Orals ECAM3
ECAM3 Forecast Verification of High-Impact Weather |
Convener: Pertti Nurmi | Co-Convener: Martin Göber |
Thursday, 10 September 2015 Room Kyoto Chairperson: Pertti Nurmi |
|
14:00–14:15 |
EMS2015-299
Is there a limit to forecast accuracy? The impact of temporal sampling |
14:15–14:30 |
EMS2015-485
Spurious skill? Varying event frequencies, non-collapsibility and Simpson's Paradox in forecast verification |
14:30–14:45 |
EMS2015-570
A new verification method for assessing competing forecast performance with timing errors |
14:45–15:00 |
EMS2015-261
Verification of the accuracy and timeliness of Canadian Weather Warnings using the Weather Warning Index |
15:00–15:15 |
EMS2015-430
Verification of wind gust warnings at DWD |
15:15–15:30 |
EMS2015-204
Probabilistic SAL - Evaluating the spatial properties of probabilistic precipitation simulations |
15:30–15:45 |
Poster introduction
|
15:45–16:00 |
EMS2015-105
Challenge to Develop and Demonstrate New User-Oriented Forecast Verification Metrics |
Coffee break
|
|
Sochi Olympics: FROST 2014
|
|
17:00–17:15 |
EMS2015-577
The Framework of the WMO/WWRP FROST-2014 Forecast Verification Setup and Activities (solicited) |
17:15–17:30 |
EMS2015-150
Verification of official operational forecasts for the Sochi Olympics |
17:30–17:45 |
EMS2015-576
End-user focused verification of precipitation nowcast systems during the Sochi 2014 Winter Olympics |
17:45–18:00 |
EMS2015-364
Performance of deterministic numerical weather forecasts during the FROST-2014 project field campaign |
18:00–18:15 |
EMS2015-155
Verification of high impact weather forecasts in the region of Sochi-2014 Olympic Games |
18:15–18:30 |
EMS2015-154
On the spatial verification of FROST-2014 precipitation forecast fields |
Friday, 11 September 2015 Room Kyoto Chairperson: Laurie Wilson |
|
09:00–09:15 |
EMS2015-550
Advanced Methods for Climate and Regional Model Validation with Societal Applications |
09:15–09:30 |
EMS2015-284
Verification of user-oriented monthly and seasonal forecasts |
09:30–09:45 |
EMS2015-159
Verification of long range drought forecasts |
09:45–10:00 |
EMS2015-307
Ensemble versus deterministic performance: what are the benefits for thresholds of interest from a weather hazards/impacts perspective |
10:00–10:15 |
EMS2015-600
Probabilistic predictability of weather types in operational ensemble forecasts and the Lorenz model |
10:15–10:30 |
EMS2015-81
Quality Evaluation of Quantitative Precipitation Estimates from CMA for Grid Precipitation verification |