Oral Programme NWP4
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NWP4 Probabilistic and ensemble weather forecasting applications at short and very short ranges (including nowcasting) |
| Conveners: A. Montani , J. Barkmeijer |
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Oral Programme
/ Thu, 15 Sep, 14:00–19:00
/ Room Harvard
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Thu, 15 Sep, 16:00–17:00
/ Poster Hall (Ground Floor)
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Thursday, 15 September 2011 Room Harvard Chairperson: Montani |
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| 14:00–14:30 |
EMS2011-818
Challenges and potential obstacles for efficient probabilistic > predictions in the short range (solicited) T. Iversen |
| 14:30–14:45 |
EMS2011-334
To what extent can statistical post-processing improve upon raw GLAMEPS precipitation forecasts? M.J. Schmeits and C.J. Kok |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EMS2011-401
| presentation
PEARP, the Météo-France Ensemble Prediction System L. Descamps and C. Labadie |
| 15:00–15:15 |
EMS2011-352
| presentation
Skill assessmnet of the new ECMWF 100-meter wind fields T. Petroliagis, F. Pappenberger, and R. Buizza |
| 15:15–15:30 |
EMS2011-23
Increasing Certainty - Combination methods for reliable probabilistic wind production forecasts B. Greaves, J. Collins, J. Parkes, and L. Landberg |
| 15:30–15:45 |
EMS2011-452
| presentation
A mesoscale ensemble prediction system using singular vectors at JMA K. Ono, Y. Honda, and M. Kunii |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EMS2011-745
| presentation
Probabilistic Weather Predictions Based on Analog Forecasts D. Rife, L. Delle Monache, B. Nagarajan, T. Eckel, and K. Searight |
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Coffee Break
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| 17:00–17:30 |
EMS2011-804
| presentation
Convective-scale ensemble prediction experiments with the AROME model (solicited) F. Bouttier, O. Nuissier, B. Vié, and L. Raynaud |
| 17:30–17:45 |
EMS2011-527
| presentation
Studies at MRI toward cloud resolving ensemble NWP -Next generation supercomputer project and the Tokyo metropolitan area deep convection field campaign- K. Saito, H. Seko, T. Kawabata, Y. Shoji, T. Kuroda, T. Fujita, and O. Suzuki |
| 17:45–18:00 |
EMS2011-225
| presentation
Impact of soil-moisture initialisation on the quality of COSMO-LEPS forecasts A. Montani, C. Marsigli, and T. Paccagnella |
| 18:00–18:15 |
EMS2011-603
Development and application of a convection-permitting ensemble system using a variation of soil moisture initial fields L. Gantner, V. Klüpfel, and N. Kalthoff |
| 18:15–18:30 |
EMS2011-510
Blending the probabilistic nowcasting method Rad-TRAM with a time-lagged COSMO-DE ensemble for precipitation forecasts in different regimes K. Kober, G.C. Craig, and C. Keil |
| 18:30–18:45 |
EMS2011-799
| presentation
Evaluation of different perturbation approaches for the development of a short-range ensemble system. C. Marsigli, A. Montani, and T. Paccagnella |
| 18:45–19:00 |
EMS2011-186
| presentation
Preliminary evaluation and verification of the pre-operational COSMO-DE Ensemble Prediction System S. Theis, M. Buchhold, C. Gebhardt, C. Peralta, and Z. Ben Bouallègue |