ICUC12-630, updated on 05 Sep 2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-630
12th International Conference on Urban Climate
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Integrated assessment model-driven 1-km anthropogenic heat emission generation tool
Alvin Christopher Galang Varquez1, Mitsuna Sekiya1, Do Ngoc Khanh2, Atsushi Inagaki1, Manabu Kanda1, Tomohiko Ihara3, and Norihiro Itsubo4
Alvin Christopher Galang Varquez et al.
  • 1Institute of Science Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
  • 2Shibaura Institute of Technology, Tokyo, Japan
  • 3University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
  • 4Waseda University

To understand the impact of cities on the global climate, the level of representation of cities across time and space in climate models is crucial. Global spatiotemporally-varying anthropogenic heat emission (AHE) datasets are essential in urban climate modeling, urban climate-change investigations, and coupled building-energy model development. This work aims to develop an open-source tool for users to generate present and CMIP-consistent projections of AHE datasets at 1-km resolution. To obtain CMIP6-consistent projections of AHE maps at 5-year intervals from 2020, a workflow is constructed based on the following components: (1) top-down AH model, (2) an integrated assessment model (IAM), (3) 1-km scenario-based projections of population, (4) monthly statistics of daily temperature projections. The workflow begins by generating regional-level energy consumptions from the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), one of the IAM's used to develop the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. The modeled projections of energy consumption components are then allocated to countries based on their energy intensity, which relies on GDP data from GCAM and World Bank. They are then utilized as inputs in the AH4GUC model, the base model for mapping the AHE based on the top-down approach. Combining existing global projections of population, heating-degree/cooling-degree days projections, global road network datasets, and satellite datasets, 1-km projections of AHE are achieved.

How to cite: Varquez, A. C. G., Sekiya, M., Khanh, D. N., Inagaki, A., Kanda, M., Ihara, T., and Itsubo, N.: Integrated assessment model-driven 1-km anthropogenic heat emission generation tool, 12th International Conference on Urban Climate, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 7–11 Jul 2025, ICUC12-630, https://doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-630, 2025.

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