CR1.3 | East and West Antarctica’s responses to climate change, past present and future
EDI
East and West Antarctica’s responses to climate change, past present and future
Convener: David Small | Co-conveners: Ted Scambos, Laura De Santis, Linda Armbrecht, Marianne Karplus, Chen ZhaoECSECS, Yixi ZhengECSECS
Orals
| Wed, 17 Apr, 14:00–18:00 (CEST)
 
Room 1.61/62
Posters on site
| Attendance Tue, 16 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Tue, 16 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Orals |
Wed, 14:00
Tue, 16:15
Understanding the likely mass balance of the Antarctic Ice Sheet in coming decades is critical to sea-level rise forecasting and the needed societal adaptions. Model predictions suggest that the melting of the ice sheet could contribute several metres to global mean sea-level rise over the next few centuries under medium to high emissions scenarios, regardless of local increases in snow accumulation.

The West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) is often viewed as the most vulnerable ice sheet in the coming century; however, the vast majority of Earth’s glacier ice (around 52 metres sea-level equivalent) is within the East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS), and parts of it are susceptible to many of the same instabilities, some of them already underway.

To project future ice sheet losses and estimate impacts we need to integrate knowledge of past ice sheet changes with recent observations. In turn, this better understanding leads to improved modelling and projections of future changes. Recent estimates based on satellite measurements and in situ observations show the WAIS losing elevation and mass, particularly along the Amundsen Sea coast; the EAIS is instead estimated to be broadly in balance with some marine-based catchments losing mass, and others gaining mass due to increased snow accumulation. Of concern, however, is that parts of both ice sheets are thought to have undergone far greater retreats during past warm periods such as the Mid-Pliocene, Marine Isotope Stage 11 and potentially as recently as the Last Interglacial (Marine Isotope Stage 5e), and may be heading for similar but more rapid ice loss under the ongoing anthropogenic forcing.

We welcome modelling and observational studies from both onshore and offshore realms, in present and recent past time frames, that explore and constrain the processes affecting change of the icesheets, Southern Ocean and ecosystems.

Orals: Wed, 17 Apr | Room 1.61/62

Chairpersons: Yixi Zheng, Robert Larter
14:00–14:05
14:05–14:15
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EGU24-16837
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Christian Wild, Erin Pettit, Karen Alley, Martin Truffer, Ted Scambos, Karen Heywood, Atsuhiro Muto, Rob Hall, Meghan Sharp, Haylee Smith, Georgia Carroll, Lucy Wanzer, Celia Trunz, Anna Wahlin, Gabriela Collao-Barrios, Michelle Maclennan, Naomi Ochwat, Tiago Dotto, Adrian Luckman, and Samuel Kachuck and the TARSAN team

The Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf stands as the last remaining floating extent of the consequential Thwaites Glacier in West Antarctica. In the past, it has provided buttressing of the grounded glacier ice, but in the last decade the ice shelf has undergone significant weakening that has reduced its ability to buttress the glacier. Important signs of weakening include: 1) the ice flow measured by ground-based GPS shows continuous acceleration, nearly doubling in speed from 1.65 m/d in 2019 to 2.85 m/d by early 2023; 2) a recent breakout of sea ice has accelerated retreat at the western calving front of the Eastern Ice Shelf; 3) increased damage in a confined shear zone along the north-western pinning point has effectively separated the ice shelf from this pinning point.; 4) five rifts formed since 2016 and have propagated episodically into the center of the most coherent section of the shelf; and 5) several full thickness “gashes” have opened and continue to open parallel to and just downstream of the grounding zone to accommodate the recent ice-shelf speed up through localized strain. Due to these full-depth rifts, the ice shelf has nearly entirely detached from the upstream grounded ice, and is now functioning as a relatively thin, floating ice plate that provides minimal support to the grounded sections of Thwaites Glacier. This accumulation of damage in the ice shelf is happening during a period in which we observe  suppressed basal melt rates and little measurable thinning, suggesting that melt is not the primary driver of ongoing changes. Here, we present the most up-to-date synthesis assessment of the structural integrity of this ice shelf, as well as its relation to ocean conditions underneath and the pinning point, and consider the stability of the ice shelf within the context of ice flow off the continent and projections for sea-level rise.

How to cite: Wild, C., Pettit, E., Alley, K., Truffer, M., Scambos, T., Heywood, K., Muto, A., Hall, R., Sharp, M., Smith, H., Carroll, G., Wanzer, L., Trunz, C., Wahlin, A., Collao-Barrios, G., Maclennan, M., Ochwat, N., Dotto, T., Luckman, A., and Kachuck, S. and the TARSAN team: Assessing the Structural Stability of Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf and Its Influence on the Future Evolution of Thwaites Glacier, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-16837, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-16837, 2024.

14:15–14:25
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EGU24-10259
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Katherine Power, Fernanda Matos, and Qiong Zhang

The West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) is considered one of the tipping points of the Earth System. Its retreat due to climate change progressively results in sea level rise, affecting large numbers of the world's population. We aim to understand the potential consequences of a future WAIS collapse by implementing a mid-Pliocene Warm Period (MP) Antarctic Ice Sheet configuration, based on reconstructions, where the WAIS is severely reduced.

We perform simulations with the EC-EARTH3.3 model at low resolution spanning 1400 years under 280, 400, and 560 ppmv of CO2 and derive the mean state of the last 200 years of simulation and the variability of climate patterns for the entire runtime.

With the near removal of the WAIS, we find a non-linear response in Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) formation to increasing CO2 levels. The AABW formation is highly sensitive to increased stratification, which results from sea surface temperature increase driven by current climate change. With the presence of a modern WAIS, Antarctic surface air temperature and Southern Ocean sea surface temperature are positively correlated to atmospheric CO2, and we see a strengthening of the positive phase of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This affects mid-latitude westerlies and reinforces the negative feedback between surface warming and AABW formation.

However, with the near removal of WAIS, we observe a dampening in the otherwise doubling of atmospheric warming observed with increasing CO2 and the same pattern occurs for the SAM. This results in a non-linear behaviour of AABW formation, where the AABW is suppressed up to 4 Sv during a longer period compared to the control experiments (modern WAIS), followed by a recovery to pre-industrial strength levels that is not sustained under 560 ppmv. This response also induces a further weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and a reduced reach of the AABW transport into the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, with potential cascading effects on the global climate.

Our longer simulations reveal that the AABW formation thresholds are highly dependent on atmospheric CO2concentrations and the freshwater input into the surrounding basins of the Antarctic region. These results suggest that WAIS retreat already deeply impacts societal development, but a collapse would induce a new climate regime that needs further investigation to allow for climate adaptation.

How to cite: Power, K., Matos, F., and Zhang, Q.: The non-linear response of the AABW to the removal of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet and implications to future climate, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-10259, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10259, 2024.

14:25–14:35
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EGU24-16990
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Elizabeth Case and Jonny Kingslake

Thwaites Glacier (TG) is a wide, fast moving ice stream that, along with Pine Island Glacier, drains much of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS). This work presents preliminary results of ice fabric, bed topography, and englacial layering from a 200-km-long Autonomous phase-sensitive Radio Echo Sounder (ApRES) survey along the trunk of TG as part of the International Thwaites Glacier Consortium’s GHOST project in 2022-2023. From 235 point measurements and 47 polarimetric measurements, we find a variable, complex ice fabric that changes in strength and orientation along the transect and with depth. Fabric strength, measured as horizontal anisotropy, is on average stronger downstream than upstream, and the fast axis (also known as the symmetry axis) is more aligned along flow than across, as expected in an ice stream. Ice fabric is useful to both meaure and model because it both serves as a record of past stress and deformation, and affects viscosity, directionally softening the ice and impacting the glacier’s response to future stresses.

How to cite: Case, E. and Kingslake, J.: Ice Fabric on Thwaites Glacier from ApRES Polarimetric Measurements, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-16990, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-16990, 2024.

14:35–14:45
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EGU24-18206
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Thomas Arney, Claus-Dieter Hillenbrand, J. Andy Milton, Christine Siddoway, Gavin Foster, Paul Wilson, Julia S. Wellner, and Steven M. Bohaty

Knowledge of the past dynamics of the Antarctic ice sheets is essential for better understanding their present and future stability and, importantly, the resulting effects on global mean sea level rise in a warming world. The petrology and geochemistry of iceberg-rafted debris (IRD; >150 μm) produced by these ice sheets can provide vital information about past ice sheet extent, but the characteristics of geological sources are poorly constrained in ice-covered Antarctica. Lead isotope ratios (controlled by protolith age) in West Antarctic basement and derived sedimentary rocks (mostly <500 Ma) have previously been assumed to be largely homogenous, and therefore useful only for distinguishing West Antarctic IRD from older (0.5-3 Ga) East Antarctic IRD in Southern Ocean sediments. Laser ablation analysis of individual mineral grains, however, avoids the averaging effects of bulk mineral separate, sediment, or rock analyses and reveals the full variation of isotopic signatures in a sample of detrital grains. Here, we present a survey of lead isotope ratios determined in ~600 iceberg-rafted feldspar grains from 26 seafloor surface sediment samples from the West Antarctic continental shelf. Machine-learning clustering of the lead-isotope data reveals at least two major populations, including a previously unknown population of grains which are less radiogenic than the main cluster. These less radiogenic grains are only found in two areas: near the ice-shelf front of Thwaites Glacier and near the eastern edge of the Ross Ice Shelf. The Thwaites signal is not present at sites on the middle and outer continental shelf, suggesting an offshore dilution effect. Supervised clustering of the main group reveals additional subdivisions in Pb-isotope space that are geographically restricted to: (i) the wider Amundsen Sea, (ii) the Bellingshausen Sea, and (iii) Sulzberger Bay at the boundary between the Amundsen and Ross seas. These subdivisions will be further investigated using 87Rb-87Sr dating of a subset of the feldspar grains used for Pb-isotope analysis. Together, these new data provide a novel IRD provenance tool, allowing tracing of offshore IRD back to either Thwaites Glacier or the eastern Ross Ice Shelf source areas. Given the observed offshore dilution effect, detection of this signal in sediment cores from the outer shelf or deep-sea would indicate a significantly increased supply of detritus sourced from Thwaites Glacier or the Ross Ice Shelf, both important iceberg outlets of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet.

How to cite: Arney, T., Hillenbrand, C.-D., Milton, J. A., Siddoway, C., Foster, G., Wilson, P., Wellner, J. S., and Bohaty, S. M.: Ice-rafted feldspar grains in recent shelf sediments of West Antarctica: provenance pathways via lead isotope compositions, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-18206, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18206, 2024.

14:45–14:55
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EGU24-8638
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On-site presentation
James A. Smith, Svetlana Radionovskaya, Elaine M. Mawbey, Claus-Dieter Hillenbrand, Julia S. Wellner, and Johann Klages and the THOR team

Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers serve as main outlets for ice draining the West Antarctic Ice Sheet into the Amundsen Sea Embayment (ASE). Observational records show that these ice streams exhibit continuous and substantial thinning and grounding-line retreat since the 1940s, particularly accelerating from the 1990s onwards . Furthermore, modeling studies suggest that ASE glaciers are susceptible to runaway retreat. Thus, the rate and magnitude of potential mass loss from these ice streams presents a major source of uncertainty for future sea level rise predictions.

Ocean-driven melting of the underside of ASE glacier ice-shelves, caused by the upwelling of warm Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW) at the shelf break and its advection across the continental shelf, is thought to be the main driver of mass loss. CDW upwelling onto the ASE shelf has varied due to natural decadal variability, longer centennial variability as well recent changes in anthropogenic forcing (Holland et al., 2022). However, regional observational records are limited to the last few decades, and the onset and evolution of the oceanic forcing, prior to the instrumental period, remains uncertain. Here, we present high-resolution foraminiferal geochemical data from marine sediment cores recovered from the ASE shelf, including material collected during the Thwaites Glacier Offshore Research (THOR) expeditions in 2019, 2020 and 2021. Preliminary Mg/Ca records of benthic foraminifera shells, a proxy for bottom-water temperature, accompanied by benthic foraminiferal δ13C records, used as a water mass tracer, reveal that CDW incursions onto the ASE shelf contributed to glacier retreat on centennial to millennial timescales. Future work will aim to further constrain changes in CDW advection to the inner ASE shelf, particularly in western Pine Island Bay and at the Dotson Ice Shelf front, for the 20th century and beyond.

How to cite: Smith, J. A., Radionovskaya, S., Mawbey, E. M., Hillenbrand, C.-D., Wellner, J. S., and Klages, J. and the THOR team: The history of deep-water upwelling and heat delivery to the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica: a palaeoceanographic perspective, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-8638, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-8638, 2024.

14:55–15:05
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EGU24-10527
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Keir Nichols, Jonathan Adams, Katie Brown, Marion McKenzie, Ryan Venturelli, Brent Goehring, Joanne Johnson, Dylan Rood, Klaus Wilcken, John Woodward, and Stephen Roberts

Following rapid ice thinning in the mid-Holocene, Pope Glacier (adjacent to Thwaites Glacier in the Amundsen Sea sector) was at least 30-35 m thinner than present for at least 3 kyr in the mid- to Late Holocene. The timing of the end of this ice lowstand and subsequent rethickening of ice to near its present configuration is poorly constrained. We present five paired 10Be and 26Al cosmogenic nuclide exposure ages that provide constraints on the timing of this ice sheet readvance. The ages are sourced from samples collected from a moraine <1 km from the grounding line of Pope Glacier on a nunatak between Thwaites and Pope glaciers. To help interpret the new exposure ages, we measure the morphology of the moraine and assess modern ice flow directions to provide an insight into the processes that formed it. We conclude that the moraine is a type of medial moraine and hypothesise that it was formed by englacial thrusting during the advance of a small glacier on the flanks of Mount Murphy approximately 1.4 ± 0.5 ka. We infer that the timing of this glacier advance coincides with the Late Holocene thickening of the adjacent Pope Glacier and speculate that it also coincides with thickening of ice in the wider Amundsen Sea sector. We also note that it coincides with glacier readvances on the Antarctic Peninsula. Our results indicate an ice thickness change from 35 m beneath to 50 m above present levels occurred ~1.4 ka, a scale of ice thickness change that has implications for the interpretation of GPS measurements of ongoing surface uplift used to model the solid Earth’s response to surface mass loading and, in turn, on our ability to understand both past and future ice sheet dynamics.

How to cite: Nichols, K., Adams, J., Brown, K., McKenzie, M., Venturelli, R., Goehring, B., Johnson, J., Rood, D., Wilcken, K., Woodward, J., and Roberts, S.: Does this moraine constrain a Late Holocene readvance in the Amundsen Sea sector of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet?, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-10527, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10527, 2024.

15:05–15:15
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EGU24-10545
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Peter Washam, Britney Schmidt, Keith Nicholls, Peter Davis, Clare Eayrs, Veronica Hegelein, Justin Lawrence, Matt Meister, Enrica Quartini, David Holland, and Frances Bryson

At present, considerable uncertainty surrounds the details of how Earth’s ice sheets interact with the surrounding ocean. This inhibits the reliability of future sea level rise projections from ice sheet models and highlights a need to better constrain ice-ocean interactions with in situ observations. Here, we present detailed ice and ocean data from beneath Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf, Antarctica, collected with the underwater vehicle Icefin as part of the ITGC MELT project. The observations are a subset of the full data set that focus on the ice-ocean interactions within one 4-m-tall and 200-m-wide terrace formation in the ice base. We present ocean conditions in the terrace from 18 hydrographic profiles that reached within 1 cm of the ice along the feature’s flat roof and 13 cm from its steep sidewall. The ocean observations depict highly stable near-ice ocean stratification within 1 m of the terrace roof that break down near its sidewall, allowing warmer and more saline water to contact the ice there. The ocean observations are combined with ice base elevations and scaled morphological melt patterns in the ice to understand the dominant mechanisms driving ice-ocean interactions within this feature. We then input these data into the three-equation melt parameterization to estimate spatial variability in melt rates within these topographic features. We test various parameterizations for ocean heat flux into the flat and sloped ice surfaces, and compare the results to melt rates sampled along a nearby terrace sidewall and roof with a phase sensitive radar. This work in progress aims to better understand how ocean conditions interact with ice slope on small scales to drive variable melting in warm, highly stratified environments, with hopes of refining existing parameterizations of this process. We expect regions beneath much of the ice shelves occupying West Antarctica to interact similarly with the underlying ocean to what we observe beneath Thwaites. Hence, our observations hold relevance for how ice sheet models parameterize ocean-driven melting in this type of melt-driven regime.

How to cite: Washam, P., Schmidt, B., Nicholls, K., Davis, P., Eayrs, C., Hegelein, V., Lawrence, J., Meister, M., Quartini, E., Holland, D., and Bryson, F.: Direct observations of coupled ice-ocean interactions within a basal terrace beneath Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-10545, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10545, 2024.

15:15–15:25
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EGU24-13155
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Highlight
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Virtual presentation
Indrani Das, Daniel Goldberg, and Ted Scambos

It is now well accepted that ice shelves and grounding zones experience changes in elevation synchronous with ocean tides, atmospheric loading and other processes. Recent studies have demonstrated that tidal pumping at the grounding zone can cause a transient migration of the grounding line hundreds of meters upstream relative to the grounded zone at low tide. As the grounded edge shifts inland, ocean intrusion leads to enhanced basal melting and grounding zone retreat, as demonstrated by previous InSAR-based studies on Thwaites Glacier in the Amundsen Sea Embayment. In this work, we use ICESat 2 elevation profile data spanning the Thwaites Glacier grounding zone and demonstrate the uplift of grounding zone topography in high tides with ocean intrusion ranging from ~1–9 km inland. The uplift of surface topography in high tides and our inferred ocean intrusion underneath the ice is heterogenous both in the along-track direction and along the width of the grounding zone. This work using ICESat 2 provides evidence in support of similar InSAR-based observations of the dynamic grounding zone and permits an independent assessment of the scale and volume of ocean water intrusion underneath Thwaites Glacier.

 

How to cite: Das, I., Goldberg, D., and Scambos, T.: Grounding Zone Processes at Thwaites Glacier from ICESat-2 Data and Ice-Ocean Modelling, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13155, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13155, 2024.

15:25–15:35
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EGU24-3600
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Iain Wheel, Douglas Benn, and Anna Crawford

Recent advances in the Elmer/Ice modelling suite have allowed 3D simulation of unrestricted calving geometries at tidewater glaciers such as Jakobshavn Isbrae. We present the first use of this model in an Antarctic setting. The more stochastic nature of calving at Antarctic ice sheets when compared to a Greenlandic setting has discouraged the development of calving laws and models. For shorter term calving simulations, it is sufficient to determine the local attractor or pinning point where the terminus stabilises following a transient period of retreat or advance. Importantly, this can only be achieved through a position-based law, as a positional attractor is independent of velocity.

Using a deterministic position-based crevasse depth calving law it is possible to simulate the observed calving behaviour at the western ice front of Thwaites Glacier. The calving law identifies the attractor point beyond which ice will calve following a variable but short delay. The geometric attractor is defined by local topography along with grounding zone dynamics. Beyond this point there are a lack of lateral or basal pinning points, so any downstream ice is effectively lost from the system. More generally, across the floating extensions of Thwaites Glacier, the model reliably predicts regions of crevasse formation. Accurately simulating crevasse formation on ice shelves along with determining the attractor within the glacier retreat and advance cycle is the first step towards a reliable Antarctic calving law. 

How to cite: Wheel, I., Benn, D., and Crawford, A.: Simulating 3D calving dynamics at Thwaites Glacier, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-3600, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-3600, 2024.

15:35–15:45
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EGU24-10892
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On-site presentation
The amplitude of Antarctic Ice Sheet change during the Pliocene from proxies and modelling
(withdrawn)
Edward Gasson, Carrie Lear, Rob DeConto, Ruthie Halberstadt, David Pollard, James Marschalek, and Zifei Yang
Coffee break
Chairpersons: David Small, Laura De Santis, Linda Armbrecht
16:15–16:20
16:20–16:30
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EGU24-4785
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solicited
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On-site presentation
Matt King, John Bright Ayabilah, Poul Christoffersen, Tessa Vance, and Danielle Udy

Large-scale climate modes have recently been shown to dominate the non-linear variability of Antarctic mass over the last 20 years. We explore these results in further detail in the context of East Antarctica and expand on this work to report on new analyses of Antarctic elevation change from satellite altimetry. Altimetric measurements provide insights into spatial variation of these signals at two orders of magnitude higher spatial resolution than mass-change measurements from GRACE, allowing for resolution of variability at sub-glacier scale. Exploring the same period as the GRACE data (2002-2021) we show that about 75% of the variance of the Totten Glacier elevation can be explained by a combination of Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and ENSO. Denman Glacier shows almost no non-linear variance over 2002-2021 but about 30% of the present signal is explainable by SAM with no evident ENSO response. Despite this, much of the signal is not focused on the outlet glaciers but diffusely spread across the interior, consistent with surface mass balance. We show that much of this signal can be explained by models of firn densification, although different models have different levels of agreement with the data at relevant decadal periods. We will show detailed results for Wilkes Subglacial Basin and Dronning Maud Land.

How to cite: King, M., Ayabilah, J. B., Christoffersen, P., Vance, T., and Udy, D.: Large-scale climate modes dominate recent ice mass and elevation variations in much of East Antarctica, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4785, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4785, 2024.

16:30–16:40
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EGU24-5419
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Guy Paxman, Stewart Jamieson, Neil Ross, Charlotte Carter, Mike Bentley, Tom Jordan, Xiangbin Cui, Shinan Lang, and Martin Siegert

The sub-ice topography of East Antarctica provides a crucial record of the long-term geological, geomorphological, and glaciological evolution of the continent. In particular, the morphology of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) bed is a valuable and hitherto underexploited archive of past ice-sheet behaviour. Analysis of the subglacial landscape can therefore help improve our understanding of the response of the ice sheet to episodes of warming in the geological past that serve as analogues for current and projected future climate change.

Here, we conduct a systematic search of the extensive repositories of airborne ice-penetrating radar data acquired in the past two decades to map the distribution of low-relief subglacial bed surfaces close to the East Antarctic ice margin between Princess Elizabeth Land and George V Land (70°E to 160°E). Individual surfaces are characterised by consistent elevations over distances of 10s to 100s of kilometres and relatively low-amplitude, high-frequency roughness (i.e., valleys and inselbergs). We map 31 separate low-relief bed surfaces, which range from 500 to 50,000 km2 in area and comprise ~40% of the perimeter of this sector of the East Antarctic margin. The surfaces are typically overlain by cold-based, slow-moving ice and bounded by deep subglacial troughs that host fast-flowing ice streams and outlet glaciers.

Underneath the modern-day EAIS, these low-relief bed surfaces are situated at a broad range of elevations. However, when the elevations are isostatically adjusted for the removal of the EAIS, the distribution narrows substantially and, alongside cluster analysis of the morphology of the surfaces, indicates that they constitute a single, statistically consistent population around the entirety of this sector of the EAIS margin. Under ice-free conditions, the coastal surfaces would be situated above sea level and gently dipping in a seaward direction, and we suggest that they are remnants of a widespread fluvial planation surface formed following Gondwana break-up and preserved with only minor geomorphological modification since EAIS inception. The presence of these ancient surfaces has important implications for the past, present, and future behaviour of this sector of the EAIS.

How to cite: Paxman, G., Jamieson, S., Ross, N., Carter, C., Bentley, M., Jordan, T., Cui, X., Lang, S., and Siegert, M.: Widespread near-coastal bedrock erosion surfaces in East Antarctica and their implications for long-term ice-sheet behaviour, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-5419, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5419, 2024.

16:40–16:50
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EGU24-1039
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ECS
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Virtual presentation
Lea Pesjak, Andrew McMinn, Zanna Chase, and Helen Bostock

Fuelled by anthropogenic warming, the duration of sea ice and ocean circulation near the East Antarctic continent at present-day, is changing and contributing to further ice sheet melt. Studying the functioning of these parameters, atmosphere, ocean, and sea ice, during past climate transitions (such as warming stages, i.e., deglaciations, and cooling stages, i.e., glaciations) may give us more understanding to the stability of the East Antarctic ice sheet in the future. Fossil diatom records found in deep ocean sediment cores can provide indications of past sea ice and surface temperature variability and can therefore deepen our understanding of future outcomes of present-day anthropogenic warming, including ocean circulation changes. However, very few sea ice and sea surface temperature reconstructions exist from past warming stages (deglacials) near the Antarctic continent. This is partly due to the fact fossil records are lacking from sediment archives retrieved from the Antarctic continental margin, possibly as a result of extended ice sheets and prolonged periods or permanent sea ice cover. In this study we analysed diatom assemblages (based on relative abundances of identified species and statistical analysis), the Eucampia index, Thalassiothrix antarctica, ice rafted debris (IRD), and the geochemical productivity indicators (biogenic silica and XRF derived Si/Al and Ba/Ti) in core TAN1302-44, collected from the slope offshore Adélie Land. The results show a pattern of glacial (cool periods) to interglacial (warm periods) sedimentary facies changes and include last two deglacials and the last glaciation stage. Two diatom assemblages coincide well with changes in glacial (low IRD, low productivity) to interglacial (high IRD, high productivity) facies. The persisting presence of Thalassiosira lentiginosa, representative of Assemblage 1, suggests the last glacial (MIS 4-2) is characterised by an open ocean environment with respect to sea ice. However, due to the increasing presence of Fragilariopsis obliquecostata, representing Assemblage 2, we conclude the last glacial also comprised a gradual build-up of sea ice, reaching a maximum duration at the end of MIS 2, before rapidly vanishing. Following the decrease in sea ice, based on the increased of Thalassiothrix antarctica within the deglaciation facies, we conclude Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW) influx increased over the slope. This observation occurs in both deglacials, one leading to MIS 5e, and other to Holocene interglacial. Finally, based on IRD rich interglacial facies, we conclude the CDW increase occurred prior to regional ice sheet retreat, leading into the Holocene. Together, these datasets suggest major sea ice, and oceanographic changes occurred prior to the last major ice sheet retreat, suggesting a progression of events may influence the demise of the East Antarctic ice sheet in the future.

How to cite: Pesjak, L., McMinn, A., Chase, Z., and Bostock, H.: Sea ice and ocean circulation changes during the last 140 kyr, offshore Adélie Land, East Antarctic continental margin, with special emphasis on last two deglaciations, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-1039, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1039, 2024.

16:50–17:00
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EGU24-1488
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Veronica Tollenaar, Harry Zekollari, Christophe Kittel, Daniel Farinotti, Stef Lhermitte, Vinciane Debaille, Steven Goderis, Philippe Claeys, Katherine Helen Joy, and Frank Pattyn

Antarctica is the most prolific place on Earth to find meteorites, which provide unique insights in the formation and evolution of our Solar System. Over 60% of all meteorite finds on Earth stem from so-called blue ice areas in the interior of the (East) Antarctic ice sheet. In these blue ice areas, a redirected ice flow and meteorological processes lead to the removal of surface layers. Meteorites once embedded in these layers of ice that are removed become exposed at the surface in high concentrations and are easy to spot in the field thanks to their contrasting dark color on blue ice. However, no meteorites have been found in areas where temperatures are relatively high. The absence of meteorites in these areas is explained by the fact that meteorites warm up under solar radiation, and as such these stones can melt the underlying ice, even when surface temperatures are well below zero. This very local melt causes the meteorite to move vertically downward into in the ice sheet, disappearing from the surface and hence impossible to see by eye and collect. Hence, in a warmer climate, meteorites are more prone to become unrecoverable.

 

Using a data-driven approach, we estimated that with the currently increasing surface temperatures, meteorite loss rates exceed recovery rates multiple times. To estimate this loss rate, we first performed regional climate model simulations, for a low and a high emission scenario, in which blue ice areas are prescribed. Next, we fed this data to a machine learning algorithm that identifies meteorite-rich sites using over 12,000 known meteorite finding locations and their corresponding properties such as ice flow velocity and surface temperature. Until mid-century, projected losses are identical for the emission scenarios, after which losses are reduced for the low emission scenario and nearly constant for the high emission scenario.

 

These meteorite losses demonstrate a (previously unnoticed) climate sensitivity of the interior of the Antarctic ice sheet. With temperatures remaining well below zero, even with several degrees of warming, meteorites are affected even by very minor (decimal) increases of surface temperatures during exceptionally warm events, which are expected to occur more frequently.

How to cite: Tollenaar, V., Zekollari, H., Kittel, C., Farinotti, D., Lhermitte, S., Debaille, V., Goderis, S., Claeys, P., Joy, K. H., and Pattyn, F.: The impact of climate change on meteorite finds in East Antarctica, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-1488, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1488, 2024.

17:00–17:10
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EGU24-12985
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On-site presentation
Securing Antarctica’s Environmental Future: the East Antarctic Ice Sheet 
(withdrawn)
Andrew Mackintosh, Felicity McCormack, Richard Jones, Ariaan Purich, Johanna Beckmann, Levan Tielidze, Dominic Saunderson, Jessica Macha, Cari Rand, Lawrence Bird, Jan Strugnell, Sally Lau, Jodie Smith, Mardi McNeil, Ross Whitmore, Steph McLennan, Reka Fulop, Andrew Zammit Mangion, Benjamin Henley, and Helen McGregor and the Securing Antarctica's Environmental Future - Theme 1 Ice Sheets Team
17:10–17:20
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EGU24-13054
|
On-site presentation
Fausto Ferraccioli, Graeme Eagles, Jamin Greenbaum, Egidio Armadillo, Duncan Young, Donald Blankenship, Guy Paxman, and Martin Seigert

The Wilkes Subglacial Basin (WSB) continues to attract significant international attention as a potential area of substantial East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) retreat. Determining whether this sector of East Antarctica was indeed a major contributor to past global sea level rise and whether it will be again in the future beyond 2100, remains a key priority for new interdisciplinary research.

Aerogeophysical exploration has unveiled that the bedrock dips inland and is grounded up to 2.1 km below sea level (bsl) within its remarkably deep sub-basins and remains at a depth <500 m bsl along the length of this huge and geologically enigmatic basin. Its northern sector is particularly critical, as it hosts the catchments of the Cook and Ninnis glaciers that are fast flowing, dynamic and potentially unstable systems that penetrate >500 km inland of the present-day grounding zone.

Despite a growing body of knowledge, geological, geomorphological, and oceanographic evidence for the location, amount and rate of EAIS ice sheet retreat within the WSB remains incomplete and in parts controversial, and numerical model predictions for retreat during past warmer periods (e.g. the mid-Pliocene, mid-Miocene and even more recent Quaternary times) also differ significantly.

Here we review some of the results from different existing aerogeophysical campaigns and data compilations in the WSB to discuss the importance of also considering the heterogeneity in basal boundary conditions affecting and modulating EAIS behaviour, such as bed topography, geology, subglacial hydrology and geothermal heat flux, and also present several interpretations for past changes, including their associated uncertainties, unresolved issues and outstanding questions.

We conclude by presenting our case for major new international aerogephysical exploration efforts such as in our newly proposed ICEOLIA ERC initiative to:

1) provide key missing bathymetric and geological data coverage over the much less well surveyed continental shelf and ice shelf cavities, which is critical to study ice sheet-ocean interactions and to link marine geological/geophysical and drilling observations with the dynamics of the EAIS;

2) glean an improved understanding of past processes and tipping points and finally

3) help investigate 4D (i.e. both space and time dependent) Solid Earth influences on past, present and future ice sheet behaviour in this key sector of East Antarctica.

How to cite: Ferraccioli, F., Eagles, G., Greenbaum, J., Armadillo, E., Young, D., Blankenship, D., Paxman, G., and Seigert, M.: Aerogeophysical views of a major vulnerable marine-based sector of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet: the Wilkes Subglacial Basin, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13054, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13054, 2024.

17:20–17:30
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EGU24-20880
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On-site presentation
Brooke Medley and Tyler Sutterley

The recent Ice sheet Mass Balance Inter-comparison Exercise (IMBIE) suggests that between 2012 and 2017 the East Antarctic Ice Sheet was approximately in balance, experiencing a rate of mass change of 23 ± 38 Gt yr-1.  While this study provided an important statistical reconciliation of various studies across several techniques, the root cause of the differences amongst the estimates remains unresolved.  Satellite gravimetry provides a direct measurement of mass change; however, it is sensitive to all mass changes, and the necessary corrections for solid earth changes are substantial and poorly constrained.  Satellite altimetry provides measurements of volume change, which includes changes in ice mass and non-ice mass.  The latter is largely driven by changes in the density of the snow and firn requiring poorly constrained models for conversion to mass.  Here, rather than deriving ice-sheet mass balance using a single technique, we use both satellite gravimetry and altimetry to better: (1) reconcile mass balance estimates between the two techniques, (2) improve constraint on firn dynamics, and (3) attempt to partition the driver of change.  Because these two measurements are sensitive to different processes, using them in conjunction provides additional constraint of the most unknown processes.

Our new technique solves for the change in total firn air content through time for the entire Antarctic Ice Sheet that provides a best-fit mass solution between altimetry and gravimetry.  In such a way, we produce ice-sheet mass change at the fine-scale resolution of ice elevation measurements (10 km) that best matches the coarsely resolved (>100km) mass change from gravimetry.  Our results indicate that during the ICESat-2 era (April 2019 through June 2023), the East Antarctic Ice Sheet gained mass at a rate of 160 Gt yr-1, three times the average mass gain over the two decades prior (52 Gt yr-1).  The sector that spans 60E to 130E received the largest anomalous gains in mass (precipitation).  These gains, in conjunction with minor gains from the Antarctic Peninsula (23 Gt yr-1), fully balance the continued mass losses from West Antarctica (-139 Gt yr-1).  Large precipitation events over both East Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula are driving the mass gains; however, more time is needed to determine whether these changes are long-term or only short-lived given the ICESat-2 time series is just over 4 years in length.  These results suggest that atmospheric dynamics play a key role in driving the mass balance of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet and have potential to rapidly change the overall mass balance of the ice sheet.

How to cite: Medley, B. and Sutterley, T.: Modern-day mass gains over East Antarctica exceed the two decades prior, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-20880, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-20880, 2024.

17:30–17:40
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EGU24-1033
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On-site presentation
Anwesha Sharma, Chris R. Stokes, and Stewart S.R. Jamieson

Jutulstraumen, a major outlet glacier in East Antarctica, drains into the Fimbulisen (∼39,400 km2). Here, we produce the first long term (~ 60 years) record of its behaviour using optical satellite imagery to map changes in its frontal position between 1963 and 2022, together with more recent datasets of ice velocity, surface elevation changes and grounding line position. Our analysis reveals that the ice front has been steadily advancing since its last major calving event in 1967, with a consistent ice flow velocity of ~ 720 ± 20 m yr-1(2000-2022). This has been accompanied by spatially variable ice surface thickening at an average rate of +0.15 ± 0.02 m yr-1 (2003-2020) between 20 km and 120 km inland of the grounding line. We also find evidence to suggest a minor grounding line advance of ~ 200 m (~ 6 m yr- 1) between 1990 and 2022, albeit with large uncertainties. Mapping of the major rifts on Jutulstraumen’s ice tongue from 2003 to 2022 (MODIS) reveals an overall increase in their lengths on both sides of the floating ice tongue, accompanied by some minor calving events. Given present-day ice front advance rates (~ 755 m yr-1), it would take around 31 years for the ice tongue to reach its most recent maximum extent in the mid 1960s, but extrapolation of rift lengthening suggests the next major calving event could take place sooner, possibly as early as the 2040s. Overall, however, there is no evidence of any dynamic imbalance, with ice-tongue advance, inland thickening and grounding line advance mirroring other major glaciers in Dronning Maud Land.

How to cite: Sharma, A., Stokes, C. R., and Jamieson, S. S. R.: Ice dynamics and structural evolution of Jutulstraumen, Queen Maud Land, East Antarctica (1963 – 2022), EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-1033, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1033, 2024.

17:40–17:50
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EGU24-14163
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Advik Eswaran, Olivia Truax, and Tyler Fudge

Increasing Antarctic snow accumulation can mitigate sea level rise, but considerable uncertainty surrounds both past snowfall trends and future sea level projections. Here, we present a reconstruction of 19th and 20th century Antarctic accumulation, and the 20th century cumulative impact on global mean sea level. Using the Last Millenium Reanalysis framework to integrate ice core accumulation and water isotope records with a multi-model ensemble of CMIP5 climate simulations, we produce annually resolved reconstructions from 1801-2000 CE. Reconstructions demonstrate significant skill through strong satellite-era correlation with instrumental reanalysis; we find a positive Antarctic accumulation trend over the 20th century, translating to a modest amount (~1 mm) of sea level mitigation. Mitigation is primarily driven by an accelerating trend since around 1970. These findings contrast with previous 20th century mitigation estimates of ~10-12 mm; we determine that this discrepancy is due to unconstrained baseline estimates of 19th century accumulation in East Antarctica. Our results suggest that uncertainties in East Antarctic accumulation history preclude a confident estimate of Antarctic sea level mitigation, thus highlighting the need for new, high-quality accumulation records from East Antarctica.

How to cite: Eswaran, A., Truax, O., and Fudge, T.: Antarctic 20th-Century Sea Level Mitigation Dominated By Uncertainty in 19th-Century East Antarctic Snow Accumulation, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-14163, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-14163, 2024.

17:50–18:00
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EGU24-6760
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Lawrence Bird, Felicity McCormack, Johanna Beckmann, Andrew Mackintosh, and Richard Jones

The Aurora Subglacial Basin contains 7 m of global sea level equivalent (SLE). The Totten Glacier is currently the dominant outlet glacier of the Aurora Subglacial Basin; however, neighbouring the Totten Glacier, the smaller Vanderford Glacier drains a region containing 0.67 m of SLE. Vanderford Glacier is the fastest retreating glacier in East Antarctica, with over 18 km of grounding line retreat in the last two decades. The warmest modified circumpolar deep water in East Antarctica has been observed offshore the Vanderford Glacier, highlighting the potential vulnerability of this region to a warming climate. Here, we run transient simulations of the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model to examine the sensitivity of the Vanderford Glacier to key drivers of mass loss, namely sub-ice shelf basal melt and ice-front retreat. Simulations show that grounding line retreat is more sensitive to changes in basal melt than ice-front retreat, except for scenarios of extreme ice-front retreat. We show that the rate and extent of grounding line retreat comparable with observations only occurs under high magnitude basal melt conditions, while a similar extent of grounding line retreat occurs under the extreme ice-front retreat scenarios, but the temporal response of the grounding line is lagged. Given that grounding line retreat similar to observations is only achieved with basal melt magnitudes far exceeding those indicated by satellite remote sensing, our results highlight the need for methods to better estimate basal melt in this vulnerable region.

How to cite: Bird, L., McCormack, F., Beckmann, J., Mackintosh, A., and Jones, R.: What's driving change at the Vanderford Glacier, East Antarctica?, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-6760, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-6760, 2024.

Posters on site: Tue, 16 Apr, 16:15–18:00 | Hall X5

Display time: Tue, 16 Apr 14:00–Tue, 16 Apr 18:00
Chairpersons: Laura De Santis, Chen Zhao, Ted Scambos
X5.150
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EGU24-8454
G. Hilmar Gudmundsson, Mathieu Morlighem, Daniel Goldberg, Jowan Barnes, Jan De Rydt, and Sebastian Rosier

We provide a summary of new insights into the contemporary dynamics of Thwaites and Pine Island Glacier, West Antarctica, obtained through series of recent modelling studies.  By conducting ice-flow modelling studies with three independent models (ISSM, StreamIce, Úa), all initialized to current day conditions, we show that all models provide very similar future estimates of future mass loss for a given forcing scenario. Importantly, while description of basal processes does impact our results to some degree, we nevertheless find that estimates of mass loss over time scale of 50 to 100 years, are insensitive to the choice of basal sliding law. This can be understood to be related to the compensating impact of the initialisation process that in each case produces correct initial state for the ice sheet (i.e. surface velocities and current rates of mass loss) irrespectively of the sliding law used. Furthermore, we find that inversion produces (e.g. estimates of basal slipperiness and englacial ice rate factors) can be exchanged between models, showing that these products are to large degree model independent. A common feature found in all our ice-flow studies, and coupled ice+ocean studies, is the existence of multiple tipping points within the Thwaites and Pine Island system. In all our ice-flow simulations, the grounding line of Thwaites always becomes unstable once it has retreated by about 75km upstream from its current position. We also conclude that the grounding line of Pine Island Glacier has recently undergone a phase of irreversible retreat, and that the glacier has at least 3 further tipping points that can be crossed in the near future (centennial time scale). Additionally, the western ice shelf of Thwaites has been dramatically weakening over the past decade and we used our three independent models to assess the effect of a potential complete collapse of Thwaites’ floating extension. First, we find that this ice shelf provides limited buttressing, and disintegrations of the ice shelf, in its current configuration, will not significantly impact upstream grounded. Second, it has been suggested that Thwaites would be subject to the Marine Ice Cliff Instability (MICI) if its ice shelf collapses, as it would expose a tall ice cliff. Using recently proposed cliff-height dependent calving laws, we find no indication that such calving laws give rise to an irreversible or unstable calving-front retreat.  Thus, those calving laws do not lead to a marine ice cliff instability despite prescribing calving rates as strongly increasing functions of cliff height.

How to cite: Gudmundsson, G. H., Morlighem, M., Goldberg, D., Barnes, J., De Rydt, J., and Rosier, S.: New insights into the current dynamics of Thwaites and Pine Island Glaciers, West Antarctica., EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-8454, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-8454, 2024.

X5.151
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EGU24-267
Olaf Eisen, Ole Zeising, Coen Hofstede, Hannes Laubach, Florian Koch, Sridhar Anandakrishnan, and Alex Brisbourne and the GHOST team

In the Antarctic field seasons 2022/23 and 2023/24 the GHOST team (Geophysical Habitat of Subglacial Thwaites: https://thwaitesglacier.org/projects/ghost) as part of the International Thwaites Glacier Collaboration (ITGC), collected several hundred kilometers of multi-fold seismic reflection profile of Thwaites Glacier. The data cover the center flow line (first season) and across flow profiles (second season), starting 60 km upstream from the grounding line. The seismic profiling set-up consisted of a seismic vibrator source and 60 geophones on a 1.5 km long cable, all towed by a tracked vehicle. The combination of surface seismic source and towed geophone array allows for rapid and high quality data acquisition. The seismic signal penetrates approximately 200 meters into the bed with deeper structures imaged in places. The along-flow profile revealed a repeating of bedforms alternating between relatively flat and smooth regions a few km long, and regions of more pronounced topography of 10s to 100s of meter high bumps. In addition we imaged what we interpret as sediment filled basins.  Comparison with high-resolution ground-based swath radar allows the identification of geomorphological bedforms, such as megascale glacial lineations, sediment-filled basins and troughs, which can then be directly identified in the seismograms. We present a first preliminary evaluation of the subglacial characteristics and discuss the potential relevance of the subglacial boundary condition for ice flow dynamics.

How to cite: Eisen, O., Zeising, O., Hofstede, C., Laubach, H., Koch, F., Anandakrishnan, S., and Brisbourne, A. and the GHOST team: Properties of the bed of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, estimated from vibroseismic surveys (2022-23 and 2023-24), EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-267, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-267, 2024.

X5.152
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EGU24-13668
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Highlight
Ted Scambos, Martin Truffer, Gabi Collao-Barrios, Tiago Dotto, Chris Kratt, Scott Tyler, and Erin Pettit

A pair of automated multi-sensor stations with satellite data downlinking were installed near the center of the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf (TEIS) in January, 2020 and continued operating (at least partially) until November, 2022. The stations, situated 4 km apart (initially near 75.05°S, 105.5°W) recorded and transmitted weather and snow accumulation data, position, images, firn and ice temperature, and ocean conditions through a suite of instruments managed with software and uplinked commands to conserve power and/or maximize observations of events. The stations, called Automated Meteorology-Ice-Geophysics Observing Systems, mark III (AMIGOS-III) are installed on a tower and adjacent ice borehole to measure air, ice, and ocean parameters. Weather and accumulation data from the stations spanning 22 months show a mean annual air temperature for TEIS of -14.6°C, with observed extremes of +1.7°C (08 Feb 2020) to -51.0°C (17 Aug 2021). Mean air pressure was 973.7 mbar (at ~25 m elevation). Winds are highly directional and dominated by dry katabatic flow from the southeast (from 115° to 130°); however, higher snowfall is correlated with winds from more easterly and northeasterly directions. Average annual snowfall in the observation period was 0.72 to 0.90 m water equivalent. Ice flow speed was observed to accelerate throughout the observation period, ranging from ~1.7 m/d in January 2020 to more than 2.2 m/d in late 2021. The rate of acceleration increased markedly after July 2020, coinciding with satellite observations of a more disrupted northern and western shear margin for TEIS. Maximum tidal amplitude is ~1.6 meters. Comparison with the CATS2008 tide model, after correction for IBE, showed a mean difference of ±17 cm. Ocean data was acquired from the two sub-shelf cavity moorings, each of which included paired SeaBird microCAT and Nortek Aquadopp sensors at mid-cavity depths (~520 m and ~317 m) and near-seabed depths (~746 m and ~785 m), in the modified Circumpolar Deep Water (mCDW) layer. These were augmented by a fiber optic thermal profiler system that measured both ice and ocean temperatures for 19 months. The fiber optic thermal data show a minimum temperature of -19.0°C in the interior, and lower temperature gradient suggesting truncation of the ice shelf base due to basal melting. Time-series of the profile data show very little basal melting of the ice at the two sites, but a thickening of the mCDW layer over the observation period. Overall, the AMIGOS-III data have supported six published studies to date, on ice shelf dynamics, ocean flow and layer properties, basal conditions, atmospheric river events, and weather. The units demonstrate the benefit of long-duration multi-sensor observing platforms in ice shelf or ice tongue areas.

How to cite: Scambos, T., Truffer, M., Collao-Barrios, G., Dotto, T., Kratt, C., Tyler, S., and Pettit, E.: Climate, Ice, and Ocean Characteristics of the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf from two In-Situ Multi-Sensor Automated Stations, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13668, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13668, 2024.

X5.153
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EGU24-10321
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Highlight
Noel Gourmelen, Livia Jakob, Paul Holland, Dan Goldberg, and Pierre Dutrieux

The retreat of the Antarctic Ice Sheet is conventionally attributed to ocean melting of fringing ice shelves, potentially enhanced by internal instability due to the proximity of its grounding lines to retrograde bed slopes. Ocean melting is enhanced by increased intrusion of modified Circumpolar Deep Water (mCDW) within ice shelf cavities. Several processes can enhance the ability of mCDW to melt ice shelves. Upwelling from the release of subglacial melt water at the grounding line is arguably one of the least well constrained and understood and is currently not accounted for in projections of ice sheet loss.

The Thwaites glacier in the Amundsen Sea sector of the west Antarctic ice sheet has been the focus of recent investigations given its current rapid retreat, potential instability, and its impact on rates of future sea level change. In 2013, a network of subglacial lakes under the Thwaites glacier drained, the combined outflow reached a peak discharge in excess of 500 m3 s-1 and likely reached the grounding line. During this period, several other processes took place at the grounding line and under the fringing floating ice. This event offers a natural experiment to examine the impact of subglacial outflow on ocean melting of ice shelves.

In this presentation we revisit the various events affecting the Thwaites system during this period and generate several new observations of lake discharge, rates of ice shelf basal melting, and grounding line thinning and retreat. We focus the discussion on the potential feedback between lake discharge, variation in ocean melting, and grounding line retreat, and on the contribution of subglacial discharge to the recent retreat of the Thwaites glacier.

How to cite: Gourmelen, N., Jakob, L., Holland, P., Goldberg, D., and Dutrieux, P.: Ice-ocean-subglacial hydrology interactions, and recent evolution of the Thwaites glacier, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-10321, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10321, 2024.

X5.154
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EGU24-19707
Robert Larter, Kelly Hogan, Alastair Graham, Frank Nitsche, Julia Wellner, Claus-Dieter Hillenbrand, Rebecca Totten, James Smith, Lauren Miller, John Anderson, Elaine Mawbey, Rachel Clark, Rebecca Hopkins, Asmara Lehrmann, Allison Lepp, James Marschalek, Santiago Munevar Garcia, and Laura Taylor

A number of studies have defined a boundary in the Amundsen Sea embayment between an inner continental shelf, which contains areas where crystalline bedrock is at or near the seabed, and the shelf further offshore, which is underlain by sedimentary strata that increase in overall thickness oceanward. Other studies have shown that much of the inner shelf in Pine Island Bay is covered by a drape of sandy mud averaging about 1 m in thickness, interpreted as having been deposited from meltwater plumes during the mid-late Holocene. Much thicker sediments have been shown to be present in isolated deep basins based on acoustic sub-bottom profiles and sparse seismic reflection profiles, including an estimated maximum thickness of >400 m in one basin close to the front of Pine Island Glacier.  Thus, the widespread impression exists that, apart from the thin Holocene drape, sedimentary cover in Pine Island Bay is restricted to isolated basins.

Here we examine the distribution and thickness of sediments in Pine Island Bay using a network of high-resolution seismic reflection profiles collected in 2020 on RV Nathaniel B Palmer cruise NBP20-02. We show that more extensive thick sediments are present near the front of Pine Island Glacier than have been reported previously. In some places sediment units exhibit characteristics that suggest their deposition was influenced by bottom currents. We also show that sedimentary deposits are present over the tops and on the flanks of some bathymetric highs that must have been former ice shelf pinning points. Finally, we consider what the extent, thickness and character of the sedimentary units identified tell us about glacial/glacimarine processes and ice sheet history in the area, and what could be learned by further study and sampling.

How to cite: Larter, R., Hogan, K., Graham, A., Nitsche, F., Wellner, J., Hillenbrand, C.-D., Totten, R., Smith, J., Miller, L., Anderson, J., Mawbey, E., Clark, R., Hopkins, R., Lehrmann, A., Lepp, A., Marschalek, J., Munevar Garcia, S., and Taylor, L.: How much, how deposited, how old – what can we learn from sediments in Pine Island Bay?, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-19707, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19707, 2024.

X5.155
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EGU24-12136
David Small, Rachel Smedley, Tibor Dunai, Tom Lees, Stephan Trabucatti, and Grant Boeckmann

Predicting future change to the Antarctic Ice Sheets requires high quality data to constrain numerical ice sheet models. A major uncertainty stems from a lack of knowledge regarding the late Holocene trajectory of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS). There are two hypotheses regarding the late Holocene behaviour of the WAIS. A) Steady retreat throughout the Holocene with stabilisation at or near the present-day position (ice relaxation hypothesis) or, B) retreat to a smaller-than-present configuration with subsequent readvance to the present-day position (the retreat-readvance hypothesis). The two hypotheses represent profoundly different ice sheet trajectories. These hypotheses have been discussed with particular reference to the Amundsen, Ross and Weddell Sea sectors of the WAIS.

Initial studies proposing the retreat-readvance model suggested that GIA related uplift caused re-grounding of ice rises in the Weddell Sea, increasing ice shelf buttressing and leading to grounding line re-advance. In the southern Weddell Sea major ice streams are currently at threshold positions on reverse bed slopes where they are vulnerable to Marine Ice Sheet/Cliff Instabilities. As this region drains ~22% of Antarctica the lack of geological constraint on the current ice sheet trajectory contributes significant uncertainty to future predictions. Any groundling line retreat beyond present day limits would be accompanied by up-stream ice sheet thinning thus retreat to a smaller-than-present configuration would be accompanied by thinning of the ice sheet surface below the present-day level. Consequently, determining whether sub-glacial rock samples from the Weddell Sea sector have been exposed in the recent past can robustly test for a smaller-than-present ice sheet configuration.

We present an update on two field seasons where, using a modified Winkie Drill, we recovered sub-glacial rock samples from the Ellsworth Mountains and Pensacola Mountains. These mountain ranges bracket the proposed zone of retreat and can thus provide limiting data points on the extent and duration of any retreat. The subglacial cores are to be analysed using in situ 14C and luminescence to test for any past exposure to cosmic rays and sunlight respectively. We will present a summary of the field season outcomes and preliminary analytical data along with initial interpretations.

How to cite: Small, D., Smedley, R., Dunai, T., Lees, T., Trabucatti, S., and Boeckmann, G.: New geological constraints on Holocene retreat-readvance of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet in the Weddell Sea Embayment, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-12136, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-12136, 2024.

X5.156
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EGU24-2465
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ECS
Layla Creac'h, Swaantje Brzelinski, Oliver Friedrich, Martin Frank, Marcus Gutjahr, and Jörg Lippold

Paleoceanographic records spanning the Oligocene (33.9–23.03 Ma) provide insights into Antarctic ice-sheet (AIS) dynamics in a world warmer-than-today, allowing to improve future projections linked to current global warming. While the long-term evolution of Oligocene glaciations is relatively well-known, current knowledge about the short-term (i.e., orbital to suborbital scale) AIS dynamics is still limited. Here, we investigate short-term dynamics of the AIS during the late Oligocene (spanning ~26–25 Ma), using a high-resolution multi-proxy record from Ocean Drilling Program Site 689 (Maud Rise, Southern Ocean). Variations in ice volume were quantified using the stable oxygen isotope composition of seawater (δ18OSW) inferred from benthic foraminiferal δ18O and Mg/Ca-based bottom-water temperatures. Changes in sediment provenance and weathering inputs were characterised using detrital neodymium isotopic compositions (εNd) of the sediments. The δ18OSW record reflects a highly dynamic AIS during the late Oligocene, with glacial conditions characterised by an AIS volume larger than the modern one (up to +14%) and interglacial conditions characterised by a much smaller AIS volume (up to -29%) than today. Detrital εNd varies from -12 to -9, with less radiogenic εNd signatures generally matching higher δ18OSW values (i.e., glacials) and vice-versa. This co-variation between an ice-volume proxy and a tracer of sediment provenance characterises crustal sequences exposure to weathering as the ice-sheet retreated. The detrital εNd record thus supports recent interpretations of a highly dynamic AIS during the late Oligocene, which is mirrored by large changes in the provenance of weathering products induced by the waning and waxing of the AIS.

How to cite: Creac'h, L., Brzelinski, S., Friedrich, O., Frank, M., Gutjahr, M., and Lippold, J.: Short-term Antarctic ice-sheet dynamics during the late Oligocene: Multi-proxy records from ODP Site 689, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-2465, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-2465, 2024.

X5.157
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EGU24-4151
Florence Colleoni, Laura De Santis, Guilhem Barruol, and Pierre Dutrieux

While most of West Antarctic ice shelves are thinning due to ongoing oceanic warming, East Antarctic ice shelves, except a few ones, are apparently more stable. One sector in particular, the Wilkes Subglacial Basin, is not showing any or very little sign of weakness to ongoing climate change. This sector of Antarctica is drained by the Cook ice shelf, the Ninnis ice shelf and the Mertz ice tongue. Those ice shelves have experienced some observed calving events in the past decades, but actual ice flow does not indicate that this sector is retreating and contributing to global mean sea level rise. But can we really measure the sensitivity of a sector only accounting for two decades of observations? Geological archives and morphological evidence of the George V Land continental margin in front of those glaciers suggest, on the contrary, that the ice sheet over the WSB has been one of the most active of East Antarctic sectors through its glaciological history. A multi-year sea ice cover, reducing only under exceptional atmospheric conditions, does not allow the systematic exploration of the area.  Rare geophysical, glaciological, oceanographical, geological and geographical hampers a proper assessment of the instability potential of this area. International cooperation not only is needed to reach and operate in such difficult sector of Antarctica, both at land and on sea, but is also needed to perform multi-disciplinary measurements.

How to cite: Colleoni, F., De Santis, L., Barruol, G., and Dutrieux, P.: The critical importance of Wilkes Land Subglacial Basin stability (East Antarctica), EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4151, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4151, 2024.

X5.158
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EGU24-3663
Laura De Santis, Flavio Accaino, Daniela Accettella, Manuel Bensi, Florence Colleoni, Andrea Cova, Federica Donda, Lorenzo Facchin, Vedrana Kovacevic, Riccardo Martellucci, Elena Mauri, Laura Ursella, and Fabrizio Zgur

The glaciers terminating in the Cook Ice Shelf and the Ninnis Glacier drain most of the Antarctic marine ice sheet covering the Wilkes Subglacial Basin (WSB), whose ice volume is equivalent to 3-4 m of global sea level rise. Long-term climate projections and multiproxies studies of ice records suggest that ice sheet retreat in this area, thought to be colder and more stable, may be triggered by warm ocean water intrusion.
During the 2022 campaign of the Italian Programma Nazionale delle Ricerche in Antartide (PNRA) with the icebreaker L. Bassi, the project COLLAPSE (Cook glacier-Ocean system, sea LeveL and Antarctic Past Stability) mapped two systems of canyons and hills located at the mouth of suspected glacial valleys off Cook and Ninnis glaciers. The combination of geomorphological, seismic, oceanographic, and sedimentary data (see abstract from Torricella et al.) allowed identification of a variety of processes active on the seafloor today and in the late Quaternary. The geophysical data show evidence of slope instability offshore of the presumed major glacial troughs. Sediment drifts controlled by bottom currents grow on channel-levees and slope terraces. This information will help, albeit indirectly, to reconstruct the dynamics of different glaciers in relation to paleoclimatic changes and ocean circulation, and to estimate their respective contributions to global sea-level rise.
In addition to the co-authors listed in this summary who are involved in the analysis of the geophysical and oceanographic data, the project PNRA COLLAPSE includes a large group of scientists for the analysis of the sediment cores, from the Universities of Trieste, Siena and Milan-Bicocca, CNR-ISP e ISMAR, INGV (I), Univ. Bordeaux, Grenoble and LOCEAN, Paris (F), CSIC (E), Colgate Univ. (USA), Australian National University and Univ. of Tasmania (AUS), Russian FSBI VNIIOkeangeologia, (RU), Alfred Wegener Institute (D), GNS (NZ).

How to cite: De Santis, L., Accaino, F., Accettella, D., Bensi, M., Colleoni, F., Cova, A., Donda, F., Facchin, L., Kovacevic, V., Martellucci, R., Mauri, E., Ursella, L., and Zgur, F.: Cook glacier-Ocean Antarctic Past Stability (COLLAPSE) project preliminary results from geophysical and oceanographic data analysis, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-3663, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-3663, 2024.

X5.159
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EGU24-18013
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ECS
Dimitris Evangelinos, Tina van de Flierdt, Eduardo Paredes, Leopoldo D. Pena, and Isabel Cacho

Understanding ocean-ice sheet interactions in the geological past is critical for evaluating the ice sheet sensitivity to ocean forcing in future climate warming. Geological evidence suggests major oceanographic changes across the Southern Ocean during the Middle Miocene Climate Transition (MMCT) (~15-12 Million years ago (Ma)). However, the response of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet to these changes remains poorly constrained. Here we explore ocean-ice interactions during the MMCT by presenting data from two marine sedimentary cores along a latitudinal transect offshore Prydz Bay (East Antarctica). Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Site 1165 is located on the continental rise off Prydz Bay (64◦27.27o S, 67◦13.08o E, 3537.5 water depth) and ODP Site 744 is located on the Southern Kerguelen Plateau (61o 34.66´S, 80o 35.43´E, 2307 m water depth). Neodymium and strontium isotopic compositions of fine-grained (< 63μm) detrital sediments from ODP Site 1165 were generated to constrain potential changes in sediment provenance, revealing potential changes in ice sheet dynamics (expansion/retreat). Neodymium isotope ratios (εNd) from fossil fish teeth from ODP Site 744 were used to trace regional water masses and Southern Ocean circulation changes for the same period. Additionally, marine productivity records generated from both ODP sites were used to track changes on the position of the Southern Ocean frontal system. We report an equatorward migration of the Southern Ocean frontal system around 13 Ma, associated with global climate cooling, sea ice expansion and CO2 decline during the MMCT. Despite this major ocean-climate reorganization, our data suggest the presence of a rather stable and large ice sheet in the Prydz Bay throughout the MMCT, implying that the ice sheet was less sensitive to ocean forcing during the MMCT.

How to cite: Evangelinos, D., van de Flierdt, T., Paredes, E., D. Pena, L., and Cacho, I.: East Antarctic Ice Sheet response to ocean forcing during the Middle Miocene Climate Transition: Insights from Prydz Bay, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-18013, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18013, 2024.

X5.160
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EGU24-4251
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ECS
Yu Wang, Chen Zhao, Rupert Gladstone, Thomas Zwinger, Ben Galton-Fenzi, and Poul Christoffersen

Recent studies have indicated that the migration of grounding line is extremely sensitive to basal melt in the grounding zone. Different representations of melting at the grounding line introduce significant uncertainties in predictions of ice mass loss and global sea level rise. However, there remains an absence of targeted, systematic studies grounded in real-domain, and robustly representing melt in partially floating cells of ice sheet models remains a pressing technical challenge. This study delves into four distinct melt schemes at the grounding line within the Wilkes Subglacial Basin (WSB) model, focusing on their impact on ice loss predictions. Specifically, we analyse the No Melt Parameterization (NMP), Full Melt Parameterization (FMP), and two variants of the Sub-Element Melt parameterization (SEM1, SEM3) as applied to partially floating elements at the grounding line. We found that both the SEM and NMP schemes outperform FMP in terms of convergence with finer mesh resolution, with each exhibiting varying advantages over the other.  Notably, the discrepancies in results attributed to various melt schemes are significantly amplified when high melt rates are applied near the grounding line. Our results consistently suggest that the FMP should be avoided under all circumstances due to its poor convergence and substantial overestimation of ice mass loss. We recommend that future ice sheet models carefully evaluate the choice between NMP and SEM in their specific model contexts.

How to cite: Wang, Y., Zhao, C., Gladstone, R., Zwinger, T., Galton-Fenzi, B., and Christoffersen, P.: Parameterization Solutions for Basal Melting at the Grounding Line in Ice Flow Models, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4251, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4251, 2024.

X5.161
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EGU24-10149
Laura Crispini, Dario Civile, Giulia Matilde Ferrante, Michele Locatelli, Danilo Morelli, Valentina Volpi, Daniela Accettella, Flavio Accaino, Martina Busetti, Andreas Läufer, Egidio Armadillo, Ester Colizza, Francesco Salvini, and Antonia Ruppel

As part of the PNRA_BOOST project (Bridging Onshore-Offshore STructures at the Pacific Coast of North Victoria Land, Antarctica: an integrated approach), new offshore geophysical data (multichannel high-resolution seismic lines, bathymetric and magnetic data) were acquired on board of OGS R/V Laura Bassi (Feb 2023, XXXVIII Italian Antarctic Expedition), along the Pacific side of North Victoria Land, an underexplored key area at the boundary between East and West Antarctica. A preliminary analysis of the seismic and bathymetric data allows the identification and interpretation of morphological and tectonic features representing key hints for the study of the influence of lithosphere dynamics on ice-sheet evolution.

In the study area, the northern sector of the shelf has an outer concave shape of its break and slope and is incised by several gullies; on the contrary the southern sector shows a stepped geometry with a WNW-ESE straight linear trend abruptly turning to a NW-SE trend. The continental shelf consists of a thin, horizontally layered succession lying on a crystalline basement dissected by two U-shaped glacial troughs several kilometers wide. The slope consists of seaward-prograding sedimentary strata that are truncated on the shelf by a regional unconformity (RSU 1). In the upper part of the slope of the NW sector, three distinct seaward prograding wedges were recognized, whereas they were not identified in the southern sector.

NW-trending basement highs, bounded by faults, are visible both on the shelf and on the continental rise (towards the abyssal plain). Growth strata associated with these faults allow a tentative dating of activation to Oligocene times. The unconformity at the top of the growth strata may be related to the U3 surface (36 Ma) of Sauermilch et al. (2019). In addition, a ca. 20 km-long ridge of basement, covered by drift deposits, revealed at a depth of about 2500 m, is bounded by faults with indications of recent tectonic activity. The observed faults could have reactivated inherited zones of weakness that bound rift blocks formed during the breakup between Australia and Antarctica. In particular, the U3 surface is associated with the beginning of the phase of fast seafloor-spreading between Australia and Antarctica.

In the SW part of the study area, two broad “linear” volcanic zones occur along a roughly NNW-SSE direction; i.e. the orientation of the main tectonic lineaments inland. These zones consist of individual volcanic edifices and small volcanic ridges composed of coalescing bodies. Several volcanoes are clearly active and fluid-related features are visible cutting through the surrounding sedimentary successions. This volcanism correlates well with airborne magnetic observations and may represent the NNW continuation of the Mid-Miocene to Quaternary Hallett Volcanic Province forming the Adare Peninsula, or may be related to the post-spreading Pliocene-Recent volcanism of the Adare Basin.

Sauermilch et al., 2019. JGR: Solid Earth, 124, 7699–7724 (doi.org/10.1029/2018JB016683).

 

 

 

 

How to cite: Crispini, L., Civile, D., Ferrante, G. M., Locatelli, M., Morelli, D., Volpi, V., Accettella, D., Accaino, F., Busetti, M., Läufer, A., Armadillo, E., Colizza, E., Salvini, F., and Ruppel, A.: Lithosphere-cryosphere interactions at the Pacific coast of North Victoria Land: new evidence of past to recent geodynamic processes from offshore geophysical data (PNRA_BOOST Project), EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-10149, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10149, 2024.

X5.162
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EGU24-13090
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Linda Armbrecht, Amaranta Focardi, Kelly-Anne Lawler, Phil O’Brien, Amy Leventer, Taryn Noble, Bradley Opdyke, Meghan Duffy, Dimitris Evangelinos, Simon C. George, Jan Lieser, Adrián López-Quirós, Alix Post, Martin Ostrowski, Ian Paulsen, and Leanne Armand

With ongoing climate change, research into the biological changes occurring in particularly vulnerable ecosystems, such as Antarctica, is critical. The Totten Glacier region, Sabrina Coast, is currently experiencing some of the highest rates of thinning across all East Antarctica. An assessment of the microscopic organisms supporting the ecosystem of the marginal sea-ice zone over the continental rise is important, yet there is a lack of knowledge about the diversity and distribution of these organisms throughout the water column, and their occurrence and/or preservation in the underlying sediments. Here, we provide a taxonomic overview of the modern and ancient marine bacterial and eukaryotic communities of the Totten Glacier region, using a combination of 16S and 18S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing (modern DNA) and shotgun metagenomics (sedimentary ancient DNA, sedaDNA). Our data show considerable differences between eukaryote and bacterial signals in the water column versus the sediments. Proteobacteria and diatoms dominate the bacterial and eukaryote composition in the upper water column, while diatoms, dinoflagellates, and haptophytes notably decrease in relative abundance with increasing water depth. Little diatom sedaDNA was recovered from the sediments. Instead, sedaDNA was dominated by Proteobacteria and Retaria. We compare the diatom microfossil and sedaDNA record and link the weak preservation of diatom sedaDNA to DNA degradation while sinking through the water column to the seafloor. This study provides the first assessment of DNA transfer from ocean waters to sediments and an overview of the microscopic communities occurring in the climatically important Totten Glacier region. Such knowledge is important when reconstructing past ecosystems using the emerging sedaDNA approach as a new paleo-proxy, and the interpretation of biological changes in response to Antarctic ice sheet advances and retreats.

How to cite: Armbrecht, L., Focardi, A., Lawler, K.-A., O’Brien, P., Leventer, A., Noble, T., Opdyke, B., Duffy, M., Evangelinos, D., George, S. C., Lieser, J., López-Quirós, A., Post, A., Ostrowski, M., Paulsen, I., and Armand, L.: From the Surface Ocean to the Seafloor: Linking Modern and Paleo-Genetics at the Sabrina Coast, East Antarctica (IN2017_V01), EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13090, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13090, 2024.

X5.163
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EGU24-15484
Furkan Kaan Sagol, Georg Schwamborn, Johannes Freitag, Sepp Kipfstuhl, Frank Wilhelms, and Maria Hörhold

Detecting and understanding potential changes in annual mean temperature and accumulation rate at the East Antarctic Plateau is crucial to assess the sensitivity and future response of the Antarctic ice sheet to global warming. Due the very low accumulation rate and its spatial variability the interpretation of climate proxies from shallow firn cores with centennial to decadal time resolution is challenging. A major limitation is the available time resolution obtained by available dating approaches and a reliable assessment of its uncertainty.
In this study a 204 m long firn core, B56, drilled in 2016 on the East Antarctic Plateau, is analysed. The major goal of this study is dating of the firn core by combining different dating methods on the basis of available density data, dielectric properties, and ion chromatography (non-sea-salt sulphate) data. In order to utilize density, the Herron-Langway Model is used for determining the depth-age relation. In this model temperature and snow accumulation are assumed to be constant and the relationship between the snow density and the depth below the snow surface does not change over time. Depending on the used accumulation rate, the resulting age at 200 m depth varies between 6200 to 7200 years. Secondly, the dielectric profile and non-sea-salt sulphate's (nssSO4-2) concentration data are used for constructing another depth-age model, thereby matching prominent data peaks to known volcanic eruptions that have been recorded in the past. Here, the resulting age at 200 m depth is determined to about 4400 years, which compares well to published age models of firn cores from the East Antarctic Plateau. In comparison we find all age models to be consistent within the upper 40 of meters (approximately 1000years), but the Herron-Langway model to overestimate the age at greater depths. We propose that our findings indicate changes in accumulatıon rate in the past leading to the offset in the Herron-Langway model (using a constant accumulation rate).
However, by combining the dating methods we are able to not only provide a reasonable dating over the full firn core, but also to improve the time resolution of the derived age model. This will improve the interpretation of the climate proxies of this firn core and serve as a role model for other shallow firn cores from the East Antarctic Plateau.

How to cite: Sagol, F. K., Schwamborn, G., Freitag, J., Kipfstuhl, S., Wilhelms, F., and Hörhold, M.: Dating and interpreting a firn core from the East Antarctic Plateau, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-15484, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-15484, 2024.

X5.164
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EGU24-4890
Rongxing Li, Yuan Cheng, Tian Chang, David E. Gwyther, Martin Forbes, Lu An, Menglian Xia, Xiaohan Yuan, Gang Qiao, Xiaohua Tong, and Wenkai Ye

East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) has an overall balanced or slightly positive mass balance. However, Wilkes Land and Totten Glacier (TG) in EAIS have been losing ice mass significantly since 1989. There is a lack of knowledge of long-term mass balance in the region which hinders the estimation of its contribution to global sea level rise. We reconstruct ice flow velocity fields of 1963–1989 in TG from the first-generation satellite images of ARGON and Landsat-1&4, and build a five decade-long record of ice dynamics. Based on these velocity maps, we show that this acceleration trend in TG has occurred since the 1960s. Combined with recently published velocity maps, we find a persistent long-term ice discharge rate of 68 ± 1 Gt/y and an acceleration of 0.17 ± 0.02 Gt/y2 from 1963 to 2018, making TG the greatest contributor to global sea level rise in EA. We attribute the long-term acceleration near grounding line from 1963 to 2018 to basal melting likely induced by warm modified Circumpolar Deep Water. The speed up in shelf front during 1973–1989 was caused by a large calving front retreat. As the current trend continues, intensified monitoring in the TG region is recommended in the next decades.

How to cite: Li, R., Cheng, Y., Chang, T., Gwyther, D. E., Forbes, M., An, L., Xia, M., Yuan, X., Qiao, G., Tong, X., and Ye, W.: 60 Years of satellite record reveals high level velocity and mass discharge in Totten Glacier, East Antarctica, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4890, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4890, 2024.

X5.165
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EGU24-16595
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ECS
Bertie Miles and Rob Bingham

Totten Glacier is the largest contributor to the global sea level rise from the East Antarctic Ice Sheet and has been losing mass since the earliest satellite observations in the 1970s. However, unlike other outlet glaciers that are losing mass in Antarctica (e.g. Pine Island and Thwaites), there has been no obvious long-term speed-up and subsequent increase in ice discharge over the satellite observational record, despite large interannual variability in ice flow. This indicates that the imbalance at Totten Glacier must have initiated prior to our earliest satellite observations.

Utilizing the complete record of satellite imagery, we track the pattern of surface undulations that form near the Totten grounding line and are preserved for decades as they are subsequently transported downstream. In our earliest satellite image from 1973, we observe surface undulations estimated to have formed near the grounding line in the 1920s. We suggest that changes in the size and formation of these surface undulations are caused by changes in the melt rate and ice thickness near the grounding line that alters the degree of contact between the ice shelf and a nearby pinning point. By monitoring the size of these surface undulations, we provide a qualitative record of ice thickness change near the grounding line from the 1920s to the present day. We reveal a clear shift in pattern in the mid-20th century, where, despite pronounced and consistent surface undulation formation between the 1920s and 1950s, no detectable surface undulations were formed between the late 1950s and 1980s.

Elsewhere on the glacier, we demonstrate the long-term opening of a previously identified channel connecting the eastern ice shelf to the open ocean and observe grounding line changes since the 1970s.

How to cite: Miles, B. and Bingham, R.: Change in melt pattern at Totten Ice Shelf in the 1950s, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-16595, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-16595, 2024.

X5.166
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EGU24-19800
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ECS
Michael Bollen, Juliane Müller, Marcus Gutjahr, and Samuel Jaccard

Existing marine sedimentological constraints on the timing of deglaciation in the Weddell Sector are sparse, owing to the combination of inaccessibility due to thick sea ice, and chronological difficulties typical of Antarctic shelf sediments. Here, we present new results from near the calving line in the Hughes Trough, located in the central-southern Weddell Sea. Ramped pyrolysis 14C dating was used to determine a robust chronology from the 5.0 m long sediment core, PS111_53. The core preserves a full glaciomarine sequence from subglacial, sub-ice shelf, and open marine / polynya environments. The sedimentological transition interpreted to be formed at the grounding zone during ice shelf retreat was dated to 18.2 – 19.0 ka, indicating that grounded ice retreat was underway by this time. Further, the sedimentation rate was drastically reduced at ~6 ka, indicating that the oceanographic and glaciological regimes of the continental shelf may have changed at this time.

The proposed timing of glacial mass loss is well placed in the context of recent studies from the continental ice sheet and off-shelf marine sediments, which have suggested that a significant ice mass loss event from the Weddell Sector of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) may have occurred early in the deglaciation. A synchronous timing of deglaciation between the Weddell Sector of the AIS and Laurentide Ice Sheets during MWP-1A0 points towards bi-polar tele-connections.

How to cite: Bollen, M., Müller, J., Gutjahr, M., and Jaccard, S.: Sedimentological evidence for an early deglaciation in the Weddell Sector at ~19 ka, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-19800, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19800, 2024.

X5.167
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EGU24-21830
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ECS
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Highlight
Emma-Louise Cooper, Mark I. Stevens, and Andrew N. Mackintosh

Our understanding of Antarctic Ice Sheet evolution has largely relied on geological evidence from a combination of onshore and offshore archives. In particular, terrestrial cosmogenic nuclides (e.g., 10Be, 26Al, 36Cl, 14C) have now been extensively employed to assess the timing and drivers of past ice sheet change. Yet, such chronologies are incomplete, can be compromised by complex burial-exposure histories, and are not ideally suited to reconstructing the long-term (hundreds of thousands to millions of years) evolution of the ice sheet.

To address this gap in understanding long-term Antarctic Ice Sheet evolution, we investigate the application of a cross-disciplinary approach that incorporates a combination of geological and biological evidence. Recent work has implied that certain biota, such as Antarctic springtails (Arthropoda: Collembola), survived consecutive glacial periods in ice-free refugia by shifting up and down nunataks or on moraines above the ice (see: Stevens and Mackintosh, 2023; https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2022.0590). Due to these prolonged periods of isolation, springtails have now developed high levels of species endemism across Antarctica. These species are often short-range endemics, and now combined with extensive molecular data are the only terrestrial invertebrate group with unequivocal Antarctic provenance across successive glacial maxima on the continent. As a result, incorporating these growing records of Antarctic springtail distribution into chronological studies may yield a more complete understanding of ice sheet evolution through time. Here, we demonstrate the use of this combined approach across the whole of Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica. 

How to cite: Cooper, E.-L., Stevens, M. I., and Mackintosh, A. N.: A cross-disciplinary approach to understanding Antarctic Ice Sheet histories: combining cosmogenic nuclides with records of Antarctic springtails in Dronning Maud Land, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-21830, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-21830, 2024.

X5.168
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EGU24-22344
Fiorenza Torricella, Sergio Andò, Francesca Battaglia, Andrea Caburlotto, Ester Colizza, Xavier Crosta, Laura De Santis, Johan Etorneau, Andrea Gallerani, Torben Gentz, Amy Leventer, Patrizia Macrì, Romana Melis, Matteo Perotti, Gianguido Salvi, Tommaso Tesi, and Luca Zurli

The Cook Ice Shelf and Ninnis Glacier drain a large part of the Wilkes Land Basin, which contains the equivalent of about 4 metres of sea level. The glaciers in this region are thought to have retreated during the warm climatic phases of the Pleistocene, but the extent of the retreat and the identification of the driving forces are still controversial. The aim of this study is to contribute to the understanding of regional depositional processes and environmental conditions that shed light on the dynamics of the ice sheet and the factors that determine its stability and instability (ocean and atmospheric temperature and precipitation), and ultimately to refine the projected evolution of these glaciers. We here present the preliminary results of a multidisciplinary study (textural analyses, geochemical, chemical and petrographic analyses, paleomagnetic and micropaleontological determinations) carried out on six sediment cores collected on the continental slope off the Cook Ice Shelf and Ninnis Glacier in the framework of the Programma Nazionale di Ricerca in Antartide - PNRA project COLLAPSE ("Cook glacier-Ocean system, sea LeveL and Antarctic Past Stability'). We are currently documenting sedimentological processes and oceanographic conditions in this region during the Late Pleistocene. We identified three main units: the first unit consists of laminated silt with low microfossil content and is interpreted as influenced by bottom current; the second unit is a massive silt with ice debris, and very low microfossil content and is interpreted as indicating a period with intense ice calving with iceberg production; the third unit is a bioturbated mud with high microfossil content.   The microfossil content, especially the diatoms, suggest that this unit is deposited during a period of open water.

How to cite: Torricella, F., Andò, S., Battaglia, F., Caburlotto, A., Colizza, E., Crosta, X., De Santis, L., Etorneau, J., Gallerani, A., Gentz, T., Leventer, A., Macrì, P., Melis, R., Perotti, M., Salvi, G., Tesi, T., and Zurli, L.: Pleistocene evolution of Ninnis and Cook glaciers (East Antarctica) from a micropaleontological and sedimentological study: Preliminary result, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-22344, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-22344, 2024.

X5.169
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EGU24-7756
Xiaoxia Huang, Laura De Santis, German Leitchenkov, and Carlota Escutia

A giant submarine landslide in front of the Wilkes subglacial basin along the Cook continental margin—one of the least explored areas on Earth—has been documented for the first time. This area is critical to understanding the stability of one among the most vulnerable sectors of the Antarctic Ice sheet to climate and ocean warming. It is named as Cook mega-slide complex (CMSC), which occurred in the early Pliocene according to the seismic interpretation correlated to the IODP Exp 318 sites. The giant submarine landslide is well imaged on the seismic profiles and exhibits various kinematic indicators with the basal glide planes and original headwall scarps. It affected the area of c. 22, 686.5 km2, approximately 3399 km3 of sediments evacuated from the continental margin. With a scale similar to Storegga Slide on the Norway margin, the size of the CMSC is mostly likely the largest submarine landslide ever discovered around the Antarctic margin. We propose that glacial isostatic adjustment and glacial outburst floods caused by the East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) retreat lead to the formation of the large slides and create the condition for slope instability and erosion. The development and collapse of peripheral bulge has been firstly observed from Antarctic margin, associated with the glaciation and subsequent deglaciation of the EAIS, led to a distinct spatial variation in sea level changes and further affected the deposition on the slope. Our results yield intriguing insights into the relationship of stratigraphic evolution, submarine landslides, and past EAIS instabilities throughout the warm periods of the late Miocene-Pliocene, and thereby provide important constraints for ice sheet modeling and sea level prediction.

How to cite: Huang, X., De Santis, L., Leitchenkov, G., and Escutia, C.: Submarine landslides unravel the dynamics of the past East Antarctic Ice Sheet , EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-7756, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-7756, 2024.