EGU25-8468, updated on 14 Mar 2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-8468
EGU General Assembly 2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
PICO | Tuesday, 29 Apr, 16:30–16:32 (CEST)
 
PICO spot 3, PICO3.2
Attribution in action: Causal chains in climate litigation
Noah Walker-Crawford1, Nicholas Petkov1, Joy Reyes1, and Rupert Stuart-Smith2
Noah Walker-Crawford et al.
  • 1London School of Economics and Political Science, Grantham Research Institute, United Kingdom of Great Britain – England, Scotland, Wales (n.walker-crawford@lse.ac.uk)
  • 2University of Oxford

Climate change attribution science describes with increasing precision how anthropogenic activities are affecting environments around the world. In legal disputes over corporations' and governments' responsibility for climate change, attribution science plays a key role in evaluating defendants' contribution to climate change impacts. This paper examines how attribution science is used to establish causal chains in climate litigation. While scientific methodologies are advancing rapidly, questions remain over how legal standards of proof should be applied to the evidence. If ongoing cases are successful in using attribution science to establish legal causation, they could set significant precedents for holding major greenhouse gas emitters to account.

How to cite: Walker-Crawford, N., Petkov, N., Reyes, J., and Stuart-Smith, R.: Attribution in action: Causal chains in climate litigation, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-8468, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-8468, 2025.