Oral CE3
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CE3 Communication of uncertainty in seasonal prediction and climate projections |
| Convener: Tanja Cegnar | Co-Conveners: Anca Brookshaw , Haleh Kootval |
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Oral
/ Thu, 12 Sep, 11:30–13:00
/ Room 102
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Thursday, 12 September 2013 Room 102 Chairperson: Alberto Arribas |
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| 11:30–11:45 |
EMS2013-392
| presentation
Uncertainty and Seasonal Forecasting : communicating the probabilistic forecast J.-P. Céron and C. Viel |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EMS2013-787
| presentation
Uncertainty information as a positive "added value" to long range and seasonal forecasts A. Persson |
| 12:00–12:15 |
Discussion: open round on general opinion and already acquired experience in the audience about how and to which extent uncertainty information should be incorporated in seasonal forecasts and climate projections
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| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2013-788
No consensus on consensus: The challenge of finding a universal approach to measuring and mapping ensemble consistency in GCM projections C. McSweeney and R. Jones |
| 12:30–12:45 |
EMS2013-789
| presentation
Uncomfortable about uncertainty - the challenge of communicating risk G. Fleming |
| 12:45–13:00 |
Summary, discussion and recommendations
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