Examining extreme weather events in the Middle East: Trends and future outlooks.

In this presentation, we will showcase the latest knowledge on trends and projections of extreme weather events over the Middle East with a particular focus on convection and extreme rainfall and flood events. For instance, in April 2024, the United Arab Emirates experienced unprecedented rainfall, triggering severe flooding and widespread disruption. We will present the driving mechanisms, localized impacts, and potential influence of human-driven climate change on this extraordinary event. We will also examine how anthropogenic climate change is increasing the frequency of extreme events in the Middle East and the role of large-scale circulation and dynamics in these events. Additionally, trends in convection development and rainfall during the last 4 decades will be presented for the two main seasons in the region: summer and winter/spring. 
Published papers related to this presentation: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-025-01073-1 and https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL118960