CL1.1.1 | Deep-time climate change and carbon cycling: insights from models and proxies
EDI
Deep-time climate change and carbon cycling: insights from models and proxies
Convener: Yonggang Liu | Co-conveners: Jean-Baptiste LadantECSECS, Yannick Donnadieu, Ran FengECSECS, Pam VervoortECSECS, Hana JurikovaECSECS
Orals
| Mon, 15 Apr, 08:30–12:15 (CEST)
 
Room 0.31/32
Posters on site
| Attendance Mon, 15 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Mon, 15 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Orals |
Mon, 08:30
Mon, 16:15
The geological record provides insight into how climate processes operate and evolve in response to different than modern boundary conditions and forcings. Understanding deep-time climate evolution is paramount to progressing on understanding fundamental questions of Earth System feedbacks and sensitivity to perturbations, such as the behaviour of the climate system and carbon cycle under elevated atmospheric CO2 levels—relative to the Quaternary—, or the existence of climatic tipping points and thresholds. In recent years, geochemical techniques and Earth System Models complexity have been greatly improved and several international projects on deep-time climates (DeepMIP, MioMIP, PlioMIP) have been initiated, helping to bridge the gap between palaeoclimate modelling and data community. This session invites work on deep-time climate and Earth System model simulations and proxy-based reconstructions from the Cambrian to the Pliocene. We especially encourage submissions featuring palaeoenvironmental reconstructions, palaeoclimate and carbon cycle modelling, and the integration of proxies and models of any complexity.

Session assets

Orals: Mon, 15 Apr | Room 0.31/32

Chairpersons: Jean-Baptiste Ladant, Pam Vervoort
08:30–08:35
08:35–08:45
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EGU24-8277
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Carbon-cycle modelling and aspects of Phanerozoic climate change
(withdrawn)
Trond H. Torsvik, Dana Royer, Chloe Marcilly, and Stephanie Werner
08:45–08:55
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EGU24-18842
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Yixuan Xie, Daniel Lunt, Paul Valdes, and Fanny Monteiro

Desert dust is a vital component of the Earth's climate system. The climate system regulates dust emission processes, such as sediment availability and wind entrainment, in various ways. Dust modulates the Earth's radiation balance, and wind-carried dust deposition provides essential nutrient iron to land and marine ecosystems.  While dust science is well-developed for the modern and the Quaternary (the last 2.6 Ma), little investigation has been done for the Earth's deep time.

Here, we present for the first time a continuous reconstruction of dust emissions throughout the Phanerozoic era (since 540 Ma ago), simulated by a newly developed dust emission model DUSTY, which is forced by the paleoclimate fields from the General Circulation Model HadCM3L. Our results show how dust emissions fluctuated over time with a stage-level resolution (approximately 5 Ma). We then diagnosed the controls of these fluctuations, highlighting that the non-vegetated area is the main contributor, which is controlled through precipitation levels. The ultimate dominating forcing is the paleogeography changes, whereas CO2 plays a marginal role. We compare our results with sediment evidence and find good agreement. Finally, we present ongoing work investigating further how dust deposition might have impacted ocean production and biogeochemistry through deep-geologic time.

How to cite: Xie, Y., Lunt, D., Valdes, P., and Monteiro, F.: Unveiling the deep-time Earth dust emissions: Modelling and Diagnosing control factors, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-18842, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18842, 2024.

08:55–09:05
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EGU24-12543
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On-site presentation
Maura Brunetti, Charline Ragon, Christian Vérard, Jérôme Kasparian, Hendrik Nowak, and Evelyn Kustatscher

Terrestrial floras underwent major changes across the Permian–Triassic Boundary (PTB), as observed in the distribution of plant fossil assemblages before (Wuchiapingian, Changhsingian) and after (Induan, Olenekian, Anisian) the PTB [1]. While marine animals suffered the most severe mass extinction event at the Permian–Triassic transition, terrestrial plants were marked by extreme shifts in their distribution and composition which can arise when abiotic drivers reach a critical threshold or tipping point [2]. 

Interestingly, using a coupled atmosphere-ocean-sea ice-land configuration of the MIT general circulation model, three alternative climatic states have been found for the Permian–Triassic paleogeography [3], namely a cold state with perennial ice in the northern hemisphere reaching 40°N and global mean surface air temperature (SAT) of 16–18 °C, a hot state without ice and SAT larger than 30 °C, and an intermediate warm state. These states turn out to be stable over a common range of atmospheric CO2 content, thus allowing for hysteresis paths and tipping points in abiotic drivers, such as the global surface air temperature. Through asynchronous coupling with the vegetation model BIOME4, the distribution of the biomes corresponding to each climatic state has been obtained.

Here, we perform a detailed comparison between the biomes corresponding to the alternative climatic states and the distribution of plant fossil assemblages from the Wuchiapingian to the Anisian. For each observed assemblage, the geodetic distance to the closest simulation grid point with the same biome is calculated. This allows us to quantify, through statistical significance tests, the resemblance between the simulated biomes and the observed distribution of plant fossil assemblages, and thus to determine the climatic state which minimizes the mean distance at each geological period. We find a clear signature of climatic shifts from a cold state in the Changhsingian to a hot state in the Olenekian, whereas during the earliest Triassic (Induan) the attribution to a particular climatic state is not univocal, strong climatic oscillations being still present in the aftermath of the PTB.   

References

[1] H. Nowak, C. Vérard, E. Kustatscher, Frontiers in Earth Science 8, 613350 (2020)

[2] E. Schneebeli-Hermann, Frontiers in Earth Science 8, 588696 (2020)

[3] C. Ragon, C. Vérard, J. Kasparian, M. Brunetti, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1808, 2023

 

How to cite: Brunetti, M., Ragon, C., Vérard, C., Kasparian, J., Nowak, H., and Kustatscher, E.: Comparison of plant fossil assemblages across the Permian–Triassic Boundary with simulated biomes in alternative climatic states, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-12543, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-12543, 2024.

09:05–09:15
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EGU24-11229
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Julian Rogger, Emily J. Judd, Benjamin J.W. Mills, Yves Goddéris, Taras V. Gerya, and Loïc Pellissier

Earth’s long-term climate evolution is regulated by feedback mechanisms that keep carbon inputs from geologic reservoirs by magmatic or metamorphic degassing in balance with carbon sink fluxes, such as silicate mineral weathering and organic carbon burial. Abrupt imbalances in the carbon cycle, for example due to the release of carbon during the emplacement of Large Igneous Provinces (LIP), potentially result in catastrophic climatic disruptions, biotic crises, and mass extinctions in the oceans and on land. However, it remains enigmatic what climatic, geologic, and biologic variables determine the resilience of Earth’s compartments to such carbon injections. Here, we evaluate how the evolutionary adaptation and dispersal capacity of terrestrial vegetation affect the temperature anomaly following a massive release of CO2 to Earth’s atmosphere and oceans. To do so, we develop an eco-evolutionary vegetation model that is coupled to a geologic carbon cycle model and a look up structure of intermediate complexity climate simulations, which we apply to different LIP degassing events during the Phanerozoic. In the model, the vegetation’s impact on global carbon fluxes (i.e., organic carbon production and plant-mediated enhancement of silicate rock weathering) depends on the vegetation’s capacity and speed of responding to LIP-induced climatic changes. We observe a strong sensitivity of both, the intensity and duration of climatic changes following a LIP emplacement to the vegetation’s climate adaptation capacity by evolutionary adaptation or by migration in geographic space. The interaction between the continental configuration (e.g., supercontinent vs. distributed continents) and the distribution of dispersal barriers for the terrestrial vegetation further result in the emergence of new, long-term climatic steady states by inducing a new balance between global organic and inorganic carbon fluxes. Modelled trajectories of bio-climatic disruption and recovery agree well with paleotemperature reconstructions from geochemical proxies for selected LIPs. A better understanding of biologically driven climate regulation mechanisms may help to explain unresolved changes in temperature over Earth’s history.

How to cite: Rogger, J., Judd, E. J., Mills, B. J. W., Goddéris, Y., Gerya, T. V., and Pellissier, L.: Vegetation recovery and adaptation shapes the post-Large Igneous Province carbon-climate regulation system, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-11229, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-11229, 2024.

09:15–09:25
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EGU24-18824
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On-site presentation
Chiara Krewer, Benjamin J. W. Mills, Mingyu Zhao, and Simon W. Poulton

The Late Cretaceous is characterized by extreme greenhouse conditions with high temperatures and high atmospheric pCO2 that have been proposed to be directly linked to the emplacement of large igneous provinces (Caribbean and Madagascar LIP). As a result of these extreme conditions, an increase in organic carbon burial has been recorded on a global scale during Oceanic Anoxic Event 2 (OAE2, ~94.5 Ma), which has been linked to amplified continental weathering1,2 and increased marine nutrient availability. However, despite the event being well studied, a model that directly estimates the combined biogeochemical effects of LIP-derived CO2 input – and compares this to the combined geological record –is lacking.

Here we use a new biogeochemical ocean-atmosphere-sediment multi-box model3 which produces a self-consistent estimate of the global C, O, Fe, S and P cycles across the marginal and deep ocean, and we explore the outputs of this model for carbon isotope excursions (CIEs) in carbonates and organic carbon as well as for high and low latitude paleo-sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) under a LIP CO2 degassing scenario for OAE2.

The model results indicate that in order to reproduce both the global SST records and CIEs, the annual rate of volcanic input of CO2 must be higher than the estimated range from previously published research. Furthermore, to reproduce the magnitude of the positive CIEs, the model requires an additional source of bioavailable iron beyond that which is liberated through global weathering enhancement under high CO2. We investigate the possibility that hydrothermal input of Fe to the deep ocean during LIP activity helped boost productivity during OAE2, and suggest that the balance between tectonic inputs of CO2 and limiting nutrients may help explain why some OAEs are accompanied by positive carbon isotope excursions and some by negative excursions.

References:

1 Pogge von Strandmann et al., 2013, Nature Geoscience

2 Nana Yobo et al., 2021, GCA

3 Zhao et al., 2023, Nature Geoscience

How to cite: Krewer, C., Mills, B. J. W., Zhao, M., and Poulton, S. W.: Can CO2 degassing explain the climate and biogeochemical perturbations during Cretaceous OAE2?, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-18824, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18824, 2024.

09:25–09:35
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EGU24-9441
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Qi Cui, Jian Zhang, and Yongyun Hu

Oceanic Anoxic Event 2 (OAE2) is one of the largest disruptions for the global carbon cycle in the mid-Cretaceous, which was linked to global warming and nutrient release from continental weathering. However, their respective contributions to the seafloor anoxia remain unclear. Here we perform transient numerical simulations using an intermediate-complexity Earth system model to study their influences on the mid-Cretaceous OAE2. The modeling results show that global warming due to carbon dioxide degassing could influence the seafloor oxygen contents distinctly through the ocean circulation change, but has a minor influence on the seafloor anoxia during the OAE2. The phosphate due to continental weathering associated with global warming added to the ocean further decreases the seafloor oxygen content, especially leading to the North Atlantic seafloor anoxic area expansion and the anoxia of the Southeastern Pacific Basin. When different continental weathering rates are taken into account, the modeled anoxic area from simulations with an increase of approximately 1.3 to 1.7 times the pre-OAE2 level is comparable with the estimate based on proxies, which tentatively constrains the continental weathering rate during the OAE2. This simulation would enhance our understanding of the intricate biological and geochemical processes in the oceans as the increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations.

How to cite: Cui, Q., Zhang, J., and Hu, Y.: Transient modeling for the ocean redox condition during the mid-Cretaceous oceanic anoxic event 2, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-9441, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-9441, 2024.

09:35–09:45
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EGU24-11818
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Alexa Fischer, Oliver Friedrich, Andre Bahr, Silke Voigt, and Sietske Batenburg

The long-term global cooling trend during the latest Cretaceous was interrupted by an intense global warming episode at ~69 Ma known as the mid-Maastrichtian event (MME). The MME is characterised by two positive 13C excursions with an overall magnitude of 0.6‰ to 1.5‰, separated by a negative inflection. The 13C excursions are accompanied by the extinction of inoceramid bivalves, an abrupt increase in deep-sea and sea-surface temperatures as well as high terrestrial mean annual temperatures between 21 and 23 °C at a paleolatitude of ~35° N. Changes in oceanic circulation, particularly a change in thermohaline circulation patterns, have been suggested to be one of the main drivers of the MME. In this study, we aim to test this hypothesis by the generation of new high-resolution d13C and d18O analyses, Mg/Ca-derived bottom-water temperatures and CaCO3 wt% records from IODP Site U1403 (J-Anomaly Ridge, North Atlantic). Rhythmic variations in these geochemical records reflect an imprint of Earth´s astronomical parameters. Our results point towards a combination of Large Igneous Province (LIP) volcanism and simultaneous changes in deep-ocean circulation as triggers for the MME. For the North Atlantic, we observe an interplay between warmer and colder bottom-waters in combination with CaCO3 dissolution events. This hints toward a switch in bottom-water source regions between a high- and a low-latitude source region, likely controlled by orbital forcing. With the termination of the MME, bottom-water temperatures started to decrease, and the d13C record indicates an abrupt reorganization of the ocean circulation system towards a solely high-latitude North Atlantic source region for bottom-water.

How to cite: Fischer, A., Friedrich, O., Bahr, A., Voigt, S., and Batenburg, S.: Orbitally driven bottom-water dynamics during the Maastrichtian , EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-11818, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-11818, 2024.

09:45–09:55
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EGU24-6581
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Jacob Slawson and Piret Plink-Bjorklund

As the world warms, the Earth system moves towards a climate state without societal precedent. This challenges predictions of the future, as climate models need to be tested and calibrated with real-world data from high carbon dioxide climates. Despite the many advances in climate modeling, predictions of precipitation have particularly high uncertainties. Earth history provides an opportunity to observe how the Earth system responded to high greenhouse gas emissions, enabling us to better predict how it may do so in the future. Here, we compile global terrestrial proxy data from the Early Paleogene (66-49 Ma), a period with a warm climate overprinted by multiple rapid global warming events and suggested as a possible analogue for future worst-case scenarios. We show surprising results in the timing and duration of dramatic shifts in the hydrologic cycle occurring well prior to maximum temperatures and persisting well beyond. We provide a glimpse of an extremely warm Earth with ever-wet or monsoonal conditions in the northern and southern polar regions, and sustained aridity interrupted by extreme rainfall events at mid-latitudes. Our results indicate inconsistencies between proxy data and state-of-the-art paleoclimate models that are commonly used to predict and understand future climate change. Our focus on precipitation intermittency and intensity provides new data on long-term precipitation trends in high greenhouse gas climates to help address large uncertainties in future precipitation trends. A high-resolution focus on mid-latitude proxy data produces trends where some locations become drier during the PETM, while others become wetter, indicating dynamically-driven changes that differ from the “wet-gets-wetter, dry-gets-dryer" thermodynamic response on a regional scale.  

How to cite: Slawson, J. and Plink-Bjorklund, P.: Early Paleogene Climate: A Glimpse of Extreme Warming, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-6581, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-6581, 2024.

09:55–10:15
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EGU24-17106
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ECS
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solicited
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Alexandra Auderset, Anya Hess, Simone Moretti, Daniel Sigman, and Alfredo Martínez-García

The continuous expansion of oxygen-deficient zones (ODZs) poses risks to marine ecosystems and societies dependent on fisheries for income and sustenance. However, the trajectory of this deoxygenation in response to 21st-century climate change remains uncertain. To gain a clearer understanding of future oxygen dynamics and processes leading to deoxygenation, we investigate the response of ODZs during Cenozoic global warming periods in the Miocene and Early Eocene, using a combination of oxygen-sensitive proxies including foraminifer-bound nitrogen isotopes (FB-δ15N) and iodine-to-calcium ratios in planktic foraminifer shells (I/Ca). Our findings reveal contracted, rather than expanded, tropical Pacific ODZs during all studied warm intervals. The increased oxygenation closely aligns with high-latitude warming and reduced meridional sea surface temperature gradients, indicating a climatic driver behind these observed changes. We discuss potential causes for the contraction of ODZs, including (i) diminished wind-driven equatorial upwelling and primary productivity, and/or (ii) increased deep-ocean ventilation. Finally, we compare the behaviour of Pacific vs. Indian Ocean ODZs during the Miocene and investigate potential teleconnections between these two wind-driven ODZs.

How to cite: Auderset, A., Hess, A., Moretti, S., Sigman, D., and Martínez-García, A.: Is the ocean losing its breath? Insights into ocean oxygenation from Cenozoic warm periods., EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-17106, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17106, 2024.

Coffee break
Chairpersons: Yonggang Liu, Hana Jurikova
10:45–11:05
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EGU24-10054
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ECS
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solicited
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Ross Whiteford, James Rae, and Timothy Heaton

Palaeo CO2 concentration data has very variable density across the Cenozoic. Some events (such as the PETM) and intervals (such as glacial-interglacial cycles) are covered by high resolution datasets, whereas at other times the spacing between datapoints is much greater. Because of this variable data density, combining the datapoints into a line describing the evolution of palaeo CO2 usually focusses on either a short interval or on the long term trend (by blurring short term detail). We present a new approach which uses basis splines to produce a Cenozoic CO2 curve. The spline approach allows us to produce a curve which retains details in times where we have the requisite data density without introducing problematic artefacts at times with lower data density. The spline method makes it possible for the first time to produce a single curve which is sensible regardless of the timespan of interest.

How to cite: Whiteford, R., Rae, J., and Heaton, T.: Retaining Detail In Cenozoic CO2 Curves, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-10054, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10054, 2024.

11:05–11:15
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EGU24-10037
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On-site presentation
Gabriel Bowen, Dustin Harper, Jiawei Da, and Julia Kelson

The Paleocene Epoch represents a transitional Earth system state featuring climatic relaxation between the extreme warmth of the Late Cretaceous and Early Eocene. Carbon isotope and sedimentological data have been invoked as evidence for elevated organic carbon burial and CO2 drawdown throughout the early Paleocene, constituting a potential driver of and/or feedback on climate change. Despite this, quantitative proxy reconstructions of Paleocene atmospheric CO2 concentrations have remained sparse, limiting our ability to test hypotheses for the role of carbon cycle change in Paleocene Earth system change.

Here we produce quantitative CO2 reconstructions spanning the Paleocene by combining data from marine (foraminiferal calcite) and terrestrial (pedogenic carbonate) proxy systems. We integrate data from these proxy systems, together with complementary paleo-environmental proxy data, using newly developed proxy system models implemented within the Bayesian Joint Proxy Inversion (JPI) framework. Although each individual proxy system is under-constrained, the combination of information from distinct systems and constraints provided by ancillary data produces a coherent, well-resolved paleo-CO2 reconstruction. The record suggests strong coupling between carbon cycle processes, atmospheric CO2 levels, and climate throughout the Paleocene. Integration of a simple carbon cycle model driven by changing sedimentary organic carbon burial within the JPI analysis provides additional constraints on the CO2 reconstruction and demonstrates that this process is generally consistent with the available proxy evidence.

How to cite: Bowen, G., Harper, D., Da, J., and Kelson, J.: Reassessing Paleocene CO2 and Carbon Cycling using Process-Informed Joint Proxy Inversion, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-10037, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10037, 2024.

11:15–11:25
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EGU24-8512
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Eivind Olavson Straume, Aleksi Nummelin, Victoria Taylor, Anna Nele Meckler, Zijian Zhang, and Zhongshi Zhang

We present new analysis of climate model simulations for the Eocene (~56 – 34 Ma) and investigate the relative role of atmospheric pCO2 and changes in paleogeography on ocean circulation and deep-sea temperatures. The Early Eocene experienced warm greenhouse conditions, followed by cooling towards the Late Eocene, leading to the formation of land-based ice sheets near the Eocene–Oligocene Transition. The cooling was largely controlled by decreasing atmospheric pCO2 but was also likely influenced by changes in ocean circulation caused by paleogeographic changes, including the opening and closing of oceanic gateways. Changes in ocean circulation influence the distribution of heat in the surface ocean but also the storage of heat in the deep ocean and are crucial to account for in order to reproduce the Eocene climatology. Reconstructed deep-sea temperatures can thereby provide crucial benchmark constraints on ocean circulation simulated by climate models.
In this study, we analyze a series of simulations using the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM-F), run with different paleogeographies, pCO2, and realistic oceanic gateway configurations. Our results show that changes in deep sea temperatures caused by CO2 perturbations are sensitive to oceanic gateway configurations and corresponding ocean circulation patterns. Specifically, reducing pCO2 in simulations where the paleogeography allow for an active AMOC yields less changes in mean deep-sea temperature than simulations without AMOC, which show significant mean deep-sea cooling. This is related to changes in ventilation and deep-water formation. The modelled changes vary on regional and basin scale, and we compare the model simulations to new clumped isotope temperature reconstructions from a variety of drill sites in the global ocean with the aim to understand the mechanisms causing the observed deep sea temperature changes.

How to cite: Straume, E. O., Nummelin, A., Taylor, V., Meckler, A. N., Zhang, Z., and Zhang, Z.: The role of paleogeography and CO2 on Eocene deep-sea temperatures: A model-proxy comparison study, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-8512, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-8512, 2024.

11:25–11:35
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EGU24-5006
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Ji Nie and Zhihong Song

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is the dominant variability mode in the North Atlantic region and plays important roles in weather and climate. When did the NAO first emerge in the past, and how did it evolve over geological timescales? To answer these questions, we examined a set of time-slice paleoclimate simulations with varying continental configurations from ~160 million years ago (Ma). We show that the present-day-like NAO mode emerges stably at around 80 Ma when the North Atlantic Ocean is wide enough to form a high-pressure system that separates the North Atlantic jet from the Euro-Asia jet. A set of idealized simulations confirms that a robust NAO mode will emerge when the width of the ocean basin is greater than 40°. This study depicts the evolutionary history of NAO over geological time and reveals the essential nature of NAO and its relationship with topography.

How to cite: Nie, J. and Song, Z.: Origin and Evolution of the North Atlantic Oscillation, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-5006, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5006, 2024.

11:35–11:45
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EGU24-3209
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Michiel Baatsen, Nick van Horebeek, Martin Ziegler, Niels de Winter, Robert Speijer, and Johan Vellekoop

In addition to improving our general understanding of the climate system, the study of past warm climates is often stated relevant due to the possible resemblances to various future scnenarios. The comparison between proxy records and climate model simulations offers opportunities for validation beyond the boundaries of present climatic conditions. Besides their scarcity in both spatial and temporal coverage, existing proxies pre-dating the Pleistocene only provide an integrated signal typically over 1000 years or more. Climate model simulations provide much more data beyond that which can be validated using proxies, that is therefore often not considered in palaeoclimate studies.
A unique opportunity presents itself with a new ultra-high resolution record of the middle Eocene, obtained from the giant marine gastropod Campanile giganteum. Found in the Paris Basin (palaeolatitude 40-45N), these gastropods lived in a shallow marine environment and reached growth rates of over 600mm/year. Well-preserved fossils, in combination with such high growth rates, provide the first record to our knowledge resolving weather-timescale variability in the Eocene.
In this study, we interpret this snapshot of European middle Eocene weather and compare our findings to daily model fields using the CESM 1.0.5. We continued existing 38Ma simulations using 4 times pre-industrial CO2 and CH4, which were shown previously to be a good match with the middle Eocene climate (see: Baatsen et al. 2020, Climate of the Past, doi: 10.5194/cp-16-2573-2020). The proxy record shows distinctly different seasonalities of temperature and salinity over central Europe in the middle Eocene. We can interpret these patterns as indications of a monsoonal climate with notably high variability in summer precipitation. Such a climatic regime is supported by the model, which also shows monsoonal conditions over central Europe as well as northern Africa. The agreement between the proxy record and the simulations, on both seasonal and synoptic scales, thus promotes further interpretation of these model results on an entirely new scale.

How to cite: Baatsen, M., van Horebeek, N., Ziegler, M., de Winter, N., Speijer, R., and Vellekoop, J.: A unique look into European middle Eocene weather; Comparing a new synoptic-scale proxy record to simulated daily conditions., EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-3209, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-3209, 2024.

11:45–11:55
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EGU24-475
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ECS
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On-site presentation
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Hanna Knahl, Gerrit Lohmann, Johann Philipp Klages, Lu Niu, and Paul Gierz

The evolution from greenhouse to icehouse climate during the Eocene-Oligocene Transition (EOT) (~34.4–33.7 Ma) is associated with a drastic cooling of global climate and significant ice sheet build-up. However, extent and location of the such early permanent ice masses are still largely unknown. Here, we coupled the AWI-Earth System Model with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model to draw a bigger picture of the relationship between Antarctic ice sheet presence and global climate dynamics during the EOT and the Early Oligocene Glacial Maximum (EOGM) just afterwards.

Our model results reveal an asymmetric ice sheet cover, and notably, identify a CO2-threshold necessary for initiating marine-terminating ice sheet advance onto West Antarctic continental shelves—one major component in Earth's paleoclimatic puzzle. We identify the Southern Ocean dynamics as a direct result of Southern gateway configurations to be a key driver of East Antarctic ice sheet growth. Our Antarctic climate and vegetation simulations match available proxy data well for this period of fundamental change. Therefore, our new simulations significantly contribute to a much deeper understanding of Antarctic ice sheet growth during the EOT and subsequent EOGM, thereby highlighting the importance of Southern high latitude environmental change for controlling Earth’s climate dynamics.

How to cite: Knahl, H., Lohmann, G., Klages, J. P., Niu, L., and Gierz, P.: Modelled asymmetric Antarctic glaciation during the Eocene-Oligocene Transition, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-475, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-475, 2024.

11:55–12:05
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EGU24-6286
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
R. Paul Acosta, Natalie Burls, Matthew Pound, Catherine Bradshaw, and Sarah Feakins

End-of 21st Century hydroclimate projections suggest an expansion of the subtropical dry zone, with Europe and Northern Africa becoming drier. However, paleoclimate evidence primarily from paleobotanical assemblages from a past warm climate period, the Miocene Climatic Optimum (MCO) ~14-17 Ma, suggests both regions were instead wet and humid environments. Here, we simulate the MCO with the Community Earth System Model (CESM 1.2) forced by compiled sea surface temperature (SST) proxy data that are 5-6°C warmer than Preindustrial in the North Atlantic (NA). Given these boundary conditions, the climate model better matches paleobotanical proxy evidence for wetter continents relative to coupled simulations. The prescribed SST simulations show enhanced ocean evaporation and integrated water vapor flux that overrides any drying effects associated with warming, increasing evaporation on land. The vegetation model (BIOME4) forced by the climatologies from our simulations predicts a mixed forested landscape dominated Europe and Northern Africa during the MCO, with largely consistent paleobotanical evidence. This proxy-model study of MCO climate reveals the potential for wetter Mediterranean climates associated with warming and presents an alternative scenario from future drying projections. The critical difference identified in our MCO simulations is localized SST warming governing regional climate.

How to cite: Acosta, R. P., Burls, N., Pound, M., Bradshaw, C., and Feakins, S.: A wet or dry European and Northern African climate during the Miocene Climatic Optimum, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-6286, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-6286, 2024.

12:05–12:15
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EGU24-13051
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solicited
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Highlight
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Virtual presentation
Yige Zhang, Xiaoqing Liu, Matthew Huber, Ping Chang, and Lei Wang

Evolution of the spatial pattern of ocean surface warming impacts global radiative feedbacks, but different climate models have yielded different estimates of the spatial pattern in future climate change. Paleoclimate data, particularly those from past warm climates can help constrain the future, equilibrium warming pattern. Here, employing a novel regression-based technique, we eliminated the temporal domain in sea surface temperature (SST) over the past 10 million years to reveal the underlying spatial pattern of SST changes during global warming, facilitating direct comparisons between past climate data and present/future climates. Long and globally distributed paleo-SSTs are regressed onto records from the Western Pacific Warm Pool (WPWP), the warmest endmember of the global ocean, and the resulting regression slope is used to quantify the SST change of non-WPWP regions relative to the WPWP. We thereby identify a distinct spatial pattern of amplified warming that aligns with the patterns observed in certain equilibrated model simulations under high CO2 conditions. The agreement between paleoclimate records and model outputs showcases the convergence of efforts to understand Earth's past and predict its future climates. Collectively they help us to define an equilibrium warming pattern that substantially differs from the transient pattern observed over the past 160 years, illuminating our potential future path of “pattern effect” and its impact on global mean surface temperature change.

How to cite: Zhang, Y., Liu, X., Huber, M., Chang, P., and Wang, L.: Connecting warming patterns of the paleo-ocean to our future, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13051, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13051, 2024.

Posters on site: Mon, 15 Apr, 16:15–18:00 | Hall X5

Display time: Mon, 15 Apr 14:00–Mon, 15 Apr 18:00
Chairperson: Yonggang Liu
X5.132
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EGU24-10000
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ECS
From seawater Li isotope records to carbon cycle in deep time-revisiting the hydrothermal control on oceanic Li isotope mass balance
(withdrawn)
Cheng Cao, Yuanfeng Cai, Tianyu Chen, and Jun Chen
X5.133
|
EGU24-6305
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ECS
Johannes Hörner and Aiko Voigt

Waterbelt states are an alternative scenario for Snowball Earth, where a narrow strip of ocean remains ice-free at the equator, providing a robust solution for the survival of life. Recent studies have shown that waterbelt states can be stabilised by subtropical low-level clouds, because they weaken the ice-albedo feedback created by the expanding sea ice beneath the clouds. Thick subtropical clouds are therefore needed to stabilise the waterbelt state.

However, clouds also have the opposite effect over the open ocean equatorward of the ice margin. Here they provide a destabilising cloud feedback that supports the ice-albedo feedback in favour of a Snowball Earth. When sea ice enters the subtropics, this effect becomes particularly strong, as the vertical structure and the phase partitioning of tropical clouds begin to change. As a result, tropical clouds can ultimately determine the stability of the waterbelt state.

Here we show a preliminary analysis of simulations with two versions of the atmospheric ICON model using the same setup, a slab-ocean aquaplanet with a thermodynamic sea-ice model and over a broad range of atmospheric CO2 concentrations. While waterbelt states are easily found in ICON-A, they are absent in ICON-ESM due to a difference in tropical clouds. The tropical cloud feedback will be analysed by means of cloud controlling factors, and simulations with the cloud locking method will be employed to demonstrate the critical role of tropical cloud feedback for waterbelt states. 

How to cite: Hörner, J. and Voigt, A.: Tropical cloud feedback in near-Snowball Earth waterbelt states, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-6305, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-6305, 2024.

X5.134
|
EGU24-16065
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ECS
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Highlight
Antonin Pierron, Guillaume Le Hir, Frédéric Fluteau, Yves Goddéris, and Pierre Maffre

The temporal synchronism between large igneous provinces (LIP) emplacements and mass extinction all along the Phanerozoic reveals a possible link between the two. The release of huge amount of gases during the LIP emplacement is considered to cause major climate and environmental perturbations possibly leading to a biodiversity crisis. However no clear correlation can be drawn between LIP’s properties i.e. the LIP size, the amount of gas released, etc… and the mass extinction severity.

Our primary focus was on investigating the consequences of the Siberian traps emplacement which is considered to be responsible of the end-Permian mass extinction. This biodiversity crisis lead to the disappearance of 90% of the marine species and 75% of the terrestrial species. The Siberian volcanism has produced 3 to 5 millions km3 of magma over a period not exceeding 1 Myr according to U-Pb dating. This volcanism is accompanied by the release of huge amount of gases within the atmosphere, notably CO2 and SO2.
These gases have two sources : the magmatic degassing and the thermogenic degassing generated by the intrusion of magmas in carbonate-rich or evaporite-rich sediments deposited within the Siberian basin. We propose to explicitly model volcanism by considering both short-term and long-term scale processes along the entire LIP emplacement with different scenarios to mimic the sequence of volcanic and thermogenic gas emissions. For this purpose, we employed the biogeochemical model GEOCLIM to simulate the changes of the ocean in term of temperature and pH caused by the LIP emplacement. This approach enables a detailed exploration of the impact of LIP emplacement on the climate and geochemical cycles.

How to cite: Pierron, A., Le Hir, G., Fluteau, F., Goddéris, Y., and Maffre, P.: Modelling the consequences of the Siberian traps, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-16065, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-16065, 2024.

X5.135
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EGU24-12923
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ECS
Julia Campbell and Christopher J. Poulsen

Changes in climate feedback processes drive fluctuations in equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), the measure of global warming associated with a doubling of atmospheric CO2. Warming in different past climates resulted in various responses in ECS that can be explored to further understand how distinct feedbacks and forcings control CO2-induced warming. Previous studies generally agree that ECS increases with increases in the CO2 background state. We investigate this further through simulations of different time slices from ~100 million years ago to present, all run with the same model version. We will use Community Earth System Model (CESM1.2) simulations to study Earth’s response to an increase in CO2 radiative forcing under past greenhouse and icehouse climates. We compare time slices that have differences in geography, vegetation, and ice, which affect feedbacks that drive ECS. We will use slab ocean model and fully-coupled CESM1.2 simulations of the late Cretaceous, early Eocene, late Oligocene, mid Miocene, and preindustrial (PI) all at modern orbital parameters, with greenhouse climate simulations at 840 ppm and 1680 ppm CO2 and icehouse climate simulations at 280 ppm and 560 ppm CO2, in order to compare changes in temperature resulting from changes in albedo, ocean heat flux, and nonlinearities in atmospheric water vapor and cloud feedbacks. We will compare simulations of greenhouse and icehouse climates, past climates to the PI climate, and our CESM1.2 simulations to previously published simulations run on other earth system models, like the Hadley Centre Coupled Model, to study the degree of model-dependence in ECS. Analyzing ECS in past climates, with a control on model version, and comparing differences in climate feedbacks will help constrain the sensitivity of ECS to boundary conditions and the range of ECS through Earth’s history. 

How to cite: Campbell, J. and Poulsen, C. J.: Changes in equilibrium climate sensitivity and associated feedbacks through past greenhouse and icehouse climate simulations, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-12923, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-12923, 2024.

X5.136
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EGU24-11330
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ECS
Siva Kattamuri, André Paul, Friederike Pollmann, Mattias Green, and Michael Schulz

Deep-time climate simulations typically disregard tidal dynamics while trying to reconstruct the paleoclimate. Tidally induced mixing is a dominant part of vertical mixing in the deep ocean, which is key for maintaining ocean stratification and influences the strength of the Meridional Ocean Circulation (MOC). We add this missing tidal mixing component to the Community Earth System Model (CESM) and try to reconstruct the mid-Cretaceous (~90Ma) climate, which is known for its warm, equable climate and low meridional temperature gradient. In the next step, as an improvement over the default tidal mixing scheme, an energetically consistent internal wave model IDEMIX is used in CESM to get the vertical diffusivity coefficients in simulating the mid-Cretaceous climate. 

Initially, 90Ma simulations were performed in the conventional method with enhanced constant background diffusivity coefficients for the default vertical mixing scheme and then with the tidal mixing component enabled. Preliminary results from the simulations with tidal mixing show that there is a considerable reduction in the global ocean mean temperature and a change in the strength of MOC in the deep ocean when compared to the simulations without the tidal mixing component. We will be also presenting results from additional experiments that are being performed with the internal wave model IDEMIX as the tidal mixing parameterization in the model. IDEMIX is forced by the dissipated barotropic tidal energy, which is modelled from the mid-Cretaceous bathymetry. With the IDEMIX parameterization, we expect more realistic results for ocean circulation hoping to reduce the disagreements between proxy data and model simulations.

How to cite: Kattamuri, S., Paul, A., Pollmann, F., Green, M., and Schulz, M.: Modelling the Ocean Circulation during the mid-Cretaceous using an Energetically Consistent Internal Wave Model in the Community Earth System Model, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-11330, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-11330, 2024.

X5.137
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EGU24-19857
Jean-Baptiste Ladant, Jeanne Millot-Weil, Casimir de Lavergne, J. A. Mattias Green, Sébastien Nguyen, and Yannick Donnadieu

Diapycnal mixing in the ocean interior is largely fueled by internal tides. Mixing schemes that represent the breaking of internal tides are now routinely included in ocean and earth system models applied to the modern and future. However, this is more rarely the case in climate simulations of deep-time intervals of the Earth, for which estimates of the energy dissipated by the tides are not always available. Here, we present and analyze two IPSL-CM5A2 earth system model simulations of the Early Eocene made under the framework of DeepMIP. One simulation includes mixing by locally dissipating internal tides, while the other does not. We show how the inclusion of tidal mixing alters the shape of the deep ocean circulation, and thereby of large-scale biogeochemical patterns, in particular dioxygen distributions. In our simulations, the absence of tidal mixing leads to a deep North Atlantic basin mostly disconnected from the global ocean circulation, which promotes the development of a basin-scale pool of oxygen-deficient waters, at the limit of complete anoxia. The absence of large-scale anoxic records in the deep ocean posterior to the Cretaceous anoxic events suggests that such an ocean state most likely did not occur at any time across the Paleogene. This highlights how crucial it is for climate models applied to the deep-time to integrate the spatial variability of tidally-driven mixing as well as the potential of using biogeochemical models to exclude aberrant dynamical model states for which direct proxies do not exist.

How to cite: Ladant, J.-B., Millot-Weil, J., de Lavergne, C., Green, J. A. M., Nguyen, S., and Donnadieu, Y.: Impacts of tidally driven internal mixing in the Early Eocene Ocean, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-19857, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19857, 2024.

X5.138
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EGU24-7232
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ECS
Jianming Qin, Yuan Gao, Xiaojing Du, and Chengshan Wang

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influences the world through its teleconnection. Forced by global warming and rising atmospheric CO2 levels, the evolution of ENSO is still under debate. ENSO records in deep-time greenhouse climates can enhance the understanding of ENSO and its teleconnection under global warming.

This research analyzes Earth System Model (ESM) outputs of Late Cretaceous to show ENSO teleconnection between North Pacific and Mediterranean Climate region of North America (MCNA) under greenhouse gas and paleogeographic forcing. ESM outputs show 2.1-3.2-year ENSO-band cycles in both sea surface temperature (SST) and precipitation in MCNA, which are consistent with records from high-resolution sedimentary archives. The simulated ENSO teleconnection to Late Cretaceous MCNA is more influenced by the Subtropical High than the Aleutian Low. This is thought to be related to paleogeographic forcing, where a closed polar-ward seaway results in a warmer sub-polar Pacific and a more robust Aleutian Low over it. Consequently, under the remote forcing of ENSO, the Subtropical High shifts the Westerlies longitudinally, leading to alterations in both moisture and thermal transportation, which in turn changes the winter precipitation of MCNA.

This study reveals that ENSO teleconnections remain robust under Late Cretaceous greenhouse climates, and in comparison with today, forcing from the subtropics played a more significant role in affecting the evolution of North American climate.

How to cite: Qin, J., Gao, Y., Du, X., and Wang, C.: North Pacific ENSO Teleconnection to Mediterranean Climates of North America in Late Cretaceous Greenhouse, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-7232, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-7232, 2024.

X5.139
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EGU24-7113
Zihan Yin and Ji Nie

Tropical precipitation is profoundly influenced by continental evolution across geological time scales. However, the effects of Australia’s drift on warm pool precipitation remains poorly understood. Using a fully coupled climate model with realistic geography, our results reveal a significant amplification of the seasonal migrations of warm pool precipitation in longitude and latitude due to the equatorward drift of Australia. Notably, the observed feature aligns with paleoclimate simulations over the past 40 million years, highlighting the dominant role of Australia’s drift in comparison to the other continental drifts. This study provides insight into how Australia’s drift has shaped the characteristics of warm pool precipitation over the geological timescales.

How to cite: Yin, Z. and Nie, J.: Australia’s drift as a pacemaker for the seasonal variability of warm pool precipitation, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-7113, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-7113, 2024.

X5.140
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EGU24-5826
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ECS
Dennis Vermeulen, Michiel Baatsen, and Anna von der Heydt

The Eocene-Oligocene Transition is marked by a sudden δ18O excursion occurring in two distinct phases: a precursor event at 34.15±0.04 Ma and the Earliest Oligocene oxygen Isotope Step at 33.65±0.04 Ma. These events signal a shift from the warm Late-Eocene greenhouse climate to cooler conditions, with temperature decreases of 3-5 °C, and the emergence of the first continent-wide Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS). Despite clear evidence from proxy data, general circulation models (GCMs) struggle to replicate this Antarctic transition accurately, failing to capture the shift from warm, ice-free to cold, glaciated conditions. Even with unrealistically low pCO2 levels, Late-Eocene Antarctic summers in GCMs remain too warm and moist for snow or ice to survive. This study evaluates CESM1.0.5 simulations conducted by Baatsen et al. (2020), using a 38 Ma geo- and topographical reconstruction, considering different radiative (4 pre-industrial carbon levels (PIC) and 2 PIC) and orbital (present-day insolation and low Antarctic summer insolation) forcings. The climate is found to be highly seasonal, characterised by hot and wet summers and cold and dry winters. While reduced radiative and summer insolation forcing weaken this seasonality, the persistent atmospheric circulation still impedes ice sheet growth by limiting summer snow survival. For that reason, a new simulation is conducted with regional, moderately-sized ice sheets imposed on the continent, in order to investigate their stability and their influence on the atmospheric circulation. These ice sheets demonstrate self-sustaining and even expansion potential under 2 PIC and low summer insolation conditions. However, correlating resulting temperature and precipitation patterns with proxy data proves challenging, given the absence of terrestrial proxies. Extended simulations with coupled GCM-ISM models are therefore recommended, allowing for more dynamic atmosphere-ice-ocean-vegetation feedback mechanisms and dynamic radiative and orbital forcing.

How to cite: Vermeulen, D., Baatsen, M., and von der Heydt, A.: Response of Late-Eocene warmth to incipient glaciation on Antarctica, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-5826, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5826, 2024.

X5.141
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EGU24-10538
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ECS
Emma Fabre, Jean-Baptiste Ladant, Yannick Donnadieu, and Pierre Sepulchre

The Late Eocene is a period of global cooling and high-latitude tectonic changes culminating in the Eocene Oligocene Transition (34 Ma ago), one of the major climatic shifts of the Cenozoic. Across the Late Eocene, the Earth went from a largely ice-free greenhouse during the early Eocene climatic optimum to an icehouse with the ice sheet inception over Antarctica. This long-term cooling happened simultaneously with a decrease in the atmospheric content in carbon dioxide whose causes are still unclear.

During the same period, marine gateways surrounding Antarctica (Drake Passage and Tasman Gateway) opened and deepened and Atlantic-Artic gateways changed configurations, thereby allowing the onset of oceanic currents such as the circumpolar current isolating Antarctica.

Here, we investigate how coupled changes in the configuration of these gateways may impact oceanic circulation and carbon cycle using climate simulations performed with the IPSL-CM5A2 model, an Earth System Model equipped with the biogeochemical model PISCES. Our reference simulation uses the paleogeography from Poblete et al (2021), based on the paleobathymetry of Straume et al (2020). Several sensitivity experiments with different gateway configurations are then presented and discussed, with specific focus on global ocean circulation changes and implications for the carbon cycle.

How to cite: Fabre, E., Ladant, J.-B., Donnadieu, Y., and Sepulchre, P.: Impact of marine gateways on oceanic circulation and carbon cycle in the Late Eocene, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-10538, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10538, 2024.

X5.142
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EGU24-2334
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ECS
Jinlong Du and Jun Tian

The Cenozoic era reflects a discernible global cooling trend attributed to the prolonged decrease in atmospheric pCO2. Various theories have been proposed to elucidate the mechanisms behind this reduction, with a focus on the substantial carbon exchange between the atmosphere and the global ocean. However, the carbon storage dynamics in the abyssal ocean during the geological past remain enigmatic. Employing a state-of-the-art ocean-biogeochemical model and leveraging recently published paleoceanographic records, this study unveils distinct basin-scale carbon storage patterns in the Pacific and Atlantic in a hypothetical no-Tibetan-Plateau scenario. Through sensitivity experiments, our findings suggest that orographic forcing, specifically the absence of the Tibetan Plateau, may have triggered a significant carbon transition from the Atlantic to the Pacific. This transition appears to be driven by a substantial reorganization of deep ocean overturning circulation. Importantly, this observed phenomenon could be a contributing factor to the long-term reduction in atmospheric pCO2.

How to cite: Du, J. and Tian, J.: Dramatic transition of abyssal oceanic carbon reservoir driven by deep ocean overturning circulation during the Cenozoic, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-2334, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-2334, 2024.

X5.143
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EGU24-11160
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ECS
Erwan Pineau, Yannick Donnadieu, Pierre Maffre, Camille Lique, Thierry Huck, and Jean-Baptiste Ladant

The modern thermohaline circulation in the Atlantic Ocean plays a crucial role in shaping the climates of Europe and North America. It also significantly influences ocean carbon storage and biological productivity through processes such as deep ocean ventilation and nutrient advection. A pivotal element of this intricate circulation system is the deep convection in the North Atlantic, which is essential for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Paleogeographic studies based on data from the Cenozoic era propose that the establishment of this ocean conveyor belt occurred between the Middle Eocene (approximately 48 to 38 million years ago) and the Late Miocene (around 11 to 5 million years ago). This period witnessed significant climate fluctuations, notably exemplified by the Eocene-Oligocene transition (34 million years ago), marked by a sudden global temperature cooling and the emergence of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS). Did these changes have a significant impact on the stability of the North Atlantic Ocean? To address this question, we investigate the mechanisms behind the initiation of deep water in the North Atlantic during the Eocene to Miocene transition, using the Earth System model IPSL-CM5A2. Our Eocene simulation indicates an absence of convective instabilities in the North Atlantic, whereas deep convection is evident in our Miocene simulation, enabling the presence of a proto-Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) cell. In order to investigate the processes triggering North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) initiation under Miocene conditions, we conducted sensitivity tests involving a reduction in atmospheric CO2 concentration from 1,120 ppmv to 560 ppmv and the introduction of AIS for Eocene conditions. Our findings reveal that halving the CO2 concentration and initiating AIS during the Eocene is insufficient to destabilize the water column in the North Atlantic and instigate the formation of NADW. The Eocene paleogeography emerges as a key factor, contributing to an inflow of fresh water into the Atlantic Ocean, resulting in low surface water density. This process reinforces stratification, hindering the onset of convection.

How to cite: Pineau, E., Donnadieu, Y., Maffre, P., Lique, C., Huck, T., and Ladant, J.-B.: Emergence of North Atlantic Deep Water during the Cenozoic: A Tale of Geological and Climatic Forcings, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-11160, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-11160, 2024.

X5.144
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EGU24-7590
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ECS
Jilin Wei

Maintaining global freshwater conservation in climate models is crucial for accurately simulating Earth's hydrological cycle. This property particularly deserves specific attention in the deep-time paleoclimate simulations for the different geographies that changes the river route to the ocean. Changes in the volume of runoff directly exert significant impact on the ocean circulation. Large uncertainties in paleo-topography causes the uncertainties in runoff, but the latter receives less attention in the model simulations. To investigate the effects of the uncertainties on the model simulations, climate simulations of the Pre-Industrial (PI) and the Middle Miocene Climatic Optimum (MMCO) are compared by two sets of experiments —— freshwater conservative and non-conservative experiments that with sufficient and insufficient runoff import to the ocean model, respectively. Responses of the differences between the MMCO and the PI to the runoff changes are investigated. For the mean state, large qualitive and quantitative differences appear in the North Atlantic. Compared to the non-conservative experiments, the conservative experiments show the reduced salinity in the North Atlantic and collapsed Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), in contrast to the high salinity distribution and much strong AMOC in the non-conservative experiments. These differences lead to the discrepancies in volume transport through the oceanic seaway, as well as contribute to the temperature, sea ice and surface albedo changes in different amplitude in the North Atlantic. Although the climatic variabilities are affected by the runoff changes, enhanced Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and reduced El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are simulated in the MMCO regardless of the quality of freshwater conservation. Besides, the MMCO simulations show that the intensity of the Asian monsoon is greater in the South Asia and lower in the East Asia compared to PI. The study suggests that runoff changes have great effect on the climate change in the North Atlantic and need extra attention in the paleoclimate study.

How to cite: Wei, J.: Effects of Runoff Changes on the Climate Simulations of the Middle Miocene Climate Optimum, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-7590, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-7590, 2024.

X5.145
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EGU24-988
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ECS
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Trusha Naik, Agatha de Boer, Helen Coxall, Natalie Burls, Catherine Bradshaw, Yannick Donnadieu, Alexander Farnsworth, Amanda Frigola, Nicholas Herold, Matthew Huber, Pasha Karami, Gregor Knorr, Allegra LeGrande, Daniel Lunt, Matthias Prange, and Yurui Zhang

During the Miocene epoch (~23-5 Ma), the Earth experienced a notably warmer climate, with global surface temperatures ranging approximately 4°C to 8°C higher than pre-industrial levels, accompanied by atmospheric CO2 concentrations in the range of 400-800 ppm. Throughout this period, tropical ocean gateways underwent constriction or closure, while high-latitude gateways expanded. These developments likely played a pivotal role in shaping the modern ocean circulation structure, with strong bipolar hemispheric overturning in the Atlantic, although the precise mechanisms remain poorly understood. This study explores Miocene ocean circulation through an opportunistic climate model intercomparison (MioMIP1), encompassing 14 simulations that use different paleogeographies, CO2 levels, and vegetation distributions. A consistent feature across all models is the fresher-than-modern Arctic and a resulting increased freshwater export to the North Atlantic. Consequently, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) appears markedly weaker than its modern counterpart in all simulations, ranging from approximately 1 to 16 Sv. However, there is no discernible correlation between the transport of Arctic freshwater to the Atlantic and the strength of the AMOC across the simulations. Similarly, contrary to earlier suggestions, our analysis reveals that neither Panama nor the Tethys gateway exerts a consistent impact on circulation across the simulations. This implies that the influence of these three straits on circulation dynamics also depends on other factors such as background palaeogeography, CO2 levels, vegetation, or model physics and requires further study. In three out of the 13 simulations, deep overturning in the North Pacific (PMOC) is observed, ranging from approximately 5 to 10 Sv. Notably, in the North Atlantic, the simulations with a higher salinity have a stronger AMOC, and although this is not observed as distinctly in the North Pacific, the simulations with a PMOC exhibit a reduced salinity contrast between the North Pacific and North Atlantic and highlight the salinity feedback in play. A proto-AMOC appears to be developing in most of the simulations, albeit weak. This indicates that while the AMOC began to take shape during the Miocene, it likely attained its modern strength during the late Miocene.

How to cite: Naik, T., de Boer, A., Coxall, H., Burls, N., Bradshaw, C., Donnadieu, Y., Farnsworth, A., Frigola, A., Herold, N., Huber, M., Karami, P., Knorr, G., LeGrande, A., Lunt, D., Prange, M., and Zhang, Y.: Opportunistic Model Intercomparison of the Miocene Ocean Circulation – MioMIP1, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-988, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-988, 2024.

X5.146
|
EGU24-4920
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ECS
Yifan Ding, Jun Tian, and Jilin Wei

The Indo-Pacific warm pool plays a crucial role in regulating heat and water vapor exchange between low and high latitudes. Since the late Miocene epoch, the tectonic evolution of the Indonesian seaway, particularly its gradual closure, has controlled the development of the Indo-Pacific warm pool, leading to altered current patterns between the western Pacific and eastern Indian Oceans. Reconstructed palaeoceanographic records along with numerical simulation experiments have revealed that during the Pliocene period, there was a shift in water source for Indonesian throughflow from high temperature and high salinity South Equatorial Pacific waters to low temperature and low salinity North Equatorial Pacific waters. The closure of the Indonesian Seaway may have shifted the atmospheric convective center from the east Indian Ocean to the West Pacific Ocean, leading to the gradual strengthening of the Western Pacific Warm Pool while reducing surface temperatures and subsurface salinity in the eastern Indian Ocean. The synchronous evolution between the Indonesian Seaway closure and the throughflow not only impacts arid climates in northwest Australia and East Africa but also reduces heat transport towards higher latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere. Previous studies have indicated that changes in meridional heat transport caused by the closure of the Indonesian seaway may contribute to the formation of the Arctic ice sheet; however, further study of the influence of this process and the degree of influence is still weak.

Here, we analyzed the Mg/Ca ratio of surface and subsurface foraminifera shells of ODP (Ocean Drilling Program) sites 807 and 762 in the western Equatorial Pacific and Eastern Indian Ocean, and reconstructed changes in Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and Thermocline Water Temperature (TWT) between 6-3.8Ma. It was observed that ODP site 807 experienced a rise in surface water temperature from 5.2 to 4.9Ma, while ODP site 762 witnessed a drop in surface seawater temperature during this period. Additionally, both sites exhibited a deepening thermocline between 5-4.5Ma. These findings indicate that there was a contraction of the Indonesian seaway during 5.2-4.9Ma, leading to warm water accumulation within the Western Pacific Warm Pool, which subsequently increased surface water temperature in this region while decreasing it in the eastern Indian Ocean, thereby strengthening the Western Pacific Warm Pool. We performed a group of numerical simulation sensitivity experiments on the opening and closing of the Indonesian Seaway. The results showed that when the Indonesian Seaway is closed, the sea surface temperature of the Pacific Ocean and the Indian Ocean will both increase. However, for the subsurface layer, the temperature of the subsurface water in the Pacific Ocean increased, while that of the Indian Ocean decreased. At the same time, the West Pacific Warm Pool strengthening caused by the closure of the Indonesian Seaway was observed clearly.

Keywords: Indonesian Seaway, Indonesian Throughflow, Indo-Pacific Warm Pool, Mg/Ca ratio.

How to cite: Ding, Y., Tian, J., and Wei, J.: Upper ocean temperature change caused by the closing of the Indonesian Seaway from the late Miocene to early Pliocene, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4920, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4920, 2024.

X5.147
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EGU24-4363
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ECS
Siqi Li, Xu Zhang, Yong Sun, Øyvind Lien, Berit Hjelsturn, Christian Stepanek, Evan Gowan, and Yongqiang Yu

A long-standing challenge for mid-Pliocene climate simulations is large underestimation of simulated surface warming in the Nordic Seas in comparison to sea surface temperature (SST) proxy records (Dowsett et al., 2013; McClymont et al., 2020). Previous modelling studies have proposed that geographic changes in the Barents-Kara Sea are of great importance for surface temperature change in the Nordic Seas (Hill, 2015). That is, changing the Barents Sea from a marine to a subaerial setting can give rise to evident warming in the Nordic Seas (Hill, 2015). Nevertheless, this geographic change has so far not been well considered in the Pliocene Modelling Intercomparison Project (Dowsett et al., 2016; Haywood et al., 2016 a, b), potentially due to the lack of quantitative reconstruction of this paleogeographic change. Recently, Lien et al. (2022) provided such reconstruction, which enables a test of the impact of a subaerial Barents Sea on mid-Pliocene climate. Based on iCESM1.2, we accordingly conducted sensitivity experiments where we changed bathymetry in the eastern Nordic Sea and topography in the Barents-Kara Sea region in a setup of otherwise unaltered PRISM4 mid-Pliocene boundary conditions. We demonstrate that the sea surface temperatures were warmer than pre-industrial values and Nordic Seas had warmed significantly. Our results hint that a subaerial Barents-Kara Sea might contribute to the data-model SST mismatch during the mid-Pliocene.

References:

Dowsett, H., Dolan, A., Rowley, D., Moucha, R., Forte, A. M., Mitrovica, J. X., . . . Haywood, A. (2016). The PRISM4 (mid-Piacenzian) paleoenvironmental reconstruction. Climate of the Past, 12(7), 1519-1538. doi:10.5194/cp-12-1519-2016

Dowsett, H. J., Foley, K. M., Stoll, D. K., Chandler, M. A., Sohl, L. E., Bentsen, M., . . . Zhang, Z. S. (2013). Sea Surface Temperature of the mid-Piacenzian Ocean: A Data-Model Comparison. Scientific Reports, 3. doi:ARTN 2013 10.1038/srep02013

Haywood, A. M., Dowsett, H. J., & Dolan, A. M. (2016). Integrating geological archives and climate models for the mid-Pliocene warm period. Nature Communications, 7. doi:ARTN 1064610.1038/ncomms10646

Haywood, A. M., Dowsett, H. J., Dolan, A. M., Rowley, D., Abe-Ouchi, A., Otto-Bliesner, B., . . . Salzmann, U. (2016). The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP) Phase 2: scientific objectives and experimental design. Climate of the Past, 12(3), 663-675. doi:10.5194/cp-12-663-2016

Hill, D. J. (2015). The non-analogue nature of Pliocene temperature gradients. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 425, 232-241. doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2015.05.044

Lien, O. F., Hjelstuen, B. O., Zhang, X., & Sejrup, H. P. (2022). Late Plio-Pleistocene evolution of the Eurasian Ice Sheets inferred from sediment input along the northeastern Atlantic continental margin. Quaternary Science Reviews, 282. doi:ARTN 10743310.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107433

McClymont, E. L., Ford, H. L., Ho, S. L., Tindall, J. C., Haywood, A. M., Alonso-Garcia, M., . . . Zhang, Z. S. (2020). Lessons from a high-CO2 world: an ocean view from ∼ 3 million years ago. Climate of the Past, 16(4), 1599-1615. doi:10.5194/cp-16-1599-2020

How to cite: Li, S., Zhang, X., Sun, Y., Lien, Ø., Hjelsturn, B., Stepanek, C., Gowan, E., and Yu, Y.: Global impacts of a subaerial Barents Sea on the mid-Pliocene climate, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4363, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4363, 2024.

X5.148
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EGU24-4931
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ECS
Ning Tan, Huan Li, Zhongshi Zhang, Haibin Wu, Gilles Ramstein, Yong Sun, Zhilin He, Baohuang Su, Zijian Zhang, and Zhengtang Guo

The tectonically induced closure/constriction of the Central American Seaway (CAS) and Indonesian Seaway (Indo) during the early to mid-Pliocene has been associated with many climatic events, such as the onset of Northern Hemisphere glaciation, the intensification of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) and Australian aridification. However, studies on how the closure/constriction of tropical seaways affects the tropical climate system are still sparse and not systematic. Previous studies have linked the constriction of Indo to the aridification over East Africa and discussed the role of CAS closure in affecting the moisture supply over South America, but the underlying mechanism and combined effect of both tropical seaways are not well studied. In this study, we evaluate the impacts of tropical seaways' closure/constriction and distinguish the relative roles of CAS and Indo on climate in tropical Africa and South America using the NorESM-L Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model (AOGCM) and a dynamic vegetation model (LPJ-GUESS). Our results show that the closure of the CAS leads mainly to aridification in northeastern Brazil, resulting in an expansion of tropical xerophytic shrubland and savanna in this region. The narrowing of the Indo mainly leads to enhanced aridification in eastern tropical Africa and reduces the extent of tropical forests in eastern and northern tropical Africa, which is generally consistent with the data. The closure/narrowing of the two tropical seaways results in a superposition of the individual seaway's effect, particularly over the northeastern Brazil region, which exhibits enhanced aridification compared to the closure of the individual CAS. The seaways’ changes are shown to be pivotal for the evolution of climate and vegetation over East Africa and northeastern South America to contemporary conditions.

How to cite: Tan, N., Li, H., Zhang, Z., Wu, H., Ramstein, G., Sun, Y., He, Z., Su, B., Zhang, Z., and Guo, Z.: Influence of Tropical Seaways on the Climate and Vegetation in Tropical Africa and South America , EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4931, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4931, 2024.

X5.149
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EGU24-9688
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ECS
Martin Renoult and Agatha de Boer

The Langhian (15.98 - 13.82 Ma) was a stage of the mid-Miocene characterized by higher atmospheric CO2 concentrations than modern days and substantially warmer surface temperatures. The mid-Miocene has garnered growing attention as a potential analog for future climate change. Several climate models have assessed the influence of CO2 and geography on the Miocene warmth. In this study, we simulated the Langhian using a new unpublished paleogeography. This configuration notably features shallower and narrower access to the Arctic Ocean than has been previously documented. Despite CO2 concentrations equivalent to three times the pre-industrial levels (840 ppm) and the absence of ice sheets, we observe persistent sea ice in the Arctic Ocean and cooling of the Northern Atlantic Ocean. This cooling is related to the collapse of the Atlantic meridional ocean circulation. Conversely, a robust Pacific meridional ocean circulation emerges, which is less frequently observed in Miocene simulations. We investigate the reasons behind such behavior, by notably widening and deepening the Fram Strait; forcing a fixed, warmer vegetation; using a more recent atmospheric model with improvement to the physics. These adjustments underscore the critical role of geography in achieving an accurate simulation of the Miocene and facilitating more precise data-model comparisons.

How to cite: Renoult, M. and de Boer, A.: Sensitivity of mid-Miocene simulations to different continental configurations, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-9688, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-9688, 2024.

X5.150
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EGU24-11853
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ECS
Noah Kravette, Ran Feng, and Michelle Dvorak

Past climate states hold valuable insights into future climate change. Among those states, mid-Pliocene (3.3 - 3.0 Ma) is often studied as an important analog to near future climate change following an intermediate warming pathway. This time interval featured topography and geography like present-day, yet with retreated polar ice sheets and expanded boreal forests, potentially reflecting equilibrium earth system responses to CO2 forcing at a centennial to millennial time scale.  

Despite the prolific research on Pliocene climate, little is known about the amount of radiative forcing, especially from changing boundary conditions, that drives the Pliocene climate. Existing constraints mainly focused on well-mixed greenhouse gases and aerosols. Here, we applied the methodology commonly used to quantify radiative forcing of future climate and its sources to constrain radiative forcing of the mid-Pliocene climate using three generations of Community Earth System Models (CCSM4, CESM1.2, and CESM2).   

To calculate ERF, the difference in net top of the atmosphere radiative fluxes is computed between a pre-industrial control and a mid-Pliocene simulation. Both are carried out with prescribed pre-industrial sea surface temperature. The three mid-Pliocene simulations separately feature a 400 ppm CO2 (the level of mid-Pliocene), mid-Pliocene geography and topography, and mid-Pliocene ice and vegetation. Changing atmospheric temperature, water vapor, surface albedo, and clear vs total sky radiative fluxes are further extracted from these simulations to calculate radiative adjustments with published radiative kernels for CESM.  

In our preliminary results with CESM1.2, we found that ERF is 1.754 W m-2 for CO2 forcings, 1.143 W m-2 for vegetation and ice sheet forcing, and -0.339 W m-2 for geographic and topographic forcing. Further, ERF from boundary condition changes mostly arises from changing surface albedo with 1.626 W m-2 for vegetation and ice sheet changes and –0.54 W m-2 for geographic and topographic changes respectively. Radiative adjustments from water vapor responses tend to amplify the instantaneous forcing with the most profound effect induced by vegetation and ice sheet changes. These results underscore the importance of constraining radiative forcing from changes in boundary conditions, which is potentially key to understanding drivers of past climate warmth and inter-model spread in simulated past climate states.  

How to cite: Kravette, N., Feng, R., and Dvorak, M.: Exploring Radiative Forcing from Pliocene Boundary Conditions and CO2, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-11853, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-11853, 2024.