EGU26-353, updated on 13 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-353
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oral | Wednesday, 06 May, 12:05–12:15 (CEST)
 
Room F1
A westward shift of heatwave hotspotscaused by warming-enhanced land–aircoupling
Kaiwen Zhang1, Zhiyan Zuo1, Wei Mei1, Renhe Zhang1, and Aiguo Dai2
Kaiwen Zhang et al.
  • 1Fudan University, Insitute of Atmospheric Sciences/Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, China (zhangkw@fudan.edu.cn)
  • 2Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY, USA

Heatwaves pose serious risks to human health and lives, but how their occurrence patterns may change under global warming remains unclear. Here we reveal a systematic westward shift of heatwave hotspots across the northern mid-latitudes around the late 1990s. Both observational analysis and numerical simulation show that this shift is caused by intensified soil moisture–atmosphere coupling (SAC) in eastern Europe, Northeast Asia and western North America under recent background warming. The strengthened SAC shifted the atmospheric high-amplitude Rossby wavenumber-5 pattern westwards to a preferred phase position, which increased the probability of the occurrence of high-pressure ridges over these 3 hotspots by a factor of up to 39. Our results highlight the importance of SAC in shaping heatwave patterns and large-scale atmospheric circulation and challenge the conventional view that the land surface only passively responds to atmospheric forcing.

How to cite: Zhang, K., Zuo, Z., Mei, W., Zhang, R., and Dai, A.: A westward shift of heatwave hotspotscaused by warming-enhanced land–aircoupling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-353, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-353, 2026.