EGU25-15061, updated on 15 Mar 2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-15061
EGU General Assembly 2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Poster | Thursday, 01 May, 16:15–18:00 (CEST), Display time Thursday, 01 May, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X4, X4.62
OceanRep: A Foundation Model for Ocean Dynamics
Kacper Nowak1, Nikolay Koldunov1, Thomas Jung1, Sergey Danilov1, Christian Lessing2, and Ilaria Luise3
Kacper Nowak et al.
  • 1Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Climate dynamics, Germany (kacper.nowak@awi.de)
  • 2Otto-von-Guericke Universität, ECMWF
  • 3CERN

OceanRep proposes a novel AI foundation model for ocean dynamics, a cornerstone for understanding and predicting climate change. Inspired by the success of AtmoRep, a deep learning model for atmospheric dynamics, OceanRep seeks to extend this framework to the ocean. In order to leverage transformer models and large-scale, multi-resolution oceanographic data (e.g., from ocean model FESOM2), the design is based on vision transformers, modified to handle four-dimensional data represented by space-time tokens, and with a U-net-type backbone to capture intricate interactions within the ocean system. For pre-training, BERT-style masking is used.

Preliminary results demonstrate OceanRep's ability to generate skillful week scale forecasts using data from a 1-degree resolution FESOM2 simulation. Ultimately, the project aims to create a robust model capable of simulating ocean and sea ice dynamics over decades. This will allow for extensive numerical experimentation and rapid generation of accurate "what-if'' scenarios. These capabilities hold immense value for climate adaptation strategies, policy development, and scientific exploration of the intricate dynamics governing the Earth system.

How to cite: Nowak, K., Koldunov, N., Jung, T., Danilov, S., Lessing, C., and Luise, I.: OceanRep: A Foundation Model for Ocean Dynamics, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-15061, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-15061, 2025.