Orals ASI13

ASI13

Energy Meteorology
Convener: Sven-Erik Gryning  | Co-Conveners: Ekaterina Batchvarova , Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt , Lucien Wald 
Orals
 / Mon, 06 Oct, 14:00–19:00  / Room Nadir
 / Tue, 07 Oct, 08:30–13:00  / 15:30–17:30  / Room Nadir
 / Wed, 08 Oct, 08:30–16:00  / Room Nadir
Posters
 / Attendance Mon, 06 Oct, 16:00–17:00  / Display Mon, 06 Oct, 09:00–Wed, 08 Oct, 13:00  / Meridian Right Back
 / Attendance Tue, 07 Oct, 10:30–11:30  / Display Mon, 06 Oct, 09:00–Wed, 08 Oct, 13:00  / Meridian Right Back
 / Attendance Wed, 08 Oct, 10:30–11:30  / Display Mon, 06 Oct, 09:00–Wed, 08 Oct, 13:00  / Meridian Right Back

Monday, 6 October 2014
Room Nadir
Chairperson: Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt
14:00–14:15
EMS2014-378
Climate change impact on European photovoltaic power production: insights from Euro-Cordex
Sonia Jerez, Robert Vautard, Isabelle Tobin, Juan Pedro Montávez, Jose María López-Romero, Françoise Thais, Martin Wild, Klaus Keuler, Michal Belda, Ole Bøssing Christensen, Erik van Meijgaard, Samuel Somot, and Michel Déqué
14:15–14:30
EMS2014-404
Can chemical transport models improve global horizontal irradiance forecasts?
Marek Brabec, Ondřej Konár, Jaroslav Resler, Pavel Krč, Emil Pelikán, and Kryštof Eben
14:30–14:45
EMS2014-253
On the induced uncertainties in direct normal irradiance calculations under cloud-free conditions due to aerosol optical depth from MACC re-analysis data
Vassileios Salamalikis, Blanc Philippe, and Andreas Kazantzidis
14:45–15:00
EMS2014-516
A new method of MSG images processing for hourly solar radiation assessment.
Samuel Quesada-Ruiz, Alvaro Linares-Rodriguez, Clara Arbizu-Barrena, Mercedes Martinez-Durban, Francisco Santos-Alamillos, Joaquín Alonso, David Pozo-Vazquez, and Jaquin Tovar-Pescador
15:00–15:15 EMS2014-29<span style="font-size: .8em!important; font-weight: bold; vertical-align: super; color: green!important;"></span>
Solar resource assessment in the Alps: a comparison of available datasets for the Trentino region (withdrawn)
Lavinia Laiti, Lorenzo Giovannini, Luca Panziera, and Dino Zardi
15:15–15:30
EMS2014-157
Satellite-based PV potential climatology for Alpine Regions
Jochen Wagner, Reto Stöckli, Anke Tetzlaff, Martial Duguay, and Marc Zebisch
15:30–15:45
EMS2014-42 | presentation
A new approach for estimating Photosynthetically Active Radiation in clear sky conditions
William Wandji Nyamsi, Bella Espinar, Philippe Blanc, and Lucien Wald
15:45–16:00
EMS2014-426
Solar Resource Assessment with Rotating Shadowband Irradiometers (RSI)
Norbert Geuder, Birk Kraas, Eckhard Lüpfert, and Klaus Pottler
Coffee Break & Poster Sessions
17:00–17:15
EMS2014-160 | presentation
Performance Evaluation of Radiation Sensors for the Solar Energy Sector
Laurent Vuilleumier, Mathias Hauser, Christian Félix, Dominique Ruffieux, and Bertrand Calpini
17:15–17:30
EMS2014-30 | presentation
Small-scale solar irradiance nowcasting with sky imager pictures
Thomas Schmidt, John Kalisch, and Elke Lorenz
17:30–17:45
EMS2014-34 | presentation
Computation Of Cloud Motion For Solar Irradiance Prediction
Rogiros Tapakis and Alexandros Charalambides
17:45–18:00
EMS2014-610
A preliminary study on short-term predictability of solar surface irradiance over Italian Peninsula for photovoltaic energy production
Christian Lanconelli, Tony Christian Landi, Boyan Petkov, Angelo Lupi, Mauro Mazzola, Vito Vitale, Paolo Bonasoni, Maurizio Busetto, Paolo Cristofanelli, Piero Malguzzi, Andrea Buzzi, Monica Campanelli, Stefano Dietrich, Stefano Federico, Claudia Roberta Calidonna, and Anna Maria Sempreviva
18:00–18:15
EMS2014-252
Development of a neural network model of cloudiness forecasting for solar energy purposes in Greece
Andreas Kazantzidis, Athanassios Zagouras, Vasileios Salamalikis, and Efterpi Nikitidou
18:15–18:30
EMS2014-547 | presentation
Using cloud fraction derived from all-sky camera to improve beam solar irradiance forecasting by time-series modeling
Nicolas Nitche, Pierre-Julien Trombe, and Sylvain Cros
18:30–18:45
EMS2014-316
Short-term forecasting of cloud movement &amp;amp; irradiance changes using ground-based sky cameras
Samuel West, Saad Sayeef, Peter Coppin, and Jing Huang
18:45–19:00
EMS2014-576
Satellite-based solar irradiance and photovoltaic (PV) production forecasting on Reunion Tropical Island
Jordi Badosa, Martial Haeffelin, Elke Lorenz, Genevieve Seze, Natacha Kalecinski, and Jean Mathorel

Tuesday, 7 October 2014
Room Nadir
Chairperson: Lucien Wald
08:30–08:45
EMS2014-147 | presentation
ECMWF's global and direct normal irradiance forecasts - an accuracy assessment taking the new MACC aerosol forecasts into account
Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt, Niels Killius, Gerhard Gesell, and Angela Benedetti
08:45–09:00
EMS2014-415 | presentation
Solar PV power forecasting in Australia using GFS and ECMWF
Henrik Aalborg Nielsen, Torben Skov Nielsen, Hans-Peter (Igor) Waldl, and Peter Coppin
09:00–09:15
EMS2014-340
Forecasting the variability of solar irradiance using numerical weather prediction
Jing Huang
09:15–09:30
EMS2014-429
Statistical Analysis of NWP Prediction Errors and Their Consequences for Short-Time Photovoltaic Energy Forecasting; A Semi-Parametric Way to Prediction Quality Improvements
Marek Brabec, Kryštof Eben, Ondřej Konár, Pavel Krč, Emil Pelikán, and Pavel Juruš
09:30–09:45
EMS2014-376
Ensemble Forecasts and Predictability: A look at COSMO-DE-EPS performance for global radiation
Zied Ben Bouallègue and Tobias Heppelmann
09:45–10:00
EMS2014-8 | presentation
Application of meteorological data for state estimation of an electrical low voltage grid with a high amount of photovoltaic systems
Holger Ruf, Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt2, Florian Meier, and Gerd Heilscher
10:00–10:15
EMS2014-32 | presentation
Monitoring the performance of solar energy plants from satellite remote sensing of air temperature and ground solar irradiance through an accurate modelling of the effects of aerosol optical properties
Marco Morelli, Andrea Masini, Sebastiano B. Serpico, Gabriele Moser, and Marco A. C. Potenza
10:15–10:30
EMS2014-564
Designing a renewable energy system for the Iberian Peninsula.
Juan Pedro Montavez, Jesús Ruiz, Sonia Jerez, and Antonio Sarsa
Coffee Break & Poster Sessions
11:30–11:45
EMS2014-328 | presentation
Simulation of long term solar power feed-in and solar balancing potential in European countries
Kabitri Nag, Elke Lorenz, Alexander Kies, Lüder von Bremen, and Detlev Heinemann
11:45–12:00
EMS2014-444
Response of electricity demand to temperature and solar radiation in Italy
Simone Scapin, Francesco Apadula, Michele Brunetti, and Maurizio Maugeri
12:00–12:15
EMS2014-331
Investigation of balancing effects in long term renewable energy feed-in with respect to the transmission grid
Alexander Kies, Lüder von Bremen, Kabitri Nag, Elke Lorenz, and Detlev Heinemann
12:15–12:30
EMS2014-132 | presentation
Towards a more accurate solar and wind power prediction by improving NWP model physics
Carmen Köhler and Andrea Steiner
12:30–12:45
EMS2014-170
Operational Wind and Solar Energy power forecasting for the Australian Energy Market
Peter Coppin and Jing Huang
12:45–13:00
EMS2014-424
Now-casting of Wind and PV for EEX/EPEX Traders
Roman Y. Asper
Lunch Break
15:30–15:45
EMS2014-199
The ORKA project: Improving COSMO-DE-EPS for Renewable Energy applications
Regina Kohlhepp, Jonas von Schumann, and Michael Buchhold
15:45–16:00
EMS2014-2
Observations and modeling of the wind profile and wind turning in the atmospheric boundary layer
Alfredo Peña, Sven-Erik Gryning, and Rogier Floors
16:00–16:15
EMS2014-202
The impact of stability on the near-surface wind in high-wind conditions over sea
Peter Baas, Fred Bosveld, and Gerrit Burgers
16:15–16:30
EMS2014-257
Validation of offshore boundary layer wind shear profiles for wind energy research
Maarten Holtslag, Wim Bierbooms, and Gerard van Bussel
16:30–16:45
EMS2014-500
Observations of the boundary-layer height and the wind profile in the marine boundary layer
Rogier Floors, Sven-Erik Gryning, and Alfredo Peña
16:45–17:00
EMS2014-595
Monitoring vertical wind profiles at a coastal area using a lidar doppler for wind energy applications
Claudia Roberta Calidonna, Daniel Gulli, Stefano Federico, Elenio Avolio, Teresa Lo Feudo, Luca Tiriolo, and Anna Maria Sempreviva
17:00–17:15
EMS2014-208
An experimental and numerical study of the urban wind field at the university site Tübingen
Asmae EL BAHLOULI and Jens BANGE
17:15–17:30
EMS2014-233 | presentation
Comparison of inflow wind variables and error detection using LiDAR technology
Ashim Giyanani, Wim Bierbooms, and Gerard van Bussel

Wednesday, 8 October 2014
Room Nadir
Chairperson: Sven-Erik Gryning
08:30–08:45
EMS2014-219
Turbulent Interaction of Wind Turbines with the Atmospheric Boundary Layer above Land Surface Observed by Small Unmanned Research Aircraft
Jens Bange and Norman Wildmann
08:45–09:00
EMS2014-118 | presentation
Timing of wind gust maxima within a 100 m layer above the ground
Irene Suomi, Sven-Erik Gryning, Rogier Floors, Timo Vihma, and Carl Fortelius
09:00–09:15
EMS2014-244
Stochastic simulation of spatial wind gusts
René Bos, Wim Bierbooms, and Gerard van Bussel
09:15–09:30
EMS2014-371 | presentation
Random forests ramp forecasts for groups of wind farms
Pål Preede Revheim and Hans Georg Beyer
09:30–09:45
EMS2014-383
An LES study of wind turbine wakes within the offshore wind farm 'EnBW Baltic 1'
Martin Dörenkämper, Björn Witha, Gerald Steinfeld, Detlev Heinemann, and Martin Kühn
09:45–10:00
EMS2014-466 | presentation
Variations in offshore wind turbine wake profiles with different inflow conditions of non-wake-affected upstream wind
Alexander Cassola, Andy Oldroyd, Brian Gribben, Neil Adams, Breanne Gellatly, and Matthew Stickland
10:00–10:15
EMS2014-495
Wind turbine wake deflection in different atmospheric stratifications
Lukas Vollmer, Marc Bromm, Gerald Steinfeld, Detlev Heinemann, and Martin Kühn
10:15–10:30
EMS2014-566 | presentation
Large-eddy simulations of the internal boundary layer and wake flow within very large wind farms
Björn Witha, Gerald Steinfeld, and Detlev Heinemann
Coffee Break & Poster Sessions
11:30–11:45
EMS2014-122
Improvement of a wind farm parameterization for mesoscale models based on a parameter study with the large-eddy simulation model PALM
Gerald Steinfeld, Björn Witha, Martin Dörenkämper, Lukas Vollmer, Hauke Wurps, and Detlev Heinemann
11:45–12:00
EMS2014-374 | presentation
Probabilistic Wind Farm Group Forecasts using Bayesian Model Averaging
Pål Preede Revheim and Hans Georg Beyer
12:00–12:15
EMS2014-421
The relation between spatial and temporal mesoscale wind fluctuations
Anna Mehrens, Lueder von Bremen, and Detlev Heinemann
12:15–12:30 EMS2014-84<span style="font-size: .8em!important; font-weight: bold; vertical-align: super; color: green!important;"></span>
Assessing the complementarity of present and future wind power production in different European countries: long term (1961-2050) results from ENSEMBLES regional climate models. (withdrawn)
Fabio Monforti-Ferrario and Marco Gaetani
12:30–12:45
EMS2014-282 | presentation
Are two years long enough? - The effect of the length of numerical model data on wind resource assessments
Jessica Standen, Karen Walter, Clive Wilson, and Alasdair Skea
12:45–13:00
EMS2014-315
The regional impacts of mid-term wind power in several deployment scenarios
Robert Vautard, Isabelle Tobin, Sonia Jerez, and Françoise Thais
Lunch Break
14:00–14:15
EMS2014-88
The New European Wind Atlas
Erik Lundtang Petersen, Hans E. Jørgensen, Jakob Mann, and Ib Troen
14:15–14:30
EMS2014-425
Comparison of measure-correlate-predict approaches
David Hanslian and Jiří Hošek
14:30–14:45
EMS2014-445
Assessing climate change impacts on European wind power production
Isabelle Tobin, Robert Vautard, Sonia Jerez, Françoise Thais, Michel Déqué, Sven Kotlarski, Cathrine Fox Maule, Erik Van Meijgaard, Grigory Nikulin, Claas Teichmann, and Thomas Noël
14:45–15:00 EMS2014-212<span style="font-size: .8em!important; font-weight: bold; vertical-align: super; color: green!important;"></span>
Simulating the Future Wind Energy Resorce of Ireland using a Multi Model Ensemble Approach (withdrawn)
Paul Nolan and Alastair McKinstry
15:00–15:15
EMS2014-435 | presentation
The variability of energy demand and supply in space and time: a semi-operational prototype to forecast climate from weeks to months ahead
Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Melanie Davis, Verónica Torralba Fernandez, and Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego
15:15–15:30
EMS2014-129
A climate change methodology for the UK gas industry
Edward Pope, Kate Brown, Justin Krijnen, and Helen Hanlon
15:30–15:45
EMS2014-360
Estimating substitution and climatic effects of forest biomass production and utilization for the entire logistic chain: life cycle perspective
Ashraful Alam, Antti Kilpeläinen, and Seppo Kellomäki
15:45–16:00
EMS2014-342 | presentation
Optimized significant wave height forecasts and their benefit on the workability at Offshore Wind Farms
Thomas Kanefendt, Arne Wessel, and Britta Mey