Towards a net-zero world and beyond: remaining carbon budgets, ambitious mitigation pathways with or without temperature overshoot, and implications for policy
Co-organized by BG8
Convener:
Andrew MacDougall
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Co-conveners:
Peter Pfleiderer,
Joeri Rogelj,
Nadine Mengis,
Norman Julius Steinert,
Emily Theokritoff
Orals
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Mon, 15 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) Room E2
Posters on site
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Attendance Mon, 15 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Mon, 15 Apr, 08:30–12:30 Hall X5
This year, we have a special focus on risks inherent to overshoot scenarios that have so far been under-researched. Those risks can be related to 1) the feasibility of the large-scale deployment of negative emissions (e.g., carbon dioxide removal) technologies, 2) the potential for long-term irreversible climate impacts even in cases where global warming is reverted, and 3) their implications for climate change (mal)adaptation.
We welcome studies exploring all aspects of climate change and its impacts in response to future ambitious mitigation scenarios. In addition to studies exploring the remaining carbon budget and the TCRE framework, we welcome contributions on the zero emissions commitment (ZEC), effects of different forcings and feedbacks (e.g. permafrost carbon feedback) and non-CO2 forcings (e.g. aerosols, and other non-CO2 greenhouse gases), and climate effects of carbon removal strategies. Additionally, we welcome submissions on the climate response to emission pathway and rate, and the climate-carbon responses to different forcing scenarios or implementations (e.g. SSP scenarios, or idealized scenarios). Contributions from the fields of climate policy and economics focused on applications of carbon budgets, net-zero pathways including residual emission estimates and benefits of early mitigation are also encouraged.
16:15–16:20
5-minute convener introduction
Carbon Budgets, TCRE, and ZEC
16:20–16:30
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EGU24-13603
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solicited
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Virtual presentation
16:30–16:40
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EGU24-13448
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
16:40–16:50
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EGU24-19759
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Negative Emissions, Overshoot, and Climate Reversibility
16:50–17:00
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EGU24-12476
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
17:00–17:10
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EGU24-12063
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ECS
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On-site presentation
17:10–17:20
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EGU24-5598
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ECS
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On-site presentation
17:20–17:30
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EGU24-20890
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On-site presentation
17:30–17:40
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EGU24-10449
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On-site presentation
17:40–17:50
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EGU24-3169
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ECS
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On-site presentation
X5.62
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EGU24-5361
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ECS
X5.70
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EGU24-17377
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Highlight