- 1University of Edinburgh, School of GeoSciences, Edinburgh, United Kingdom of Great Britain – England, Scotland, Wales (iris.vanzelst@ed.ac.uk)
- 2Institut Supérieur de l'Aéronautique et de l'Espace/SUPAERO, Toulouse University, Toulouse, France
- 3Department of Earth Sciences, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy
- 4Institute of Planetary Research, German Aerospace Center (DLR), Berlin, Germany
- 5Department of Geosciences, University of Padova, Padova, Italy
- 6Department of Earth Sciences, Utrecht University, The Netherlands
- 7GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
- *A full list of authors appears at the end of the abstract
Venus is often called Earth’s sister planet due to its similar size and mass. Apart from that, however, the two planets are wildly different, with surface temperatures on Venus that easily melt lead and a Venusian surface pressure that is almost a hundred times larger than that of Earth. Additionally, Venus is completely covered in clouds; obscuring its surface and shrouding the entire planet in mystery.
How did the observed topographic features form? Is there still some form of tectonics ongoing? Are there earthquakes - or indeed: venusquakes?
These are just a few of the questions that Venus scientists would love to know the answer to. Luckily, several planetary missions will explore Venus in the coming decade. Focusing on tectonics, volcanism, and Venus’ atmosphere, missions like EnVision, VERITAS, and DAVINCI will likely provide rich new datasets to start answering the multitude of questions we have about Venus’ current and past state.
Until then, modelling is a useful tool to gain a first-order understanding of the physical processes on Venus. In addition, models can be used to make predictions and end-member hypotheses that can be directly tested by the upcoming missions.
To gain first insights on how the observed rifting structures on the Venusian surface could have formed, we adapted 2-D thermomechanical numerical models of continental rifting on Earth to Venus-like environments. Our results show that a strong crustal rheology such as dry diabase is needed to localise strain and develop rifts under the high surface temperature and pressure of Venus. Models with different crustal thicknesses fit the topography profiles of the Ganis and Devana Chasmata well, indicating that the differences in these rift features on Venus might be due to different crustal thicknesses.
The rifts of Venus are potentially still seismically active and so could the fold belts and a subset of the coronae be. Scaling the seismicity of the Earth to Venus by identifying potential analogues for different tectonic settings, allowed us to provide several end-member estimates of the potential seismicity on Venus. Our most realistic estimate for a moderately active Venus results in a prediction of a few thousand venusquakes with magnitude 4 or higher per Earth year.
To assess the feasibility of measuring this seismicity with future missions, we estimated the seismic wave detectability of different ground-based, atmospheric, and orbital techniques. Airglow imagers, which can measure seismic wave patterns in the airglow of the upper atmosphere from orbit, appear to be the most promising technique due to their long mission duration, although they are limited to detecting larger magnitude events.
In summary, since we are faced with many unknowns when it comes to Venus, this interdisciplinary approach that combines modelling aspects from both geodynamics and seismology and integrates observational techniques is the way forward to exploring the tectonics and seismicity of Venus and unravel the mysteries of this planet.
Raphaël F. Garcia, Institut Supérieur de l'Aéronautique et de l'Espace/SUPAERO, Toulouse University, Toulouse, France; Julia Maia, Institute of Planetary Research, German Aerospace Center (DLR), Berlin, Germany; Barbara De Toffoli, Department of Geosciences, University of Padova, Padova, Italy; Ana-Catalina Plesa, Institute of Planetary Research, German Aerospace Center (DLR), Berlin, Germany; Krystyna Smolinski, Institute of Geophysics, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland; Richard Ghail, Royal Holloway, University of London, Egham, UK; Anna Horleston, School of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK; Anna J. P. Gülcher, Center for Space and Habitability, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; Taichi Kawamura, Université Paris Cité, Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, CNRS, Paris, France; Sara Klaasen, Institute of Geophysics, Department of Earth Sciences, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland; Maxence Lefevre, LATMOS/IPSL, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France; Philippe Lognonné, Université Paris Cité, Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, CNRS, Paris, France; Sven Peter Näsholm, Department of Informatics, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway; Celine Solberg, University of Oslo, Oslo Norway; Quentin Brissaud, NORSAR, Kjeller, Norway; Mark Panning, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA; Leah Sabbeth, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA; Simon Stähler, Institute of Geophysics, Department of Earth Sciences, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland; Fabio Crameri, International Space Science Institute, Bern, Switzerland
How to cite: van Zelst, I., Garcia, R. F., Regorda, A., Maia, J., De Toffoli, B., Plesa, A.-C., Thieulot, C., Erdős, Z., and Buiter, S. and the ISSI team #566 - Seismicity on Venus: Prediction & Detection: Exploring the tectonics and seismicity of Venus , EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-6949, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-6949, 2025.
