HS6.5 | Remote Sensing for Flood Dynamics Monitoring and Mapping
Orals |
Thu, 16:15
Thu, 10:45
Fri, 14:00
EDI
Remote Sensing for Flood Dynamics Monitoring and Mapping
Co-organized by ESSI4/NH14
Convener: Antara DasguptaECSECS | Co-conveners: Angelica Tarpanelli, Nick Everard, Guy J.-P. Schumann, Sandro Martinis
Orals
| Thu, 01 May, 16:15–18:00 (CEST)
 
Room 2.31
Posters on site
| Attendance Thu, 01 May, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Thu, 01 May, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall A
Posters virtual
| Attendance Fri, 02 May, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Fri, 02 May, 08:30–18:00
 
vPoster spot A
Orals |
Thu, 16:15
Thu, 10:45
Fri, 14:00

Orals: Thu, 1 May | Room 2.31

Chairpersons: Antara Dasgupta, Angelica Tarpanelli, Nick Everard
16:15–16:20
16:20–16:30
|
EGU25-9140
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Andrea Betterle, Bernhard Bauer-Marschallinger, Franziska Kraft, Sandro Martinis, Patrick Matgen, Florian Roth, Tobias Stachl, Wolfgang Wagner, Claudia D'Angelo, and Peter Salamon

The observation of floods from space using Synthetic Aperture Radars (SAR) is a powerful means to understand how inundations unfold across space and time, together with the ensuing impacts. The systematic quantification of the extension of flooded areas and its dynamics is crucial to inform mitigation strategies and organize rescue efforts. Spatiotemporal trends in flood impacts can also help interpret the joint dynamics of climate and exposure, the first for example being associated with climate change while the second with socio-economical evolution. Furthermore, a comprehensive and consistent knowledge of flood events can help to quantify the effectiveness of legislative frameworks attempting to reduce flood impacts, such as the European Flood Directive (2007/60/EC).

This contribution presents the effort in building a global archive of flood events — featuring not only flood extent but also water depth — based on the flood delineations provided by the Copernicus Global Flood Monitoring (GFM). The flood delineations provided by GFM based on Copernicus Sentinel-1 SAR are enhanced using terrain topography, and they are complemented with water depth estimates obtained via the recently released algorithm FLEXTH (Betterle and Salamon, NHESS, 2024). The flood archive will have a global coverage at 20 m spatial resolution, spanning from 2015 until present. The procedure behind the construction of the dataset will be presented, together with the forthcoming steps of combining flood depth maps with exposed asset to further complement the database with flood impacts.

How to cite: Betterle, A., Bauer-Marschallinger, B., Kraft, F., Martinis, S., Matgen, P., Roth, F., Stachl, T., Wagner, W., D'Angelo, C., and Salamon, P.: Building a global archive of flood events for the last decade based on Sentinel-1, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-9140, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-9140, 2025.

16:30–16:40
|
EGU25-14254
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Dinuke Munasinghe, Sagy Cohen, Dan Tian, and Hongxing Liu

Optical Satellite imagery commonly suffers from the presence of cloud cover during flood events; Radar Satellites are disadvantaged from water look-alike conditions where the ground surface interacts with the incoming radar signal as if it were water; Regardless of modality of satellite, more importantly, satellite overpasses during a flood are chance occurrences where the capture of the maximum extent is a fortuitous incident. Low-altitude aerial remote sensing, on the other hand, can be used to survey the extent of flooding at the peak or soon after it has occurred, with a good measure of reliability. Opportune scheduling of these reconnaissance flights not only capture floods at ultra-high resolution, but also allows for seamless geographical coverage unhindered by cloud cover.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Emergency Response Imagery is very high resolution (50 cm Ground Sampling Distance between pixels) airborne imagery acquired by the Remote Sensing Division of the National Geodetic Survey (NGS) during major flood events in the United States to support NOAA’s homeland security and emergency response requirements.

In this work, we evaluated the performance of four different machine learning models (Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Support Vetor Machine, Convolutional Neural Network) on the ability to classify floods from raw aerial imagery. The classifier with the highest classification accuracy metrics - depending on geographical and hydrological setting – was used to produce flood inundation extent maps for 30 major flood events.

We demonstrate the utility of these high-fidelity flood maps via two use-cases: both synergistic studies to this work. 1) As benchmarks for validation of hydrodynamic model results: Historic flooding occurred on the Neuse River in North Carolina in the United States triggered by Hurricane Matthew in 2016. Several hydrodynamic models were deployed to simulate flood dynamics with an end goal of understanding flood susceptibility in the Neuse basin under changing climate conditions. The aerial imagery-based flood maps were used as benchmarks for model validation. 2) Enhancing the versatility of FIMPEF: Flood Inundation Mapping Predictions Evaluation Framework (FIMPEF) is an open-source, cloud-based geospatial venture by the University of Alabama that calculates accuracy statistics between benchmark and modeled flood extents. Integration of aerial imagery, in addition to the satellite-based benchmarks that FIMPEF was ingesting so far, has vastly enhanced its robustness and user-demand. Free access (no account/login credentials needed) to these high-quality flood maps is granted through the United Sates Flood Inundation Map Repository (USFIMR), an online geospatial warehouse that provides high-resolution inundation extent maps of past U.S. flood events.

How to cite: Munasinghe, D., Cohen, S., Tian, D., and Liu, H.: A Database of Flood Maps using high-resolution Airborne Imagery and Machine Learning Models, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-14254, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-14254, 2025.

16:40–16:50
|
EGU25-6094
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
M. Sulaiman Fayez Hotaki, Mahdi Motagh, and Mahmud Haghshenas Haghighi

Afghanistan faces severe flood risks, but challenges such as limited flood data, cloud cover, and difficulties in on-ground data collection hinder traditional flood mapping methods. This study introduces an automated flood mapping approach using Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data to overcome these limitations. Combining SAR intensity and interferometric coherence analyses, the method improves flood detection accuracy, particularly in complex terrains and rapid-onset events. The study spans the period from 2018 to 2024, covering 17 flood events across the country.

Processed on the Google Earth Engine (GEE), the method enables near-real-time monitoring by analyzing dense Sentinel-1 SAR time series data. SAR intensity identifies floodwaters, while coherence detects subtle changes in vegetated and urban areas, where intensity alone may fall short. Interferometric coherence was derived using the Hybrid Pluggable Processing Pipeline (HyP3), a cloud-based SAR processing platform accessed via the Alaska Satellite Facility (ASF) Data portal.

Validated against high-resolution PlanetScope imagery, the approach achieved F1 scores exceeding 82% in key provinces like Faryab and Baghlan. Land cover analysis revealed irrigated agriculture as the most affected type (709 hectares), while coherence mapping highlighted vulnerable urban areas, such as Baghlan-e-Markazi and Charkiar cities.

Compared to the Global Flood Monitoring (GFM) system, this method significantly improves detection accuracy, capturing up to 83% more flood extent in certain areas. For example, in Baghlan Province, it detected 709 hectares of flooding versus GFM’s 114 hectares.

By leveraging SAR data, HyP3, and GEE’s processing capabilities, this method provides a scalable, rapid-onset, and efficient solution for flood monitoring in data-scarce regions. Covering seven years of flood events, it offers a valuable tool for disaster management in Afghanistan and other regions vulnerable to climate change-induced flooding.

How to cite: Hotaki, M. S. F., Motagh, M., and Haghshenas Haghighi, M.: Enhanced Flood Hazard Assessment and Mapping Using SAR Data: A Case Study of Afghanistan’s Flood Events (2018–2024), EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-6094, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-6094, 2025.

16:50–17:00
|
EGU25-20493
|
On-site presentation
Sagy Cohen, Anupal Baruah, Parvaneh Nikrou, Dan Tian, Hongxing Liu, and Dinuke Munasinghe

Remote Sensing-derived Flood Inundation Maps (RS-FIM) are an attractive and commonly used source of evaluation benchmarks. Errors in model-predicted FIM (M-FIM) evaluation results due to biases in RS-FIM benchmarking are quantified by introducing a high-confidence benchmark FIM, which was manually delineated from ultra-resolution imagery, as Ground Truth. The evaluation results show considerable differences in M-FIM accuracy assessment when using lower-quality benchmarks. A RS-FIM enhancement (gap-filling) procedure is presented and its effect on FIM evaluation results is analyzed. The results show that the enhancement is insufficient for significantly improving the robustness of the evaluation. The impact of including/excluding Permanent Water Bodies (PWB) on FIM evaluation results is analyzed. The results show that including PWB in FIM evaluation can significantly inflate the model accuracy. A novel evaluation strategy is proposed and analyzed. The proposed evaluation strategy is based on excluding low-confidence grid cells and PWB from the M-FIM evaluation analysis. Low-confidence grid cells are those that were estimated to be flooded by the gap-filling procedure, but were not classified as such by the remote sensing analysis. The results show that the proposed evaluation strategy can dramatically improve the robustness of the evaluation, except when a considerable number of false positives exist in the RS-FIM. The analyses showcase the many challenges in FIM evaluation. We provide an in-depth discussion about the need for standards, user-centric evaluation, the use of secondary sources, and qualitative evaluation.

How to cite: Cohen, S., Baruah, A., Nikrou, P., Tian, D., Liu, H., and Munasinghe, D.: Toward Robust Evaluations of Flood Inundation Predictions Using Remote Sensing Derived Benchmark Maps, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-20493, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-20493, 2025.

17:00–17:10
17:10–17:20
|
EGU25-18097
|
Highlight
|
Virtual presentation
Alexandros Konis, Vasiliki Pagana, Stavroula Sigourou, Alexia Tsouni, Emmanouil Salas, Michail-Christos Tsoutsos, Nikolaos Stathopoulos, Nikolaos Stasinos, and Charalampos (Haris) Kontoes

Floods affect many regions of the world every year and are the most deadly natural hazard. The increasing pressures of a growing global population, widespread ecosystem degradation, and the compounding effects of climate variability and change are significantly increasing flood risks worldwide. Hydrodynamic models, combined with Earth Observations (EO), play an increasingly important role in the comprehensive analysis and characterization of floods, providing a deeper understanding of their dynamics in past, present, and future scenarios.

Under the “Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS) Risk and Recovery Mapping (RRM)” framework, this on-call study (i.e., CEMS activation “ΕMSN: Retrospective flood temporal analysis of floods in Saarland, Germany”) focused on the mid-May 2024 (16/05/2024-22/05/2024) flood in Saarland, Germany, which resulted in extensive damage across the Saarland state capital Saarbrücken and several districts in Saarland. Leveraging advancements in Earth observation (EO), this study integrated multi-source remote sensing data into a 2D hydraulic modeling framework to enhance the understanding of flood dynamics in the region through a comprehensive temporal analysis.

Using the HEC-RAS hydraulic modeling open-source software of the United States Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), a rain-on-grid approach was employed to simulate direct rainfall runoff to supplement fluvial model simulation of flood propagation over a 7-day period. Model calibration was based on observed water depth data from Gauging stations’ recordings, with adjustments made to improve accuracy. Validation was conducted using EO-derived flood delineations from multitemporal post-event imagery, spanning multi-Platform Satellite products including SAR (Sentinel-1A, RadarSat-2, COSMO-SkyMed and TerraSAR-X) and Optical (Planet Scope) imagery. Therefore, the outputs of the study including the water depth and the flood persistence were derived from the combination of the hydraulic modeling and remote sensing methodologies.

Despite the relatively lower flood thematic accuracy of EO-derived flood outlines in urban and forested areas given the inherent limitations of the SAR analysis techniques, the availability of multitemporal EO imagery was decisive in validating the hydraulic modelling accuracy and robustness. The study findings emphasize the emerging potential of EO data for validating hydraulic models and therefore enhancing flood mapping and monitoring capabilities. In this context, the availability of multitemporal EO datasets further enhanced the flood modelling performance in providing a better insight into the flood propagation and dynamics over the whole period of impact.

Acknowledgment: The service took place under the Framework Service Contract 945236–IPR–2023 “Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS) Risk and Recovery Mapping (RRM) Tailor-Made Products. 

We would like to acknowledge the great support of the JRC CEMS team memebrs, namely Guido Di Carlo, Cristina Rosales Sanchez, and Emanuele Sapino, for the completion of this service contract.

How to cite: Konis, A., Pagana, V., Sigourou, S., Tsouni, A., Salas, E., Tsoutsos, M.-C., Stathopoulos, N., Stasinos, N., and Kontoes, C. (.: Integration of Remote Sensing and Hydraulic Modeling for Dynamic Flood Monitoring: A Copernicus Emergency Management Service for retrospective flood temporal analysis in Saarland, Germany, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-18097, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-18097, 2025.

17:20–17:30
|
EGU25-15889
|
On-site presentation
Laetitia Gal, Pauline Casas, Kévin Larnier, Romulo J. Oliveira, and Adrien Paris

Burkina Faso climate is characterized by a short rainy season and  high rainfall variability, characteristic of tropical-equatorial regions, resulting in extreme rainfall events and high flood risks in its watersheds and cities. In the capital Ouagadougou, rapid urban development associated with low-permeability soils and high precipitation intensity lead to major flooding events (e.g. in 2009, 2016, 2020) affecting households and economy. This vulnerability to flooding also affects other strategic points in Burkina Faso, such as crossroads between national roads and rivers, where overflows almost every year lead to limited road access and hinder economical transportation.

This study presents an innovative integrated framework to improve forecasting capacity and manage flood risks at the local scale, for both (i) pluvial flooding over Ouagadougou city and (ii) fluvial flooding at six points of interest (POIs) across Burkina Faso. The methodology is based on a 2D hydrodynamic modeling using the DassHydro [1] framework and only publicly available data (soil properties, land cover, etc.). For pluvial flooding (Ouagadougou case), this model is forced with operational precipitation products. For fluvial flooding,  daily real-time discharge data computed with the MGB hydrological model [2] are used as boundary conditions for the hydrodynamic model set at the POIs. Both approaches produce local flood maps for different warning levels, based on precipitations  and/or discharge thresholds. Flood maps produced for each POI were validated through comparisons to Sentinel-2 images of  historical floods, on-site flood marks analysis and spatial altimetry.  Additionally, comparisons with previous studies conducted in Ouagadougou as well as historical informations,  demonstrated the relevance and reliability of the results obtained through our methodology at both local scale.

This preliminary approach showed the efficiency of the methodology for a flood risk warning and forecasting system in a data-sparse context and highlighted the strong need for in-situ data and finer-grained topology data, among others, in those regions. Further consideration of new in situ data provided by local agencies should permit increasing the accuracy of forecasts and provide refined risk analysis.

[1] https://dasshydro.github.io/

[2] https://www.ufrgs.br/lsh/mgb/what-is-mgb-iph/ 

How to cite: Gal, L., Casas, P., Larnier, K., J. Oliveira, R., and Paris, A.: Local hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling for flood forecasting in Burkina Faso, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-15889, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-15889, 2025.

17:30–17:40
|
EGU25-17954
|
On-site presentation
Gokcen Uysal and Enver Tasci

Floods exacerbated by climate change significantly increase the risk of dam failure, posing a critical threat to downstream regions. A cost-effective way to analyze the consequences of dam break floods is by using unsteady hydrodynamic models that incorporate St. Venant’s or diffusion wave equations. These models require detailed topographic data, land cover information, and a dam break hydrograph. This study assesses the influence of various remote sensing topographic datasets on 2-dimensional (2D) hydrodynamic flood modeling using HEC-RAS v6. The methodology is applied to İmranlı town in Türkiye, located downstream of an irrigation dam. Under a 500-year return period flood scenario, a breach hydrograph is simulated in HEC-RAS, assuming overtopping when the reservoir is at full capacity. Manning's roughness values are derived from the ESA-WorldCover satellite land use map. Two types of topographic data are tested: Digital Surface Models (DSMs) and Digital Terrain Models (DTMs). Specifically, datasets include field-based Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) DSM (0.5 x 0.5 m resolution), Turkish General Directorate of Mapping (HGM)-based DSM (5 x 5 m resolution), Advanced Land Observing Satellite – Phased Array type L-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (ALOS-PALSAR)-sourced DTM (12.5 x 12.5 m resolution), and Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM)-sourced DTM (30 x 30 m resolution).

The study also explores the impact of combining high-resolution and low-resolution topographic data by mosaicking LiDAR data, limited to urbanized areas, with other datasets. Results are evaluated using performance metrics such as Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), F-index, and correlation coefficient (R²). Additionally, comparisons are drawn using flood-related maps, including flood inundation area, water depth, velocity, duration, and hazard. The study highlights that nearly the entire İmranlı district center and the Doğançal settlement would be inundated in the event of a dam failure, exposing approximately 7,028 individuals to flood risk. The findings suggest that while high-resolution HGM-based data serve as a reliable reference, integrating satellite datasets like ALOS-PALSAR with LiDAR enhances model performance, making them valuable alternatives when high-resolution data are unavailable.

How to cite: Uysal, G. and Tasci, E.: Two-Dimensional Hydrodynamic Modeling and Comparison of Flood Propagation from İmranlı Dam Break Using Different Remotely Sensed Topographic Data, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-17954, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-17954, 2025.

17:40–17:50
|
EGU25-7538
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Peter Uhe, Laurence Hawker, Chris Lucas, Malcolm Brine, Hamish Wilkinson, Anthony Cooper, and James Savage

Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) describe the earth surface’s topography and are an important source of information for applications of physical modelling, engineering and many others. Flood inundation modelling, where water flows are determined by terrain slope, is also highly dependent on DEM quality. The most accurate DEMs currently available are sourced from airborne LiDAR, however these only cover a small fraction of the globe, leaving the majority of the globe sourced from satellite imagery. Satellite based DEMs have limitations and are considered Digital Surface Models (DSMs) which represent the surface of vegetation canopy, buildings and other objects, rather than the bare earth surface which is represented by a Digital Terrain Model (DTM). 

Due to this, we have developed FathomDEM, a DTM generated from the best global satellite based DSM, Copernicus DEM. FathomDEM uses a novel vision transformer technique to improve on previous attempts to generate a DTM from Copernicus DEM.  FathomDEM reduces the Mean Absolute Error and Root Mean Squared Error to half of our previous work, FABDEM, and quarter of Copernicus DEM, while also improving the spatial correlation. 

Flood simulations of inundation using a given DEM shows its use in a real world application and we present results showing flood inundation maps from different global DEMs and LiDAR. FathomDEM gives similar scores to LiDAR data when compared to benchmark flood extents, tested across multiple sites. FathomDEM therefore provides a significant advance when applied to flood inundation modelling in locations without LiDAR DEMs. 

How to cite: Uhe, P., Hawker, L., Lucas, C., Brine, M., Wilkinson, H., Cooper, A., and Savage, J.: An enhanced global terrain map using a vision transformer machine learning model, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-7538, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-7538, 2025.

17:50–18:00

Posters on site: Thu, 1 May, 10:45–12:30 | Hall A

Display time: Thu, 1 May, 08:30–12:30
Chairpersons: Angelica Tarpanelli, Nick Everard, Antara Dasgupta
A.75
|
EGU25-3176
Felix Bachofer, Patrick Sogno, Elly Schmid, Kerstin Büche, André Assmann, and Hoang Khanh Linh Nguyen

The 2020 flood season in Thừa Thiên Huế province, Central Vietnam, was among the most severe in recent history, driven by consecutive tropical storms and prolonged heavy rainfall. Between October and November 2020, a series of storms, including Tropical Storm Linfa, Typhoon Molave, and Typhoon Goni, brought intense precipitation, causing widespread inundation and significant damage to infrastructure and livelihoods. The hydrological complexity of the region, characterized by mountainous terrain, low-lying floodplains, and the extensive Tam Giang-Cau Hai lagoon system, further exacerbated the flood impacts, underscoring the need for advanced monitoring tools to capture the event's dynamics.

This study leverages multi-sensor Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data, including Sentinel-1, Cosmo-Skymed, and TerraSAR-X, to create a high-temporal flood inventory for this hydrologically challenging region. Multi-temporal SAR intensity and coherence data were processed using threshold-based change detection algorithms and normalized difference indices to delineate flood extents. These SAR-based methods, immune to cloud cover, provided continuous observations despite the adverse weather conditions during the flood. Validation was performed using in-situ flood markers and drone imagery, ensuring accuracy in the derived flood maps. To complement SAR data, hydrodynamic modeling using HEC-RAS simulated water flow, inundation depths, and river system behavior, enabling cross-comparison with SAR-derived flood extents.

The 2020 flood event highlighted a challenge often associated with satellite-based flood mapping: image acquisitions seldom capture the peak of the flood. However, the high temporal resolution provided by the combined SAR datasets allowed researchers to track the pulse of the flood, revealing its evolution and alignment with storm events and precipitation patterns. This capability provided critical insights into the timing, extent, and dynamics of flooding, even in a region with complex topography and hydrology.

The high-temporal flood inventory produced in this study enhances understanding of flood dynamics across diverse land-cover types, enabling improved flood risk assessments and adaptive management. The outcomes not only advance flood monitoring methodologies for Vietnam but also demonstrate the value of integrating Earth Observation data with hydrological modeling to support disaster risk reduction efforts. This approach offers scalable solutions for other regions prone to extreme weather events, contributing to global efforts in informed decision-making and adaptive flood management strategies.

How to cite: Bachofer, F., Sogno, P., Schmid, E., Büche, K., Assmann, A., and Nguyen, H. K. L.: Multi-Sensor SAR-Based Flood Mapping for High-Temporal Monitoring of the 2020 Flood Event in Thừa Thiên Huế, Vietnam, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-3176, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-3176, 2025.

A.76
|
EGU25-6671
|
Angelica Tarpanelli, Guy Schumann, and Cecile Kittel and the EO4FLOOD team

Floods are among the most destructive natural disasters, causing severe damage to human health, the environment, cultural heritage, and economies. Over the past 50 years, Europe alone has experienced approximately 4,000 fatalities and $274 billion in economic losses due to floods. The situation is even more severe in developing regions, where the lack of infrastructure and resources intensifies the impacts of such disasters. As climate change exacerbates the frequency and intensity of flood events, there is an urgent need for innovative approaches to improve flood forecasting and reduce societal impacts.

EO4FLOOD is a project funded by ESA demonstrating the potential of advanced satellite data in enhancing the accuracy and timeliness of flood forecasting systems. The project focuses on integrating state-of-the-art satellite technologies and hydrological and hydraulic models to deliver reliable flood predictions up to seven days in advance.

EO4FLOOD is structured around three main objectives:

  • Development of an Advanced EO Dataset: The EO4FLOOD dataset integrates high-resolution satellite products from ESA and non-ESA missions, providing global coverage of critical variables such as precipitation, soil moisture, snow, flood extent, water level and river discharge.
  • Integration into Flood Forecasting Models: By combining these datasets with machine learning-enhanced hydrological and hydraulic models, the project achieves more accurate flood predictions while quantifying uncertainty.
  • Demonstration for Science and Society: EO4FLOOD showcases the application of these tools in flood risk management and explores the influence of human activities, such as land-use changes and dam construction, on flood dynamics.

By leveraging cutting-edge algorithms and satellite products, EO4FLOOD provides a robust framework for advancing flood forecasting and supporting effective disaster preparedness and response, highlight its broader implications for global flood risk management.

How to cite: Tarpanelli, A., Schumann, G., and Kittel, C. and the EO4FLOOD team: Earth Observation data for Advancing Flood Forecasting: EO4FLOOD project, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-6671, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-6671, 2025.

A.77
|
EGU25-7115
|
ECS
Michele Amaddii, Fabio Castelli, and Chiara Arrighi

Bridges are critical infrastructures of the transport network given their high construction costs and limited alternative routes. Flood events are the most frequent cause of damage to transport infrastructure compared to any other natural hazard. Bridge overtopping is a phenomenon with serious safety consequences for drivers and leads to cascading effects such as traffic disruption and reduced efficiency of evacuation and emergency plans. Whereby, proactive management is essential to enhance bridge resilience and ensure user safety.
This work introduces a catchment-scale screening method using GIS and remotely sensed data to assess the propensity of riverine bridges to overtopping. The application of the method is based on the use of elements such as road network (OSM), hydrographic network, and LiDAR-derived Digital Elevation Models of the bare terrain (DTM) and of the surface (DSM). The propensity of bridges to overtopping is evaluated considering the geometric and morphological characteristics of river-roads intersections, independent of hydrological forcing. The method assumes that bridges with intersection heights (Hi), i.e. the difference between the road level (DSM) and river thalweg (DTM), lower than the corresponding cross-section heights (Hs), are more prone to overtopping during floods.
Intersections between roads and the hydrographic network were identified, and Hi values were calculated by extracting elevation differences within a defined buffer. To minimize noise from vegetation and other elements in the DSM, the topographic ruggedness index was employed as a filter, assuming that roads have smooth surfaces compared to the high roughness of vegetation. Field measurements of Hi were performed to validate the remotely sensed Hi values. Riverbanks and their corresponding Hs values were identified using the Iso Cluster Unsupervised Classification approach, testing various morphometric derivatives of the DTM. A combination of profile curvature and maximum difference from mean elevation provided the clusters of landforms corresponding to riverbanks.
The method was applied to the Magra River basin in Italy (970 km²), an area frequently impacted by flood events.
Results indicate that for roads intersecting streams with Strahler order (S) <4 the median height error (∆he) between remotely sensed and measured Hi is significant (2 m, i.e. 40%). In contrast, the method proved effective for S>3 (∆he= 0.4 m, i.e. 12%). The mean cross-section width for such streams is 35 m (excluding the main river), which is two orders of magnitude larger than the planimetric accuracy of the DTM (0.3 m). A total of 231 bridges were identified, and approximately 30% exhibited Hi<Hs, indicating a high propensity for overtopping. This approach enables large-scale screening to identify road-river intersections with geometric and morphological predispositions to overtopping. It provides a valuable tool for prioritizing bridges for further hydrologic-hydraulic and traffic disruption modeling, supporting infrastructure resilience, and flood risk management.

Acknowledgments
This study was founded by the European Union - Next Generation EU through the PRIN 2022 call powered by MUR, within the project “FLOOD@ROAD” (Prot. 202257JJSJ).

How to cite: Amaddii, M., Castelli, F., and Arrighi, C.: A catchment-scale screening tool for the assessment of bridge overtopping using GIS and LiDAR-derived digital elevation models, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-7115, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-7115, 2025.

A.78
|
EGU25-7445
|
ECS
El Mahdi El Khalki, Tramblay Yves, Massari Christian, Brocca Luca, Simonneaux Vincent, Gascoin Simon, and Saidi Mohamed Elmehdi

Devastating floods in the Mediterranean region are caused by heavy rainfall. Flood forecasting systems are essential in Maghreb countries like Morocco to reduce the consequences and impacts of floods. Developing such a system for ungauged areas is challenging. Even though there is a shortage of observed data, remote sensing products offer a promising solution to fill these data gaps. Different soil moisture and precipitation products are evaluated against in situ data for flood modeling applications. Using an event-based hydrological model with an hourly time step, the results show that observed soil moisture is strongly related to the SMOS-IC satellite product and the ERA5 reanalysis. The comparison of soil moisture records allowed us to calculate the initial soil moisture state using the Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN). Daily in situ soil moisture data may not represent basin soil moisture conditions; however, ASCAT, SMOS-IC, and ERA5 products performed similarly in terms of validation for flood modeling. The daily time step may not accurately represent the saturation state just before a flood, as soil moisture in these semi-arid areas is depleted more quickly after rainfall. For the hourly time step, the initial soil moisture conditions of the SCS-CN model were found to be more accurately represented by ERA5 and in situ data. This work highlights the potential of remote sensing products to improve flood forecasting in semi-arid regions, providing valuable information for the development of robust hydrological models where traditional data are scarce.

How to cite: El Khalki, E. M., Yves, T., Christian, M., Luca, B., Vincent, S., Simon, G., and Mohamed Elmehdi, S.: Global Soil Moisture Products for Flood Modeling in a Semi-Arid Area, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-7445, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-7445, 2025.

A.79
|
EGU25-10980
Monica Coppo Frias, Cecile Marie Margaretha Kittel, Karina Nielsen, Aske Folkmann Musaeus, Christian Toettrup, and Peter Bauer-Gottwein

River deltas are home to more than 400 million people worldwide, being fundamental centers for industry, and ecosystems of great ecological and economic importance. Some of the most densely populated rural and urban areas are in low-lying deltaic regions, such as the Mekong Delta. These areas are highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change on coastal-river floods, which are driven by several factors, such as sea level rise, extreme river flows or storm surges. To mitigate these effects, accurate integrated coastal-river hydraulic models are essential for enhancing predictive capabilities for compound flooding events and developing effective contingency plans. However, the accuracy of hydraulic models is often limited by the quality of available observations. Developing reliable datasets for coastal-river domains involves addressing several challenges, including a) the high spatial and temporal variability of coastal-estuary dynamics, b) the complex morphology of delta regions characterized by extensive floodplains, braided river channels, and man-made structures, and c) the lack of continuous coastal-river datasets.

Traditional in-situ monitoring provides data only at widely spaced stations, which limits coverage. As a results, satellite Earth Observation (EO) has emerged as a solution to generate datasets with large spatial coverage and high spatial resolution. The Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission is the first dedicated mission to monitor surface water, while also providing ocean height measurements, making it ideal to overcome the monitoring challenges in coastal-river domains. The SWOT mission, with a 120 km wide swath, offers large spatial coverage that can deliver water surface elevation (WSE) and surface water extent observations for rivers as narrow as 50 meters. Additionally, the mission offers a revisit time of 21 days, delivering 2-6 observations in each cycle.

In this study we utilize SWOT observations over the Mekong Delta to generate continuous datasets that span from the river to the ocean. These datasets are used to inform and validate an integrated coastal-river hydraulic model of the Mekong Delta. The SWOT L2_HR_Raster product is exploited at a 100-meter resolution, to derive coastal and estuarine WSE time series and surface water extent. This dataset has the capability to map complex river morphological structures at a temporal resolution previously unattainable by satellite EO missions. It can also capture the effects of ocean tides and storm surges on river water levels, as well as the impact of high river flows on coastal domains. Moreover, the 2D nature of the L2_HR_Raster product can deliver not only river-ocean WSE profiles, but also coastal longitudinal ocean height, to better understand the effect of high river flows in near-coastal areas.

The results provide continuous coastal-river datasets mapping the interplay between near coastal and estuarine dynamics, as well as the complex morphology of the Mekong Delta region. The datasets are used to calibrate and validate a hydraulic model of the Mekong Delta that integrates river and coastal zones to accurately simulate WSE and surface water extent in deltaic regions. The integrated model supports better prediction capabilities for compound flooding simulations and the impacts of climate change on the coastal and estuarine environments.

How to cite: Coppo Frias, M., Kittel, C. M. M., Nielsen, K., Musaeus, A. F., Toettrup, C., and Bauer-Gottwein, P.: Integrated coastal-river water surface elevation datasets derived from SWOT to improve compound flooding simulations over the Mekong Delta, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-10980, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-10980, 2025.

A.80
|
EGU25-11828
|
ECS
Beatrice Carlini, Luca Baldini, Elisa Adirosi, Giovanni Serafino, Giovanni Scognamiglio, and Roberta Paranunzio

Climate change has increased the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, leading to greater risks for vulnerable urban areas. Inadequate infrastructure often exacerbates vulnerability of many areas, resulting in significant socioeconomic losses from climate-related hazards and in particular flooding. Satellite services, smart technologies such as GIS-based Digital Twin help to simulate flooding scenarios to support urban planning and decision-making and provide monitoring and short-term forecasting of floods thus contributing to enhance climate resilience and to strengthen financial risk strategies.

To ensure that these systems operate effectively, the validation of their predicted  outputs in terms of flooding maps is crucial. This task is usually possibly carried out using the satellite-based data available and particularly those from Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR), which are effective in various meteorological conditions. In urban areas, the application of state-of-the-art SAR-based methods for flood detection is challenging due to the complexity of effects caused by the radar backscattering from built environments.

This study focuses on validating flood maps for urbanized environments based on a consolidated approach that reprocesses the clustering result with fuzzy logic approach (Pulvirenti et al. 2023, DOI: 10.3390/w15071353) and here improved to better estimate flooding in urban areas. The method was applied to a severe precipitation event in November 2023 in Tuscany, Italy, which caused multiple flood episodes. Our focus was on the Florence-Prato-Pistoia plain, the most densely populated area in Tuscany. On November 2, heavy rainfall began in the early afternoon, accumulating 130-170 mm within 5-6 hours. This led to the first flood episodes after 19:00 local time, resulting in several casualties.

Copernicus Rapid Mapper was activated on 03/11/2023, 04:21 (Local time = UTC+1). It produced an estimate of flooded area mainly using one COSMO-SkyMed image, collected on November 6, after a second storm occurred in the night between 4 and 5 November. In our analysis we used two images. For the common image, good spatial correspondence was obtained. However, due to the late availability of satellite images, critical early floods were missing.

This work takes this case study to address the opportunity and challenges of flood detection in urban areas using satellite data. While highlighting the importance of having a satellite flood mapping service, some drawbacks are also pointed out, such as the lack of revising time that can imply missing early stages of floods to early implement search and rescue operations. Projects to improve revisiting time are related to the emergence of next generation constellations, such the ASI/ESA IRIDE multisatellite and multiservice constellation. In case of fast evolving phenomena, such as the one considered in this study, a higher time resolution of flood mapping would increase the chance to obtain data even in the first floods. In practice, resorting to modelling and sensor data coupled in digital twins eventually integrated with obtained from citizens science will be still unavoidable. This is demonstrated within the SCORE project (https://score-eu-project.eu/), a four-year EU-funded project aiming to increase climate resilience in European coastal cities (Coastal City Living Labs - CCLLs).

How to cite: Carlini, B., Baldini, L., Adirosi, E., Serafino, G., Scognamiglio, G., and Paranunzio, R.: Satellite Mapping Analysis of the November 2023 Flood in Prato, Tuscany, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-11828, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-11828, 2025.

A.81
|
EGU25-13306
|
ECS
|
Nafsika-Ioanna Spyrou, Michalis Diakakis, Spyridon Mavroulis, Georgios Deligiannakis, Emmaouil Andreadakis, Christos Filis, Evelina Kotsi, Zacharias Antoniadis, Maria Melaki, Marilia Gogou, Katerina-Navsika Katsetsiadou, Eirini-Spyridoula Stanota, Emmanuel Skourtsos, Emmanuel Vassilakis Vassilakis, and Efthymios Lekkas

Flash floods have been responsible for some of the most catastrophic events globally. The extensive range of effects and the varying severity of impacts present significant challenges in accurately understanding the damage caused by a flood event, thereby hindering our capacity to predict future consequences. When evaluating flood impacts and their severity, most existing approaches rely on qualitative descriptions (e.g., major, catastrophic, etc.) or examine the impacts from a single perspective or discipline, such as economic losses. In this study, the Flash Flood Impact Severity Scale (FFISS) is employed to evaluate, map, and categorize the impacts of two flash floods that occurred in the Lilas River in Greece in 2009 and 2020. The goal of this application is to analyze the varying severity levels and how one flood event can influence the impacts of a subsequent event. The methodology involved extensive fieldwork, including the collection of ground-based and aerial observations using UAV technology to document the impacts. These observations were subsequently georeferenced, followed by applying the Flash Flood Impact Severity Scale (FFISS) and creating detailed maps to assess and evaluate the severity of impacts associated with the two flood events. The results indicate that, despite the higher water levels during the second flood, areas previously affected show lower severity values. This reduction is attributed to the community’s gradual adaptation, improvements in infrastructure, and significant local widening of the river channel. Conversely, newly flooded areas during the second event exhibit high severity levels. Overall, applying the FFISS reveals spatial patterns of impact severity, offering insights into the local nature of floods while suggesting a potential reduction in overall risk during the post-flood period.

How to cite: Spyrou, N.-I., Diakakis, M., Mavroulis, S., Deligiannakis, G., Andreadakis, E., Filis, C., Kotsi, E., Antoniadis, Z., Melaki, M., Gogou, M., Katsetsiadou, K.-N., Stanota, E.-S., Skourtsos, E., Vassilakis, E. V., and Lekkas, E.: Ground observations and UAV mapping to support a GIS-based implementation of the Flash Flood Impact Severity Scale (FFISS) for the 2009 and 2020 flash floods in Evia, Greece., EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-13306, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13306, 2025.

A.82
|
EGU25-13757
|
ECS
Gianpietro Imbrogno, Giuseppe Cianflone, Rocco Dominici, Giuseppe Maruca, Paolo De Cesare, Mark Schuerch, and Luca Mao

Paleochannels are natural features in floodplains, and their identification and geometric characterization can guide river restoration and natural flood management interventions. This study focuses on identifying the network of dendritic drainage patterns in a portion of the Lincolnshire fens near Billinghay. A semi-automatic approach was developed for identifying paleochannels and performing a morphometric analysis of these features.

A high-resolution LiDAR data survey from 2022 was downloaded from the UK environment portal. The LiDAR digital terrain model has a resolution of 2 m and vertical accuracy of +/- 15 cm. The raw LiDAR point cloud was pre-processes using CloudCompare. An initial ground-level extraction was performed with automatic filters and further refined by identifying and removing additional anthropogenic features such as roads, buildings, and artificial levees along canals, using a vector data analysis. The dendritic drainage channels of the particular study site (6.78 km2) were isolated using a semi-automatic selection with specific elevation filters. The differences in elevation between the paleochannel surface and the surrounding flat areas were used to define distinct elevation ranges for different altimetric bands. Points within these ranges were selected and reclassified to create a preliminary morphological model of the paleochannels. Discontinuous segments were interpolated, and areas with missing values were resampled, resulting in a consistent and detailed representation of the paleochannels.

The dendritic drainage network was characterized in terms of Strahler order, sinuosity, length, and location of connection nodes. Additionally, several cross-sectional profiles were generated and a Python script was developed to quantify the width, depth, and area between the crest of the paleosurface and the ground level. Reaches of paleochannels of higher Strahler order were found to be deeper and wider. The sinuosity is lower for the reaches in the upper part of the dendritic network. Interestingly, the channels are located in areas that are highly convex compared to the surrounding flat areas. The total surface area occupied by the identified paleochannels in the study site is approximately 1.8 km2, which represents a significant portion of the floodplain.

The geometry of the identified enclosed basin and of the dendritic network are being used to test a morphodynamic model in order to identify the sea level and tidal ranges responsible for the formation of the paleochannels.

How to cite: Imbrogno, G., Cianflone, G., Dominici, R., Maruca, G., De Cesare, P., Schuerch, M., and Mao, L.: Semi-Automatic Extraction and Morphometric Characterization of Paleochannels using LiDAR Data: A Case Study in the fens of Lincolnshire, England, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-13757, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13757, 2025.

A.83
|
EGU25-15998
|
ECS
Enhancing Water Level Estimates with DEM-derived Stream Geomorphometry
(withdrawn)
Søren Kragh, Jun Liu, Lars Troldborg, Simon Stisen, Raphael Schneider, and Julian Koch
A.84
|
EGU25-16950
|
ECS
|
Chloe Campo, Paolo Tamagnone, Guy Schumann, Suelynn Choy, Trinh Duc Tran, and Yuriy Kuleshov

Despite the significant increase in Earth Observation (EO) satellites, the frequency of cloud-free imagery at sufficiently high spatial resolutions for timely inundation mapping remains a significant challenge. Obtaining more frequent flood extent estimations would contribute to our understanding of flood dynamics and increase the likelihood of capturing the flood peak, which often evades EO acquisitions. Integrating complementary data from multiple sensors is a potential solution to overcome limitations posed by temporal resolution, spatial resolution, cloud cover, adverse weather, or light conditions. Surface water fractions, indicating the proportion of a pixel covered by water, can be derived from a variety of sensors that passively sense across different spectral ranges daily. However, the fractional coverages are derived at various spatial resolutions, necessitating a methodology to harmonize and combine the information to obtain a comprehensive flood map at a meaningful resolution. The present study proposes a methodology to seamlessly combine data from Low-Earth Orbiting (LEO) multispectral, Geostationary-orbiting (GEO) multispectral, and Passive Microwave (PMW) sensors. The proposed approach is tested on the February 2022 flood event in Brisbane, Australia, and fuse data from Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), the Himawari 8/9 Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI), and the Special Sensor Microwave Imager/Sounder (SSMIS). These sensors offer complementary strengths in flood detection, including sub-daily imagery from VIIRS and AHI, and fractional water estimates beneath cloud cover from SSMIS.

Surface water fractions, representing the fraction of a pixel covered by water, are derived from VIIRS, AHI, and SSMIS at spatial resolutions of 375 m, 1 km, and 25 km, respectively. These surface water fractions are subsequently homogenized via downscaling and fused to obtain an aggregated flood map. A Digital Terrain Model and its derivatives, including the Slope, Topographic Water Index, Height Above Nearest Drainage, and Flow Accumulation, and water frequency information are utilized to downscale and distribute the surface water fractions in physically plausible ways. This disaggregation process produces comparable flood maps from all sensors. These maps are thereafter combined to yield a single detailed flood map. This multi-sensor framework ensures the consistent generation of flood maps at a meaningful spatial and temporal resolution, compensating for the unavailability of moderate- to high-resolution imagery due to satellite revisit timing and cloud obstruction. The proposed approach enables more frequent generation of detailed flood maps, providing valuable insights into inundation dynamics to scientists and decision makers.

How to cite: Campo, C., Tamagnone, P., Schumann, G., Choy, S., Duc Tran, T., and Kuleshov, Y.: Closing the Gap: Towards Consistent Flood Extent Retrieval with Multi-Sensor Data Fusion, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-16950, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-16950, 2025.

Posters virtual: Fri, 2 May, 14:00–15:45 | vPoster spot A

Display time: Fri, 2 May, 08:30–18:00
Chairpersons: Miriam Glendell, Rafael Pimentel

EGU25-3986 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS11

Flood Frequency Analysis on Ganga Basin Catchment using Geospatial Techniques 

Kajal Thakur and Shray Pathak
Fri, 02 May, 14:00–15:45 (CEST)   vPoster spot A | vPA.14

Flooding is one of the most devastating natural disasters, significantly impacting human lives, infrastructure, and ecosystems. Severe rains when combined with a lack of proper infrastructure in urban areas can lead to floods. Thereby accurate flood predictions and modelling are essential for efficient flood control in such environments. A critical component of this process is obtaining reliable hydrological outputs over watersheds, which forms the foundation of precise flood forecasting. Flood inundated areas can be generated by hydrological and hydraulic modelling to provide valuable insights into high-risk zones. Modelling helps in interpreting timely and reliable flood information from the generated flood maps to reduce damages in flood areas. In this study Hydrological Response in the form of runoff is computed for a region of the Upper Ganga basin, India by using HEC Series and thus flood inundation maps were generated for different return periods. Data sets required for the study included satellite images, digital elevation model, daily precipitation and soil map. To model flood inundated areas for a return period of 2,5,10,25,50,100 years, HEC-HMS and HCE-RAS were employed. Flood inundation maps were generated and flood risk areas were identified for different return periods. Results showcased that 2-years return period flood inundates approximately 0.29 sq. km, accounting for nearly 2% of the total study area and 100-years return period flood inundates approximately 4.42 sq. km covering nearly 31% of the study area. This study provides a framework for similar research in other flood prone areas and suggest implementation of low-impact development strategies for regions prone to frequent flooding in the study area. The findings underscore the importance of integrating advanced flood modelling techniques with historical data to enhance disaster preparedness and resilience.

Keywords: Climate Change, Hydrological Modelling, Flood Inundated Areas, Return Period.

How to cite: Thakur, K. and Pathak, S.: Flood Frequency Analysis on Ganga Basin Catchment using Geospatial Techniques, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-3986, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-3986, 2025.

EGU25-15646 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS11

Development of a GLOF forecasting system through a novel concept of pre-simulated library over the Hindu Kush Himalaya region 

Susmita Saha, Ashish Pandey, B. Simhadri Rao, and Mohit Prakash Mohanty
Fri, 02 May, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | vPA.15

The Himalayan belt contains over 12,000 glaciers that have witnessed accelerated glacial melt due to concomitant climate change, leading to the formation of numerous unstable glacial lakes. These lakes, dammed by glacial deposits, pose significant mountain hazards due to their potential for sudden discharge of water and debris, causing devastating floods in the downstream reaches. To address the precipitous Glacial Lake Outburst Flood (GLOF) risks, there is a dire need to account for the impacts at near-real time, given their lesser warning times. The study proposes to develop a pre-simulated GLOF inundation library through a set of scenarios based on breach depths, breach widths, and moraine failure times to model extreme GLOF events over Safed Lake, a sensitive glacial lake in the Uttarakhand, India. At the first place, a geospatial analysis is carried out with a set of Landsat 9 images to ascertain the spatio-temporal dynamics. Using a set of scenarios within the 1D-2D coupled MIKE+ model, we perform flood inundation simulations to create a GLOF inundation library. This library will facilitate the selection of the closest inundation map based on near-real-time data; Thus, enhancing effective flood risk communication and preparedness. This innovative approach to GLOF modeling and flood risk communication is crucial for managing unstable glacial lakes with high flooding probabilities and short warning times. The findings underscore the importance of advanced modeling and timely communication in mitigating the impacts of glacial lake outburst floods and improving resilience in the Himalayan region.

 

Keywords: Climate change; Flood Risk Management; Glacial Lake Outburst Flood; Inundation library; Landsat 9; MIKE+;

 

How to cite: Saha, S., Pandey, A., Rao, B. S., and Prakash Mohanty, M.: Development of a GLOF forecasting system through a novel concept of pre-simulated library over the Hindu Kush Himalaya region, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-15646, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-15646, 2025.