OS1.4 | Changes in the Arctic Ocean, sea ice and subarctic seas systems: Observations, Models and Perspectives
EDI
Changes in the Arctic Ocean, sea ice and subarctic seas systems: Observations, Models and Perspectives
Co-organized by BG4/CL4/CR4
Convener: Myriel Vredenborg | Co-conveners: Yevgeny Aksenov, Céline Heuzé, Yufang Ye, Morven Muilwijk
Orals
| Tue, 25 Apr, 08:30–12:30 (CEST)
 
Room L2
Posters on site
| Attendance Tue, 25 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST)
 
Hall X5
Posters virtual
| Attendance Tue, 25 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST)
 
vHall CR/OS
Orals |
Tue, 08:30
Tue, 14:00
Tue, 14:00
The rapid decline of the Arctic sea ice in the last decade is a dramatic indicator of climate change. The Arctic sea ice cover is now thinner, weaker and drifts faster. Freak heatwaves are common. On land, the permafrost is dramatically thawing, glaciers are disappearing, and forest fires are raging. The ocean is also changing: the volume of freshwater stored in the Arctic has increased as have the inputs of coastal runoff from Siberia and Greenland and the exchanges with the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. As the global surface temperature rises, the Arctic Ocean is speculated to become seasonally ice-free by the mid 21st century, which prompts us to revisit our perceptions of the Arctic system as a whole. What could the Arctic Ocean look like in the future? How are the present changes in the Arctic going to affect and be affected by the lower latitudes? What aspects of the changing Arctic should observational, remote sensing and modelling programmes address in priority?
In this session, we invite contributions from a variety of studies on the recent past, present and future Arctic. We encourage submissions examining interactions between the ocean, atmosphere and sea ice, on emerging mechanisms and feedbacks in the Arctic and on how the Arctic influences the global ocean. Submissions taking a cross-disciplinary, system approach and focussing on emerging cryospheric, oceanic and biogeochemical processes and their links with land are particularly welcome.
The session supports the actions of the United Nations Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development (2021-2030) towards addressing challenges for sustainable development in the Arctic and its diverse regions. We aim to promote discussions on the future plans for Arctic Ocean modelling and measurement strategies, and encourages submissions on the results from IPCC CMIP and the recent observational programs, such as the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC), which cosponsors this session.

Orals: Tue, 25 Apr | Room L2

Chairpersons: Yevgeny Aksenov, Morven Muilwijk
OS1.4 Session Part I "Arctic Modelling"
08:30–08:50
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EGU23-10302
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solicited
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On-site presentation
Erica Rosenblum and the Team

Everything that happens in the Arctic Ocean, be it of physical, biological, or chemical nature, is constrained by the vertical distribution of heat and salt. In this talk, I will share recent results and on-going work aimed at examining questions directly related to vertical mixing below sea ice: (1) How accurately are the physical properties of the Canada Basin simulated in climate models? (2) How do observed changes to the size and speed of a sea ice floe and ocean stratification impact ocean mixing in 2D numerical simulations? (3) Can we, for the first time, examine seasonal ice-ocean boundary layer dynamics in a 20 m × 10 m × 3 m outdoor saltwater pool?

Our results indicate that the majority of climate models do not accurately simulate the surface freshening trend observed in the Canada Basin between 1975 and 2006-2012, nor do they simulate heat from Pacific Water in the same region. We suggest that both of these biases can be partly attributed to unrealistically deep vertical mixing in the models. We next explore one possible source of this model bias related to decadal changes to the underside of ice floes, called ice keels. Results from idealized numerical simulations highlight the importance of ice keel depth, which controls the range over which ocean mixing occurs, as well as ice keel speed and ocean stratification. Further, we estimate that observational uncertainties related to ice keel depth may translate into uncertainties in the sign of current and future changes to below-ice momentum transfer into the ocean. Lastly, we present the instrument setup for our 2022-2023 pilot experiment and on-going outreach work at the Sea-ice Environmental Research Facility (SERF) in Canada. This is a unique facility centres around an outdoor saltwater pool where sea ice evolves under natural atmospheric conditions in a semi-idealized and well-instrumented setting.

How to cite: Rosenblum, E. and the Team: Exploring ice-ocean boundary layer dynamics in climate models, idealized simulations, and outdoor lab experiments, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-10302, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-10302, 2023.

08:50–09:00
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EGU23-10365
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Virtual presentation
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Ichiro Fukumori, Ou Wang, and Ian Fenty

Over the last two decades, sea-level across the arctic’s Beaufort Sea has been rising an order of magnitude faster than its global mean. This rapid sea-level rise is mainly a halosteric change, reflecting an increase in Beaufort Sea’s freshwater content. The rising volume of freshwater is greater than that associated with the Great Salinity Anomaly of the 1970s, raising the prospect of future disruptions in large-scale ocean circulation and climate. Here we provide a new perspective of this Beaufort Sea variation using a global data-constrained ocean and sea-ice model of the Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (ECCO) consortium. Causal relationships are quantified using the model’s adjoint. Controlling processes are elucidated analyzing property budgets.

The study reveals the multi-decadal variation to be driven jointly by change in wind stress and sea-ice melt. Strengthening anticyclonic winds surrounding the Beaufort Sea intensify the ocean’s lateral Ekman convergence of relatively fresh near-surface waters. The strengthening winds also enhance convergence of sea-ice and ocean heat that increase the amount of Beaufort Sea’s sea-ice melt. Whereas the region’s direct wind-driven kinematic anomalies equilibrate over weeks, sea-ice-melt-driven diabatic changes persist for years owing to Beaufort Sea’s semi-enclosed gyre circulation. The growing disparity between where sea-ice forms and where it melts results in this rare example of melting floating ice causing large-scale sea-level rise. The spin-up difference suggests that, on their own, the sea-ice-melt-driven diabatic change will last much longer than the direct wind-driven kinematic anomaly.

The study highlights the importance of observations and the utility of ECCO’s modeling system. While ocean and sea-ice observations are essential in diagnosing the change, the study also points to a need for expanded observations of the atmosphere, especially the winds that act on the ocean/sea-ice system. ECCO is implementing a novel “point-and-click” interface for analyzing its modeling system, such as conducted here, without requirements for expertise in numerical modeling, and invites exploitation of its new utility (https://ecco-group.org).

How to cite: Fukumori, I., Wang, O., and Fenty, I.: Causal Mechanisms of Rising Sea Level and Increasing Freshwater Content of the Beaufort Sea, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-10365, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-10365, 2023.

09:00–09:10
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EGU23-5780
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Benjamin Richaud, Eric C.J. Oliver, Xianmin Hu, Sofia Darmaraki, and Katja Fennel

Arctic regions are warming at a rate faster than the global average. Superimposed on this trend, marine heatwaves and other extreme events are becoming more frequent and intense. Simultaneously the sea ice phenology with which these events interact is also changing. While sea ice can absorb atmospheric heat by melting and therefore acts as a heat buffer for the ocean, meltwater-induced stratification and albedo changes can provoke positive feedbacks on the heat content of the upper ocean. Disentangling those effects is key to better understanding and predicting the present and future state of the Arctic Ocean, including how it responds to forcing by extreme events. Using a three-dimensional regional ice-ocean coupled numerical model, we calculate a two-layer heat budget for the surface mixed layer of the Arctic Ocean, using a novel approach for the treatment of residuals. We present a statistical overview of the dominant drivers of marine heatwaves at the regional scale as well as more in-depth analyses of specific events in key regions of interest. The characteristics of marine heatwaves under different sea ice conditions is also considered, to identify anomalous ice-ocean interactions. Finally, potential feedback mechanisms are investigated to verify their existence and quantify their importance.

How to cite: Richaud, B., Oliver, E. C. J., Hu, X., Darmaraki, S., and Fennel, K.: Marine Heatwaves in the Arctic Ocean: drivers, feedback mechanisms and interactions with sea ice, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-5780, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-5780, 2023.

09:10–09:20
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EGU23-6724
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On-site presentation
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Susanna Winkelbauer, Michael Mayer, and Leopold Haimberger

This contribution evaluates key components of the Arctic energy budget as represented by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) against reanalyses and observations.

The Arctic regions are characterized by a net energy loss to space, which is balanced by northward heat transports in atmosphere and ocean. Mean and variability in the oceanic northward heat transports have major impacts on the state and change of the Arctic Ocean and sea ice. Therefore, an accurate representation of oceanic transports in climate models is a key feature to realistically simulate the Arctic climate. However, the nature of curvilinear ocean model grids and the variety of different grid types used in the CMIP ensemble, make the calculation of oceanic transports on their native grids difficult and time consuming. We developed new tools that enable the precise calculation of volume, heat, salinity and ice transports through any desired oceanic sections or straits for a large number of CMIP6 models as well as ocean reanalyses. Our tools operate on native grids and hence avoid biases that often arise from interpolation to regular grids. Those tools will be made available as open-source Python package enabling easy and effortless calculations of oceanic transports.

In the work presented here, we use the newly developed tools to compare oceanic heat transports (OHT) through the main Arctic gateways from CMIP6 models and reanalyses to those gained from observations and analyze them concerning their annual means, seasonal cycles and trends. We find strong connections between the Arctic’s mean state and lateral OHT, with variations in OHT having major effects on the sea ice cover and ocean warming rate.

Results help us to understand typical model biases. For instance, many models feature systematic biases in oceanic transports in the Arctic main gateways, e.g., some models feature to high sea ice extents due to the underestimation of heat transports entering the Arctic through the Barents Sea Opening. Using those results it is possible to generate physically based metrics to detect outliers from the model ensemble, which may be useful in reducing the spread of future projections of Arctic change.

How to cite: Winkelbauer, S., Mayer, M., and Haimberger, L.: On the realism of Arctic Ocean transports in CMIP6, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-6724, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-6724, 2023.

09:20–09:30
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EGU23-4822
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ECS
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Virtual presentation
Sourav Chatterjee, Julia Selivanova, Tido Semmler, and James A. Screen

Arctic Amplification (AA) – the greater warming of the Arctic than the global average - is a prominent feature of past and projected future climate change. AA exists due to multiple positive feedbacks involving complex interactions among different components of Arctic atmosphere, ocean, and cryosphere. The loss of sea ice is a key driver of AA. Sea ice loss and resultant AA can influence the global climate system, way beyond the Arctic. The atmospheric response to sea ice loss has been studied extensively. In comparison, the oceanic response has received less attention and our understanding of it is imprecise. Here, we utilize the fully coupled model simulations from the Polar Amplification Model Comparison Project (PAMIP) to explore the oceanic response to projected Arctic sea ice loss at 2o C global warming.

The sea surface warming signal is maximum in the Barents-Kara Sea region in all three models analysed. Results suggest that the observed northward propagation of the Arctic ‘cooling machine’ (region of intensive heat loss to the atmosphere) is largely driven by the reduced sea ice over the northern Barents Sea. Simultaneously, the atmospheric response with stronger south-westerlies over the Norwegian Seas and southern Barents Sea reduces the heat loss therein. This may partly explain the bipolar spatial structure of heat loss in the Norwegian seas and the Northern Barents-Kara Sea. This seesaw heat loss pattern can result in a warmer inflow of Atlantic Waters from the Norwegian Sea to the northern Barents Sea as projected by CMIP6 models. The mixed layer depth response in these regions is consistent with the heat loss patterns, with a deepening of the mixed layer in regions of enhanced heat loss and vice versa. The surface ocean dynamic response is most prominent in the Beaufort Sea. With reduced sea ice, the Beaufort gyre circulation is strengthened due to larger wind forcing and accumulates freshwater within. As a result, surface salinity response shows maximum freshening in this region. In summary, preliminary results from the coupled simulations under the PAMIP protocol indicate that the observed and projected changes in the Arctic Ocean during the 21st century are strongly driven by the reduction in sea ice.

How to cite: Chatterjee, S., Selivanova, J., Semmler, T., and Screen, J. A.: Ocean response to reduced Arctic sea ice in PAMIP simulations., EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-4822, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-4822, 2023.

09:30–09:35
OS1.4 Session Part II "Arctic Sea Ice Changes and Impacts"
09:35–09:45
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EGU23-4159
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Jakob Dörr, Marius Årthun, David B. Bonan, and Robert C. J. Wills

The Arctic sea ice cover is strongly influenced by internal variability on decadal time scales, affecting both short-term trends and the timing of the first ice-free summer. Several mechanisms of variability have been proposed, but the contributions of distinct modes of decadal variability to regional and pan-Arctic sea-ice trends has not been quantified in a consistent manner. The relative contribution of forced and unforced variability in observed Arctic sea ice changes also remains poorly quantified. Here, we identify the dominant patterns of winter and summer decadal Arctic sea-ice variability in the satellite record and their underlying mechanisms using a novel technique called low-frequency component analysis. The identified patterns account for most of the observed regional sea ice variability and trends, and thus help to disentangle the role of forced and unforced sea ice changes since 1979. In particular, we separate a mode of decadal ocean-atmosphere-sea ice variability, with an anomalous atmospheric circulation over the central Arctic, that accounts for approximately 30-50% of the accelerated decline in pan-Arctic summer sea-ice area between 2000 and 2012. For winter, we find that internal variability has so far dominated decadal trends in the Bering Sea, while it plays a smaller role in the Barents and Kara Seas. These results, which detail the first purely observation-based estimate of the contribution of internal variability to decadal trends in sea ice, suggest a lower estimate of the internal variability contribution than most model-based assessments.

How to cite: Dörr, J., Årthun, M., Bonan, D. B., and Wills, R. C. J.: Modes of decadal variability in observed Arctic sea-ice concentration, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-4159, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-4159, 2023.

09:45–09:55
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EGU23-3465
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On-site presentation
Laura de Steur, Hiroshi Sumata, Dmitry Divine, Mats Granskog, and Olga Pavlova

The sea ice extent in the Arctic Ocean has reduced dramatically with the last 16 years (2007-2022) showing the 16 lowest September extents observed in the satellite era. Besides a declining sea ice cover and increase in ocean heat content in summer, the winter sea ice concentration and thickness have also become more vulnerable to changes. We present results from the Fram Strait Arctic Outflow Observatory showing that the upper ocean temperature in the East Greenland Current in the Fram Strait has increased significantly between 2003 and 2019. While the cold Polar Water now contains more heat in summer due to lower sea ice concentration and longer periods of open water upstream, the warmer returning Atlantic Water has shown a greater presence in winter the central Fram Strait, impacting the winter sea ice thickness and sea ice extent. These processes combined result in a reduced sea ice cover downstream along the whole east coast of Greenland both in summer and winter, which has consequences for winter-time ocean convection in the Greenland Sea.

How to cite: de Steur, L., Sumata, H., Divine, D., Granskog, M., and Pavlova, O.: Ocean heat increase and sea ice reduction in the Fram Strait conveys Arctic Ocean change, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-3465, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-3465, 2023.

09:55–10:05
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EGU23-10572
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ECS
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Virtual presentation
Yu Wang and Jie Su

Black carbon (BC) is one of the most important absorbing particles in the atmosphere. BC can reduce the albedo of snow/ice and enhance the absorption of solar radiation at ultraviolet (UV) and visible wavelengths when it deposited on snow/ice surface. The deposition of BC can lead to an acceleration of the melting of snow/ice. To quantify the changing process of BC in snow/ice and its contribution to the melting of snow/ice, a series of sensitivity numerical experiments including the impacts of BC species (hydrophobic and hydrophilic), deposition rate, and scavenging efficiency of BC was completed using the Icepack one-dimensional column model of CICE. Further, we evaluate the effects of BC deposition on Arctic albedo and ice thickness, forced by ERA5 reanalysis data and BC deposition rate from CMIP6, including two simulation results of the historical experiments with GISS-E2 model and EC-Earth3 model. The results indicate that the hydrophobic BC can cause a reduction of snow/ice albedo by 0.43% in the melting season, which is 35% larger than hydrophilic BC with the same deposition rate. When only the hydrophilic BC was considered, the impact on scavenging efficiency halved to BC content in snow/ice is similar to double the deposition rate in the melting season. Additionally, the 2D model results indicate that the existence of BC in snow could enhance the absorption of solar radiation in the snow layer and reduce the transmittance of radiation to the ice layer, leading to a thicker ice thickness before the melting season. The thermodynamic impact of BC is more significant in the marginal ice zone than that in the central Arctic, especially from Barents Sea to Laptev Sea. In this paper, we quantify the effects of BC on the melting of Arctic snow and sea ice and discuss the problems of the parameterizations of BC’s effect. This may contribute to the improvement of the sea ice model.

Key words: Black carbon; CICE model; Sensitivity experiment; Scavenging efficiency; Albedo

How to cite: Wang, Y. and Su, J.: Sensitivity study of the effects of black carbon on Arctic sea ice using CICE sea-ice model, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-10572, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-10572, 2023.

10:05–10:15
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EGU23-6213
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Highlight
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Virtual presentation
Navigability of the Arctic northeast passage based on space-based observations and future scenarios
(withdrawn)
Yan Huang, Zhitong Yu, Luojia Hu, and Rong Ma
Coffee break
Chairpersons: Myriel Vredenborg, Yufang Ye, Jakob Dörr
OS1.4 Session Part III "Pan-Arctic Observations"
10:45–11:05
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EGU23-3547
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solicited
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Virtual presentation
Tom P. Rippeth

Historically, the Arctic Ocean has been considered an ocean of weak turbulent mixing. However, the decline in seasonal sea ice cover over the past couple of decades has led to increased coupling between the atmosphere and the ocean, with potential enhancement of turbulent mixing. Here, we review studies identifying energy sources and pathways that lead to turbulent mixing in an increasingly ice-free Arctic Ocean. We find the evolution of wind-generated, near-inertial oscillations is highly sensitive to the seasonal sea ice cycle, but that the response varies greatly between the continental shelves and the abyssal ocean. There is growing evidence of the key role of tides and continental shelf waves in driving turbulent mixing over sloping topography. Both dissipate through the development of unsteady lee waves. The importance of the dissipation of unsteady lee waves in driving mixing highlights the need for parameterization of this process in regional ocean models and climate simulations.

How to cite: Rippeth, T. P.: An increasingly turbulent Arctic Ocean?, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-3547, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-3547, 2023.

11:05–11:15
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EGU23-12658
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On-site presentation
Stephanie Waterman, Hayley Dosser, Melanie Chanona, Nicole Shibley, and Mary-Louise Timmermans

Quantifying ocean mixing rates in the Arctic Ocean is critical to our ability to predict upwards oceanic heat flux, freshwater distribution, and circulation. However, direct ocean mixing measurements in the Arctic are sparse and cannot characterize the high spatiotemporal variability typical of ocean mixing. Further, latitude, ice, and stratification make the Arctic Ocean mixing environment unique, with all of double-diffusive (DD), internal wave (IW)-driven and non-turbulent mixing processes playing a role.

In this work, we use year-round temperature and salinity data from Ice-Tethered Profilers (ITPs), as well as an archived record of ship-based measurements, to construct highly-resolved, pan-Arctic maps characterizing the relative prevalence of DD, IW-driven and non-turbulent mixing mechanisms based on thermohaline staircase identification and estimations of turbulence intensity. We next quantify pan-Arctic maps of estimates of average effective vertical diffusivity inferred from these observations that account for all of DD, IW-driven, and non-turbulent mixing processes. Finally, focusing on the water column segment directly above the Atlantic Water (AW) temperature maximum, we use this mixing regime characterization and regime-specific estimates of effective diffusivity to compute estimates of the pan-Arctic distributions of average vertical heat and buoyancy flux from the AW layer.

We find that estimates of effective vertical diffusivities are highly variable in both space and time. Although variability in diffusivity reflects both variations in the prevalence of the various mixing processes and variability in the strength of IW-driven mixing, the prevalence of the mixing mechanisms (predominantly DD and non-turbulent in the basins vs. IW-driven on the shelf) sets the dominant large-scale spatial patterns and the notable shelf-basin contrast. Estimated heat fluxes out of the AW layer also exhibit distinct regional patterns set by mixing mechanism prevalence and regional patterns in the vertical temperature gradient. Buoyancy fluxes from DD mixing compete with the destabilizing effects of IW-driven mixing in the basins, a competition that may be an important control on stratification in the Arctic Ocean interior.

These results are significant as they show that mixing mechanism prevalence is an important consideration in computing robust estimates of average effective diffusivity. They further suggest that the sensitivity of mixing rates to changing environmental conditions may have important regional dependencies owing to differing prevalence of the various mixing processes.

How to cite: Waterman, S., Dosser, H., Chanona, M., Shibley, N., and Timmermans, M.-L.: Arctic Ocean mixing maps inferred from pan-Arctic observations, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-12658, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-12658, 2023.

11:15–11:25
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EGU23-3244
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On-site presentation
Dorothea Bauch, Nils Andersen, Ellen Damm, Alessandra D'Angelo, Ying-chih Fang, Ivan Kuznetsov, Georgi Laukert, Moein Mellat, Hanno Meyer, Benjamin Rabe, Janin Schaffer, Kirstin Schulz, Sandra Tippenhauer, and Myriel Vredenborg

Our aim is to better understand how local winter modification and advected signals from the Siberian Shelf affect the structure of the upper Arctic Ocean along the Transpolar Drift (TPD). Hereto we use stable oxygen isotopes of the water (δ18O) in combination with salinity to quantify river water contributions (fr) and changes due to sea-ice formation or melting (fi) in the upper ~150m of the water column during the MOSAIC drift. Furthermore, ratios of fi/fr at identical salinities can be used to distinguish waters remnant from the previous summer and those modified locally.

Within the ongoing winter we observed salinification and deepening of the mixed layer (ML) due to sea-ice related brine release together with interleaving waters at the base of the ML and within the main halocline. These interleaving waters with variable sea-ice and river water signals are observed for the first time and have not been observed during summer expeditions before.

The MOSAIC floe drifted in and out of the freshwater-rich part of the TPD and into the Atlantic regime throughout the winter. Despite these strong regime changes the sea-ice related brine content accumulated during the ongoing winter remained visible within the water column. Budgets derived by integration of signals over the upper 100m result in ~1 to 5 m of pure sea-water (34.92 salinity and 0.3‰ δ18O) removed from the water column for ice formation and are much higher than ice thicknesses of ~0.5 to 2 m observed for the MOSAIC floe. For further evaluation scaling factors have to be considered accounting e.g. for the different densities of ice and water as well as for the lower salinity in the halocline relative to pure sea-water. Therefore, our analysis indicates a lower limit of the advected signal relative to local winter modification within the Arctic Ocean halocline.

How to cite: Bauch, D., Andersen, N., Damm, E., D'Angelo, A., Fang, Y., Kuznetsov, I., Laukert, G., Mellat, M., Meyer, H., Rabe, B., Schaffer, J., Schulz, K., Tippenhauer, S., and Vredenborg, M.: Stable oxygen isotopes from the MOSAIC expedition show vertical and horizontal variability of sea-ice and river water signals in the upper Arctic Ocean during winter, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-3244, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-3244, 2023.

11:25–11:35
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EGU23-6699
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Yannis Arck, Lennart Gerke, Edith Engelhardt, Florian Freundt, Julian Robertz, Stanley Scott, David Wachs, Markus Oberthaler, Toste Tanhua, and Werner Aeschbach

Timescales of ventilation of the Arctic Ocean are still only poorly known. The commonly used tracers for ocean ventilation studies like CFCs and SF6 are limited to young water masses that are either close to the surface or in highly ventilated deep waters. The radioisotope 39Ar with its half-life of 269 years covers time scales of 50 to 1000 years, perfectly suitable to investigate ventilation timescales of deep and intermediate water masses within the Arctic Ocean. The new measurement technique called Argon Trap Trace Analysis (ArTTA) only requires samples sizes of a few liters of ocean water, instead of the previous low-level counting method, which required about 1000 liters of water. The benefit for ocean studies is evident, much more samples can be taken during one cruise if ArTTA is applied. This enables a better resolution of the water column in great depths at the desired sampling location in the Arctic Ocean. Combined with the additional data of the CFC-12 and SF6 measurements, ventilation timescales of the complete water column from surface to bottom are obtained by constraining transit time distributions via this multi-tracer approach.

Another focus of this study is the saturation of all gaseous transient tracers. It is determined by surface conditions as well as interior mixing processes. Measurements of stable noble gas isotopes (He, Ne, Ar, Kr, Xe) are used to determine possible saturation anomalies that arise during air bubble dissolution, rapid cooling and subduction, or ice formation and subsequent interior mixing of water masses. These saturation distortions for different boundary conditions are of key importance to correct the input function for gas tracers in the Arctic Ocean and hence to constrain the ventilation timescales. The uncertainty of the age distributions will be reduced, and ocean circulation models can be improved.

This contribution presents first stable and radioactive noble gas results of the project Ventilation and Anthropogenic Carbon in the Arctic Ocean (VACAO), which is part of the Synoptic Arctic Survey carried out in summer 2021 on the Swedish icebreaker Oden.

How to cite: Arck, Y., Gerke, L., Engelhardt, E., Freundt, F., Robertz, J., Scott, S., Wachs, D., Oberthaler, M., Tanhua, T., and Aeschbach, W.: Investigating ventilation and saturation dynamics in the Arctic Ocean using noble gas tracer techniques, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-6699, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-6699, 2023.

11:35–11:45
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EGU23-12032
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Lorenza Raimondi, Anne-Marie Wefing, and Núria Casacuberta Arola

At present, it is well-known that the fast increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations resulting from human activities (Cant), drives the dramatic changes observed in our environment such as global warming and ocean acidification. The Arctic Ocean has been identified as one of the fastest-changing regions of the world ocean and can therefore be considered as a sentinel for future global scenarios.

Here, Cant-rich waters coming from the Atlantic Ocean become isolated from the atmospheric input of CO2 as they flow at an intermediate depth below the mixed layer, making the Arctic Ocean a key region for intermediate-to-long-term storage of Cant. Despite having such an important role, the magnitude of the Cant inventory and its change over time in the region is yet not fully understood, particularly if we are to consider future changes in ice coverage and therefore ocean circulation.

A way of estimating oceanic Cant inventories is by applying the so-called Transit Time Distribution (TTD) method, which implies the use of transient tracers such as the anthropogenically produced CFC-12 and SF6.

In this work we present a new estimate of Cant inventory for the Arctic Ocean in 2015 assessed with the TTD method using both well-established tracers (CFC-12 and SF6, both having a global source) as well as novel ones (anthropogenic radionuclides 129I and 236U, both having primarily a point-like source represented by European nuclear reprocessing plants, as well as a global one represented by the global fallout from nuclear bomb testing).

The TTD was here applied following a relatively novel approach to infer the statistical parameters that describe the age distribution within a water sample, the mean (G) and the width (D). Unlike the “classical TTD” approach, the one used in this study allows the statistical parameters of the TTD to be constrained for each individual sample rather than finding values that are most representative of the region and time studied. We first show a comparison of the two TTD approaches by comparing mean and mode ages as well D/G ratios of this study (new TTD method) to those presented in Rajasakaren et al. 2019 (classical TTD method), using CFC-12 and SF6 as our tracers’ pair. We then compare TTD results obtained from the two tracers’ pairs, CFC-12/SF6 and 129I-/236U, using the new TTD method.

Finally, we estimate and compare Cant concentrations and inventories obtained with the two pairs of transient tracers to one-another as well as to previous estimates of Cant in the region by Rajasakaren et al (2019) obtained with the “classical TTD”. This study demonstrates for the first time the feasibility of using anthropogenically produced radionuclides with input functions and chemical properties different than CO2 as proxies for Cant estimates.  

How to cite: Raimondi, L., Wefing, A.-M., and Casacuberta Arola, N.: Anthropogenic Carbon in the Arctic Ocean: Perspectives from different TTD Approaches and Tracer Pairs, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-12032, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-12032, 2023.

11:45–11:50
OS1.4 Session Part IV "Regional Processes"
11:50–12:00
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EGU23-5197
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ECS
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On-site presentation
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Vasco Müller, Qiang Wang, Sergey Danilov, Nikolay Koldunov, Xinyue Li, and Thomas Jung

Mesoscale eddies might play a substantial role for the dynamics of the Arctic Ocean, making them crucial for understanding future Arctic changes and the ongoing ‘atlantification’ of the Arctic Ocean. However, simulating high latitude mesoscale eddies in ocean circulation models presents a great challenge due to their small size and adequately resolving mesoscale processes in the Arctic requires very high resolution, making simulations computationally expensive.

Here, we use a seven-year simulation from the unstructured‐mesh Finite volumE Sea ice-Ocean Model (FESOM2) with 1-km horizontal resolution in the Arctic Ocean. This very high-resolution model setup can be considered eddy resolving and has previously been used to investigate the distribution of eddy kinetic energy (EKE) in the Arctic. Now, with a simulation spanning several years, we evaluate the changes of EKE in the Eurasian Basin and the connection to other properties like sea-ice cover, baroclinic conversion rate and stratification. EKE seasonality is influenced predominantly by sea-ice changes, while monthly anomalies have different drivers for different depths levels. The mixed layer is strongly linked to the surface and thus to sea-ice variability. Deeper levels on the other hand are shielded from the surface by stratification and influenced more strongly by baroclinic conversion.

How to cite: Müller, V., Wang, Q., Danilov, S., Koldunov, N., Li, X., and Jung, T.: A high-resolution view on mesoscale eddy activity in the Eurasian Basin, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-5197, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-5197, 2023.

12:00–12:10
|
EGU23-2446
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Phoebe Hudson, Adrien Martin, Simon Josey, Alice Marzocchi, and Athanasios Angeloudis

Arctic surface air temperatures are warming twice as fast as global average temperatures. This has caused ocean warming, an intensification of the hydrological cycle, snow and ice melt, and increases in river runoff. Rivers play a central role in linking the components of the water cycle and Russian rivers alone contribute ~1/4 of the total freshwater to the Arctic Ocean, maintaining the halocline that covers the Arctic and dominates circulation. Increases in river runoff could further freshen this layer and increase Arctic Ocean stratification. However, the increase in atmosphere-ocean momentum transfer with sea ice loss could counteract or alter this pattern of circulation, mixing this cold fresh water with the warm salty water that currently sits below it. Understanding the interplay between these changes is crucial for predicting the future state of the Arctic system. Historically, studies trying to understand the interplay between these changes have been challenged by the difficulty of collecting in situ data in this region.

 

Over most of the globe, L-band satellite acquisitions of sea surface salinity (SSS), such as from Aquarius (2011–2015), SMOS (2010- present), and SMAP (2015-present), provide an idea tool to study freshwater storage and transport. However, the low sensitivity of L-band signal in cold water and the presence of sea ice makes retrievals at high latitudes a challenge. Nevertheless, retreating Arctic sea ice cover and continuous progress in satellite product development make the satellite based SSS measurements of great value in the Arctic. This is particularly evident in the Laptev Sea, where gradients in SSS are strong and in situ measurements are sparse. Previous work has demonstrated a good consistency of satellite based SSS data against in situ measurements, enabling greater confidence in acquisitions and making satellite SSS data a truly viable potential in the Arctic. Therefore, this project aims to combine satellite data, particularly SMAP and SMOS sea surface salinity (SSS) data, with model output to improve our understanding of interactions between the components of the Arctic hydrological cycle and how this is changing with our changing climate.

 

The Laptev Sea was chosen as an initial region of focus for analysis as the Lena river outflows as a large, shallow plume, which is clearly observable from satellite SSS data. The spatial pattern of the Lena river plume varies considerably interannually, responding to variability in atmospheric and oceanic forcing, sea ice extent, and in the magnitude of river runoff.  Numerical model output and satellite products confirm what has previously been suggested from in-situ data: wind forcing is the main driver of river plume variability.

How to cite: Hudson, P., Martin, A., Josey, S., Marzocchi, A., and Angeloudis, A.: Drivers of Laptev Sea interannual variability in salinity and temperature from satellite data, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-2446, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-2446, 2023.

12:10–12:20
|
EGU23-6564
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Emma Bent, Camille Lique, and Peter Sutherland

The Arctic Ocean has undergone a rapid decrease of sea ice extent for decades and studies have shown that the storm activity has increased in the Arctic. Regions that are seasonally ice-opened experience a greater forcing at the surface, which affects the upper-ocean through mixing, turbulence and air-sea interactions. Previous studies have shown the local and short term impacts of wind and waves on sea ice through negative or positive feedback mechanisms. For instance, increased air-sea flux during the freezing season can lead to a cooling of the upper-ocean and favor ice formation, while an increase in wind forcing can modify the vertical profile of the mixed layer, leading to melting or formation of ice. Given the potential of the mixed layer properties to be modified locally by an increased wind/wave forcing, we question whether this type of forcing could have a seasonal effect on the mixed layer and therefore on the sea ice.

We thus use a 1D coupled ocean-sea ice model (NEMO1D-SI³) to study, in the seasonal ice zone of the Beaufort Sea, the immediate change and the seasonal evolution of the mixed layer when forced by an idealized summer storm. The response of sea ice is also examined. We conduct the experiment for a range of storms varying in intensity, duration and date of forcing. Compared to a situation with no increased forcing, we first find that summer storms thicken the mixed layer through mixing which increases the upper-ocean heat content. In the fall, ice formation is consequently delayed for a maximum of 2 weeks compared to a situation with no increased forcing. Secondly, we show that storm-induced thick mixed layers isolate the sea ice from sub-surface warm waters, allowing for efficient ice growth. Ice is consequently thicker at the end of winter compared to a situation with no increased forcing (maximum difference of 10 cm). Thirdly, we find that these results are amplified for storms that happen earlier in summer and have a strong momentum input to the ocean. Our results suggest that localized storms could be a significant driver of the seasonal evolution of the mixed layer and the sea ice.

How to cite: Bent, E., Lique, C., and Sutherland, P.: Impact of an isolated summer storm on sea ice and ocean conditions in the Canadian Basin, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-6564, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-6564, 2023.

12:20–12:30
|
EGU23-10871
|
On-site presentation
Julian Schanze and the Salinity and Stratification at the Sea Ice Edge (SASSIE)

The NASA Salinity and Stratification at the Sea Ice Edge (SASSIE) field campaign took during place between August and October of 2022. Using three major components, the aim is to understand the relationship between both haline and thermal stratification and sea-ice advance, and to test the hypothesis that a significant fresh layer at the surface can accelerate the formation of sea ice by limiting convective processes. The three components of the field campaign include: 1) A one-month shipboard hydrographic and atmospheric survey in the Beaufort Sea, 2) A concurrent airborne campaign to observe ocean salinity, temperature, and other parameters from a low-flying aircraft, and 3) The deployment of autonomous assets, buoys, and floats that are able to observe both the melt season and the sea ice advance.

Here, we focus on the novel results from the month-long research cruise aboard the R/V Woldstad that took place during September and October of 2022, particularly measurements of salinity and temperature at radiometric depths (1-2 cm) from the salinity snake instrument. These measurements will be contextualized with all other components of the cruise, including uCTD, air-sea flux, airborne, and satellite data to examine the effects of stratification on ocean dynamics in the Beaufort Sea near at the sea ice edge.

How to cite: Schanze, J. and the Salinity and Stratification at the Sea Ice Edge (SASSIE): A First Look at Surface Ocean Measurements during the SASSIE Field Campaign in 2022, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-10871, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-10871, 2023.

Posters on site: Tue, 25 Apr, 14:00–15:45 | Hall X5

Chairperson: Yevgeny Aksenov
X5.313
|
EGU23-234
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ECS
Morven Muilwijk, Tore Hattermann, Sigrid Lind, and Mats Granskog

Over the last few decades, the Arctic has experienced surface warming at more than twice the global rate and extensive sea ice loss. The reduced sea ice cover affects the mechanical and thermodynamical coupling between the atmosphere and the ocean. A commonly repeated hypothesis is that a thinner and more mobile sea ice cover will increase momentum transfer, resulting in a spin-up of upper Arctic Ocean circulation and enhanced vertical mixing. In general, sea ice protects the ocean from interaction with the atmosphere, and a thinning and shrinking sea ice cover implies a more direct transfer of momentum and heat. For example, several observational studies show a more energetic ocean after strong wind events over open water than wind events over ice-covered water. However, previous modeling studies show that seasonality is very important and that the total momentum transfer can decrease with more open water because the ice surface provides greater drag than the open water surface. We here present numerical simulations of future scenarios with the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM) and show how the momentum transfer is projected to change with changing sea ice and wind conditions in various regions of the Arctic Ocean. We then compare our results with output from other CMIP6 models and present how different wind conditions and the diminishing ice cover impacts the upper ocean circulation. 

How to cite: Muilwijk, M., Hattermann, T., Lind, S., and Granskog, M.: Future Arctic Ocean atmosphere-ice-ocean momentum transfer and impacts on ocean circulation, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-234, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-234, 2023.

X5.314
|
EGU23-4972
Patrizia Giordano, Alessandra D'Angelo, Kyle Mayers, Jasmin Renz, Ilaria Conese, Stefano Miserocchi, Federico Giglio, and Leonardo Langone

In Arctic regions, the food availability for epi-pelagic fauna is strictly influenced by environmental stressors, such as solar radiation, ice cover, glacial and watershed runoffs. This study presents an 8-year time-series (2010-2018) of mesozooplankton collected from an automatic sediment trap in the inner part of Kongsfjorden, Svalbard, at ~87m depth. The aim of this study is to observe the temporal variability in the abundance of epipelagic mesozooplankton species, collected as active flux (swimmers). Reference meteorological and hydrological data are also presented as environmental stressors, to evaluate possible relationships with zooplankton populations. A principal component analysis (PCA) applied to the dataset revealed that the physical and chemical characteristics of seawater affected the mesozooplankton abundance and composition. Collectively, this result highlighted the role of the thermohaline characteristics of the water column on the Copepods behavior, and the correlation between siliceous phytoplankton and Amphipods. Overall, the zooplankton within inner Kongsfjorden did not show a clear seasonal trend, suggesting their high adaptivity to extreme environmental conditions. Although the swimmer fluxes have decreased from 2013 onwards, an increase in community diversity has nevertheless been observed, probably due to copepods decline and subsequent higher food availability. Despite the decreasing magnitude of the zooplanktonic community over time, we recorded the intrusion of subarctic boreal species, such as Limacina retroversa, since 2016. The uniqueness of this dataset is an 8-year uninterrupted time series, which provides correlations between environmental and biological parameters in a poorly studied region. Under a warming Kongsfjorden scenario, with increasing submarine and watershed runoff, and the rapid Atlantification of the fjord, major changes in mesozooplankton communities are expected in the medium to long-term due to their adaptation to environmental changes and the introduction of alien species.

How to cite: Giordano, P., D'Angelo, A., Mayers, K., Renz, J., Conese, I., Miserocchi, S., Giglio, F., and Langone, L.: An 8-year time series of mesozooplankton fluxes in Kongsfjorden, Svalbard, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-4972, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-4972, 2023.

X5.315
|
EGU23-4988
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ECS
Akanksha Singh, Sze Ling Ho, and Ludvig Löwemark

Studies have shown that Arctic sea-ice conditions influence the earth’s energy budget by affecting its albedo and global ocean circulation. It also exerts a strong control on the local primary productivity. In addition, by drifting sea ice, it facilitates the transport of sediment and organic matter (OM) from marginal seas across the Arctic Ocean. Over the past decades, there have been several studies on sediment cores from Central Arctic where the major source of OM was shown to be terrigenous. The presence of this elevated terrigenous OM is driven by the transport of sediments and OM from marginal seas to the Central Arctic via drifting ice. However, our understanding of the processes involved in the transport of OM to the central Arctic is still limited. In this study, in order to better understand the pathways of OM transport, we examine spatial and temporal variations in OM flux to the central Arctic. We use organic carbon and biomarker proxies, namely n-alkanes and Glycerol dialkyl glycerol tetraether (GDGT) to explore the spatial and temporal (Marine Isotope Stage 1, 2 and 3) variation of terrigenous input versus marine primary productivity in the central Arctic. To understand the transport of OM in the Central Arctic, biomarkers in 100 samples collected from 9 central Arctic cores were investigated. The presence of terrestrial organic matter in the central Arctic region was confirmed by the high values of the BIT index, which virtually all reached above 0.5 with a maximum of 0.9. The spatial pattern of both terrestrial and marine OM showed higher concentrations at the central Lomonosov ridge and reduced values towards the Lomonosov Ridge off Greenland, with lowest concentrations from the cores located at Morris Jesup Rise (MJR). The pattern of declining terrestrial biomarker concentrations from the central Arctic to MJR, which is closer to the Fram Strait and marks the exit of the Arctic Ocean, are likely caused by sea-ice drift patterns. The sea ice would have been transported by the Transpolar Drift, which allows terrigenous material entrained in the dirty sea ice to get transported towards central Arctic. This spatial pattern remains same for all three studied Marine Isotope Stages. Looking at the temporal variation of the OM into the central Arctic, compared to MIS 3 and MIS 2, TOC as well as both marine and terrestrial biomarkers show enhanced concentration during MIS 1 all over the central Arctic. These increased biomarker concentrations reflect that MIS 1 was warmer with less extensive sea-ice cover than MIS 2 and MIS 3.

How to cite: Singh, A., Ho, S. L., and Löwemark, L.: Spatial and temporal distribution of organic matter in central Arctic: Insights from biomarker proxy, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-4988, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-4988, 2023.

X5.316
|
EGU23-5605
Chuncheng Guo, Qi Shu, Qiang Wang, Aleksi Nummelin, Mats Bentsen, Alok Gupta, Yang Gao, and Shaoqing Zhang

Underlying the polar climate system are a number of closely coupled processes that are interconnected through complex feedbacks on a range of temporal and spatial scales. Observations are limited in these inaccessible and remote areas, and understanding of these processes often relies on regional and global climate modelling. However, large uncertainties remain due to unresolved key processes in both the regional and global contexts.

In this presentation, we first show that large model spread and biases exist in simulating the Arctic Ocean hydrography from the latest CMIP6/OMIP experiments. Our results indicate that there are almost no improvements compared with the previous CORE-II experiments (with similar OMIP-like protocol) which were thoroughly assessed by the ocean modelling community. The model spread and biases are especially conspicuous in the simulation of subsurface halocline and Atlantic Water, the latter often being too warm, too thick, and too deep for many models. The models largely agree on the interannual/decadal variabilities of key metrics, such as volume/heat/salt transport across main Arctic gateways, as dictated by the common atmospheric forcing reanalysis.

We then examine a hierarchy of global models with horizontal resolutions of the ocean on the order of 1-deg, 0.25-deg, and 0.1-deg. For the 0.1-deg resolution, we take advantage of a recent unprecedented ensemble of high-resolution CESM simulations, as well as NorESM simulations of similar ocean resolution but of shorter integration. High(er) resolutions show signs of improvements and advantages in simulating the Arctic Ocean, but certain biases remain, which will be discussed together with the challenges of high-resolution simulations in the region.

How to cite: Guo, C., Shu, Q., Wang, Q., Nummelin, A., Bentsen, M., Gupta, A., Gao, Y., and Zhang, S.: CMIP6/OMIP simulations of the Arctic Ocean and the impact of resolutions, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-5605, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-5605, 2023.

X5.317
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EGU23-6012
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ECS
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Francesco De Rovere, Jacopo Chiggiato, Leonardo Langone, Angelo Rubino, and Davide Zanchettin

Kongsfjorden is an Arctic fjord in Svalbard facing the West Spitsbergen Current (WSC) transporting warm and salty Atlantic Water (AW) through the Fram Strait to the Arctic. In this work, winter AW intrusions in Kongsfjorden occurring in the 2010-2020 decade are assessed by means of oceanographic and atmospheric observations, provided by in-situ instrumentations and reanalysis products. Winter AW intrusions are relatively common events, bringing heat and salt from the open ocean to the fjord interior; they are characterized by water temperatures rising by 1-2 °C in just a few days. Several mechanisms have been proposed to explain winter AW intrusions in West Spitsbergen fjords, tracing back to the occurrence of energetic wind events along the shelf slope. Here we demonstrate that the ocean plays a fundamental role as well in regulating the inflow of AW toward Kongsfjorden in winter.

Winter AW intrusions in 2011, 2012, 2016, 2018 and 2020 occurred by means of upwelling from the WSC, triggered by large southerly winds blowing on the West Spitsbergen Shelf (WSS) followed by a circulation reversal with northerly winds. Southerly winds are generated by the setup of a high pressure anomaly over the Barents Sea. In these winters, fjord waters are fresher and less dense than the AW current, resulting in the breakdown of the geostrophic control mechanism at the fjord mouth, allowing AW to enter Kongsfjorden. The low salinity signal is found also on the WSS and hence is related to the particular properties of the Spitsbergen Polar Current (SPC). The freshwater signal is hypothesized to be linked to the sea-ice production and melting in the Storfjorden and Barents Sea regions, as well as the accumulation of glaciers’ runoff. The freshwater transport toward West Spitsbergen is thus the key preconditioning factor allowing winter AW intrusions in Kongsfjorden by upwelling, whilst energetic atmospheric phenomena trigger the intrusions. 

Winter 2014 AW intrusion shows a different dynamic, i.e., an extensive downwelling of warm waters in the fjord lasting several weeks. Here, long-lasting southerly winds stack surface waters toward the coast. The fjord density is larger than the WSC density, forcing the AW intrusion to occur near the surface, then spreading vertically over the water column due to heat loss to the atmosphere. We hypothesize the combination of sustained Ekman transport and the shallower height of the WSC on the water column to be the key factor explaining the AW intrusion in this winter. 

After mixing with the initial AW inflow, fjord waters undergo heat loss to the atmosphere and densification. The water column becomes denser than the WSC, restoring the geostrophic control mechanism and blocking further intrusions of AW.

How to cite: De Rovere, F., Chiggiato, J., Langone, L., Rubino, A., and Zanchettin, D.: Winter Atlantic Water intrusions in Kongsfjorden: atmospheric triggering and oceanic preconditioning, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-6012, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-6012, 2023.

X5.318
|
EGU23-7149
Evolving relationship of Nares Strait ice arches and the North Water, the Arctic’s most productive polynya
(withdrawn)
Kent Moore, Steve Howell, and Mike Brady
X5.319
|
EGU23-7774
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ECS
Myriel Vredenborg, Wiebke Körtke, Benjamin Rabe, Maren Walter, Sandra Tippenhauer, and Oliver Huhn

The Arctic Ocean is characterized by complex processes coupling the atmosphere, cryosphere, ocean and land, and undergoes remarkable environmental changes due to global warming. To better understand this system of physical, biogeochemical and ecosystem processes, as well as recent changes was the aim of the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) ice drift conducted year-round from autumn 2019 to autumn 2020. Here, we focus on the properties and circulation pathways of upper Arctic Ocean water masses that have been found to change in recent decades, likely in response to changes in sea ice, surface fluxes, and advection of air masses under Arctic amplification.

We use hundreds of hydrographic profiles obtained with two Conductivity Temperature Depth (CTD) systems mounted to rosette water samplers from the drifting ship and at a remote location on the ice to investigate the properties of the polar mixed layer, halocline waters and warm water of Atlantic origin (“Atlantic Water”) in the Eurasian Arctic during the MOSAiC campaign. Additionally, we analyse chemical tracers (noble gases and anthropogenic tracers CFC-12 and SF6) measured from water samples taken with both CTD/Rosette systems to identify pathways of the water masses. We compare these observations with a comprehensive dataset of historical hydrographic data from the region to put our findings into a long-term context.

We find a shoaling and thickening of the Atlantic-Water layer compared to historical observations, as well as signatures of interleaving at the core of the warm Atlantic Water that slowly get eroded during the drift. Along the MOSAiC track the hydrographic data show convective lower halocline waters that are typically formed north of Fram Strait and further downstream, as well as advective-convective lower halocline waters typically formed in the Barents Sea. We see a change in lower halocline properties in the eastern Amundsen Basin compared to historical observations, that could either be caused by local formation or a change in circulation. Further, we use the chemical tracers to investigate possible pathways and formation regions of the observed water masses.

How to cite: Vredenborg, M., Körtke, W., Rabe, B., Walter, M., Tippenhauer, S., and Huhn, O.: Upper Arctic Ocean properties and water mass pathways during the year-round MOSAiC expedition in the context of historical observations, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-7774, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-7774, 2023.

X5.320
|
EGU23-8320
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ECS
Gang Lin, jixin Qiao, Rafael Gonçalves‐Araujo, Peter Steier, Paul Dodd, and Colin Stedmon

The Fram Strait, located between Svalbard and Greenland is an important gateway for exchange of salt and heat between the Arctic Ocean and the North Atlantic Ocean and is also a geographically crucial region for investigating Atlantic water transport pathways and transit times, which are necessary to understand the progress of environmental changes in the Arctic. 236U from the two European nuclear reprocessing plants (RPs) at La Hague (LH) and Sellafield (SF) provides a unique signal in Atlantic water for studying its circulation pattern in the Arctic Ocean. In this study we first isolate RP-derived 236U (236URP) using the characteristic 233U/236U signature and then use colored dissolved organic matter (CDOM) to indicate transit pathways and therefore constrain the selection of appropriate 236URP input functions. High CDOM absorbance in the Fram Strait reflects the passage of Atlantic water transported to the Arctic by the Norwegian Coastal Current (NCC) and subsequently along the Siberian shelf where the Ob, Yenisei and Lena rivers supply terrestrial organic matter with high CDOM levels. Conversely low CDOM water represents Atlantic water that has remained off the shelf. Based on CDOM absorbance, potential temperature (θ) and water depth the path of a given body of Atlantic water could be determined and an appropriate RP input function selected so that transit times could be estimated. Waters with high CDOM levels sourced from the NCC and Barents Sea branch water (BSBW) had an average Atlantic water transit time of 12 years. Waters with low CDOM,  θ < 2 °C, and depth < 1500 m were sourced from the Norwegian Atlantic Current (NwAC), had little interaction with riverine freshwater with an advective Atlantic water transit time of 26 years.

How to cite: Lin, G., Qiao, J., Gonçalves‐Araujo, R., Steier, P., Dodd, P., and Stedmon, C.: Tracing Atlantic water exiting the Fram Strait and its transit in the Arctic Ocean by isolating reprocessing-derived 236U and colored dissolved organic matter, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-8320, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-8320, 2023.

X5.321
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EGU23-9367
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ECS
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Kjersti Kalhagen, Ragnheid Skogseth, Ilker Fer, Till M. Baumann, and Eva Falck

The Barents Sea is undergoing changes with impacts on the physical environment, e.g., the seasonal sea ice formation and extent and with large consequences for the ecosystems. There are knowledge-gaps concerning the complex pathways of Atlantic Water (AW) through the Barents Sea and the associated distribution of heat and nutrients. Records from a mooring deployed between September 2018 and November 2019 on the 70 m deep saddle between Edgeøya and Hopen islands in the Svalbard archipelago show sporadic exchange between the AW-influenced trough Storfjordrenna and the Arctic domain of the north-western Barents Sea. Forced by sea surface anomalies, the observed currents show a tendency for eastward transport across the saddle year-round. However, the eastward overflow into the Barents Sea is strongly mediated by wind forcing: The predominant north-northeasterly winds with corresponding geostrophic adjustment to Ekman transport tend to hamper and sometimes even reverse this cross-saddle current. Weaker and/or southerly winds on the other hand tend to enhance the eastward flow into the Barents Sea. The strength and shape of the overflow current vary substantially on seasonal and sub-seasonal timescales: during autumn and winter, the current is strong and barotropic, while during summer, the current is weaker and more baroclinic. On shorter time scales, the strongest oscillations occur during the ice-free autumn with a periodicity of a few days. When the area has a partial sea ice cover in winter, the strength decreases and the periodicity increases to a week or more. Further analysis of variability in temperature and current velocity shows that cross-saddle transport of positive temperature anomalies (indicating heat from waters of Atlantic origin) is evident in frequency bands associated with various drivers of mesoscale variability, such as eddies, synoptic events, and tides. There are indications that the studied area will become an increasingly important location for heat transport into the interior of the Barents Sea: A comparison between historical and recent hydrographic records show that AW is warming and shoaling in the water column in Storfjordrenna, which suggests that AW will be more easily transported across the saddle by the mentioned drivers. Furthermore, the ongoing changes in the large-scale weather patterns resulting in more southerly and southwesterly winds is hypothesized to affect the strength and persistence of the overflow on the saddle between Edgeøya and Hopen islands.

How to cite: Kalhagen, K., Skogseth, R., Fer, I., Baumann, T. M., and Falck, E.: Wind forcing and tides mediate transport of ocean heat from Storfjordrenna to the Arctic domain of the Barents Sea, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-9367, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-9367, 2023.

X5.322
|
EGU23-10826
Tae Siek Rhee, Young Shin Kwon, Mi-Seon Kim, Scott Dalimore, Charles Paull, Jong Kuk Hong, and Young Keun Jin

Methane (CH4) is one of the most important greenhouse gases on Earth. Recent finding of the strong CH4 emissions in the Arctic Seas with shrinking the sea ice may amplify the Arctic warming leading to the positive feedback in the Arctic climate. Korea Polar Research Institute (KOPRI) has ongoing interest in Arctic environmental conditions including the potential release of the CH4 from the seabed to the water column and finally, further to the atmosphere. During the last 13 years throughout a series of campaigns on the Korean ice-breaker, R/V Araon, we measured CH4 concentrations at the surface ocean and overlying air in summer season to estimate the emissions from the western arctic seas including the Chukchi Sea, the Beaufort Sea, and the East Siberian Sea. We compare each of these seas and the Central Arctic Ocean covering the deep Arctic Ocean basin. The surface ocean showed super-saturation almost everywhere with respect to the CH4 in the overlying air. Nonetheless, we have insufficient regional coverage to assess any possible saturation anomaly trend in each sea. Flux densities of outgassing CH4 are modestly larger than the global mean value of the continental shelf except for the Central Arctic Ocean where the CH4 emission is slightly lower. Our estimate of CH4 emission in the East Siberian Sea is far larger than other Arctic Seas abiding by the previous observations, but its magnitude is far lower due likely to the distance from the hot spot area. Future methane flux studies should be extended to shallow, nearshore environments where rate of permafrost degradation should be greatest in response to ongoing marine transgression.

How to cite: Rhee, T. S., Kwon, Y. S., Kim, M.-S., Dalimore, S., Paull, C., Hong, J. K., and Jin, Y. K.: 13-Year Observation of the CH4 across the sea surface in the Western Arctic Ocean, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-10826, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-10826, 2023.

X5.323
|
EGU23-10840
Wei Cheng, Cecilia Bitz, Lettie Roach, Edward Blanchard-Wriggleworth, Mitch Bushuk, and Qiang Wang

While current-generation CMIP and OMIP models have clear biases in their upper Arctic Ocean hydrography, it is less clear how these biases impact the models' ability to simulate the observed Arctic sea ice mean state and trends. In this study we seek to quantify cross-relationship between sea ice and ocean states in CMIP6 historical simulations and identify common model behaviors. Multi-model mean (MMM) simulations exhibit accelerated changes in the ice and ocean system since the late 20th century. Underlying the MMM is strong inter-model variation in the simulated ice and ocean mean states and their temporal variability including trends. Despite such inter-model differences, all models show a similar ratio between sea ice reduction and upper ocean warming such that models with higher ocean warming also have higher SIE reduction and vice versa. Our results also highlight the urgent needs of reliable Arctic Ocean observations or data products in order to better contextualize modeling results.

How to cite: Cheng, W., Bitz, C., Roach, L., Blanchard-Wriggleworth, E., Bushuk, M., and Wang, Q.: Upper Arctic Ocean Properties and Relationships with Sea Ice in CMIP6 Historical Simulations, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-10840, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-10840, 2023.

X5.324
|
EGU23-11364
|
ECS
Merged Sea Ice Motion from Pattern-Matching and Feature-Tracking Vectors
(withdrawn)
Xue Wang, Yan Fang, Zhuoqi Chen, Fengming Hui, and Xiao Cheng
X5.325
|
EGU23-11483
|
ECS
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Valentin Ludwig and Helge Gößling and the SIDFEx Team

We introduce the Sea Ice Drift Forecast Experiment (SIDFEx) database. SIDFEx is a collection of close to 180,000 lagrangian drift forecasts for the trajectories of specified assets (mostly buoys) on the Arctic and Antarctic sea ice, at lead times from daily to seasonal scale and mostly daily resolution. The forecasts are based on systems with varying degrees of complexity, ranging from free-drift forecasts to forecasts by fully coupled dynamical general circulation models. Combining several independent forecasts allows us to construct a best-guess consensus forecast, with a seamless transition from systems with lead times of up to 10 days to systems with seasonal lead times. The forecasts are generated by 13 research groups using 23 distinct forecasting systems and sent operationally to the Alfred-Wegener-Institute, where they are archived and evaluated. Many systems send forecasts in near-real time.

One key purpose when starting SIDFEx in 2017 was to find the optimal starting position for the Multidisciplinary Drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC). Over the years, more applications evolved: During MOSAiC, the SIDFEx forecasts were used for ordering high-resolution TerraSAR-X images in advance, with a hit rate of 80%. During the Endurance22 expedition, we supported the onboard team with near-real time forecasts, contributing to the success of the mission. Currently, we evaluate drift forecasts for several buoys of the MOSAiC Distributed Network (DN). We know that there is skill in predicting the location of single buoys. Now, we extend this to studying the deformation of the polygon spanned by the DN buoys. Deformation is derived from the spatial velocity derivatives of the buoy array. We find low correlation coefficients between the deformation in the models and the observed deformation for a small-scale DN configuration, but larger and significant correlations around 0.7 for larger configurations and an Arctic-wide buoy array.

How to cite: Ludwig, V. and Gößling, H. and the SIDFEx Team: The Sea Ice Drift Forecast Experiment (SIDFEx): Introduction and applications, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-11483, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11483, 2023.

X5.326
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EGU23-12014
Doshik Hahm, Soyeon Kwon, Inhee Lee, Keyhong Park, Kyoung-Ho Cho, Jinyoung Jung, Taewook Park, Youngju Lee, Chanhyung Jeon, and Seongbong Seo

The Arctic Ocean experiences warming-induced processes, such as the decrease in sea-ice extent and freshening of the surface layer. While these processes have the potential to alter primary production and carbon export to the deep layer, the changes that will likely occur in them  are still poorly understood. To assess the potential changes in net community production (NCP), a measure of biological carbon export to the deep layer, in response to climate change, we observed the O2/Ar at the surface of the northern Chukchi Sea in the summers of 2017 and 2020. The NCP estimates derived from O2/Ar measurements were largely in the range of 1 -- 11 mmol O2 m-2 d-1 in the northern Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, close to the lower bounds of the values in the global oceans. The average NCP of 1.5 ± 1.7 mmol O2 m-2 d-1 in 2020 was substantially lower than 7.1 ± 7.4  mmol O2 m-2 d-1  in 2017, with the most pronounced decrease occurring in the ice-free region of the northern Chukchi Sea; the NCP of the ice-free region in 2020 was only 12% of that in 2017. The decrease in 2020 was accompanied by a lower salinity of >2, which resulted in shallower mixed layer depths and stronger stratification. We speculated that the anomalously low pressure near the east Russian coast and the lack of strong winds contributed to the strong stratification in 2020. With a continuing decrease in the extent of sea ice, the northern Chukchi Sea will likely experience earlier phytoplankton blooms and nitrate exhaustion. Unless winds blow strong enough to break the stratification, the biological carbon export in late summer is likely to remain weak.  

How to cite: Hahm, D., Kwon, S., Lee, I., Park, K., Cho, K.-H., Jung, J., Park, T., Lee, Y., Jeon, C., and Seo, S.: Summer Net Community Production in the northern Chukchi Sea: Comparison between 2017 and 2020, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-12014, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-12014, 2023.

X5.327
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EGU23-12592
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ECS
Lucia Gutierrez-Loza and Siv K. Lauvset

The Arctic Ocean is rapidly changing in response to high temperatures and increased atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations.  As part of these changing conditions, sea-ice loss and increased freshwater inputs are expected to impact the mixing processes and the characteristics of water column in the Arctic region, directly modulating the nutrient availability and primary productivity in the surface water.

Here, we investigate the spatial and temporal variations of the vertical structure of the water column using high-resolution model outputs for the period 2000-2099. We focus on the Atlantic sector of the Arctic, an increasingly temperature-stratified region, where we evaluate the changes on nutrient availability and carbonate chemistry in the upper ocean. Changes in the regionality and seasonality under a medium- to high-end emission scenario (SSP3-7.0), transitioning towards a sea-ice free Arctic, will be used to further understand the upper ocean mixing processes and their impacts on the local and regional biogeochemistry.

How to cite: Gutierrez-Loza, L. and Lauvset, S. K.: Seasonality and regionality of the vertical structure of the water column in the Arctic Ocean., EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-12592, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-12592, 2023.

X5.328
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EGU23-13807
Sebastian Mieruch, Ingrid Linck Rosenhaim, and Reiner Schlitzer

In the frame of the M-VRE (The MOSAiC virtual research environment, https://mosaic-vre.org) project we have set up a webODV application, to serve data from the arctic MOSAiC (https://mosaic-expedition.org) expedition.

webODV is deployed at AWI's computing center under https://mvre.webodv.cloud.awi.de. MOSAiC data have been retrieved from the long-term archive Pangaea (https://pangaea.de). To get the most out of the data with webODV, we have harmonized, aggregated and compiled the datasets into different separated and interdisciplinary data collections.

webODV is operated interactively in the browser via the mouse and keyboard (no programming), it's fast, efficient and easy to use for exploring, visualizing, analyzing, downloading data, creating map projections, scatter plots, section plots, surface plots and station plots and many more.

webODV supports the FAIR data principles and analyses and visualizations are fully reproducible using our so-called "xview" files that can be shared among colleagues or attached to publications. We provide real-time sharing, full author traceability and downloadable lists of all the DOI's used in the analysis or the respective .bib or .ris files including all citations. Extensive documentation is available at https://mosaic-vre.org/docs as well as video tutorials at https://mosaic-vre.org/videos/webodv.

How to cite: Mieruch, S., Linck Rosenhaim, I., and Schlitzer, R.: The MOSAiC webODV: Interactive online data exploration, visualization and analysis, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-13807, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-13807, 2023.

X5.329
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EGU23-14133
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ECS
Markus Ritschel and Dirk Notz

We examine the seasonal and regional evolution of sea-ice coverage in the Arctic in response to changes in the forcing. Using satellite and reanalysis data in combination with CMIP6 model simulations, we build on previous studies that have found a strong linear relationship between the September sea-ice area of the northern hemisphere and global atmospheric air temperature (TAS) as well as anthropogenic CO2 emissions. Instead of focusing on the whole Arctic and September sea ice only, we perform sensitivity analyses on higher-resolved regional and seasonal scales, aiming to identify the atmospheric and oceanic drivers that govern the evolution of sea-ice coverage on these scales and to derive simple empirical relationships that describe the impact of these processes. We find clear linkages also on these higher-resolved scales, with different regions and different seasons showing diverse sensitivities of sea-ice area evolution with respect to TAS and anthropogenic CO2. Furthermore, we use a multivariate metric to quantify the "quality" of a single simulation matching the observations, thereby considering the different sensitivities of all seasons of the year. Building the combined covariance matrix of observations and simulations as a measure of the joint uncertainties, we can determine how "close" to the observations every single member of the simulations is. This allows us to separate models whose sensitivities are in overall good agreement with the observations from those that are apparently not capable of properly simulating the response of the sea ice to the forcing throughout all months. Based on our findings we can infer the dominant drivers that force Arctic sea-ice evolution on a regional and seasonal scale and also derive projections for the future evolution of Arctic sea ice for different climate scenarios based on simple empirical relationships that can directly be estimated from observational records.

How to cite: Ritschel, M. and Notz, D.: Seasonal and regional sensitivity of Arctic sea ice, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-14133, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-14133, 2023.

X5.330
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EGU23-16107
Yevgeny Aksenov, Stefanie Rynders, Alex Megann, A.J. George Nurser, Chris Wilson, and Andrew C. Coward

The Arctic can be seen as a two-layer ocean: thin (<100m) mixed layer at the surface, and the rest of the weakly-stratified ~5-km water column, separated from the surface waters by the Arctic halocline. The weak subsurface ocean stratification results in most of the ocean flow being depth-uniform and guided by bathymetry. One way to look at the Arctic long-term, large-scale ocean circulation is examining the Arctic gyres and cross-ocean currents, such as the Trans-Polar Drift. Wilson et all 2021[1] show how gyres, saddle points and flow separation structures “separatrices” in the surface ocean circulation changes between years and how these affect cross-basin Arctic oceanic connectivity. We extend the method to the subsurface oceanic flow and examine barotropic circulation in the present-day Arctic Ocean using global NEMO model (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) at 3-km horizontal resolution. The closed-gyre detection method allows us to map positions of the principal Arctic gyres and quantify their strength. The Montgomery potential analyses complements the study by giving us an insight in the geostrophic flows of the Atlantic and Pacific waters. The results suggest a large year-to-year variability of the Arctic gyres and the changes in the Arctic – the Nordic Sea connectivity, which impacts exports of the freshwater, heat, and biogeochemical tracers from the Arctic.

This work has been funded from LTS-S CLASS (Climate–Linked Atlantic Sector Science, grant NE/R015953/1), from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 820989 (project COMFORT), from the project EPOC, EU grant 101059547 and UKRI grant 10038003 and from the UK NERC project CANARI (NE/W004984/1).

Reference

[1] Wilson, C., Aksenov, Y., Rynders, S. et al. Significant variability of structure and predictability of Arctic Ocean surface pathways affects basinwide connectivity. Commun. Earth. Environ. 2, 164 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00237-0.

How to cite: Aksenov, Y., Rynders, S., Megann, A., Nurser, A. J. G., Wilson, C., and Coward, A. C.: Oceanic gyres in the Arctic, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-16107, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-16107, 2023.

X5.331
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EGU23-4770
Arctic sea ice type distribution from various microwave remote sensing products
(withdrawn)
Yufang Ye, Yanbing Luo, Mohammed Shokr, Signe Aaboe, Fanny Girard-Ardhuin, Fengming Hui, Xiao Cheng, and Zhuoqi Chen

Posters virtual: Tue, 25 Apr, 14:00–15:45 | vHall CR/OS

Chairperson: Yufang Ye
vCO.7
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EGU23-9887
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ECS
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Jed Lenetsky, Craig Lee, Clark Richards, and Alexandra Jahn

The Davis Strait, located in Southern Baffin Bay between Greenland and the Canadian Arctic Archipelago, is a key gateway of oceanic exchange between the Arctic and North Atlantic Oceans. Large fluxes of fresh Arctic Waters through the Davis Strait potentially influence deep-water formation in the Labrador Sea, with implications for the strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. From 2004-2017, and 2020-present, ocean temperatures, salinities, and velocities have been measured along a moored array spanning the entire strait, allowing for ocean transports to be assessed over both the continental shelves and central channel. Here we will present new data from 2011-2017, extending the previously published data for 2004-2010. Furthermore, the whole record has been updated, filling spatial and short temporal data gaps using average temperature, salinity, and velocity sections from high resolution Seaglider surveys from 2004 to 2010. These updated volume, freshwater, and watermass transports will increase understanding of changing oceanic conditions in Baffin Bay, as well as local and remote physical mechanisms that govern the Davis Strait throughflow on synoptic to interannual timescales.

How to cite: Lenetsky, J., Lee, C., Richards, C., and Jahn, A.: An updated observational record of Davis Strait ocean transports, 2004-2017, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 23–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-9887, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-9887, 2023.