Monsoon systems in the past and present and under future climate change
Co-organized by CL1.2
Orals
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Tue, 25 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) Room 1.85/86, Wed, 26 Apr, 08:30–10:15 (CEST), 10:45–12:30 (CEST) Room 1.85/86
Posters on site
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Attendance Wed, 26 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) Hall X5
Posters virtual
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Attendance Wed, 26 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) vHall AS
Monsoons are among the most complex phenomena involving coupled atmosphere-ocean-land interactions and remain notoriously difficult to forecast at leads times ranging from numerical weather prediction (NWP) to long-term climate projections. A better understanding of monsoon physics and dynamics, with more accurate simulation, prediction and projection of monsoon systems is therefore of great importance.
This session invites presentations on any aspects of monsoon research in present-day, future and palaeoclimate periods, involving observations, modelling, attribution, prediction and climate projection. Topics ranging from theoretical works based on idealized planets and ITCZ frameworks to the latest field campaign results are also invited, as is work on impacts, extremes, NWP modelling, S2S and decadal forecasting, and the latest CMIP6 findings.
16:15–16:20
5-minute convener introduction
Intraseasonal monsoon variability
Model biases, CPM and downscaling
08:30–08:35
Session 2 introduction
Monsoon processes
08:45–08:55
Discussion
Predictability arising outside the tropics
Palaeomonsoons
Holocene multi-centennial variations of the Asian summer monsoon triggered by solar activity
(withdrawn)
Coffee break
Chairpersons: Kyung-Ja Ha, Andrew Turner
10:45–10:50
Session 3 introduction
Climate change
The projected future of the South American monsoon
(withdrawn)
How robust are CMIP6 models in predicting Sahel rainfall at decadal time-scales ?
(withdrawn)
Palaeomonsoon posters
A comparative analysis of Holocene monsoon precipitation in the central highlands of Vietnam using hydrogen isotopic analyses of leaf wax n-alkanes
(withdrawn)
Climate modelling and change monsoon posters
Monsoon variability posters
Monsoon processes posters
Monsoons: virtual posters
Multidecadal variation of Northern Hemisphere summer monsoonforced by the SST inter-hemispheric dipole
(withdrawn)