Climate services have a well-recognised potential to support decision makers in adapting and coping to extreme weather events, climate variability and change. In this context, predictions on sub-seasonal and seasonal-to-decadal timescales (i.e., horizons ranging from months to decades) are essential. Recent decades have seen significant advances towards forecasting systems that can deliver tangible impact to water sectors such as water supply, energy production and agriculture, empowering decision makers in taking climate-smart decisions.
Despite these advances, crossing the last-mile in climate services remains a challenge, and barriers remain to actual uptake and use. These include the lack of understanding of end-user needs and the options end-users have to respond; limited understanding of the decision-making processes of users, and a poor recognition of the local knowledge they hold. In parallel to advancing the science that underpins these services, this calls for more human-centred approaches and the integration of local and traditional knowledges within climate services co-creation to foster uptake and use.
This session aims to cover research and operational advances in climate services for predicting water availability that are useful, usable, and also used to support decision-making in water sectors. It welcomes, without being restricted to, presentations on:
• Advances in sub-seasonal, seasonal and decadal hydrological predictions of water availability, including through process-based, data-driven, machine learning and hybrid methods; seamless forecasting techniques.
• Hydro-climate forecasts and projections, including hydrological extremes, downscaling, bias correction, temporal disaggregation and spatial interpolation;
• Impact-based assessments of forecasts for decision-making; and perspectives on forecast value for end-users.
• Action-based, multi-disciplinary research; engagement and co-creation of climate services with local stakeholders and communities; and integration of local knowledge to foster uptake.
We encourage presentations that have demonstrable impacts through improved uptake of advanced services, leading to better preparedness for climate extremes and adaptation to climate change for water resources management, drinking water supply, transport, energy production, agriculture, disaster risk reduction, forestry, health, insurance, tourism and infrastructure.
Sub-seasonal predictions to climate projections of water availability: From scientific advances in climate services that are useful to local knowledge integration in climate services
Convener:
Tim aus der Beek
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Co-conveners:
Sumiran RastogiECSECS,
Micha Werner,
Celia Ramos SánchezECSECS,
Louise Crochemore