Oral Programme I.

I.

Seasonal to decadal climate predictability and prediction
Oral Programme
 / Mon, 17 Sep, 11:00–13:00  / 16:00–17:40  / Room Lecture Hall H1
 / Tue, 18 Sep, 09:00–09:40  / Room Lecture Hall H1
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Mon, 17 Sep, 14:00–16:00  / Poster Area

Monday, 17 September 2012
Room Lecture Hall H1
Chairperson: Magdalena Balmaseda
11:00–11:30
3ICESM-385
Progress in seasonal predictions at ECMWF (invited)
F. Molteni, T. Stockdale, M. Balmaseda, L. Ferranti, K. Mogensen, and F. Vitart
11:30–12:00
3ICESM-395
Predicting the climate of the coming decade (invited)
D. M. Smith, N. J. Dunstone, R. Eade, K. L. Hermanson, and A. A. Scaife
12:00–12:20
3ICESM-357
The Canadian Seasonal to Interannual Prediction System (CanSIPS)
W. J. Merryfield, B. Denis, J.-S. Fontecilla, W.-S. Lee, V. V. Kharin, J. Hodgson, B. Archambault, G. J. Boer, J. F. Scinocca, and G. M. Flato
12:20–12:40
3ICESM-381
Impact of snow initialization in coupled ocean-atmosphere seasonal forecasts
Y. Orsolini, R. Senan, A. Carrasco, G. Balsamo, P. Doblas-Reyes, A. Weisheimer, F. Vitart, and R. Benestad
12:40–13:00
3ICESM-70
Evaluation of Simultaneous Influence of Warm Phase of ENSO with Indian Summer Monsoon using coupled GCMs available at APCC
P. K. Pradhan and D. Y. Lee
Lunch Break
16:00–16:20
3ICESM-189
Seasonal to multi-yaer predictability of tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific.
M. Mori, M. Kimoto, M. Ishii, M. Watanabe, T. Nozawa, T. Mochizuki, Y. Chikamoto, H. Tatebe, T. T. Sakamoto, Y. Komuro, and Y. Imada
16:20–16:40
3ICESM-147
Atmospheric response to the North Atlantic Ocean variability on seasonal to decadal time scales
G. Gastineau, F. D'Andrea, and C. Frankignoul
16:40–17:00
3ICESM-322
Aerosol drivers of Atlantic SST variability.
b.b.b. booth, n.j. dunstone, p.r. halloran, t. andrews, and n. bellouin
17:00–17:20
3ICESM-380
Global warming or not? The relative roles of externally forced versus internally generated decadal climate variability
G. Meehl
17:20–17:40
3ICESM-110
A multi-model assessment of decadal predictions: the contribution of COMBINE to CMIP5.
A. Bellucci, R. Haarsma, S. Gualdi, P. Athanasiadis, M. Caian, C. Cassou, J. Jungclaus, J. Kröger, D. Matei, W. Müller, H. Pohlmann, D. Salas, E. Sanchez, D. Smith, L. Terray, and K. Wyser

Tuesday, 18 September 2012
Room Lecture Hall H1
Chairperson: Magdalena Balmaseda
09:00–09:20
3ICESM-66
Decadal Prediction skill in NASA/GMAO forecast system
Y.-G. Ham, Y. Vikhliaev, M. Suarez, M. Rienecker, G. Vernieres, B. Zhao, J. Marshak, and S. Schubert
09:20–09:40
3ICESM-382
Surface temperature forecast with the MPI-M decadal prediction system
W. A. Mueller, H. Pohlmann, D. Matei, J.S. von Storch, J. Kröger, H. Haak, J. Jungclaus, D. Notz, J. Baehr, and J. Marotzke