x 20 m area. At each plot, species, diameter at breast height (DBH), height, and crown width of all trees were measured. For the derivation of CRW, a total of 8,037 and 5,733 trees were used in MSS and MCS, respectively. CRW was calculated in four steps: 1) The carbon storage of individual trees (Ct1) was calculated using allometric equations and the carbon fraction. 2) The carbon storage from one year prior (Ct2) was estimated based on the annual DBH growth rate (cm yr-1). 3) The annual carbon accumulation (kg C tree-1 yr-1) was calculated as the difference between Ct1 and Ct2. 4) CRW was calculated by dividing the total annual carbon accumulation by the total crown cover area of the surveyed trees. As a result, The study revealed a notable difference in CRW between MSS and MCS. MSS reported CRW of 0.23 ton C ha-1 yr-1, while MCS presented 0.30 ton C ha-1 yr-1. When categorized by land use, CRW was found to be highest in urban parks followed by others and street trees. In MSS, the diverse sample locations resulted in a wider range of DBH values, including many large-sized trees (DBH ≥ 70 cm). The lower CRW estimates in MSS were primarily due to the assumption that large-sized trees had zero annual carbon sequestration following the IPCC guidelines. This led to a higher inclusion of large-sized trees in MSS, resulting in lower CRW values. Also, there were significant differences in species distribution, tree sizes (DBH), and CRW, depending on the sampling methodology. These variances are primarily due to the unique characteristics of UGSs. The study highlights the necessity for further research into more representative sampling methodologies for estimating carbon sequestration in UGSs.

How to cite: Lee, J., Jo, H., Kim, W., and Son, Y.: Annual Carbon Sequestration Per Crown Cover Area of Urban Green Spaces in  South Korea: Comparative Analysis Using Different Sampling Methodologies, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-14214, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-14214, 2024.

17:40–17:50
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EGU24-5653
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Behnam Ata, Parisa Pakrooh, and János Pénzes

An increasing amount of CO2 emissions from the household sector of Iran led us to analyze the inequality and understand the possible driving forces behind the CO2 emissions. The household sector in Iran contributes one of the largest sectors of CO2 emissions. The study of inequality provides information to policy‐makers to point policies in the right direction. By considering the differences in the socio‐economic factors of provinces, the study aims to analyze the inequality in CO2 emissions and different kinds of energy consumption, including oil, gas and electricity, for the household sector of Iran’s provinces between 2000 and 2019. Also, Household panel data of 28 provinces of Iran are employed by using both static and dynamic panel models for the years 2001 to 2019. This study investigates the relationship between CO2 emissions and the efficient factors in three major groups including energy, climate, and household socio-economic factors. the Theil index and Kaya factor, as a simple and common method, were considered to evaluate the inequality in both CO2 emissions and energy consumption, and determine the driving factor behind CO2 emissions. According to the results, inequality in oil and natural gas consumption were increasing, electricity was almost constant; however, CO2 emissions experienced a decreasing trend for the study period. The results of the Kaya factor indicate that the second factor, energy efficiency, with a 0.21 value was the main driving factor of inequalities in CO2 emissions. The empirical result of the static method showed a positive dependence of household CO2 emissions on Heating Degree Days (HDD), Cooling Degree Days (CDD), precipitation level, oil consumption, gas consumption, household income, size of household, and also building stocks. Also, removing the energy subsidy for fossil fuels due to substantial subsidy in fossil fuels in Iran or implementing a re-pricing energy policy can be a beneficial way to control carbon emissions from households within the provinces of the country.

Behnam Ata is funded by the Stipendium Hungaricum scholarship under the joint executive program between Hungary and Iran.

The study was elaborated under the research project TKP2021‐NKTA‐32 . 

How to cite: Ata, B., Pakrooh, P., and Pénzes, J.: Inequality and driving factors in regional level energy-related CO2 emissions at a residential sector of Iran, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-5653, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5653, 2024.

17:50–18:00

Posters on site: Mon, 15 Apr, 10:45–12:30 | Hall X4

Display time: Mon, 15 Apr, 08:30–Mon, 15 Apr, 12:30
Chairpersons: Michael Obriejetan, Maša Zorana Ostrogović Sever
X4.53
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EGU24-5919
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ECS
Enrichetta Fasano, Carmen Schmid, Erwin Moldaschl, Merlin Mayer, Sebastian Konrad Braun, Francesco Vuolo, Peter Weiss, Helmut Schume, and Bradley Matthews

The importance of accurate monitoring of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from cities is underlined by the substantial urban contribution to global fossil fuel combustion. Typically, cities quantify emissions of CO2 using inventories and also use these models to design appropriate local mitigation policies and measures. However, inventories of individual cities can be uncertain (lack of appropriate activity data and emission factors, uncertainties in spatial downscaling) and furthermore often do not include estimates for the sector Land Use, Land-use Change and Forestry (LULUCF). While the relative, total contribution of LULUCF to a city’s annual CO2 balance may be assumed small, such an assumption should be verified. Furthermore, biogenic fluxes of photosynthesis and respiration may indeed be significant at higher temporal resolutions and omitting these fluxes can limit the conclusions drawn from comparisons of city CO2 inventories with estimates based on atmospheric CO2 observations.

The Vienna Urban Carbon Laboratory is currently investigating how monitoring of CO2 emissions in Austria’s capital city can be supported by a range of atmospheric measurement methods, including a tall-tower, urban application of eddy covariance. Despite the focus on atmospheric observations, the project is also investigating the contribution of biogenic fluxes to Vienna’s net CO2 budget. A LULUCF model of annual carbon stock changes has been developed following the IPCC guidelines using inter alia local forest inventory data and spatially-explicit data on land use and urban tree crown cover. Parrellel to this, work is underway to implement spatially- and temporally resolved simulations of vegetation CO2 fluxes using semi-empirical models of photosynthesis and respiration. Ultimately, integrating these results (together with bottom-up estimates of human respiration) will provide a more meaningful comparison between the local CO2 inventory with the fluxes derived from the eddy covariance measurements.

How to cite: Fasano, E., Schmid, C., Moldaschl, E., Mayer, M., Braun, S. K., Vuolo, F., Weiss, P., Schume, H., and Matthews, B.: Investigating the contribution of biogenic sinks and sources to Vienna’s CO2 budget using bottom-up modelling and tall-tower flux measurements, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-5919, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5919, 2024.

X4.54
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EGU24-13941
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ECS
Igor Paz, Priscila Celebrini de Oliveira Campos, Norton Barros Felix, and Maria Esther Soares Marques

The changes in Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) have multifaceted impacts on sustainable development. Among the main ecosystem services acting on the environment, the Carbon Storage and Sequestration consists of the process of removing carbon from the atmosphere and its subsequent incorporation or storage in the form of biomass. Therefore, its understanding and modeling allow the control and instrumentalization of the biological absorption of carbon by the soil and, consequently, the reduction of the amount of greenhouse gases (GHG) in the atmosphere. To unravel this intricate ecosystem service, this study employs the InVEST (Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs) methodology, specifically the Carbon Storage and Sequestration (CSS) model, within the municipality of Itaperuna in the northwest of the state of Rio de Janeiro (RJ), Brazil. This model estimates the amount of carbon stored in an area, calculates the variations that have occurred, and predicts future storage in the same region. It does so by analyzing land use and land cover, estimating carbon sequestration alterations between different scenarios, and assessing their monetary worth. To undertake this analysis effectively, three key pieces of information are essential: delineation of two LULC scenarios (e.g., 2015 and 2020), carbon content across various LULC classes, and the Social Cost of Carbon (SCC), which evaluates potential socioeconomic repercussions due to climate change for each ton of carbon emitted. This investigation aims not only to comprehend the dynamics of land use and land cover alterations in a medium-sized city within this region but also to estimate changes in carbon stocks and sequestration resulting from LULC transformations. The study further intends to quantify the financial implications of these alterations through the application of SCC.

How to cite: Paz, I., Celebrini de Oliveira Campos, P., Barros Felix, N., and Soares Marques, M. E.: GIS Assessment of Carbon Storage and Sequestration Impact Caused by Urban Development in Itaperuna-RJ, Brazil, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13941, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13941, 2024.

X4.55
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EGU24-21320
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ECS
Doroteja Bitunjac, Maša Zorana Ostrogović Sever, Darko Bakšić, Mislav Anić, and Hrvoje Marjanović

Litter stores around 5% of total carbon (C) stocks in the World's forests (Pan et al. 2011) and is one of five forest ecosystem C pools in national greenhouse gas (GHG) inventory reports, for which reporting is mandatory. Litter is known for its high spatial heterogeneity at different scales. Litter mass, and therefore its C stock, varies with respect to climate region, forest type, and various site and stand characteristics. Litter in the context of GHG reporting in Croatia corresponds to the forest floor (undecomposed leaf organic layer – OL, and fragmented and humified organic layer – OFH), while emissions and removals from the Forest land category, which includes the Litter pool, are stratified into Broadleaves and Conifers. Although a relatively small country in Europe, the biogeographical diversity of Croatia is high, which leads to the question if the existing stratification for the litter should be refined. We tested the hypothesis that litter C stocks within specific tree species groups (Broadleaves and Conifers) differ between biogeographical regions (BGR).

From available national data sources, we compiled a database on litter, soil and forest stand variables at 276 plots distributed across three BGRs in Croatia: Alpine, Continental and Mediterranean. Litter data includes height, dry mass, C stock and C/N. Soil data includes soil organic C (top 30 cm), soil texture and bulk density. Stand variables include main tree species, stand basal area and tree density. Additionally, the database includes information on mean annual temperature (MAT), mean annual precipitation (MAP) and elevation at the plot level. Data were analysed at different scales regarding three BGR and two tree species groups (Broadleaves and Conifers).

Litter C stocks showed high variability (CV>30%) at the regional scale, with the Mediterranean BGR having the highest variability (CV of 43%). When looking at the specific tree species group, coniferous forests in Mediterranean BGR have the highest averaged litter C stocks (8.13 tC ha-1), while the broadleaf forests in Continental BGR have the lowest averaged litter C stocks (4.37 tC ha-1). Litter C stocks significantly differ between Alpine and Mediterranean BGR in coniferous forests, while in broadleaf forests significant difference in litter C stocks was observed between Alpine and Continental BGR. Our results indicate that the stratification of the Litter with respect to BGRs may improve the accuracy of the national carbon inventory.

How to cite: Bitunjac, D., Ostrogović Sever, M. Z., Bakšić, D., Anić, M., and Marjanović, H.: Variability of litter carbon stocks in Croatia, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-21320, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-21320, 2024.

X4.56
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EGU24-18737
Katarina Merganicova, Renata Nowinska, Jan Merganic, and Lech Kaczmarek

The reduction of carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere is one of the most pressing issues in the context of global warming. Forest ecosystems play a crucial role in carbon cycling due to their ability to store significant amounts of carbon in plant biomass, deadwood and soil. Research on deadwood has usually focused on the analysis of the current state without considering the history of forest stands. However, a recent trend in many European countries is to increase the area and number of protected areas, often encompassing previously managed forests. Such changes in forest management affect the abundance and character of deadwood, and thus and need to be considered in the analysis of its carbon storage capacity.

The forests of Wielkopolski National Park in Poland are an excellent subject for such research. Until the end of the 18th century, they were owned by various landowners, leading to a highly diversified forest management driven by immediate needs of owners. In 1931, the first reserve, where logging was discontinued, was established. The current strict protection areas were mostly designated in 1957 when the park was legally established. Currently, strict protection mainly applies to habitats of oak-hornbeam forests Galio sylvatici-Carpinetum betuli, with other communities represented to a lesser extent.

The assessment of deadwood carbon stock (DWCstock) was performed using the data from the field survey conducted between 2017 and 2018. Deadwood was inventoried at 98 circular plots (0.04 ha) located inside 12 strictly protected areas. We distinguished five deadwood categories: standing snags, logs, stumps, branches, and twigs, and 5 decay classes. All dead trees and their parts with a minimum top diameter of 3 cm were measured. The small diameter threshold was selected due to the abundant presence of shrubs that ocurrred during the 'renaturalization' of forest ecosystems. From the measured dimensions we derived DWCstock using species- and decay-specific volume equations, wood density and carbon fraction values. The data were stored in a relational database and further processed and statistically analysed in the R environment. 

The analysis showed a high variability of DWCstock between plots (from 0.19 to 92.43tC/ha, mean 15.03tC/ha). Almost 50% of the total DWCstock was assigned the third decay stage, while 10 and 5% of DWCstock occurred in the first and last decay stage, respectively. This indicates a substantial accumulation of the deadwood after the abandonement of forest management. In 60% of cases, the dominant species of deadwood did not coincide with the dominant species of the currently living trees suggesting the changes in species composition of forest ecosystems over time. The results show deadwood can be considered as a long-term memory of forest dynamics. The work highlights the need to use multiple data sources for a better understanding of ecosystem development.

How to cite: Merganicova, K., Nowinska, R., Merganic, J., and Kaczmarek, L.: Impact of recent forest protection on deadwood carbon stocks, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-18737, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18737, 2024.

X4.57
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EGU24-21950
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ECS
Macdara O'Neill, Marcos Alves, Andrew Manderson, Roberta Macdonald, and Petros Georgiadis

Soil organic carbon (SOC) is a key property of soil quality in arable soils and can play a central role in the voluntary carbon credit market by improving soil health, future food security and mitigating against climate change. The adoption of regenerative agricultural practices are considered one solution to achieve increases in SOC sequestration rates. However, the spatiotemporal dynamics of SOC mean the changes in SOC attributed to management practices are often difficult to detect across different spatial scales and over short temporal periods. Thus, rapid, cost-effective methods for quantifying carbon are sought by key stakeholders in both academia and industry for accurate accounting of SOC stocks. A field trial experiment was conducted in 2023 on five arable fields in Denmark to compare SOC stocks measured between: (i) the conventional sampling method and (ii) a portable, handheld visible near infrared (NIR) spectrometer. The conventional sampling method used a hydraulic corer to extract soil in each field (n=9) split into three depth increments (0-15, 15-30 and 30-60 cm). The samples were analysed for %SOC by the dumas dry combustion method whilst bulk density was measured volumetrically from the intact core upon extraction. For the spectroscopy method, soil was first extracted using a handheld auger (0-30 cm) which was subsequently homogenised and soil properties (%SOC, %Clay content and bulk density) were measured in situ by the scanner. The SOC concentration of these in situ soil samples were also measured by dry combustion analysis. We found differences in cumulative SOC stocks between the conventional and NIR methods attributed to variation in how SOC concentration was measured (directly vs. dry combustion) and less so to variation in bulk density. Clay contents were also similar between the conventional sampled soils and NIR soils, whilst the SOC concentrations measured by dry combustion were similar for both conventional and NIR soils. Overall, the results highlight that portable vis-NIR spectroscopy could be a scalable solution for monitoring SOC stocks in arable soils.

How to cite: O'Neill, M., Alves, M., Manderson, A., Macdonald, R., and Georgiadis, P.: Intercomparison of soil organic carbon stocks measured from conventional and in situ sampling techniques at different spatial scales, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-21950, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-21950, 2024.

X4.58
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EGU24-11334
Efthimios Tagaris, Apostolos Tranoulidis, Rafaella-Eleni P. Sotiropoulou, and Kostas Bithas

The transition away from fossil fuels involves management challenges since the socioeconomic prosperity of the affected areas should be assured. This study assesses the mechanisms, and the future planning of two European regions - Rhenish in Germany, and Western Macedonia in Greece – currently under decarbonization. The assessment is grounded in the application of the five EU - recommended tools, i.e., the governance tools, the sustainable employment and welfare support toolkit, the environmental rehabilitation and repurposing toolkit, the financial toolkit and the technology options toolkit. Rhenish region is targeting for lignite phase-out by 2038 whilst Western Macedonia has set a target for the completion of the transition away from lignite by 2028. The analysis carried out here has shown that both regions have adopted comprehensive strategic plans, delineated transition roadmaps, and established economic models. In particular, both regions have similar governance structures in place and have adopted comparable action plans for sustainable employment and welfare support. However, Western Macedonia faces some implementation challenges and delays in the sector of Reclamation and repurposing efforts. The financial structure of both regions is similar, with the EU and the state being the primary funding sources. Both regions are primarily considering technology options that prioritize the repurposing of power plants, the reduction of carbon emissions in energy-intensive industries, the utilization of hydrogen technologies, and non-electric carbon applications. The findings of this work will contribute to the development of viable strategies for coal transition in diverse national contexts. By thoroughly evaluating the experiences of these locations, this work aims to inform policymakers and stakeholders about effective approaches to navigate the challenges associated with decarbonization while ensuring sustained prosperity in affected areas.

How to cite: Tagaris, E., Tranoulidis, A., Sotiropoulou, R.-E. P., and Bithas, K.: Transition towards low-carbon emissions: A Comparative Analysis between Western Macedonia (Greece) and Rhenish (Germany), EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-11334, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-11334, 2024.

X4.59
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EGU24-4911
Jin-Kyu Park, Min-Jung Jung, Hui-Young Yun, and Kyung-Hui Wang

Food waste (FW) has a substantial environmental impact, contributing to 4.4 GtCO2 eq annually, equivalent to approximately 8% of total anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions based on carbon footprints. Indonesia ranks as the world's second-largest food waste producer, estimated to generate 300 kg of food waste per capita per year. However, there is a scarcity of studies assessing the electricity generation potential and economic feasibility of biogas-to-electricity projects in Indonesia. This paper presents the recovery of biogas from food waste for electricity generation, aiming to determine its economic and environmental benefits for Jakarta, Indonesia. The food waste generation potential in Jakarta was estimated from 2024 to 2043, and the theoretical methane yield was calculated using Buswell's equation. The economic feasibility of anaerobic digestion projects was analyzed using various methods, including total life cycle cost, net present value, investment payback period, levelized cost of energy, and internal rate of return. Environmental impact assessment included air pollution (SO2, NOx, and PM10) and greenhouse gas (CO2 and CH4) emissions reduction. Methane yield from anaerobic digestion was determined to range from 315.9 to 616.5 × 106 m3/yr, with electricity generation potential between 721.5 and 1,407.9 Gigawatt-hours. Economic indicators demonstrated the viability of anaerobic digestion, with positive net present values. The net present value and levelized cost of energy for anaerobic digestion were $162.8 million and $0.095 per kilowatt-hour, respectively. Utilizing biogas from anaerobic digestion for electricity generation could displace 8.2 million tons of coal over the system's lifespan. This displacement would lead to reductions of 17.8 million tons of SO2, 13.9 million tons of NOx, 1.7 million tons of PM10, and 20.1 million tons of CO2 compared to coal combustion.

Acknowledgments

This research was supported by Particulate Matter Management Specialized Graduate Program through the Korea Environmental Industry & Technology Institute (KEITI) funded by the Ministry of Environment (MOE).

How to cite: Park, J.-K., Jung, M.-J., Yun, H.-Y., and Wang, K.-H.: Electricity generation using biogas from food waste in Jakarta, Indonesia: Techno-economic and environmental impact analysis, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4911, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4911, 2024.

X4.60
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EGU24-2411
Green Riyadh, Ambitious Urban Environmental Forestation Project
(withdrawn after no-show)
Saad AlHumidan
X4.61
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EGU24-20934
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Highlight
Sandra Dullau, Maren Helen Meyer, Pascal Scholz, and Sabine Tischew

In recent years, landscapes in many countries have been transformed by efforts to fight global warming, specifically the shift towards renewable energies. Photovoltaics is one of the key technologies for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and achieving climate neutrality for Europe by 2050, which has led to the promotion of solar parks. Due to the ambitious goals for the expansion of photovoltaics, a multiple of the area used so far will be built on with solar parks. These parks are often built on arable land, can span up to several hundred hectares, and grassland vegetation is usually created between and under the panels. In most cases, this is done by spontaneous revegetation or by seeding species-poor mixtures dominated by grasses.

In a case study of 12 spontaneously planted solar parks in a structurally poor agricultural landscape in central Germany, we found an average of 90 vascular plant species. However, the number of target grassland species is only one third and the majority are ruderal species. A comparison of the three zones showed that there were the same number of target grassland species in the area between the panels and without panels, but significantly fewer under the panels. Surprisingly, the coverage of target grassland species was highest between the panels.

Establishing grasslands using highly divers native seed mixtures can significantly enhance target species richness. This finding has already been well documented by grassland restoration research. However, it has not yet been proven for solar parks with their special characteristics, such as small-scale modified site conditions. In two solar parks on ex-arable land, we seeded a site adapted seed mixture with high percentage of forb seeds (39 species, including 3 grasses). In the first year after sowing, the establishment success of the sown species in the areas between the PV panels were recorded. The establishment rate was 25-30 % in the unshaded sections, increased significantly in the partially shaded sections and fell sharply with increasing shade. The low establishment rate is probably related to the significantly below-average rainfall in 2021, while the partially shaded sections provided better establishment conditions due to higher soil moisture. Heavy shading hindered the establishment of light-demanding grassland species. An increasing establishment rate is expected in the further vegetation development and must continue to be monitored.

How to cite: Dullau, S., Meyer, M. H., Scholz, P., and Tischew, S.: Grassland establishment in solar parks on former arable land - spontaneous succession and first findings of a highly divers seed-based approach, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-20934, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-20934, 2024.

X4.62
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EGU24-1232
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ECS
Xizhe Yan and Dan Tong

Coal power transition always maintains a high complexity as the heterogeneities of characteristics such as technical attribute, economic lock-in, and environmental and health impact. Here, we explored the cost-effectiveness uncertainty brought by policy implementation disturbance of different phaseout and new-built strategies (i.e., the disruption of phaseout priority) of coal power based on a developed unit-level uncertainty assessment framework, and revealed the opportunity and risk of coal transition decision by employing preference analysis. We found that, the uncertainty of policy implementation might lead to potential delays in yielding the initial positive annual net benefits. For example, a delay of 6 years might occur when the prior phaseout practice is implemented. A certain level of risk remains in the implementation of the phaseout policy, as not all strategies can guarantee the achievement of positive cumulative net benefits from 2018-2060. Since the unit-level heterogeneities shape diverse orientation of decision making, the decision-making preferences would significantly alter the selection of coal transition strategy. While the uncertainty of policy implementation might lead to missed opportunities in identifying optimal strategy. Our results highlight the importance of minimizing the policy implementation disturbance, which helps mitigate the risk of negative benefits and strengthen the practicality of phaseout decision.

How to cite: Yan, X. and Tong, D.: Cost-effectiveness uncertainty may bias the decision of coal power transition in China, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-1232, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1232, 2024.

X4.63
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EGU24-3840
Cost and health benefits of clean heating in rural China
(withdrawn after no-show)
Shu Tao
X4.64
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EGU24-13747
Xinxu Zhao, Li Zhang, Xutao Wang, Changyan Zhu, Kun Wang, Yu Ni, Jun Pan, Liming Yang, Yanlin Su, and Chenghang Zheng

The rapid expansion of renewable energy and the imperative for carbon reduction have prompted significant coal phase-outs. Coal is the largest contributor to energy-related carbon emissions globally, accounting for over one-third of the total. Coal-fired electric generating units (EGUs) play a significant role in these emissions, with over 5,000 units in China contributing to around 15% of global carbon emissions. These units, relatively young with an average age of less than 15 years, are facing challenges such as the absence of power purchase agreements, the prospect of early retirement, amid renewable energy growth, and ongoing retrofits for energy efficiency and carbon reduction. The transition pathway of the coal-fired power sector is crucial for its evolution and the integration of renewable energy. Hence, a data-driven optimization prediction model is introduced in this study, aiming to delineate an optimal transition pathway for the coal-fired power sector under different scenarios, guiding its evolution towards a low-carbon energy system.

The model comprises two modules: the phase-out module and the retrofit optimization prediction module. A unified unit-level database, encompassing operational data from over 5000 coal-fired EGUs in China, as well as techno-economic information associated with 21 types of carbon reduction retrofits, serves as the foundation for the most cost-effective pathway towards a low-carbon transition in the power sector. The phase-out module predicts the phase-out and remaining capacities, including the potential portion replaced by renewable energy. The phase-out determination involves assessing the cost of replacing coal-fired power with renewable power generation, along with considerations of the economics and carbon emissions associated with units under normal operation before retirement. This laterally furnishes valuable information for comprehending the potential capacity for renewable generation, ensuring that the transition pathways in the coal-fired sector are realized in a manner that safeguards the stability and reliability of the future power system. The optimization prediction model employs machine learning algorithms consisting of the predictor and the optimizer. The predictor provides estimates for overall carbon reduction potential (CRP) for the coal-fired power sector, even for the power sector, as well as near-term levelized costs of carbon emissions reduction (LCOC) and electricity (LCOE), approached from the unit-level perspective. The optimizer identifies portfolios that maximize carbon emission potential while minimizing costs. This study ultimately provides a comprehensive analysis of the low-carbon transition pathway for the primary source of emissions in the energy sector, namely the coal-fired power sector, conducted from both techno-economic and environmental (specifically carbon reduction) standpoints, employing an optimization prediction model.

How to cite: Zhao, X., Zhang, L., Wang, X., Zhu, C., Wang, K., Ni, Y., Pan, J., Yang, L., Su, Y., and Zheng, C.: Optimal Transition Pathways Toward a Low-Carbon Energy System in China: a Data-Driven Optimization Prediction Model in Machine Learning., EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13747, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13747, 2024.

Posters virtual: Mon, 15 Apr, 14:00–15:45 | vHall X4

Display time: Mon, 15 Apr, 08:30–Mon, 15 Apr, 18:00
Chairpersons: Josefin Winberg, Maša Zorana Ostrogović Sever
vX4.17
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EGU24-20500
Life cycle Assessment of different waste electric vehicle battery reuse strategy – a case study in Taipei 
(withdrawn after no-show)
Yi-Shin Wang and Nae-wen Kuo