EGU25-7046, updated on 14 Mar 2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-7046
EGU General Assembly 2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oral | Tuesday, 29 Apr, 09:25–09:35 (CEST)
 
Room E2
Significant and Widespread Decline of the Observed Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Qianjiang Xing1, Shane Elipot1, William Johns1, David Smeed2, Ben Moat2, Matthias Lankhorst3, and John Loder4
Qianjiang Xing et al.
  • 1Department of Ocean Sciences, Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA
  • 2National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom
  • 3Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
  • 4Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Dartmouth, Nova Scotia, Canada

Despite numerous model-based analyses indicating a significant decline in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in recent decades, robust, long-term evidence from multi-latitudinal in-situ observations remains limited. This study analyzes observational data from four mooring arrays, positioned along the western boundary of the North Atlantic (from 42.5°N to 16.5°N), to produce time series of the deep western boundary contribution to AMOC below and relative to 1000 m. Comparisons of such a transport time series at 26.5°N at the Rapid-MOCHA array confirms the viability of using the deep western boundary contribution transport to represent long-term trends and interannual variability of the AMOC. Overall, we detect linear trends of the deep overturning transports at all four latitudes, corresponding to a meridionally widespread decline of the AMOC over the past 20 years.

How to cite: Xing, Q., Elipot, S., Johns, W., Smeed, D., Moat, B., Lankhorst, M., and Loder, J.: Significant and Widespread Decline of the Observed Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-7046, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-7046, 2025.