Oral CL4

CL4

Climate prediction and scenarios from seasons to century
Convener: C. Appenzeller  | Co-Conveners: J.-P. Céron , C. Goodess , M. Widmann , F. J. Doblas-Reyes 
Oral
 / Wed, 11 Sep, 08:30–13:00  / Room G10
 / Thu, 12 Sep, 08:30–10:30  / Room G10
Poster
 / Attendance Wed, 11 Sep, 10:30–11:30  / Display Wed, 11 Sep, 09:00–Fri, 13 Sep, 14:00  / Poster Area 2

Wednesday, 11 September 2013
Room G10
Chairperson: Christof Appenzeller
08:30–09:00
EMS2013-211
Skillful Predictions of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation
A. Arribas et al.
09:00–09:15
EMS2013-556
Links between Arctic sea-ice conditions and oceanic heat transport
S. Tietsche et al.
09:15–09:30
EMS2013-451
The start date dependence of initialised predictions of Pan-Arctic and regional sea ice cover
J. Day et al.
09:30–09:45
EMS2013-387
Seasonal Forecast in France : application to hydrology
J.-P. Céron et al.
09:45–10:00
EMS2013-210
Forcasting climate indices on a seasonal to decadal timescale in the framework of EUPORIAS
I. Mahlstein et al.
10:00–10:15
EMS2013-280
Evaluating decadal hindcasts: why and how?
C. A. T. Ferro et al.
10:15–10:30
EMS2013-195
Regional decadal predictions for Europe: Skill and added value.
M. Uhlig et al.
Coffee Break & Poster Sessions
11:30–12:00
EMS2013-782
VALUE COST Action - Validating and Integrating Downscaling Methods for Climate Change Research
M. Widmann et al.
12:00–12:15
EMS2013-772
Climate classification in climate change assessment
T. Halenka et al.
12:15–12:30 EMS2013-34
Regional projections of future precipitation characteristics using a GCM-RCM ensemble (withdrawn)
S. Hänsel et al.
12:30–12:45
EMS2013-700
Scenarios of precipitation extremes in Poland for the 21st century, comparison of different methods
J. Wibig
12:45–13:00
EMS2013-721
Regional multi-model ensemble results for hydrological cycle properties in a high- and a low-emission scenario
H. Huebener and M.G. Sanderson

Thursday, 12 September 2013
Room G10
08:30–08:45
EMS2013-650
The response of North Atlantic and European cyclones to climate change in the CMIP5 climate models
G. Zappa et al.
08:45–09:00
EMS2013-508
Large-scale temperature gradients and the extratropical storm track responses in CMIP5
B J Harvey et al.
09:00–09:15
EMS2013-614
Ensemble computation of waves and storm surges in the Mediterranean Sea in the next decades (2021-2050).
P. Lionello et al.
09:15–09:30
EMS2013-257
Medicane risk in a changing climate: Results of two methods
R. Romero et al.
09:30–09:45
EMS2013-647
Climate change projections over the Iberian Peninsula: Comparing uncertainties of multimodel, multiscenario and multiphysics ensembles.
J.P. Montavez et al.
09:45–10:00
EMS2013-151
Methods for the inclusion of parameter uncertainty in weather and climate forecasts
S. Jewson
10:00–10:15
EMS2013-3
Multiscale behavior of the ALARO-0 model for simulating extreme summer precipitation climatology
R. De Troch et al.
10:15–10:30
EMS2013-15
A Response in the ENSO cycle to an extratropical forcing mechanism during the El Niño to La Niña transition
Y. Wang et al.