Attendance Time: Monday, 17 September 2012, 14:00–16:00
Poster Area
Chairperson: Magdalena Balmaseda, Wolfgang Müller
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P1
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3ICESM-2
The Science of Climate Change
Mr Kusemererwa
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Poster Area
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P2
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3ICESM-6
Estimating the prediction errors of dynamical climate model on basis of prophase key factors in north China
G. Feng
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Poster Area
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P3
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3ICESM-7
Application of moving north Pacific index to rainy season rainfall forecast in Yangtze River basin
R. Zhi
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Poster Area
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P4
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3ICESM-32
Analysis of wind waves and storms on the Black Sea
F.N. Gippius, V.S. Arkhipkin, and G.V. Surkova
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Poster Area
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P5
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3ICESM-38
Climate Modeling in View of Non-equilibrium Thermodynamics
(withdrawn)
H. Cao
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Poster Area
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P6
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3ICESM-39
Assessment of the APCC coupled MME suite in predicting the distinctive climate impacts of two flavors of ENSO during boreal winter
h. Jeong, d. Lee, k. Ashok, j. Ahn, j. Lee, j. Luo, j. Schemm, h. Harry, k. Braganza, and y. Ham
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Poster Area
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P7
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3ICESM-41
Multimodel near-term predictions of the North Atlantic
W. Hazeleger, B. Wouters, G.J. van Oldenborgh, D. Smith, J. Kroeger, and S. Corti
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Poster Area
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P8
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3ICESM-44
Interannual Variations of Early Summer Monsoon Rainfall over South China under Different PDO Phases
J. Mao and G. Wu
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Poster Area
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P9
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3ICESM-46
Atmospheric and Oceanic Data Assimilation Plus ENsembles Generation (AODA-PENG): A contribution to the MiKliP Program
A. Hense, J. Baehr, J.S. von Storch, W. Müller, J. Marotzke, A. Bott, V. Romanova, S. Brune, J. Kröger, M. Kaleem, L. Kornblueh, and A. Rhodin
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Poster Area
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P10
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3ICESM-50
Early signs of extremely sunny and dry summers in Central Europe
C. Traeger-Chatterjee, R. W. Mueller, and J. Bendix
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Poster Area
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P11
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3ICESM-56
Enhancement of prediction skills of multi-model ensemble seasonal prediction for the boreal winter seasons using a climate filter concept
D. Y. Lee, K. Ashok, and J.-B. Ahn
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Poster Area
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P12
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3ICESM-57
Initialisation and predictability of the AMOC over the last 50 years in a climate model
D Swingedouw, J Mignot, and E Guilyardi
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Poster Area
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P13
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3ICESM-68
Predictability and forecast skill on decadal timescales
G. J. Boer, V.V. Kharin, and Wm. Merryfield
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Poster Area
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P14
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3ICESM-69
Probabilistic Prediction of Intraseasonal Oscillations of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall in Extended Range Scale Using A Self Organizing Map Based Ensemble Forecasting Technique
N. Borah, A.K. Sahai, R. Chattopadhyay, S. Joseph, and B.N. Goswami
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Poster Area
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P15
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3ICESM-75
Probabilistic Decadal Forecast for Central and Western Europe (PRODEF)
J. G. Pinto, K. Born, R. Haas, and M. Reyers
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Poster Area
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P16
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3ICESM-76
Multidecadal climate variability in Arctic and North Atlantic in climate model INMCM4
E. Volodin
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Poster Area
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P17
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3ICESM-77
Evaluation of forecast strategies for seasonal and decadal forecasts in presence of systematic model errors
L. Magnusson, M. Alonso-Balmaseda, and F. Molteni
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Poster Area
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P18
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3ICESM-90
Prediction of decadal variability of Sea Surface temperature by a coupled global climate model FGOALS_gl developed in LASG/IAP
B. Wu and T. Zhou
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Poster Area
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P19
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3ICESM-93
Two modes of the Silk Road pattern and their inter-annual variability simulated by IAP/LASG AGCM SAMIL2.0
F. Song and T. Zhou
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Poster Area
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P20
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3ICESM-97
Assessment of South Asian Summer monsoon simulation in the CMIP5 coupled climate models
V. Prasanna
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Poster Area
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P21
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3ICESM-102
Decadal prediction of Near Surface Temperature in East Asian by Multimode Ensembles of IPCC AR5 Near-term Simulations
W. Jia, ZH. Xie Fei, and CH. Yu Wen
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Poster Area
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P22
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3ICESM-112
Temporal-spatial distribution of the predictability limit of monthly sea surface temperature in the global oceans
R. Q. Ding and J. P. Li
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Poster Area
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P23
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3ICESM-119
Predictability in geophysical fluid dynamics from a phase space perspective.
B. Schalge, K. Fraedrich, and R. Blender
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Poster Area
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P24
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3ICESM-129
Teleconnections of Seasonal Monsoon Variability over South and East Asia: CMIP5 Simulations and Projections
B. Preethi, R. H. Kripalani, and M. Mujumdar
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Poster Area
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P25
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3ICESM-131
Does model parameter error cause a significant "spring predictability barrier" for El Nino events in the Zebiak-Cane model?
W. Duan and Y.S. Yu
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Poster Area
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P26
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3ICESM-140
Analysis of CMIP5 historical runs for southwest US precipitation
S. Langford, D. Noone, and S. Stevenson
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Poster Area
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P27
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3ICESM-146
Optimization of vegetation parameters through sequential assimilation of surface albedo observations
G. Geppert and A. Loew
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Poster Area
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P28
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3ICESM-157
Downscaling ensembles of seasonal forecasts using an ensemble of regional models
(withdrawn)
R. Arritt and the The MRED Team
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Poster Area
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P29
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3ICESM-160
Relationship of predictability between the Pacific and Atlantic climate change
Y. Chikamoto, M. Kimoto, M. Watanabe, M. Ishii, T. Mochizuki, and A. Timmermann
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Poster Area
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P30
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3ICESM-186
CMIP5 Decadal Prediction Experiments: What is the Skill of Prediction of Southern Ocean Sea Ice?
V. Zunz, H. Goosse, and F. Massonnet
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Poster Area
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P31
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3ICESM-188
Decadal Prediction using MIROC Global Climate Model
T. Mochizuki, M. Kimoto, M. Ishii, Y. Chikamoto, M. Mori, H. Tatebe, and M. Watanabe
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Poster Area
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P32
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3ICESM-191
The relationship between the Meridional Overturning Circulation and winter storm activity over the North Atlantic on decadal time scales
K.M. Nissen, U. Ulbrich, and G.C. Leckebusch
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Poster Area
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P33
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3ICESM-196
North Atlantic heat transport and AMOC: Latitude dependence of the potential predictability
B. Tiedje, A. Köhl, and J. Baehr
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Poster Area
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P34
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3ICESM-201
The Impacts of Grass Inclusion of Heterogeneous Land Surface Properties on the Asian Dust Occurrence and Climate Response
(withdrawn)
S.H. Park, K.-O. Boo, Y.-H. Byun, J.H. Lee, and C.H. Cho
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Poster Area
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P35
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3ICESM-203
MiKlip PastLand: Overview and first results
T. Stacke, S. Hagemann, T. Kaminski, A. Löw, and C. Reick
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Poster Area
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P36
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3ICESM-206
Evaluation of decadal hindcasts: climate indices and clouds
T. Spangehl, M. Schröder, A. Hense, R. Glowienka-Hense, S. Stolzenberger, R. Hollmann, and F. Kaspar
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Poster Area
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P37
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3ICESM-209
Using HadGEM3-AO initialised case studies to assess medium-range hindcast skill and investigate modelled El Nino biases
D Copsey, T Johns, A Shelly, and J Rodriguez
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Poster Area
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P38
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3ICESM-216
Ensemble generation using breeding for seasonal and inter-annual forecasts
R. Piontek and J. Baehr
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Poster Area
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P39
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3ICESM-219
Near-Term Climate Prediction with MRI-CGCM3
M. Ishii, S. Yukimoto, Y. Adachi, and A. Kitoh
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Poster Area
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P40
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3ICESM-221
Primary Assessments of Surface Climate Simulations With BCC_CSM1.1
X. Shi, H. Ren, T. Wu, X. Xin, Y. Zhang, and W. Li
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Poster Area
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P41
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3ICESM-224
Impact of initialization procedures on the predictive skill of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model
I. Polkova, A. Koehl, and D. Stammer
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Poster Area
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P42
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3ICESM-227
Climate change and changing monsoon patterns
P. Kumar, A. Wiltshire, C. Mathison, S. Asharaf, B. Ahrens, S. Hagemann, and D. Jacob
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Poster Area
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P43
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3ICESM-233
Relevance of meso-scales in Central America for decadal predictability in Europe
M. Thürkow, I. Kirchner, P. Lorenz, U. Ulbrich, A. Will, and S. Weiher
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Poster Area
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P44
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3ICESM-236
Regional climate projections using the HadGEM3-RA
I.-H. Lee, S.-H. Park, H.-S. Kang, and C.-H. Cho
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Poster Area
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P45
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3ICESM-421
A study of soil moisture climate feedbacks and its effects on climate projections (GLACE/CMIP5)
A. Meier, S. I. Seneviratne, M. Wilhelm, T. Stanelle, B. van den Hurk, C. Severijns, A. Berg, F. Cheruy, M. E. Higgins, V. Brovkin, M. Claussen, J.-D. Dufresne, K. Findell, D. M. Lawrence, S. Malyshev, B. Smith, and M. Rummukainen
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Poster Area
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P46
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3ICESM-245
Understanding coupled model errors in the tropical Pacific using initialised hindcasts and a lead time analysis
B. Vannière, E. Guilyardi, T. Toniazzo, and S. Woolnough
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Poster Area
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P47
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3ICESM-246
The MiKlip project - developing a system for decadal climate predictions
F.S.E. Vamborg, J. Marotzke, D. Stammer, U. Cubasch, Ch. Kottmeier, U. Ulbrich, and P. Becker
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Poster Area
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P48
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3ICESM-249
Potential decadal predictability and its sensitivity to sea ice albedo parameterization in a global coupled model
T. Koenigk, C. König Beatty, M. Caian, R. Döscher, and K. Wyser
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Poster Area
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P49
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3ICESM-255
Assessing the impact of sea ice initialization on the decadal predictability of CNRM-CM5.1 AOGCM
A. Germe, D. Salas y Mélia, M. Chevallier, and S. Sénési
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Poster Area
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P50
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3ICESM-272
Synchronous motions galore across the instrumental record
P. Carl
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Poster Area
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P51
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3ICESM-273
FLEXFORDEC - A flexible forecast system for decadal climate predictions
W. A. Mueller, H. Pohlmann, F. Vamborg, K. Kulkarni, K. Modali, D. Kleberg, and J. Marotzke
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Poster Area
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P52
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3ICESM-276
Decadal forecasts with the IPSL-CM5A-LR model
S. Ray, J. Mignot, D. Swingedouw, S. Labetoulle, R. Seferian, and E. Guilyardi
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Poster Area
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P53
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3ICESM-279
Regional downscaling of global multiyear predictions for Northern Europe
D.V. Sein, U. Mikolajewicz, D. Matei, M. Groeger, E. Maier-Reimer, and A. Elizalde
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Poster Area
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P54
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3ICESM-280
North Atlantic Multidecadal Variability simulated in Coupled General Circulation Models (CGCMs)
J. Ba, N. Keenlyside, W. Park, M. Latif, and E. Hawkins
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Poster Area
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P55
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3ICESM-288
Climate response in a RCP4.5 simulation with constant aerosols
(withdrawn)
M. van Weele, T.P.C. van Noije, P. Le Sager, and W. Hazeleger
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Poster Area
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P56
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3ICESM-292
Atlantic Cold Tongue in CMIP5 models: mean characteristics and interannual variability
A. Voldoire, M. Claudon, and J. Richon
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Poster Area
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P57
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3ICESM-297
Impacts of Model Initialization and Volcanic Eruptions on Decadal SST and Land Climate Predictability in CMIP5 Experiments with the HadCM3, GFDL-CM2.1, and MIROC5 Global Earth System Models
V. Mehta, H. Wang, and K. Mendoza
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Poster Area
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P58
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3ICESM-300
Decadal predictions for the Arctic with EC-EARTH
K. Wyser, M. Caian, T. Königk, F. Massonet, and T. Fichefet
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Poster Area
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P59
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3ICESM-302
Land cover variability and its effect on potential predictability
M. Weiß, B. van den Hurk, and R. Haarsma
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Poster Area
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P60
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3ICESM-307
Ocean-atmosphere interaction key aspect of the Madden-Julian Oscillation
W.-L. Tseng, B.-J. Tsuang, N. Keenlyside, H.-H. Hsu, and C.-Y. Tu
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Poster Area
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P61
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3ICESM-309
Tropical Storm Decadal Variability in the North Atlantic and Pacific
W.-L. Tseng, N. Keenlyside, and K. Hodges
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Poster Area
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P62
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3ICESM-314
Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal to Interannual Timescales (APPOSITE)
S. Tietsche, J. J. Day, E. Hawkins, D. Hodson, S. Keeley, and R. Sutton
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Poster Area
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P63
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3ICESM-317
Assessment of the tropical Pacific climate and ENSO in the BCC_CSM1.1
F. Wu, J. Li, M. Chu, and T. Wu
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Poster Area
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P64
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3ICESM-319
Anomaly method improvements through phase initialisation in model space
M. Caian, K. Wyser, and T. Koenigk
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Poster Area
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P65
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3ICESM-326
Assessment of decadal predictability and associated mechanisms of the CNRM-Cerfacs forecast system
C. Cassou, G. Nakoulma, F. Borchi, J. Boe, E. Sanchez-Gomez, and L. Terray
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Poster Area
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P66
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3ICESM-328
Data assimilation experiments in coupled systems: Applicability to the land surface for the initialization of long-range simulations
J. Tödter and B. Ahrens
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Poster Area
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P67
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3ICESM-333
The performance of the RCM WRF depending on model setup, choice of physics parameterization schemes, and implementation of different boundary conditions when simulating precipitation characteristics over West Africa
(withdrawn)
M. Warscher, J. Bliefernicht, and H. Kunstmann
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Poster Area
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P68
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3ICESM-336
Decadal Variability and Extremes of European Winter Storm Frequency and Intensity according to the Twentieth Century Reanalysis
T. Kruschke, B. Schyska, H. Rust, G.C. Leckebusch, and U. Ulbrich
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Poster Area
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P69
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3ICESM-345
Statistical adjustment of decadal predictions in a changing climate
V. V. Kharin, G. J. Boer, W. J. Merryfield, J. F. Scinocca, and W.-S. Lee
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Poster Area
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P70
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3ICESM-350
Seasonal climate prediction and predictability of atmospheric circulation
(withdrawn)
J.-Y. Lee and B. Wang
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Poster Area
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P71
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3ICESM-358
A Standardized Evaluation System for Decadal Climate Prediction
C. Kadow, U. Cubasch, U. Ulbrich, and T. Spangehl
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Poster Area
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P72
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3ICESM-360
Advance of Seasonal Climate Prediction of the Asian-Australian Monsoon System using Atmosphere-Ocean-Land Coupled Models
(withdrawn)
J.-Y. Lee, B. Wang, B. Xiang, J. S. Chowdary, I.-S. Kang, and A. Alessandri
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Poster Area
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P73
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3ICESM-361
Asian Monsoon and Elevated Heat Pump Mechanism in coupled aerosol-climate model simulations
M. D'Errico, C. Cagnazzo, P. Fogli, W.K. M. Lau, and J. von Hardenberg
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Poster Area
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P74
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3ICESM-364
Performance of both AR4 and AR5 IPCC models in Mexico
B. Martinez-Lopez, A. Quintanar, and R. Romero-Centeno
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Poster Area
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P75
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3ICESM-368
Impact of Different Ocean Reanalyses on Decadal Climate Prediction
J. Kröger, W. A. Müller, and J.-S. von Storch
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Poster Area
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P76
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3ICESM-372
Towards a Seasonal Prediction System using MPI-ESM
J. Baehr, M. Botzet, K. Froehlich, L. Kornblueh, H. Pohlmann, S. Tietsche, and W. Mueller
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Poster Area
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P77
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3ICESM-374
Time Variations of the North Atlantic, South Oscillations and Edge Kinetic Energy in the Middle and Tropic Latitudes
V. Mansarliysky
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Poster Area
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P78
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3ICESM-386
Decadal hindcasts with the ECMWF coupled system
S. Corti, M. Balmaseda, L. Magnusson, K. Mogensen, F. Molteni, T. N. Palmer, T. Stockdale, F. Vitart, and A. Weisheimer
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Poster Area
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P79
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3ICESM-406
Predictability of the West African Monsoon
S. Materia, A. Bellucci, A. Borrelli, and S. Gualdi
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Poster Area
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P80
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3ICESM-407
The influence of high resolution wind forcings on the modeled energy of the ocean
A. Rimac, C. Eden, and J.-S. von Storch
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