ITS4.6/CL3.09/ERE1.7/NH1.39 Media

Estimating the impact of climate change on both the natural and socio-economic environment plays an important role in informing a range of national and international policies, including energy, agriculture and health. Understanding these impacts, and those avoided, has never been more pertinent since the adoption of the 2015 Paris Agreement, which sought to hold “the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C, recognizing that this would significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change".

Policies may aim to mitigate (i.e. reduce emissions), counteract (i.e. negative emissions) and/or adapt to anthropogenic climate change and it is equally important to quantify the impact of implementing these options. While rapid, deep mitigation is clearly a pre-requisite to success, delays to such measures imply a greater reliance upon large scale negative emissions technologies. Those based on land are likely to face competing pressure from wide ranging economic activity, and knowledge of these interactions and synergies is limited. Similarly while adaptation options are wide ranging, the uses of nature-based solutions, which often provide mitigation co-benefits and are often highly cost effective, are under-researched and rarely integrated into overall natural hazard or climate change risk management strategies.

Furthermore, the methods used to evaluate impact in the climate context are many and varied, including empirical, econometric and process-based. These methods continue to evolve implying that the assessment of impact may depend upon the analytical approach chosen.

This inter- and transdisciplinary session aims to draw together scientists, developing climate-impact evaluation methods, evaluating the impact (or avoided impact) of anthropogenic climate change upon natural and socio-economic environments, investigating the potential for mitigation and counteraction options to reduce long term risk, and studying the value of multiple adaptation options to stakeholders when planning how to manage vulnerability.

Invited speaker: Sonia Seneviratne

Co-organized as CL3.09/ERE1.7/NH1.39
Convener: Luke Jackson | Co-conveners: Paul Hudson, Dann Mitchell, Fabian Stenzel
| Wed, 10 Apr, 14:00–18:00
Room L7
| Attendance Thu, 11 Apr, 10:45–12:30
Hall X5

Wednesday, 10 April 2019 | Room L7

Chairperson: Luke Jackson
14:00–14:15 |
| solicited
Sonia I. Seneviratne, Richard Wartenburger, Ove Hoegh-Guldbergh, Daniela Jacob, Michael Taylor, Kris Ebi, Francois Engelbrecht, Antony Payne, Rachel Warren, Markus Donat, Peter Greve, Martin Hirschi, Andy Pitman, Joeri Rogelj, and Roland Seferian
14:15–14:30 |
Lise Seland Graff, Trond Iversen, Ingo Bethke, Jens Boldingh Debernard, and Øyvind Seland
14:30–14:45 |
Valerio Barbarossa, Joyce Bosmans, Mark Huijbregts, Niko Wanders, Marc Bierkens, Henry King, and Aafke Schipper
14:45–15:00 |
Rohini Kumar, Stephan Thober, Niko Wanders, Ming Pan, Oldrich Rakovec, Eric Wood, Luis Samaniego, and Sabine Attinger
15:15–15:30 |
| Highlight
Myles Allen, Stuart Jenkins, Elizabeth Baldwin, and Richard Millar
Coffee break
Chairperson: Fabian Stenzel
16:15–16:30 |
Gabriela Aznar-Siguan and David N. Bresch
16:30–16:45 |
Constanze Werner, Dieter Gerten, Wolfgang Lucht, Schmidt Hans-Peter, and Kammann Claudia
16:45–17:00 |
Thomas Raddatz, Philipp De-Vrese, and Sebastian Sonntag
17:00–17:15 |
| presentation
Matthias M. May and Kira Rehfeld
17:15–17:30 |
Frank McDermott, Renata Barros, and Mark Cooper
17:30–17:45 |
| Highlight
| presentation
Claudia Wieners, Koen Helwegen, Jason Frank, and Henk Dijkstra