- 1University of Basilicata, Macchia Romana, School of Engineering, Potenza, Italy
- 2Space Technologies and Application Centre, Potenza, Italy
- 3Institute of Methodologies for Environmental Analysis of the National Research Council, Tito Scalo (PZ), Italy
- 4Department of Architecture, Built Environment and Construction Engineering, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy
- 5Aerospace Lucan Cluster, Potenza, Italy
Robust Satellite Techniques applied to long-term satellite TIR (Thermal InfraRed) radiances have
been, since more than 25 years, employed to identify those anomalies (in the spatial/temporal
domain) possibly associated to the occurrence of major earthquakes.
The results until now achieved by processing multi-annual (more than 10 years) time series of TIR
satellite images collected in different continents and seismic regimes, showed that more than 67%
of all identified (space-time persistent) anomalies occur in the pre-fixed space-time window around
the occurrence time and location of earthquakes (M≥4), with a false positive rate smaller than 33%.
Moreover, Molchan error diagram analysis gave a clear indication of non-casualty of such a
correlation, in comparison with the random guess function.
After the most comprehensive test performed over Greece, Italy, Turkey and Japan, here, we will
critically discuss the preliminary results achieved over California by applying RST analyses to
long-term series of GOES-17 radiances.
How to cite: Colonna, R., Filizzola, C., Genzano, N., Lisi, M., Mancusi, I., Pietrapertosa, C., and Tramutoli, V.: Recent achievements on the application of Robust Satellite Techniques to the short-term seismic hazard forecast, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-8652, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-8652, 2025.
