EGU25-21681, updated on 15 Mar 2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-21681
EGU General Assembly 2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
PICO | Thursday, 01 May, 11:12–11:14 (CEST)
 
PICO spot 3, PICO3.12
How many strong-wind high-water days will come in the next ten years?
Leonard Borchert and Daniel Krieger
Leonard Borchert and Daniel Krieger
  • CEN, Universität Hamburg, Germany

Where water meets German land, strong winds often push water towards the land, causing high water. Knowing if these high-water days will happen more or less often in the next few years would help people to be ready for them. The ways we already use to know about what will come don't understand small enough areas to help people be ready for high water. To make this better, we use computer learning to couple highs and lows in the air to high and low water days at three places where water meets land: Cuxhaven, Esbjerg, and Delfzijl. Our computer can then turn knowing how the air will change in the next ten years into knowing how high water in one place will change in the next ten years. We check how good this works and find that knowing what will come works better for many years together than for a single year, as it works better for the highest water days and numbers of high-water days than for the time for which high water happens

How to cite: Borchert, L. and Krieger, D.: How many strong-wind high-water days will come in the next ten years?, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-21681, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-21681, 2025.