Orals CL3.01
|
CL3.01 Media Climate Predictions - from monthly, seasonal to decadal time scales |
| Convener: Stéphane Vannitsem | Co-Conveners: Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes , Wolfgang Müller , Mark A. Liniger |
|
Friday, 28 April 2017 Room 0.14 |
|
| 13:30–14:00 |
EGU2017-15237
Bias adjustment for climate predictions: an overview (solicited) Highlight Jens Grieger, Henning W. Rust, and Uwe Ulbrich |
| 14:00–14:15 |
EGU2017-1783
Reduction of initial shock in decadal predictions using a new initialization strategy Yujun He and Bin Wang |
| 14:15–14:30 |
EGU2017-14578
Bias correction and verification of extended-range ECMWF forecasts against ground observations in Europe Samuel Monhart, Christoph Spirig, Jonas Bhend, Mark A. Liniger, Konrad Bogner, and Christoph Schär |
| 14:30–14:45 |
EGU2017-7153
A statistical-dynamical seasonal prediction of the Summer North Atlantic Oscillation André Düsterhus, Mikhail Dobrynin, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Holger Pohlmann, Wolfgang A. Müller, and Johanna Baehr |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EGU2017-8173
Monthly and seasonal predictability of heat waves in West Africa with CNRM-CM Lauriane Batté, Constantin Ardilouze, and Michel Déqué |
|
Coffee break
|
|
| 15:30–15:45 |
EGU2017-12428
September Arctic Sea Ice minimum prediction – a new skillful statistical approach Monica Ionita-Scholz, Klaus Grosfeld, Patrick Scholz, Renate Treffeisen, and Gerrit Lohmann |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EGU2017-15061
Analysis of the regional MiKlip decadal prediction system over Europe: skill, added value of regionalization, and ensemble size dependeny Mark Reyers, Julia Moemken, Joaquim Pinto, Hendrik Feldmann, Christoph Kottmeier, and MiKlip Module-C team |
| 16:00–16:15 |
EGU2017-10333
Decadal prediction of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in the HiGEM high-resolution climate model Jon Robson, Irene Polo, Dan Hodson, David Stevens, and Len Shaffrey |
| 16:15–16:30 |
EGU2017-10422
Seasonal predictability of Ethiopian summer rainfall in climate models Stephanie Gleixner, Noel Keenlyside, and Ellen Viste |
| 16:30–16:45 |
EGU2017-9153
Grand European and Asian-Pacific multi-model seasonal forecasts: maximization of skill and of potential economical value to end-users Andrea Alessandri, Matteo De Felice, Franco Catalano, June-Yi Lee, Bin Wang, Doo Young Lee, and Jin-Ho Yoo |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EGU2017-8663
Efficient training schemes that improve the forecast quality of a supermodel Francine Schevenhoven, Frank Selten, Gregory Duane, and Noel Keenlyside |