Orals ASI13
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ASI13 Energy Meteorology |
| Convener: Sven-Erik Gryning | Co-Conveners: Ekaterina Batchvarova , Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt , Lucien Wald |
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Orals
/ Mon, 06 Oct, 14:00–19:00
/ Room Nadir
/ Tue, 07 Oct, 08:30–13:00 / 15:30–17:30 / Room Nadir / Wed, 08 Oct, 08:30–16:00 / Room Nadir
Posters
/ Attendance Mon, 06 Oct, 16:00–17:00
/
/ Attendance Tue, 07 Oct, 10:30–11:30 / / Attendance Wed, 08 Oct, 10:30–11:30 / |
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Monday, 6 October 2014 Room Nadir Chairperson: Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt |
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| 14:00–14:15 |
EMS2014-378
Climate change impact on European photovoltaic power production: insights from Euro-Cordex Sonia Jerez, Robert Vautard, Isabelle Tobin, Juan Pedro Montávez, Jose María López-Romero, Françoise Thais, Martin Wild, Klaus Keuler, Michal Belda, Ole Bøssing Christensen, Erik van Meijgaard, Samuel Somot, and Michel Déqué |
| 14:15–14:30 |
EMS2014-404
Can chemical transport models improve global horizontal irradiance forecasts? Marek Brabec, Ondřej Konár, Jaroslav Resler, Pavel Krč, Emil Pelikán, and Kryštof Eben |
| 14:30–14:45 |
EMS2014-253
On the induced uncertainties in direct normal irradiance calculations under cloud-free conditions due to aerosol optical depth from MACC re-analysis data Vassileios Salamalikis, Blanc Philippe, and Andreas Kazantzidis |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EMS2014-516
A new method of MSG images processing for hourly solar radiation assessment. Samuel Quesada-Ruiz, Alvaro Linares-Rodriguez, Clara Arbizu-Barrena, Mercedes Martinez-Durban, Francisco Santos-Alamillos, Joaquín Alonso, David Pozo-Vazquez, and Jaquin Tovar-Pescador |
| 15:00–15:15 |
EMS2014-29
Solar resource assessment in the Alps: a comparison of available datasets for the Trentino region (withdrawn) Lavinia Laiti, Lorenzo Giovannini, Luca Panziera, and Dino Zardi |
| 15:15–15:30 |
EMS2014-157
Satellite-based PV potential climatology for Alpine Regions Jochen Wagner, Reto Stöckli, Anke Tetzlaff, Martial Duguay, and Marc Zebisch |
| 15:30–15:45 |
EMS2014-42
| presentation
A new approach for estimating Photosynthetically Active Radiation in clear sky conditions William Wandji Nyamsi, Bella Espinar, Philippe Blanc, and Lucien Wald |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EMS2014-426
Solar Resource Assessment with Rotating Shadowband Irradiometers (RSI) Norbert Geuder, Birk Kraas, Eckhard Lüpfert, and Klaus Pottler |
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Coffee Break & Poster Sessions
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| 17:00–17:15 |
EMS2014-160
| presentation
Performance Evaluation of Radiation Sensors for the Solar Energy Sector Laurent Vuilleumier, Mathias Hauser, Christian Félix, Dominique Ruffieux, and Bertrand Calpini |
| 17:15–17:30 |
EMS2014-30
| presentation
Small-scale solar irradiance nowcasting with sky imager pictures Thomas Schmidt, John Kalisch, and Elke Lorenz |
| 17:30–17:45 |
EMS2014-34
| presentation
Computation Of Cloud Motion For Solar Irradiance Prediction Rogiros Tapakis and Alexandros Charalambides |
| 17:45–18:00 |
EMS2014-610
A preliminary study on short-term predictability of solar surface irradiance over Italian Peninsula for photovoltaic energy production Christian Lanconelli, Tony Christian Landi, Boyan Petkov, Angelo Lupi, Mauro Mazzola, Vito Vitale, Paolo Bonasoni, Maurizio Busetto, Paolo Cristofanelli, Piero Malguzzi, Andrea Buzzi, Monica Campanelli, Stefano Dietrich, Stefano Federico, Claudia Roberta Calidonna, and Anna Maria Sempreviva |
| 18:00–18:15 |
EMS2014-252
Development of a neural network model of cloudiness forecasting for solar energy purposes in Greece Andreas Kazantzidis, Athanassios Zagouras, Vasileios Salamalikis, and Efterpi Nikitidou |
| 18:15–18:30 |
EMS2014-547
| presentation
Using cloud fraction derived from all-sky camera to improve beam solar irradiance forecasting by time-series modeling Nicolas Nitche, Pierre-Julien Trombe, and Sylvain Cros |
| 18:30–18:45 |
EMS2014-316
Short-term forecasting of cloud movement & irradiance changes using ground-based sky cameras Samuel West, Saad Sayeef, Peter Coppin, and Jing Huang |
| 18:45–19:00 |
EMS2014-576
Satellite-based solar irradiance and photovoltaic (PV) production forecasting on Reunion Tropical Island Jordi Badosa, Martial Haeffelin, Elke Lorenz, Genevieve Seze, Natacha Kalecinski, and Jean Mathorel |
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Tuesday, 7 October 2014 Room Nadir Chairperson: Lucien Wald |
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| 08:30–08:45 |
EMS2014-147
| presentation
ECMWF's global and direct normal irradiance forecasts - an accuracy assessment taking the new MACC aerosol forecasts into account Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt, Niels Killius, Gerhard Gesell, and Angela Benedetti |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EMS2014-415
| presentation
Solar PV power forecasting in Australia using GFS and ECMWF Henrik Aalborg Nielsen, Torben Skov Nielsen, Hans-Peter (Igor) Waldl, and Peter Coppin |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EMS2014-340
Forecasting the variability of solar irradiance using numerical weather prediction Jing Huang |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EMS2014-429
Statistical Analysis of NWP Prediction Errors and Their Consequences for Short-Time Photovoltaic Energy Forecasting; A Semi-Parametric Way to Prediction Quality Improvements Marek Brabec, Kryštof Eben, Ondřej Konár, Pavel Krč, Emil Pelikán, and Pavel Juruš |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EMS2014-376
Ensemble Forecasts and Predictability: A look at COSMO-DE-EPS performance for global radiation Zied Ben Bouallègue and Tobias Heppelmann |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EMS2014-8
| presentation
Application of meteorological data for state estimation of an electrical low voltage grid with a high amount of photovoltaic systems Holger Ruf, Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt2, Florian Meier, and Gerd Heilscher |
| 10:00–10:15 |
EMS2014-32
| presentation
Monitoring the performance of solar energy plants from satellite remote sensing of air temperature and ground solar irradiance through an accurate modelling of the effects of aerosol optical properties Marco Morelli, Andrea Masini, Sebastiano B. Serpico, Gabriele Moser, and Marco A. C. Potenza |
| 10:15–10:30 |
EMS2014-564
Designing a renewable energy system for the Iberian Peninsula. Juan Pedro Montavez, Jesús Ruiz, Sonia Jerez, and Antonio Sarsa |
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Coffee Break & Poster Sessions
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| 11:30–11:45 |
EMS2014-328
| presentation
Simulation of long term solar power feed-in and solar balancing potential in European countries Kabitri Nag, Elke Lorenz, Alexander Kies, Lüder von Bremen, and Detlev Heinemann |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EMS2014-444
Response of electricity demand to temperature and solar radiation in Italy Simone Scapin, Francesco Apadula, Michele Brunetti, and Maurizio Maugeri |
| 12:00–12:15 |
EMS2014-331
Investigation of balancing effects in long term renewable energy feed-in with respect to the transmission grid Alexander Kies, Lüder von Bremen, Kabitri Nag, Elke Lorenz, and Detlev Heinemann |
| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2014-132
| presentation
Towards a more accurate solar and wind power prediction by improving NWP model physics Carmen Köhler and Andrea Steiner |
| 12:30–12:45 |
EMS2014-170
Operational Wind and Solar Energy power forecasting for the Australian Energy Market Peter Coppin and Jing Huang |
| 12:45–13:00 |
EMS2014-424
Now-casting of Wind and PV for EEX/EPEX Traders Roman Y. Asper |
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Lunch Break
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| 15:30–15:45 |
EMS2014-199
The ORKA project: Improving COSMO-DE-EPS for Renewable Energy applications Regina Kohlhepp, Jonas von Schumann, and Michael Buchhold |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EMS2014-2
Observations and modeling of the wind profile and wind turning in the atmospheric boundary layer Alfredo Peña, Sven-Erik Gryning, and Rogier Floors |
| 16:00–16:15 |
EMS2014-202
The impact of stability on the near-surface wind in high-wind conditions over sea Peter Baas, Fred Bosveld, and Gerrit Burgers |
| 16:15–16:30 |
EMS2014-257
Validation of offshore boundary layer wind shear profiles for wind energy research Maarten Holtslag, Wim Bierbooms, and Gerard van Bussel |
| 16:30–16:45 |
EMS2014-500
Observations of the boundary-layer height and the wind profile in the marine boundary layer Rogier Floors, Sven-Erik Gryning, and Alfredo Peña |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EMS2014-595
Monitoring vertical wind profiles at a coastal area using a lidar doppler for wind energy applications Claudia Roberta Calidonna, Daniel Gulli, Stefano Federico, Elenio Avolio, Teresa Lo Feudo, Luca Tiriolo, and Anna Maria Sempreviva |
| 17:00–17:15 |
EMS2014-208
An experimental and numerical study of the urban wind field at the university site Tübingen Asmae EL BAHLOULI and Jens BANGE |
| 17:15–17:30 |
EMS2014-233
| presentation
Comparison of inflow wind variables and error detection using LiDAR technology Ashim Giyanani, Wim Bierbooms, and Gerard van Bussel |
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Wednesday, 8 October 2014 Room Nadir Chairperson: Sven-Erik Gryning |
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| 08:30–08:45 |
EMS2014-219
Turbulent Interaction of Wind Turbines with the Atmospheric Boundary Layer above Land Surface Observed by Small Unmanned Research Aircraft Jens Bange and Norman Wildmann |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EMS2014-118
| presentation
Timing of wind gust maxima within a 100 m layer above the ground Irene Suomi, Sven-Erik Gryning, Rogier Floors, Timo Vihma, and Carl Fortelius |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EMS2014-244
Stochastic simulation of spatial wind gusts René Bos, Wim Bierbooms, and Gerard van Bussel |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EMS2014-371
| presentation
Random forests ramp forecasts for groups of wind farms Pål Preede Revheim and Hans Georg Beyer |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EMS2014-383
An LES study of wind turbine wakes within the offshore wind farm 'EnBW Baltic 1' Martin Dörenkämper, Björn Witha, Gerald Steinfeld, Detlev Heinemann, and Martin Kühn |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EMS2014-466
| presentation
Variations in offshore wind turbine wake profiles with different inflow conditions of non-wake-affected upstream wind Alexander Cassola, Andy Oldroyd, Brian Gribben, Neil Adams, Breanne Gellatly, and Matthew Stickland |
| 10:00–10:15 |
EMS2014-495
Wind turbine wake deflection in different atmospheric stratifications Lukas Vollmer, Marc Bromm, Gerald Steinfeld, Detlev Heinemann, and Martin Kühn |
| 10:15–10:30 |
EMS2014-566
| presentation
Large-eddy simulations of the internal boundary layer and wake flow within very large wind farms Björn Witha, Gerald Steinfeld, and Detlev Heinemann |
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Coffee Break & Poster Sessions
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| 11:30–11:45 |
EMS2014-122
Improvement of a wind farm parameterization for mesoscale models based on a parameter study with the large-eddy simulation model PALM Gerald Steinfeld, Björn Witha, Martin Dörenkämper, Lukas Vollmer, Hauke Wurps, and Detlev Heinemann |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EMS2014-374
| presentation
Probabilistic Wind Farm Group Forecasts using Bayesian Model Averaging Pål Preede Revheim and Hans Georg Beyer |
| 12:00–12:15 |
EMS2014-421
The relation between spatial and temporal mesoscale wind fluctuations Anna Mehrens, Lueder von Bremen, and Detlev Heinemann |
| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2014-84
Assessing the complementarity of present and future wind power production in different European countries: long term (1961-2050) results from ENSEMBLES regional climate models. (withdrawn) Fabio Monforti-Ferrario and Marco Gaetani |
| 12:30–12:45 |
EMS2014-282
| presentation
Are two years long enough? - The effect of the length of numerical model data on wind resource assessments Jessica Standen, Karen Walter, Clive Wilson, and Alasdair Skea |
| 12:45–13:00 |
EMS2014-315
The regional impacts of mid-term wind power in several deployment scenarios Robert Vautard, Isabelle Tobin, Sonia Jerez, and Françoise Thais |
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Lunch Break
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| 14:00–14:15 |
EMS2014-88
The New European Wind Atlas Erik Lundtang Petersen, Hans E. Jørgensen, Jakob Mann, and Ib Troen |
| 14:15–14:30 |
EMS2014-425
Comparison of measure-correlate-predict approaches David Hanslian and Jiří Hošek |
| 14:30–14:45 |
EMS2014-445
Assessing climate change impacts on European wind power production Isabelle Tobin, Robert Vautard, Sonia Jerez, Françoise Thais, Michel Déqué, Sven Kotlarski, Cathrine Fox Maule, Erik Van Meijgaard, Grigory Nikulin, Claas Teichmann, and Thomas Noël |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EMS2014-212
Simulating the Future Wind Energy Resorce of Ireland using a Multi Model Ensemble Approach (withdrawn) Paul Nolan and Alastair McKinstry |
| 15:00–15:15 |
EMS2014-435
| presentation
The variability of energy demand and supply in space and time: a semi-operational prototype to forecast climate from weeks to months ahead Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Melanie Davis, Verónica Torralba Fernandez, and Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego |
| 15:15–15:30 |
EMS2014-129
A climate change methodology for the UK gas industry Edward Pope, Kate Brown, Justin Krijnen, and Helen Hanlon |
| 15:30–15:45 |
EMS2014-360
Estimating substitution and climatic effects of forest biomass production and utilization for the entire logistic chain: life cycle perspective Ashraful Alam, Antti Kilpeläinen, and Seppo Kellomäki |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EMS2014-342
| presentation
Optimized significant wave height forecasts and their benefit on the workability at Offshore Wind Farms Thomas Kanefendt, Arne Wessel, and Britta Mey |