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Posters CL3.01

CL3.01 Media

Climate Predictions - from monthly, seasonal to decadal time scales
Convener: Stéphane Vannitsem  | Co-Conveners: Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes , Wolfgang Müller , Mark A. Liniger 
Orals
 / Fri, 28 Apr, 13:30–17:00
Posters
 / Attendance Fri, 28 Apr, 17:30–19:00

Attendance Time: Friday, 28 April 2017, 17:30–19:00
Hall X5
X5.83
EGU2017-2991
Initialization shock in decadal hindcasts due to errors in wind stress over the tropical Pacific
Holger Pohlmann, Jürgen Kröger, Richard Greatbatch, and Wolfgang Müller

X5.84
EGU2017-3930
Predictability of the mid-90s warming over North-Eastern China
Paul-Arthur Monerie, Jon Robson, Buwen Dong, and Rowan Sutton

X5.85
EGU2017-4768
Evidence of coupling in ocean--atmosphere dynamics over the North Atlantic
Stéphane Vannitsem and Michael Ghil

X5.86
EGU2017-5173
Full-field versus anomaly initialization in the MiKlip decadal prediction system
Jürgen Kröger, Holger Pohlmann, Frank Sienz, Jochem Marotzke, Johanna Baehr, Armin Köhl, Modali Kameshvar, Detlef Stammer, Freja Vamborg, and Wolfgang Müller

X5.87
EGU2017-5283
A Process-Based Assessment of Decadal-Scale Surface Temperature Evolutions in the NCAR CCSM4’s 25-Year Hindcast Experiments
Yi Deng and Junwen Chen

X5.88
EGU2017-6846
Verification of ECMWF seasonal forecasts using Euro-Atlantic weather regimes
Nicola Cortesi, Nube González-Reviriego, Veronica Torralba, Raül Marcos, Doo Young Lee, and Francisco Javier Doblas-Reyes

X5.89
EGU2017-6859
Seasonal forecast verification of extreme events for the wind energy sector
Doo Young Lee, Nube González-Reviriego, Veronica Torralba, Nicola Cortesi, Raül Marcos, and Francisco Doblas-Reyes

X5.90
EGU2017-6898
Near-surface wind speed statistical distribution: comparison between ECMWF System 4 and ERA-Interim
Raül Marcos, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba, Nicola Cortesi, Doo Young, and Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes

X5.91
EGU2017-7214
Seasonal forecasts for the agricultural sector in Peru through user-tailored indices
Katrin Sedlmeier, Stefanie Gubler, Christoph Spierig, Karim Quevedo, Yury Escajadillo, Griña Avalos, Mark A. Liniger, and Cornelia Schwierz

X5.92
EGU2017-8171
How to increase the quality and the added value of regional decadal predictions for Europe?
Hendrik Feldmann, Sascha Brand, Hans-Jürgen Panitz, Joaquim G. Pinto, Mark Reyers, Marianne Uhlig, and Christoph Kottmeier

X5.93
EGU2017-8536
Reconstructing extreme AMOC events through nudging of the ocean surface: A perfect model approach
Pablo Ortega, Eric Guilyardi, Didier Swingedouw, Juliette Mignot, and Sebastien Nguyen

X5.94
EGU2017-8880
Applications of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictions Highlight
Christopher White, Rob Lamb, Henrik Carlsen, Andrew Robertson, Richard Klein, Jeffrey Lazo, Arun Kumar, Frederic Vitart, Erin Coughlan de Perez, Andrea Ray, Virginia Murray, Richard Graham, and Carlo Buontempo

X5.95
EGU2017-9532
Assessment of seasonal soil moisture forecasts over Southern South America with emphasis on dry and wet events
Pablo Spennemann, Juan Antonio Rivera, Marisol Osman, Celeste Saulo, and Olga Penalba

X5.96
EGU2017-9681
Seasonal re-emergence of North Atlantic subsurface ocean temperature anomalies and Northern hemisphere climate
Bablu Sinha, Adam Blaker, Aurelie Duchez, Jeremy Grist, Helene Hewitt, Joel Hirschi, Patrick Hyder, Simon Josey, Craig Maclachlan, and Adrian New

X5.97
EGU2017-9940
The Stochastic predictability limits of GCM internal variability and the Stochastic Seasonal to Interannual Prediction System (StocSIPS)
Lenin Del Rio Amador and Shaun Lovejoy

X5.98
EGU2017-10962
Skill of Real-Time Operational Forecasts with the APCC Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction System for the Period of 2008-2015
Young-Mi Min, Vladimir N Kryjov, Sang Myeong Oh, and Hyun-Ju Lee

X5.99
EGU2017-11369
Improving MJO Prediction and Simulation Using AGCM Coupled Ocean Model with Refined Vertical Resolution
Chia-Ying Tu, Wan-Ling Tseng, Pei-Hsuan Kuo, Yung-Yao Lan, Ben-Jei Tsuang, and Huang-Hsiung Hsu

X5.100
EGU2017-11700
Sensitivity of seasonal predictability to atmospheric and oceanic model evolution
Jean-François Guérémy, Michel Déqué, Lauriane Batté, Constantin Ardilouze, Clotilde Dubois, Danila Volpi, and Laurent Dorel

X5.101
EGU2017-13136
Assimilating soil moisture into an Earth System Model
Tobias Stacke and Stefan Hagemann

X5.102
EGU2017-13575
Calibration of decadal ensemble predictions
Alexander Pasternack, Henning W. Rust, Jonas Bhend, Mark Liniger, Jens Grieger, Wolfgang Müller, and Uwe Ulbrich

X5.103
EGU2017-13959
Seasonal predictions with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model
Yiguo Wang, Stephanie Gleixner, Noel Keenlyside, and Francois Counillon

X5.104
EGU2017-14068
Evaluation of decadal predictions using a satellite simulator for the Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I)
Thomas Spangehl, Marc Schröder, Alejandro Bodas-Salcedo, Rita Glowienka-Hense, Andreas Hense, Rainer Hollmann, and Felix Dietzsch

X5.105
EGU2017-14394
Unravelling the Sources of Climate Model Errors in Subpolar Gyre Sea-Surface Temperatures
Angelo Rubino and Davide Zanchettin

X5.106
EGU2017-14496
Time dependency of the prediction skill for the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in initialized decadal hindcasts with MPI-ESM
Sebastian Brune, Andre Düsterhus, Holger Pohlmann, Wolfgang Müller, and Johanna Baehr

X5.107
EGU2017-15288
How the complexity of the soil model impacts seasonal prediction of European summer temperatures
Felix Bunzel, Wolfgang A. Müller, Tobias Stacke, Stefan Hagemann, Mikhail Dobrynin, Johanna Baehr, and Kristina Fröhlich

X5.108
EGU2017-15934
Evaluation of a new CNRM-CM6 model version for seasonal climate predictions
Danila Volpi, Constantin Ardilouze, Lauriane Batté, Laurant Dorel, Jean-François Guérémy, and Michel Déqué

X5.109
EGU2017-18455
Synchronized Trajectories in a Climate “Supermodel”
Gregory Duane, Francine Schevenhoven, and Frank Selten

X5.110
EGU2017-19051
North Atlantic decadal climate variability in a very large ensemble of CGCM runs
Ralf Hand, Jürgen Bader, Johann Jungclaus, and Daniela Matei