Poster Programme CL2

CL2

Climate modelling, long-range forecasting, climate prediction and scenarios from seasons to century
Convener: Christof Appenzeller  | Co-Conveners: Uwe Ulbrich , Jean-Pierre Céron , Clare Goodess 
Oral Programme
 / Mon, 12 Sep, 14:00–18:30  / Room Sorbonne
 / Tue, 13 Sep, 08:30–13:00  / Room Sorbonne
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Tue, 13 Sep, 18:30–19:30  / Poster Hall (Ground Floor)

Attendance Time: Tuesday, 13 September 2011, 18:30–19:30
Climate Scenarios and Climate modeling

Poster Hall (Ground Floor)
PH234
EMS2011-552
Weather Generators - the fine art of synthesizing climate time series
F. Kreienkamp, A. Spekat, and W. Enke

PH235
EMS2011-137
The use of weather types to study changes in present and future circulation over Northwest Iberian Peninsula
A. M. Ramos, M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada, L. Gimeno, and F. Santos

PH236
EMS2011-162 | presentation
Physics Parameter Ensemble of MIROC5 AOGCM
H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, T Ogura, M. Yoshiomori, T Yokohata, J.D. Annan, J.C. Hargreaves, M. Abe, S. Emori, T. Nozawa, A. Abe-Ouchi, and M. Kimoto

PH237
EMS2011-322 | presentation
Adaptation for tropical regions of a Statistical Downscaling technique
L. Torres, E. Gaitán, J. Quintana, J. Ribalaygua, and F.J. Pórtoles

PH238
EMS2011-153
Natural three-dimensional predictor domains for statistical precipitation downscaling
T. Sauter and V.K.C. Venema

PH239
EMS2011-131 | presentation
Downscaled climate change scenarios of temperature and precipitation over Spain
S.E. Petisco and E. Rodríguez-Camino

PH240
EMS2011-130 | presentation
Validation of dynamically downscaled ERA40 and ERA-interim over Spain and mediterranean domain
J.C. Sánchez-Perrino, J.M. Rodriguez-González, E. Rodriguez-Camino, B. Perez-Gómez, G. Jordá, M. Marcos, M. Gómez-LaHoz, S. Pérez, S. Somot, E. Álvarez-Fanjul, and D. Gómis

PH241
EMS2011-163
Temperature and precipitation extremes over Spain for the 21st century
P. Ramos-Calzado and E. Rodriguez-Camino

PH242
EMS2011-561
Surface temperature and precipitation in the near future climate over Europe: changes in mean and extreme events
M. Patarčić, I. Güttler, L. Srnec, and Č. Branković

PH243
EMS2011-158
Relationships between the North Atlantic Oscillation and temperature extremes over Europe in an ensemble of global climate model simulations
R. Beranová and J. Kyselý

PH244
EMS2011-631
Estimating the climate variables in the 21 century over the Danube middle and lower basin simulated by EGMAM
C. Mares, I. Mares, M. Mihailescu, H. Hübener, U. Cubasch, and P. Stanciu

PH245
EMS2011-47
Analysis of simulated change in mean and extreme climate conditions for Hungary using a transient PRECIS experiment 1951-2100
I. Pieczka, R. Pongrácz, and J. Bartholy

PH246
EMS2011-884
A statistical model to downscale GCM output to wind speeds at turbine rotor height
A. Devis

PH247
EMS2011-460 | presentation
Climate characteristics of the Carpathian Basin: comparison of ENSEMBLES and Hungarian simulation results using the ALADIN-Climate and REMO regional climate models
G. Zsebeházi and G. Szépszó

PH248
EMS2011-579
What are the projected climate conditions for the Carpathian Basin? - A comprehensive regional analysis of ENSEMBLES outputs
J. Bartholy, R. Pongracz, E. Miklos, and A. Kis

PH249
EMS2011-49 | presentation
High-resolution regional climate model simulations with the REMO model over the Carpathian Basin
G. Szépszó

PH250
EMS2011-485
EVACLIM - a process-orientated evaluation of climate simulations for Europe and the Greater Alpine Region
I. Anders, K. Haslinger, M. Hofstätter, M. Zuvela-Aloise, and W. Schöner

PH251
EMS2011-150
The EURO-CORDEX Initiative
D. Jacob and A. Gobiet

PH252
EMS2011-332
FIRST WRF-NOAH CORDEX-EUROPE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATION FROM 1990-2008 AT 0.11° RESOLUTION
K. Warrach-Sagi, H.-S. Bauer, T. Schwitalla, and V. Wulfmeyer

PH253
EMS2011-775
Convective Parameterization in RegCM3 vs. RegCM4 for CORDEX Africa
T. Halenka, M. Belda, and J. Miksovsky

PH254
EMS2011-286 | presentation
Biases in the diurnal temperature range in Central Europe in an ensemble of regional climate models and their possible causes
E. Plavcová, J. Kyselý, R. Beranová, and P. Štěpánek

PH255
EMS2011-536
CECILIA climate simulations - validation and analysis of climate change signal
P. Skalak, M. Belda, M. Déqué, T. Halenka, A. Farda, G. Csima, J. Bartholy, M. Caian, and V. Spiridonov

PH256
EMS2011-500
Annual cycle of precipitation simulated by regional climate models
E. Holtanova, N. Zikova, and J. Kalvova

PH257
EMS2011-665
Assessment of simulated climatology of surface atmospheric variables over Black Sea using regional climate model RegCM4
L. Velea, R Bojariu, and T Chronis

PH258 EMS2011-831
High Resolution Dynamical Downscaling of ERA-Interim for Portugal (withdrawn)
P.M.M. Soares, R.M. Cardoso, J. de Medeiros, P.M.A. Miranda, and F. Espirito-Santo

PH259 EMS2011-479
Development of a regional climate model with a very high resolution: Project ALARO-Climate (withdrawn)
R. Huth, R. Brožková, A. Farda, and T. Halenka

Climate Impacts

PH260 EMS2011-372
Atmospheric response to Arctic sea-ice reduction over the Mediterranean region in a regional climate model (withdrawn)
B. Grassi, G. Redaelli, and G. Visconti

PH261
EMS2011-393 | presentation
The hydrological in East Asia: Correlations, memory and a Granger causality analysis
R. Blender, F. Sienz, X. Zhu, J. Glashoff, D. Zhang, and K. Fraedrich

PH262
EMS2011-63
Potential future changes through climate indices related to the vegetation period
A. Krzic, I. Tosic, V. Djurdjevic, K. Veljovic, and B. Rajkovic

PH263 EMS2011-56
Studies on sensitivity of RegCM3 model to land cover changes (withdrawn)
B. Brzoska, A. Jaczewski, and J. Wibig

PH264
EMS2011-85 | presentation
Multimodel SuperEnsemble downscaling techniques on Regional Climate Models in the Alpine area and wildfire potential evaluation in the scenario
D. Cane, S. Barbarino, L. A. Renier, and C. Ronchi

PH265
EMS2011-755 | presentation
Assessing the changes in drought conditions during summer in the Republic of Moldova based on RegCM simulations
C. Boroneant, V. Potop, and M. Caian

Predictability

PH266
EMS2011-148
Analysis of El Nino events from the Atlantic remote influence
M. Martín-Rey, I. Polo, B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, J. García-Serrano, T. Losada, E. Mohino, C. Mechoso, and F. Kucharski

PH267
EMS2011-657 | presentation
Seasonal forecast of High Altitude Wetland phenology in the tropical Andes based on MODIS snow cover and TRMM precipitation data
M. Otto and D. Scherer

PH268 EMS2011-375
The seasonal forecast for the most probable number of days with precipitation and temperature exceeding the thresholds. (withdrawn)
K. Konca-Kedzierska and K. Pianko-Kluczynska