Oral ECAM4
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ECAM4 Verification: Measuring the Effectiveness of Forecasts and Warnings |
| Conveners: Pertti Nurmi , Martin Göber |
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Tuesday, 10 September 2013 Room G10 Chairperson: P. Nurmi |
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| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2013-122
Progress and challenges in NWP forecast verification E. Ebert, L. Wilson, A. Weigel, M. Mittermaier, P. Nurmi, P. Gill, M. Goeber, and B. Brown |
| 12:30–12:45 |
EMS2013-276
Fair scores for ensemble forecasts C. A. T. Ferro |
| 12:45–13:00 |
EMS2013-91
Verification of probabilistic forecasts for extreme events S. Lerch, T. L. Thorarinsdottir, and T. Gneiting |
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Lunch Break
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| 14:00–14:15 |
EMS2013-101
| presentation
Sampling Uncertainty in Verification Measures for Binary Deterministic Forecasts I. T. Jolliffe and D. B. Stephenson |
| 14:15–14:30 |
EMS2013-752
| presentation
Verification techniques for high resolution NWP forecasts E V van der Plas, K Kok, and M J Schmeits |
| 14:30–14:45 |
EMS2013-318
Testing Competing High-Resolution Precipitation Forecasts E. Gilleland |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EMS2013-146
Applying a single-observation-forecast neighbourhood framework to the verification of km-scale NWP M. Mittermaier |
| 15:00–15:15 |
EMS2013-577
Verifying NWP-model chains by using model independent analyses M. Dorninger and T. Gorgas |
| 15:15–15:30 |
EMS2013-305
Objective forecast verification of INCA-FVG outputs compared to WRF, ALARO and COSMO LAM. A. Pucillo and A. Manzato |
| 15:30–15:45 |
EMS2013-573
Evaluating the usefulness of spatial forecast verification methods for developing a short-term hydrometeorological prediction system B. Brown, R Bullock, A Anderson, and E Gilleland |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EMS2013-58
| presentation
Diagnostic Study of Global Energy Cycle in the Mixed Space-Time Domain for GRAPES Model B Zhao |
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Coffee Break
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| 16:30–16:45 |
EMS2013-219
An index for the verification of timeliness and accuracy of Canadian weather warnings L. Wilson |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EMS2013-65
| presentation
Verification of Colorado State University's Atlantic Basin Seasonal Hurricane Forecasts P. Klotzbach and W. Gray |
| 17:00–17:15 |
EMS2013-540
| presentation
What is the uncertainty of weather warnings? Can we predict it? How can this uncertainty estimate be used? M. Göber and T. Pardowitz |
| 17:15–17:30 |
EMS2013-768
The Effectiveness of Using Total Lightning Data for Severe Storm Prediction C. Liu, S. Heckman, and F. Rey Benadero |
| 17:30–17:45 |
EMS2013-355
| presentation
Verification results of heat wave warnings in Croatia L. Kalin and Z. Vakula |
| 17:45–18:00 |
EMS2013-749
| presentation
Forecast Verification Activities of the Sochi 2014 Winter Olympics P. Nurmi |
| 18:00–18:15 |
EMS2013-430
Objective verification of manual, automated and harmonised forecasts of cumulonimbus clouds from the World Area Forecast Centres A. K. Mirza |
| 18:15–18:30 |
EMS2013-493
| presentation
Operational OpenRoad verification R. Coulson and B. Evans |