Project Geohazards: New Initiative on Climate Projections and Predictions

The overal project falls under "Earth and related environmental sciences" and is designed to be multidisciplinary. One of the main field is "Atmospheric Sciences, Meteorology" due to the predominance of research related to atmospheric, meteorological and climatic hazards (WP1 and WP2) and the interaction of the Earth's surface spheres with the atmosphere (WP3) or the study of atmospheric pollution by dust particles (WP5). Given the wide range of natural and anthropogenic geohazards that are the subject of research in this project, other geoscience and environmental specialisations as well as more applied fields such as engineering and computer science are also among the sub-disciplines. 

The basic theme of the WP2 is projection (and prediction) of climate change and research on its impact on risk phenomena, with analysis of their causes and assessment of their consequences in selected areas of human activity. This will be achieved primarily through the analysis of available model simulation data, supplemented by our own modelling activities, especially through the analysis of extreme characteristics and indices, which are easier to interpret in the research of the impacts in follow-up studies of selected areas.

The main directions of the project are:

• Preparation and analysis of available model data and models adaptation and development
• Analysis of output uncertainties and their impact on projections of climate change and risk events
• Construction of custom climate change and risk scenarios for the selected area
• Analysis of climate prediction options using currently available resources
• Climate change projections for selected large cities with emphasis on risk phenomena
• Assessment of the consequences of climate change and risk phenomena in selected sectors (health, agriculture, forestry, socio-economic), their prevention and warning
• Benefit-risk analysis of sulphur aerosol-based geoengineering

Most of these aims are connected to other activities and projects, like Horizon Europe project FOCI, I4C, aktivity WCRP CORDEX FPS URB-RCC, local projects PERUN and SEEPIA, etc. Outputs are planned to be co-designed with affiliated CHMI for the purpose of providing climate Services in selected directions.