EGU25-6883, updated on 14 Mar 2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-6883
EGU General Assembly 2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oral | Friday, 02 May, 11:37–11:47 (CEST)
 
Room 0.14
The role of Rossby wave dynamics in spatially compounding heatwaves in mid-summer 2023
Caihong Liu1, Vera Melinda Galfi1, Fenying Cai2, Walter A. Robinson3, and Dim Coumou1,4
Caihong Liu et al.
  • 1Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Institute the Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Water and Climate Risk, Netherlands (c.liu@vu.nl)
  • 2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
  • 3Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina
  • 4Department of Weather and Climate models, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands

In July 2023, a series of heat extremes hit the North Hemisphere, which posed threats to the high-risk population and societal infrastructure in Eastern Canada, the Mediterranean, and Central Asia. Here we identify a dynamical linkage behind the spatiotemporal compounding nature of heatwaves over the three regions. However, it remains unclear whether these record-shattering extremes were amplified by specific recurrent atmospheric teleconnection patterns. By investigating the 2023 case and conducting historical analysis, we show that the Northern Hemispheric concurrent heatwaves in July 2023 were attributed to a recurrent wave-6 pattern. In particular, pre-existing warmth and drought over Eastern Canada in early-July intensified the wave-6 teleconnection; which then led to extreme heatwaves over the Mediterranean and Central Asia in mid-July 2023. Furthermore, we reveal that the wave train was generated by early-July convection over the northern subtropical Pacific together with the lowest May snow cover over North America in the past 40 years helped to warm Eastern Canada. Multiple models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 can also simulate those compound extremes connected by the wave-6 pattern with a high inter-model agreement. Our research offers insights into record-breaking compounding heatwaves in disparate parts of world during the mid-summer of 2023, with implications for disaster decision-making and risk management.

How to cite: Liu, C., Galfi, V. M., Cai, F., Robinson, W. A., and Coumou, D.: The role of Rossby wave dynamics in spatially compounding heatwaves in mid-summer 2023, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-6883, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-6883, 2025.