East and West Antarctica’s responses to climate change, past present and future
Convener:
David Small
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Co-conveners:
Ted Scambos,
Laura De Santis,
Linda Armbrecht,
Marianne Karplus,
Chen ZhaoECSECS,
Yixi ZhengECSECS
Orals
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Wed, 17 Apr, 14:00–18:00 (CEST) Room 1.61/62
Posters on site
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Attendance Tue, 16 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Tue, 16 Apr, 14:00–18:00 Hall X5
The West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) is often viewed as the most vulnerable ice sheet in the coming century; however, the vast majority of Earth’s glacier ice (around 52 metres sea-level equivalent) is within the East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS), and parts of it are susceptible to many of the same instabilities, some of them already underway.
To project future ice sheet losses and estimate impacts we need to integrate knowledge of past ice sheet changes with recent observations. In turn, this better understanding leads to improved modelling and projections of future changes. Recent estimates based on satellite measurements and in situ observations show the WAIS losing elevation and mass, particularly along the Amundsen Sea coast; the EAIS is instead estimated to be broadly in balance with some marine-based catchments losing mass, and others gaining mass due to increased snow accumulation. Of concern, however, is that parts of both ice sheets are thought to have undergone far greater retreats during past warm periods such as the Mid-Pliocene, Marine Isotope Stage 11 and potentially as recently as the Last Interglacial (Marine Isotope Stage 5e), and may be heading for similar but more rapid ice loss under the ongoing anthropogenic forcing.
We welcome modelling and observational studies from both onshore and offshore realms, in present and recent past time frames, that explore and constrain the processes affecting change of the icesheets, Southern Ocean and ecosystems.
14:00–14:05
West Antarctica
14:05–14:15
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EGU24-16837
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ECS
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On-site presentation
14:15–14:25
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EGU24-10259
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ECS
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On-site presentation
14:25–14:35
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EGU24-16990
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ECS
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On-site presentation
14:35–14:45
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EGU24-18206
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ECS
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On-site presentation
14:45–14:55
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EGU24-8638
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On-site presentation
14:55–15:05
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EGU24-10527
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
15:05–15:15
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EGU24-10545
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ECS
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On-site presentation
15:15–15:25
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EGU24-13155
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Highlight
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Virtual presentation
15:25–15:35
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EGU24-3600
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ECS
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On-site presentation
15:35–15:45
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EGU24-10892
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On-site presentation
The amplitude of Antarctic Ice Sheet change during the Pliocene from proxies and modelling
(withdrawn)
Coffee break
Chairpersons: David Small, Laura De Santis, Linda Armbrecht
16:15–16:20
East Antarctica
16:20–16:30
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EGU24-4785
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solicited
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On-site presentation
16:30–16:40
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EGU24-5419
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
16:40–16:50
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EGU24-1039
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ECS
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Virtual presentation
16:50–17:00
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EGU24-1488
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ECS
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On-site presentation
17:00–17:10
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EGU24-12985
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On-site presentation
Securing Antarctica’s Environmental Future: the East Antarctic Ice Sheet
(withdrawn)
17:10–17:20
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EGU24-13054
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On-site presentation
17:20–17:30
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EGU24-20880
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On-site presentation
17:30–17:40
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EGU24-1033
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On-site presentation
17:40–17:50
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EGU24-14163
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ECS
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On-site presentation
17:50–18:00
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EGU24-6760
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ECS
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On-site presentation
X5.152
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EGU24-13668
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Highlight
X5.153
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EGU24-10321
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Highlight
X5.160
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EGU24-4251
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ECS
X5.166
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EGU24-19800
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ECS