Oral ECAM4

ECAM4

Verification: Measuring the Effectiveness of Forecasts and Warnings
Conveners: Pertti Nurmi , Martin Göber 
Oral
 / Tue, 10 Sep, 12:15–18:30  / Room G10
Poster
 / Attendance Tue, 10 Sep, 10:30–11:30  / Display Mon, 09 Sep, 09:00–Tue, 10 Sep, 19:00  / Poster Area 1

Tuesday, 10 September 2013
Room G10
Chairperson: P. Nurmi
12:15–12:30
EMS2013-122
Progress and challenges in NWP forecast verification
E. Ebert, L. Wilson, A. Weigel, M. Mittermaier, P. Nurmi, P. Gill, M. Goeber, and B. Brown
12:30–12:45
EMS2013-276
Fair scores for ensemble forecasts
C. A. T. Ferro
12:45–13:00
EMS2013-91
Verification of probabilistic forecasts for extreme events
S. Lerch, T. L. Thorarinsdottir, and T. Gneiting
Lunch Break
14:00–14:15
EMS2013-101 | presentation
Sampling Uncertainty in Verification Measures for Binary Deterministic Forecasts
I. T. Jolliffe and D. B. Stephenson
14:15–14:30
EMS2013-752 | presentation
Verification techniques for high resolution NWP forecasts
E V van der Plas, K Kok, and M J Schmeits
14:30–14:45
EMS2013-318
Testing Competing High-Resolution Precipitation Forecasts
E. Gilleland
14:45–15:00
EMS2013-146
Applying a single-observation-forecast neighbourhood framework to the verification of km-scale NWP
M. Mittermaier
15:00–15:15
EMS2013-577
Verifying NWP-model chains by using model independent analyses
M. Dorninger and T. Gorgas
15:15–15:30
EMS2013-305
Objective forecast verification of INCA-FVG outputs compared to WRF, ALARO and COSMO LAM.
A. Pucillo and A. Manzato
15:30–15:45
EMS2013-573
Evaluating the usefulness of spatial forecast verification methods for developing a short-term hydrometeorological prediction system
B. Brown, R Bullock, A Anderson, and E Gilleland
15:45–16:00
EMS2013-58 | presentation
Diagnostic Study of Global Energy Cycle in the Mixed Space-Time Domain for GRAPES Model
B Zhao
Coffee Break
16:30–16:45
EMS2013-219
An index for the verification of timeliness and accuracy of Canadian weather warnings
L. Wilson
16:45–17:00
EMS2013-65 | presentation
Verification of Colorado State University's Atlantic Basin Seasonal Hurricane Forecasts
P. Klotzbach and W. Gray
17:00–17:15
EMS2013-540 | presentation
What is the uncertainty of weather warnings? Can we predict it? How can this uncertainty estimate be used?
M. Göber and T. Pardowitz
17:15–17:30
EMS2013-768
The Effectiveness of Using Total Lightning Data for Severe Storm Prediction
C. Liu, S. Heckman, and F. Rey Benadero
17:30–17:45
EMS2013-355 | presentation
Verification results of heat wave warnings in Croatia
L. Kalin and Z. Vakula
17:45–18:00
EMS2013-749 | presentation
Forecast Verification Activities of the Sochi 2014 Winter Olympics
P. Nurmi
18:00–18:15
EMS2013-430
Objective verification of manual, automated and harmonised forecasts of cumulonimbus clouds from the World Area Forecast Centres
A. K. Mirza
18:15–18:30
EMS2013-493 | presentation
Operational OpenRoad verification
R. Coulson and B. Evans