CL2 Climate modelling, long-range forecasting, climate prediction and scenarios from seasons to century |
Convener: Christof Appenzeller | Co-Conveners: Uwe Ulbrich , Jean-Pierre Céron , Clare Goodess |
Oral Programme
/ Mon, 12 Sep, 14:00–18:30
/ Room Sorbonne
/ Tue, 13 Sep, 08:30–13:00 / Room Sorbonne
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Tue, 13 Sep, 18:30–19:30
/ Poster Hall (Ground Floor)
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Attendance Time: Tuesday, 13 September 2011, 18:30–19:30 |
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Climate Scenarios and Climate modeling |
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Poster Hall (Ground Floor) |
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PH234
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EMS2011-552
Weather Generators - the fine art of synthesizing climate time series F. Kreienkamp, A. Spekat, and W. Enke |
PH235
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EMS2011-137
The use of weather types to study changes in present and future circulation over Northwest Iberian Peninsula A. M. Ramos, M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada, L. Gimeno, and F. Santos |
PH236
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EMS2011-162
| presentation
Physics Parameter Ensemble of MIROC5 AOGCM H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, T Ogura, M. Yoshiomori, T Yokohata, J.D. Annan, J.C. Hargreaves, M. Abe, S. Emori, T. Nozawa, A. Abe-Ouchi, and M. Kimoto |
PH237
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EMS2011-322
| presentation
Adaptation for tropical regions of a Statistical Downscaling technique L. Torres, E. Gaitán, J. Quintana, J. Ribalaygua, and F.J. Pórtoles |
PH238
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EMS2011-153
Natural three-dimensional predictor domains for statistical precipitation downscaling T. Sauter and V.K.C. Venema |
PH239
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EMS2011-131
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Downscaled climate change scenarios of temperature and precipitation over Spain S.E. Petisco and E. Rodríguez-Camino |
PH240
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EMS2011-130
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Validation of dynamically downscaled ERA40 and ERA-interim over Spain and mediterranean domain J.C. Sánchez-Perrino, J.M. Rodriguez-González, E. Rodriguez-Camino, B. Perez-Gómez, G. Jordá, M. Marcos, M. Gómez-LaHoz, S. Pérez, S. Somot, E. Álvarez-Fanjul, and D. Gómis |
PH241
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EMS2011-163
Temperature and precipitation extremes over Spain for the 21st century P. Ramos-Calzado and E. Rodriguez-Camino |
PH242
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EMS2011-561
Surface temperature and precipitation in the near future climate over Europe: changes in mean and extreme events M. Patarčić, I. Güttler, L. Srnec, and Č. Branković |
PH243
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EMS2011-158
Relationships between the North Atlantic Oscillation and temperature extremes over Europe in an ensemble of global climate model simulations R. Beranová and J. Kyselý |
PH244
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EMS2011-631
Estimating the climate variables in the 21 century over the Danube middle and lower basin simulated by EGMAM C. Mares, I. Mares, M. Mihailescu, H. Hübener, U. Cubasch, and P. Stanciu |
PH245
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EMS2011-47
Analysis of simulated change in mean and extreme climate conditions for Hungary using a transient PRECIS experiment 1951-2100 I. Pieczka, R. Pongrácz, and J. Bartholy |
PH246
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EMS2011-884
A statistical model to downscale GCM output to wind speeds at turbine rotor height A. Devis |
PH247
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EMS2011-460
| presentation
Climate characteristics of the Carpathian Basin: comparison of ENSEMBLES and Hungarian simulation results using the ALADIN-Climate and REMO regional climate models G. Zsebeházi and G. Szépszó |
PH248
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EMS2011-579
What are the projected climate conditions for the Carpathian Basin? - A comprehensive regional analysis of ENSEMBLES outputs J. Bartholy, R. Pongracz, E. Miklos, and A. Kis |
PH249
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EMS2011-49
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High-resolution regional climate model simulations with the REMO model over the Carpathian Basin G. Szépszó |
PH250
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EMS2011-485
EVACLIM - a process-orientated evaluation of climate simulations for Europe and the Greater Alpine Region I. Anders, K. Haslinger, M. Hofstätter, M. Zuvela-Aloise, and W. Schöner |
PH251
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EMS2011-150
The EURO-CORDEX Initiative D. Jacob and A. Gobiet |
PH252
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EMS2011-332
FIRST WRF-NOAH CORDEX-EUROPE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATION FROM 1990-2008 AT 0.11° RESOLUTION K. Warrach-Sagi, H.-S. Bauer, T. Schwitalla, and V. Wulfmeyer |
PH253
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EMS2011-775
Convective Parameterization in RegCM3 vs. RegCM4 for CORDEX Africa T. Halenka, M. Belda, and J. Miksovsky |
PH254
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EMS2011-286
| presentation
Biases in the diurnal temperature range in Central Europe in an ensemble of regional climate models and their possible causes E. Plavcová, J. Kyselý, R. Beranová, and P. Štěpánek |
PH255
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EMS2011-536
CECILIA climate simulations - validation and analysis of climate change signal P. Skalak, M. Belda, M. Déqué, T. Halenka, A. Farda, G. Csima, J. Bartholy, M. Caian, and V. Spiridonov |
PH256
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EMS2011-500
Annual cycle of precipitation simulated by regional climate models E. Holtanova, N. Zikova, and J. Kalvova |
PH257
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EMS2011-665
Assessment of simulated climatology of surface atmospheric variables over Black Sea using regional climate model RegCM4 L. Velea, R Bojariu, and T Chronis |
PH258 |
EMS2011-831
High Resolution Dynamical Downscaling of ERA-Interim for Portugal (withdrawn) P.M.M. Soares, R.M. Cardoso, J. de Medeiros, P.M.A. Miranda, and F. Espirito-Santo |
PH259 |
EMS2011-479
Development of a regional climate model with a very high resolution: Project ALARO-Climate (withdrawn) R. Huth, R. Brožková, A. Farda, and T. Halenka |
Climate Impacts |
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PH260 |
EMS2011-372
Atmospheric response to Arctic sea-ice reduction over the Mediterranean region in a regional climate model (withdrawn) B. Grassi, G. Redaelli, and G. Visconti |
PH261
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EMS2011-393
| presentation
The hydrological in East Asia: Correlations, memory and a Granger causality analysis R. Blender, F. Sienz, X. Zhu, J. Glashoff, D. Zhang, and K. Fraedrich |
PH262
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EMS2011-63
Potential future changes through climate indices related to the vegetation period A. Krzic, I. Tosic, V. Djurdjevic, K. Veljovic, and B. Rajkovic |
PH263 |
EMS2011-56
Studies on sensitivity of RegCM3 model to land cover changes (withdrawn) B. Brzoska, A. Jaczewski, and J. Wibig |
PH264
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EMS2011-85
| presentation
Multimodel SuperEnsemble downscaling techniques on Regional Climate Models in the Alpine area and wildfire potential evaluation in the scenario D. Cane, S. Barbarino, L. A. Renier, and C. Ronchi |
PH265
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EMS2011-755
| presentation
Assessing the changes in drought conditions during summer in the Republic of Moldova based on RegCM simulations C. Boroneant, V. Potop, and M. Caian |
Predictability |
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PH266
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EMS2011-148
Analysis of El Nino events from the Atlantic remote influence M. Martín-Rey, I. Polo, B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, J. García-Serrano, T. Losada, E. Mohino, C. Mechoso, and F. Kucharski |
PH267
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EMS2011-657
| presentation
Seasonal forecast of High Altitude Wetland phenology in the tropical Andes based on MODIS snow cover and TRMM precipitation data M. Otto and D. Scherer |
PH268 |
EMS2011-375
The seasonal forecast for the most probable number of days with precipitation and temperature exceeding the thresholds. (withdrawn) K. Konca-Kedzierska and K. Pianko-Kluczynska |