AS1.13 | Clouds, moisture, and precipitation in the Polar Regions: Sources, processes and impacts
EDI
Clouds, moisture, and precipitation in the Polar Regions: Sources, processes and impacts
Co-organized by CL2/CR7
Convener: Irina V. Gorodetskaya | Co-conveners: Tom Lachlan-Cope, Susanne Crewell, Florian Sauerland, Maximilian Maahn
Orals
| Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–10:15 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12
Posters on site
| Attendance Fri, 19 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X5
Posters virtual
| Attendance Fri, 19 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X5
Orals |
Thu, 08:30
Fri, 10:45
Fri, 14:00
Clouds play an important role in the Polar climate due to their interaction with radiation and their role in the hydrological cycle linking poleward water vapour transport with precipitation. Cloud and precipitation properties depend on the atmospheric dynamics and moisture sources and transport, as well as on aerosol particles, which can act as cloud condensation and ice nuclei. These processes are complex and are not well represented in the models. While measurements of cloud and precipitation microphysical properties in the Arctic and Antarctic regions are challenging, they are highly needed to evaluate and improve cloud processes representation in the models used for polar and global climate and cryosphere projections.

This session aims at bringing together researchers using observational and/or modeling approaches (at various scales) to improve our understanding of polar tropospheric clouds, precipitation, and related mechanisms and impacts. Contributions are invited on various relevant processes including (but not limited to):
- Drivers of cloud/precipitation microphysics at high latitudes,
- Sources of cloud nuclei both at local and long range,
- Linkages of polar clouds/precipitation to the moisture sources and transport, including including extreme transport events (e.g., atmospheric rivers, moisture intrusions),
- Relationship of moisture/cloud/precipitation processes to the atmospheric dynamics, ranging from synoptic and meso-scale processes to teleconnections and climate indices,
- Interactions between clouds and radiation, including impacts on the surface energy balance,
- Impacts that the clouds/precipitation in the Polar Regions have on the polar and global climate system, surface mass and energy balance, sea ice and ecosystems.

Papers including new methodologies specific to polar regions are encouraged, such as (i) improving polar cloud/precipitation parameterizations in atmospheric models, moisture transport events detection and attribution methods specifically in the high latitudes, and (ii) advancing observations of polar clouds and precipitation. We would like to emphasize collaborative observational and modeling activities, such as the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP), Polar-CORDEX, the (AC)3 project on Arctic Amplification, MOSAiC and other measurement campaigns in the Arctic and Southern Ocean/Antarctica and encourage related contributions.

Orals: Thu, 18 Apr | Room 0.11/12

Chairpersons: Irina V. Gorodetskaya, Florian Sauerland, Maximilian Maahn
08:30–08:40
|
EGU24-6664
|
solicited
|
Highlight
|
On-site presentation
Alexis Berne and Alfonso Ferrrone

Although the deployment of ground-based remote sensing instruments has made possible significant progress, Antarctic precipitation remains poorly understood, in particular away from the scientific stations where most field campaigns have taken place in the past. The PEA Orographic Precipitation Experiment (POPE) campaign took place at the Princess Elisabeth Antarctica station (Queen Maud Land, East Antarctica) during the austral summer 2019-2020. In this framework, a transect of three Doppler vertically profiling precipitation radars (MRR-PRO) was deployed from 20 to 30 km away from the station, in complete autonomy in the complex terrain of the Sor Rondane Mountains. The measurements collected during this campaign highlighted the complex interactions between the terrain and a dry layer likely due to katabatic winds, modulating the occurrence of precipitation in the area.
This POPE campaign also served as a test of the idea of deploying complex instruments dedicated to cloud and precipitation monitoring in complete autonomy to access relevant information away from stations, in areas poorly covered so far. This is a strong motivation for the AWACA project (ERC Synergy), which aims to study the atmospheric branch of the water cycle over Antarctica. AWACA started in September 2021 with the design and construction of autonomous observation platform units (4 in total) sheltering various sensors: surface meteorology, isotopic composition of water vapor and precipitation, and remote sensing of clouds and precipitation. The main deployment along a 1100-km transect between the Dumont d'Urville station at the coast and the Concordia station on the inner Plateau, is scheduled for the austral summer 2024-2025.
In this presentation, I will summarize the main results about precipitation from the POPE campaign as well as the main objectives of the AWACA project.

How to cite: Berne, A. and Ferrrone, A.: Antarctic precipitation: distributed observations during the POPE and AWACA campaigns, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-6664, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-6664, 2024.

08:40–08:50
|
EGU24-3671
|
ECS
|
Highlight
|
On-site presentation
Michelle Maclennan, Andrew Winters, Christine Shields, Léonard Barthelemy, Rudradutt Thaker, and Jonathan Wille

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are long, narrow bands of moisture that propagate poleward from the midlatitudes and occasionally reach the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Despite occurring only ~1% of the time, Antarctic ARs contribute 10% of the annual precipitation and are major drivers for heatwaves, foehn events, and surface melting on ice shelves. While snowfall is currently the dominant impact of ARs over the grounded Antarctic Ice Sheet, the relative contribution of ARs to snowfall, rainfall, and surface melt may change in a warming climate, along with the frequency and intensity of AR events themselves. Here, we use the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) Large Ensemble to detect ARs during the current period (1980–2014) and future climate (2015–2100) under the SSP370 radiative forcing scenario. We use an AR detection threshold for the current period based on the 98th percentile of the meridional component of integrated vapor transport (vIVT). To account for projected future increases in atmospheric moisture content (Clausius-Clapeyron effect) and its impacts on vIVT, we scale our AR detection threshold for the future period by the relative change in integrated water vapor compared to the present-day climatology. We then describe how the frequency, intensity, and year-to-year variability in Antarctic ARs changes by the end of the 21st century by region, with links to changes in the large-scale atmospheric circulation accompanying ARs. Finally, we quantify AR-attributed precipitation, precipitation variability, and trends in the future climate, ultimately providing an early assessment of future AR-driven changes to Antarctic surface mass balance.

How to cite: Maclennan, M., Winters, A., Shields, C., Barthelemy, L., Thaker, R., and Wille, J.: Antarctic Atmospheric Rivers in Present and Future Climates, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-3671, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-3671, 2024.

08:50–09:00
|
EGU24-4327
|
ECS
|
Highlight
|
On-site presentation
Martin Radenz, Ronny Engelmann, Silvia Henning, Holger Schmithüsen, Holger Baars, Markus M. Frey, Rolf Weller, Johannes Bühl, Cristofer Jimenez, Johanna Roschke, Lukas Muser, Nellie Wullenweber, Sebastian Zeppenfeld, Hannes Griesche, Ulla Wandinger, and Patric Seifert

Novel ground-based remote sensing observations of aerosols and clouds have been carried out in Antarctica at the German Neumayer Station III (70.67°S, 8.27°W) for a whole year. The deployment of the mobile exploratory platform OCEANET-Atmosphere brought full ACTRIS aerosol and cloud profiling capabilities next to meteorological, radiation, and air chemistry in-situ observations at the Antarctic station. Neumayer III is currently the only station on a floating ice shelf that is manned throughout the year, providing excellent conditions for studying atmospheric effects on the Antarctic ice shelf.

For that deployment the standard instrumentation of OCEANET-Atmosphere (PollyXT Raman polarization Lidar, a HATPRO microwave Radiometer, a Cimel sun and lunar photometer, and Radiation sensors) was extended by a Mira-35 cloud radar, a scanning LITRA-S Doppler lidar and a Parsivel² optical disdrometer. Together, these instruments brought the full ACTRIS aerosol and cloud profiling capabilities to a region where sophisticated ground-based observations were not available. The synergy of the different instruments allows for detailed retrievals of aerosol and cloud properties, such as cloud-relevant aerosol properties, liquid droplet properties and ice crystal concentrations.

While data analysis is ongoing, three scientific highlights have already been identified during austral fall and winter, namely:

  • Observations of a persistent shallow mixed-phase cloud embedded in a plume of advected marine aerosol. State of the art microphysical retrievals are used to obtain aerosol and cloud microphysical properties. Closure between cloud-relevant aerosol particles and precipitating ice crystals was achieved, demonstrating that the cloud formed in an aerosol-limited environment.
  • Two extraordinary warm air intrusions: One with intense snowfall produced the equivalent of 10% of the yearly snow accumulation, a second one with record high temperatures and heavy icing due to supercooled drizzle.
  • Omnipresent aerosol layers in the stratosphere, contributing almost 50% to the aerosol optical depth of around 0.06 at 500nm. Lidar-derived optical signatures revealed sulphate aerosol in the stratosphere - most likely linked to the Hunga Tonga eruption in 2022.

We will present an overview of the campaign, the three highlights and provide an outlook on potential future usage of the dataset.

How to cite: Radenz, M., Engelmann, R., Henning, S., Schmithüsen, H., Baars, H., Frey, M. M., Weller, R., Bühl, J., Jimenez, C., Roschke, J., Muser, L., Wullenweber, N., Zeppenfeld, S., Griesche, H., Wandinger, U., and Seifert, P.: Ground-based Remote Sensing of Aerosol, Clouds, Dynamics, and Precipitation in Antarctica - First results from a one-year campaign at Neumayer Station III in 2023, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4327, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4327, 2024.

09:00–09:10
|
EGU24-16088
|
ECS
|
Highlight
|
On-site presentation
Floortje van den Heuvel, Mark Tarn, Benjamin Murray, and Thomas Lachlan-Cope

Clouds are a major source of uncertainty in climate model projections, especially in the Southern Ocean where the large model biases in short and long wave radiative fluxes affect the model representation of sea surface temperatures, sea ice and ultimately large scale circulation in the Southern Hemisphere. Evidence suggests that the poor representation of mixed phase clouds and the role of Ice Nucleating Particles (INPs) in these clouds are likely to be responsible for the model biases in this region. To understand how clouds will respond in a future climate we need to both better understand the effects and sources of INPs in the present, and attempt to anticipate the importance of new sources of INPs which could be revealed in a warming climate and by a reduction in glacial coverage.

In order to achieve this, we have dispersed samples of dusts from the Antarctic peninsula and James Ross Island in the Leeds aerosol chamber to characterise the size-resolved ice-nucleating activity of Southern high latitude dusts and to determine the heat lability of the INPs as a potential indicator for biogenic ice nucleators. We’ve also created suspensions from a number of Antarctic mosses and lichen to measure the ice-nucleating activity of these potential sources of INPs. Preliminary results indicate that the collected dusts nucleated ice at temperatures between -18 ºC and -14 ºC while mosses and lichen nucleated ice at temperatures ranging from -18 ºC to -6 ºC, depending on the source. Future work will include a comparison with ambient air filter samples collected around Rothera (Antarctic peninsula) and in the Arctic.

How to cite: van den Heuvel, F., Tarn, M., Murray, B., and Lachlan-Cope, T.: Investigating potential sources of Ice Nucleating Particles around the Antarctic peninsula, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-16088, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-16088, 2024.

09:10–09:20
|
EGU24-10621
|
ECS
|
Highlight
|
On-site presentation
Jan Landwehrs, Sofie Tiedeck, Sonja Murto, and Annette Rinke

Warm and moist air intrusions (WAI) contribute strongly to extreme warm events in the central Arctic and deliver a major part of the moisture transport into this region, with significant impacts on cloud formation and the surface energy balance. Within the PolarRES EU-project we use the ICON model to study such events both in case studies for the MOSAiC expedition and climate simulations.

MOSAiC provided comprehensive observations of two WAIs in mid-April 2020 when near-surface air temperatures reached the melting point for the first time in this spring. We evaluate different ICON-LAM set-ups, including a pan-Arctic domain with 11km horizontal resolution, as well as more confined domains at convection-permitting 2.5km resolution with varying cloud microphysics settings. A better agreement with local observations is found on the smaller model domains at higher resolution. Additionally, the representation of liquid water is improved by using a more complex two-moment cloud microphysics scheme, where a scenario with higher CCN (cloud condensation nuclei) concentration is found to be more suitable for the aerosol-rich intrusion around April 16.

In a climatological perspective we demonstrate the tracking of moisture intrusion events in decadal-scale climate simulations with ICON-LAM at 11km resolution in a pan-Arctic domain. We drive the regional model with ERA5 and selected CMIP6 GCMs to obtain vertically integrated water vapor transport at high spatial and temporal resolution. This is then used to identify, track and classify WAIs, to study their climatological characteristics, impacts and long-term trends under climate change.

How to cite: Landwehrs, J., Tiedeck, S., Murto, S., and Rinke, A.: Arctic Warm and Moist Air Intrusions in ICON Simulations, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-10621, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10621, 2024.

09:20–09:30
|
EGU24-11947
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Kyle Fitch, Zachary Cleveland, McKenna Stanford, and Lindsay Dedrickson

The accurate modeling and prediction of cloud base heights is critical for energy balance calculations and aviation operations, alike. Low-level (i.e., boundary-layer) Arctic clouds can be difficult to model, making prediction of formation and dissipation challenging. Primarily mixed-phase, these clouds typically contain low quantities of supercooled liquid water and often slowly precipitate relatively small amounts of moderately and heavily rimed snow particles. While this appears to be the predominant cloudy state on the North Slope of Alaska (NSA), the delicate balance of microphysical, dynamical, radiative, surface coupling, and advective processes can rapidly shift to heavy snow (with various degrees of riming) or to a complete dissipation of the cloud layer without any precipitation, depending on the dominant processes. Here we strive to disentangle these various processes. First, we compare the predictive performances of four different numerical weather models in forecasting the presence and base-heights of low-level clouds: the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh - Alaska (HRRR-AK) model, the Polar Weather Research and Forecasting (Polar WRF) model, the Unified Model (UM), and the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) model.  Initial results comparing model output at two U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (AMT) NSA sites, during the fall season in 2019 and 2022, show that the UM slightly outperforms the HRRR-AK in terms of accurately forecasting the presence of a low-level cloud layer (89% of the time). All models have a significant bias of 300 to 800 meters in forecasting cloud base height (lower than is observed); however, the UM and ECMWF models have the lowest biases. Finally, a case study for a particularly challenging April 2017 thin-cloud event is presented, wherein we compare the performance of four different bulk microphysical parameterization schemes using a higher-resolution large eddy simulation (LES) model, the WRF-LES. Initial results show that the Thompson scheme was the only one able to reproduce and sustain a substantial supercooled liquid layer, but it was unable to reproduce the transition from a deep, liquid-rich cloud to a thin layer with moderately and heavily rimed precipitation. This is the first step in linking simulated LES-scale riming processes with those parameterized at a coarser mesoscale model scale. This has important implications for forecasting low-level clouds in an operational environment, given the efficiency of the riming process.

How to cite: Fitch, K., Cleveland, Z., Stanford, M., and Dedrickson, L.: Boundary-layer cloud modeling challenges on the North Slope of Alaska, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-11947, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-11947, 2024.

09:30–09:40
|
EGU24-4752
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Xia Li, Zhihong Tan, Youtong Zheng, Mitchell Bushuk, and Leo Donner

Global climate models (GCMs) struggle to simulate polar clouds, especially low-level clouds that contain supercooled liquid and closely interact with both the underlying surface and large-scale atmosphere. Here we focus on GFDL's latest coupled GCM–CM4–and find that polar low-level clouds are biased high compared to observations. The CM4 bias is largely due to moisture fluxes that occur within partially ice-covered grid cells, which enhance low cloud formation in non-summer seasons. In simulations where these fluxes are suppressed, it is found that open water with an areal fraction less than 5% dominates the formation of low-level clouds and contributes to more than 50% of the total low-level cloud response to open water within sea ice. These findings emphasize the importance of accurately modeling open water processes (e.g., sea ice lead-atmosphere interactions) in the polar regions in GCMs.

How to cite: Li, X., Tan, Z., Zheng, Y., Bushuk, M., and Donner, L.: Open Water in Sea Ice Causes High Bias in Polar Low-Level Clouds in GFDL CM4, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4752, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4752, 2024.

09:40–09:50
|
EGU24-14968
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Joaquin Blanco, Rodrigo Caballero, Steven Sherwood, and Lisa Alexander

A long-standing and pervasive problem within the modelling community is the proper representation of cloud albedo over the Southern Hemisphere (SH) oceanic region. Errors persist despite the extensive evidence that these are related to the unique microphysical characteristics of the austral clouds. In this study we investigate additional causes of cloud albedo biases over the 50˚–65˚ oceanic band using CMIP6 simulations and a cloud-controlling factor (CCF) approach on daily timescales. We gain further insight by replicating our method over the equivalent oceanic region in the Northern Hemisphere (NH).

Cloud albedo, computed from upwelling and downwelling shortwave radiation at surface and top of the atmosphere, is averaged into bins of vertical velocity, surface wind, and sea-surface temperature. The performance of fifteen models in both atmospheric-only and ocean-coupled configurations is evaluated against CERES satellite retrievals in combination with ERA5 reanalysis for the 2000–2014 period.

When averaging cloud albedo by vertical velocity bins, we find that shallow boundary-layer (deep convective) clouds are consistently underpredicted (overpredicted) over the high-latitude oceans of the SH. We repeat the method for the 50˚–65˚ band in the North Atlantic and Pacific oceans and find that similar compensating errors exist.

Another important result is that the SH cloud biases occur for sea-surface temperatures below 4°C. We show that a connection exists between this empirical finding and the biases as determined from microphysical effects, i.e.: a deficit of cloud albedo is due to models producing glaciated rather than supercooled liquid water clouds. Our CCF method allow us to see that in such cases, models tend to simulate NH clouds for the SH.

We also find that the positive sign of the cloud albedo hemispheric asymmetry (SH-NH difference over the 50°–65° band) is consistently predicted by nearly all models, many of which also predict a similar magnitude to observations. However, this is a consequence of compensating errors as individually most models tend to either overpredict or underpredict cloud albedo in both hemispheres.

How to cite: Blanco, J., Caballero, R., Sherwood, S., and Alexander, L.: Insights into cloud biases over high-latitude oceans from a cloud-controlling factor framework, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-14968, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-14968, 2024.

09:50–10:00
|
EGU24-9946
|
ECS
|
Highlight
|
On-site presentation
|
Mark England and Nicole Feldl

A fundamental divide exists between previous studies which conclude that polar amplification does not occur without sea ice and studies which find that polar amplification is an inherent feature of the atmosphere independent of sea ice. We hypothesise that a representation of climatological ocean heat transport is key for simulating polar amplification in ice-free climates. To investigate this we run a suite of targeted experiments in the slab ocean aquaplanet configuration of CESM2-CAM6 with different profiles of prescribed ocean heat transport, which are invariant under CO2 quadrupling. In simulations without climatological ocean heat transport, polar amplification does not occur. In contrast, in simulations with climatological ocean heat transport, robust polar amplification occurs in all seasons. What is causing this dependence of polar amplification on ocean heat transport? Energy-balance model theory is incapable of explaining our results and in fact would predict that introducing ocean heat transport leads to less polar amplification. We instead demonstrate that shortwave cloud radiative feedbacks can explain the divergent polar climate responses simulated by CESM2-CAM6. Targeted cloud locking experiments in the zero ocean heat transport simulations are able to reproduce the polar amplification of the climatological ocean heat transport simulations, solely by prescribing high latitude cloud radiative feedbacks. We conclude that polar amplification in ice-free climates is underpinned by ocean-atmosphere coupling, through a less negative high latitude shortwave cloud radiative feedback that facilitates enhanced polar warming. In addition to reconciling previous disparities, these results have important implications for interpreting past equable climates and climate projections under high emissions scenarios.

How to cite: England, M. and Feldl, N.: Robust polar amplification in ice-free climates relies on ocean heat transport and cloud radiative effects , EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-9946, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-9946, 2024.

10:00–10:10
|
EGU24-14866
|
On-site presentation
Harald Sodemann, Iris Thurnherr, Andrew Seidl, Alena Dekhtyareva, Aina Johannessen, Marvin Kähnert, Mari B. Steinslid, Sander Løklingholm, Lars R. Hole, Paul Voss, Lukas Papritz, Marina Dütsch, Robert O. David, Tim Carlsen, David M. Chandler, Patrick Chazette, Julien Totems, Alfons Schwarzenboeck, Franziska Hellmuth, and Julien Delanoe and the ISLAS2022 Team

Marine cold-air outbreaks (mCAOs) are a characteristic type of high-impact weather in the European Arctic and are characterized by an intense water cycle where polar cloud processes play an important role. Model simulations and weather forecasts of mCAO events are challenging and associated with poor predictability. One reason is that processes related to the water cycle interact with one another on a wide range of scales. In regional models, some of these processes are resolved and others are fully or partly parameterised. To test and improve numerical weather prediction models, additional observations and novel types of measurements of water vapour are highly demanded. Stable water isotopes are an increasingly available measurement, allowing to trace sub-grid scale processes, and providing the potential to constrain the mass budget of the atmospheric water cycle during mCAO events. During the ISLAS2022 field experiment (21 March to 10 April 2022), the stable isotope composition of water vapour and liquid samples, cloud structures, and other meteorological parameters were collected between Svalbard and Northern Scandinavia on various measurement platforms. Airborne survey flights to Svalbard provided the ocean evaporation signature and subsequent processing of water vapour during mCAO conditions. During a number of flights, mCAO airmasses were repeatedly sampled over a course of hours to days, allowing to characterize their thermodynamic evolution as clouds were first forming, then glaciating and precipitating. In addition, vapour isotope and sea water isotope measurements were taken continuously onboard R/V Helmer Hanssen between Tromsø and the Greenland west coast. Finally, coordinated land-based measurement activity over Northern Norway and Sweden allowed collection of precipitation samples, thus closing the mass budget of the mCAO events. Furthermore, using buoyancy-controlled meteorological balloons launched from Ny Ålesund, we additionally obtained continuous in-situ measurements of the boundary-layer evolution during the mCAO. We provide an overview over the airborne and ground-based measurement activities during the campaign and provide several examples to highlight the potential of the stable water isotope measurements to constrain the water budget of mCAOs in conjunction with traditional meteorological observations.

How to cite: Sodemann, H., Thurnherr, I., Seidl, A., Dekhtyareva, A., Johannessen, A., Kähnert, M., Steinslid, M. B., Løklingholm, S., Hole, L. R., Voss, P., Papritz, L., Dütsch, M., David, R. O., Carlsen, T., Chandler, D. M., Chazette, P., Totems, J., Schwarzenboeck, A., Hellmuth, F., and Delanoe, J. and the ISLAS2022 Team: Coordinated observations of the water cycle of marine cold-air outbreaks in the European Arctic during the ISLAS 2022 field campaign, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-14866, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-14866, 2024.

10:10–10:15

Posters on site: Fri, 19 Apr, 10:45–12:30 | Hall X5

Display time: Fri, 19 Apr 08:30–Fri, 19 Apr 12:30
Chairpersons: Susanne Crewell, Tom Lachlan-Cope
X5.1
|
EGU24-234
|
ECS
Dongze Xu and Yanluan Lin

Extratropical cyclone (EC) is a main source of precipitation at midlatitudes, but its contribution to the Antarctic surface mass balance (SMB) still remains uncertain. Based on five global climate model simulations, we propose that it probably exists a tipping point of the SMB during the evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS), and EC greatly contributes to the tipping point. Before the tipping point, decreasing elevation of the AIS and warming sea surface temperature promote southward movement of ECs, leading to increased precipitation and inhibiting the AIS melting. However, EC becomes a negative contribution to SMB due to increased AIS surface temperature, runoff and rainfall. This study highlights that EC contributes to the tipping point of the AIS evolution.

How to cite: Xu, D. and Lin, Y.: A tipping point in the contribution of extratropical cyclones to Antarctic surface mass balance, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-234, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-234, 2024.

X5.2
|
EGU24-1678
|
ECS
Haotian Zhang, Chuanfeng Zhao, Annan Chen, Xin Zhao, and Yue Zhou

Clouds play a pivotal role in regulating the Earth's energy budget, primarily by exerting a global net cooling effect through the competing effects of shortwave radiation shading and longwave radiation trapping. However, here we report a shortwave warming effect by clouds over Greenland, contrary to the conventional belief of a cooling effect. Utilizing satellite observations from the Greenland region during the summers from 2013 to 2022, we identify a positive shortwave cloud radiative forcing when the ratio of surface albedo to top-of-atmosphere (TOA) reflectivity surpasses 1.42, implying that cloud induced warming can occur in any place when the surface is bright enough compared with TOA. Moreover, we find that the shortwave cloud warming effect on the Earth-atmosphere system is particularly prominent for optically thin clouds. These findings are crucial for understanding the radiation budget over polar regions and improving the prediction of polar ice melting.

How to cite: Zhang, H., Zhao, C., Chen, A., Zhao, X., and Zhou, Y.: Shortwave cloud warming effect observed over Greenland, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-1678, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1678, 2024.

X5.3
|
EGU24-13193
William Neff, Christopher Cox, Mathew Shupe, and Michael Gallagher

Recent analysis [Mattingly et al., 2023] suggests that Atmospheric Rivers (ARs) in combination with planetary scale dynamics and coupled orographic processes (e.g., foehn effect), could lead to enhanced melting in northeast Greenland and could, in turn, be linked to increasing mass loss from outflow glaciers there [Khan et al., 2022]. The importance of large-scale dynamics, which is supported by other studies too (e.g., Neff et al., 2014), led us to examine more generally the patterns of summer melt over the whole of Greenland as influenced by factors such as the seasonal cycle, the frequency of ARs, and general synoptic influences.

Our AR detection method used ERA-5 reanalysis daily data at 65oN, 55oE and 850 hPa from 2000 through 2022, JJA, and for wind directions between 112.5o and 225.0o.  We carried out linear analysis correlation between integrated water vapor, IWV; tropospheric temperature, T850 hPa; tropospheric wind speed, WS 850 hPa; and melt fraction (MF) in an area over the southwest coast near where the typical AR track first encounters the ice sheet between 62-67oN and 50-47o E.  We found high correlation between high IWV and temperature; good correlation between IWV, coastal MF and T850 hPa; and  weak dependence of MF on southerly wind speed.

A consideration in quantifying the effects of ARs on total surface melt is the fact that their influence can extend over multi-day periods. The effect continues along the west coast after the warm front has passed over the ice sheet at the end of the AR life cycle when residual moist, warm air remains trapped in the downstream low along the 3-km high ice sheet, affecting surface energy budgets and where smaller less-ordered mesoscale circulations remain. In addition, because the initial northward transport occurs in concert with a strong ridge centered just east of the center of the ice sheet.  In our analysis we will show results associated with four melt areas: 1) near coastal to the west, 2) over the lower accumulation region such as in the area of the old Dye-2 radar site, 3) at the Summit of Greenland where melt is historically low but of increasing frequency of late, and 4) in the far northeast which was of interest in Mattingly et al. (2023). ARs directly affect the southwest ice sheet and their frequency can modulate MF near the shoulder seasons. Secondary effects along the east coast as the ridge passes, which may include subsidence (Mattingly et al. 2023), are weak but detectable. The frequency of ARs is less influential in the southwest in mid-summer when mean temperatures are warmer throughout the region. Melting in the northeast is only weakly related to ARs and generally follows to the seasonal cycle of warming.

 

Neff, W., et al. (2014, JGR, doi:10.1002/2014JD021470).

Khan, S. A., et al. (2022), E, Nature, doi:10.1038/s41586-022-05301-z.

Mattingly, K. S.,  et al.(2023), , Nature Communications, 14(1), 1743, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-37434-8.

How to cite: Neff, W., Cox, C., Shupe, M., and Gallagher, M.: Atmospheric Rivers vis-à-vis the Summer Seasonal Cycle and Regional Greenland Surface Melt, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13193, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13193, 2024.

X5.4
|
EGU24-914
|
ECS
Anastasiia Chyhareva, Svitlana Krakovska, Irina Gorodetskaya, and Liudmyla Palamarchuk

West Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula are considered to be climate tipping point regions where climate change processes can cause irreversible impacts. The Antarctic Peninsula region has a unique ecosystem, which can be harmfully affected by these changes. In the past decades have from Pacific mid-latitudes and specifically atmospheric rivers, accompanied by mixed-phase clouds and precipitation, can lead to surface melt on both sides of the Antarctic Peninsula.

This study focused on intense precipitation events during the winter in the Southern Hemisphere in 2022 in the Antarctic Peninsula observed during the Year of Polar Prediction targeted observing periods. Polar WRF (v. 4.5) simulation data with grid step 1km and temporal resolution 10 minutes were analysed for the region of Academic Vernadsky station, Antarctic Peninsula mountains and former glacier Larsen B bay.

Distributions of clouds and precipitation were analysed, as well as their concentrations and phases in the cross-section of the mountains. Also, temperature profiles were examined in the cross-sections, specifically for the 2km profile.

According to the simulations data, based on Thompson’s microphysical scheme found that mixed phased and liquid clouds and precipitation could occur up to 3km even in August, which is climatically the coldest month over the coastal areas and mountains. Maximum concentrations of ice crystals and liquid droplets could exceed 1g/kg. After the intense precipitation that occur on the western Antarctic Peninsula slopes, strong warming up to 6°C in a 2km layer is simulated for the eastern slopes of AP (Larsen B ice shelf embayment).

Simulation results were compared with radiosounding data and instrumental measurements at the Akademic Vernadsky station. According to the radiosounding that were held during all events, Polar WRF underestimated the temperature in the lower troposphere (up to around 950hPa), which can impact the surface precipitation phase and temperature simulations. However, as far as Polar WRF simulations for wind speed, direction, temperature, and vertical movements are correlated with radiosounding data, we can assume that the distribution of considered microphysical and thermodynamical characteristics gained from Polar WRF simulations are trustable.  

How to cite: Chyhareva, A., Krakovska, S., Gorodetskaya, I., and Palamarchuk, L.: Intense precipitation events during polar winter over the Academic Vernadsky station: clouds, precipitation and temperature extremes, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-914, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-914, 2024.

X5.5
|
EGU24-13345
|
ECS
|
Highlight
Larry Ger Aragon, Yi Huang, Peter May, Jonathan Crosier, Paul Connolly, Estefania Montoya Duque, and Keith Bower

Precipitation is an important component of the hydrologic cycle and sea ice mass balance in polar regions. However, precipitation products in high latitudes constitute the highest uncertainties among satellite retrievals and numerical models. These uncertainties arise from limited in-situ observations of high-latitude precipitation and the fundamental differences between the Arctic and Southern Ocean/Antarctic environments that complicate the key precipitation properties and associated processes. To help address this knowledge gap, this study uses recent aircraft and ship-borne measurements to understand better the microphysical properties of precipitation over the Arctic and Southern Ocean/Antarctic regions. For the Arctic case, select summertime precipitation events are examined using aircraft measurements from precipitation imaging probes. We present the microphysical properties of Arctic precipitation in terms of the dominant ice precipitation type, particle size distributions, and important bulk properties. For the Southern Ocean/Antarctic case, we use recent measurements from ship-borne disdrometer and dual-polarimetric radar and present the distinctive polarimetric signatures and surface precipitation properties of seven synoptic types across the Southern Ocean. We also demonstrate an improved radar rainfall retrieval algorithm for the region, considering the dominance of small raindrop sizes of less than one millimeter in Southern Ocean rainfall. This research is leading toward more accurate, high-resolution estimates of precipitation properties in high-latitude regions, crucial in advancing the understanding of a range of climatological and meteorological processes as well as in evaluations of weather and climate models.

How to cite: Aragon, L. G., Huang, Y., May, P., Crosier, J., Connolly, P., Montoya Duque, E., and Bower, K.: Precipitation in the Arctic and Southern Ocean: new insights from aircraft and ship-borne measurements, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13345, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13345, 2024.

X5.6
|
EGU24-1691
|
ECS
|
Marlen Kolbe, Richard Bintanja, Eveline C. van der Linden, and Raul R. Cordero

Recent extremes in Antarctic temperature, surface melt and sea ice loss have been robustly linked to the occurrence of atmospheric rivers (ARs). However, the precise mechanisms that generate variations in the surface impacts of ARs are poorly understood, especially in the Antarctic region. Based on Arctic evidence that the vertical and horizontal advancement of ARs over sea ice strongly depends on the sea ice-preceding surface type, the season, as well as meteorological conditions, we investigate the vertical structure and propagation of extreme ARs reaching sea ice and the Antarctic ice sheet, and further quantify the associated surface impacts. We further link the wind speed and surface vertical structure and proximity of ARs to variations in turbulent mixing and radiative fluxes, which ultimately determine the impact on the surface and subsequent AR pathway. While previous studies have mostly detected ARs based on  observations and reanalyses, we additionally assess AR characteristics based on 6 CMIP6 models under present-day and future conditions (SSP5-8.5) to robustly study their propagation and impacts when reaching Antarctic sea ice and the ice sheet. 

How to cite: Kolbe, M., Bintanja, R., van der Linden, E. C., and Cordero, R. R.: The vertical structure of atmospheric rivers in Antarctica in the present-day and future, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-1691, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1691, 2024.

X5.7
|
EGU24-788
|
ECS
|
Georgios Dekoutsidis, Silke Groß, Martin Wirth, Christian Rolf, Andreas Schäfler, and Florian Ewald

The increase of the average global temperature of the Earth’s atmosphere has been measured with various methods dating back to the 19th century. In the past few decades scientists have shown that the arctic regions are warming even faster than the global average. This phenomenon has been labeled Arctic Amplification. Cirrus clouds are a potential contributor to this phenomenon. They reflect only a small part of the incoming solar radiation and can absorb and reemit earth’s long-wave radiation, thus potentially having a warming effect. Warm Air Intrusion (WAI) events transport warm, water-vapor- and aerosol-rich airmasses from the mid-latitudes into the arctic and can also contribute to arctic amplification. On the one hand the transported airmasses are already warm and contain significant amounts of water vapor which is a strong greenhouse gas. On the other hand, the cirrus clouds that form during such an event might have different and potentially stronger effects on the radiation budget of the atmosphere. Since it has also been shown that WAI events in the arctic are becoming more frequent or long-lasting, it is important to study the effects these events have on the macrophysical and optical properties of cirrus clouds in the arctic.

The HALO-(AC)3 field campaign took place in March and April of 2022. One of the central goals of the campaign was to study WAI events in the arctic regions of the Northern Hemisphere. Among others, the German research aircraft HALO was used to perform remote sensing measurements. In this study we use data collected during this campaign by the combined water vapor differential absorption and high spectral resolution lidar system WALES and the HAMP cloud radar. We selected two research flights: RF03, performed during an active warm air intrusion event (WAI case) and RF17, performed during undisturbed arctic conditions (AC case). For these flights we calculated the relative humidity over ice (RHi) and the backwards trajectories using the Lagrangian analysis tool LAGRANTO and the CLaMS-Ice model, which combines the Chemical Lagrangian Model of the Stratosphere (CLaMS) with two-moment ice microphysics. Our aim is to provide an in-depth analysis of the two types of cirrus clouds and find potential differences between them.

The clouds of the WAI case had a greater mean geometrical and optical depth as well as a slightly higher linear depolarization ratio, as measured by WALES. The distributions of RHi for the WAI case had its maximum slightly over saturation and a small negative skewness, while the AC case had its maximum at saturation with a bigger negative skewness. The supersaturations within and at close proximity to the WAI clouds reached high values over 127% more frequently than for the AC case. Surprisingly, the backwards trajectories revealed that the AC case had a significant part being of liquid origin and formed via heterogeneous nucleation, whilst the WAI case was predominantly of in-situ origin with homogeneous nucleation being the dominant process.

How to cite: Dekoutsidis, G., Groß, S., Wirth, M., Rolf, C., Schäfler, A., and Ewald, F.: Characterization of cirrus clouds in the arctic depending on ambient conditions, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-788, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-788, 2024.

X5.8
|
EGU24-9122
Marcus Klingebiel, Evelyn Jäkel, Michael Schäfer, André Ehrlich, and Manfred Wendisch

Cloud streets are a common feature of cold air outbreaks in the Arctic region. These are long, parallel bands of cumulus clouds that form perpendicular to the wind direction. They are caused by the interaction between the cold air mass and the warm ocean surface. Within the framework of (AC)³, the HALO-(AC)³ campaign was performed in spring 2022 involving several research aircraft to study cold air outbreaks and their belonging cloud streets. In this study we use a spectral imaging instrument, called AISA Hawk, to retrieve cloud microphysical properties in the very initial phase of these cloud streets and therefore focus on their development over the leads in the marginal sea ice zone. 

How to cite: Klingebiel, M., Jäkel, E., Schäfer, M., Ehrlich, A., and Wendisch, M.: Microphysical cloud properties in the initial phase of Arctic cold air outbreaks, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-9122, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-9122, 2024.

X5.9
|
EGU24-16011
|
ECS
Sabrina Schnitt, Mario Mech, Jens Goliasch, Davide Ori, Thomas Rose, and Susanne Crewell

The Arctic climate is changing at fast pace. The contribution of low-level clouds to Arctic amplification feedback processes remains challenging to quantify as model evaluation requires continuous, high-quality observations in a demanding environment. Advancing the understanding of governing processes in mixed-phase clouds, ubiquitous in the Arctic, calls for temporally high-resolved measurements of cloud and precipitation microphysical properties as well simultaneous quantification of water vapor amount and profiles in all-weather conditions.

We present the novel and worldwide unique G-band Radar for Water vapor profiling and Arctic Clouds (GRaWAC) system, suitable to deliver these measurements. GRaWAC is a FMCW G-band radar with Doppler-resolving capabilities and simultaneous dual-frequency operation at 167 and 175GHz. The Differential Absorption Radar technique is applied to the measurements to derive temporally continuous water vapor profiles in cloudy and precipitating conditions, which closes a current gap in observational state-of-the-art instrumentation.

We reveal first measurements from a mid-latitudinal ground site and airborne test flights to illustrate GraWAC’s potential for water vapor, cloud and precipitation profiling. Based on instrument simulations, we outline the benefits of such observations at an Arctic ground-based supersite, such as AWIPEV station, Ny-Alesund, Spitsbergen. There, the G-band radar measurements will be embedded in a synergy of remote sensing instruments, including an operational microwave radiometer and a Ka- and W-band cloud radar, respectively. We highlight future applications of these synergistic measurements, and therein especially the multi-frequency radar space, for model evaluation studies targeting an improved representation of mixed-phase clouds in the Arctic.

How to cite: Schnitt, S., Mech, M., Goliasch, J., Ori, D., Rose, T., and Crewell, S.: Differential absorption G-band radar for Arctic clouds and water vapor observations, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-16011, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-16011, 2024.

X5.10
|
EGU24-16503
|
ECS
Nils Risse, Mario Mech, Catherine Prigent, and Susanne Crewell

Clouds and water vapor play a critical role in the water and energy balance of the Arctic. However, few field observations of these quantities over sea ice exist. Passive microwave observations provide high sensitivity to clouds and water vapor with high spatial and temporal coverage in polar regions. However, retrievals of atmospheric quantities from satellites and aircraft require a description of the variable sea ice emissivity, which depends on the properties of sea ice and snow. Recently, improved retrieval methods that derive sea ice and atmospheric properties simultaneously allowed for improved exploitation of the information from passive microwave observations.

This work presents liquid water path (LWP), ice water path (IWP), and integrated water vapor (IWV) retrieved from the HALO Microwave Package (HAMP) operated onboard the HALO aircraft during the HALO-(AC)3 field campaign in spring 2022 in the Fram Strait. The nadir-viewing HAMP measures along two water vapor bands (22.24 and 183.31 GHz), two oxygen bands (50-60 and 118.75 GHz), and the atmospheric windows at 31 and 90 GHz over different surface types. The retrieval accounts for variable surface emission through a joint surface-atmosphere optimal estimation scheme with the Passive and Active Microwave Radiative Transfer (PAMTRA) model.

The high spatial coverage of the HALO flights allows for assessing the spatial and temporal variability of the retrieved IWV, LWP, and IWP under various atmospheric and surface conditions. A particular focus lies on the warm air intrusion events and their related poleward changes in cloud properties and water vapor over sea ice that HALO captured. Furthermore, the hectometer-scale airborne observations allow statistical comparison with operational satellite products, reanalysis, and model simulations along the flight track. The HAMP observations will improve the characterization of clouds and water vapor in the Arctic and potentially improve the use of passive microwave satellite observations over sea ice.

How to cite: Risse, N., Mech, M., Prigent, C., and Crewell, S.: Investigating Arctic Clouds and Water Vapor over Sea Ice: Airborne Passive Microwave Observations during HALO-(AC)3, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-16503, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-16503, 2024.

X5.11
|
EGU24-17876
|
Highlight
Maximilian Maahn, Alessandro Battaglia, Anthony Illingworth, Pavlos Kollias, Stef Lhermitte, Filippo Emilio Scarsi, and Frederic Tridon

Snowfall is an important climate change indicator affecting surface albedo, glaciers, sea ice, freshwater storage, and cloud lifetime. Accurate snowfall measurements at high latitudes are particularly important for the mass balance of ice sheets and for sustaining healthy ecosystems, including fish and wildlife populations. Yet, snowfall remains a quantity which is hard to measure due to high spatial variability, the remoteness of polar regions and challenges associated with in situ measurements of snowfall. The recently decommissioned NASA CloudSat mission provided invaluable information about global snowfall climatology from 2006 to 2023. The CloudSat-based estimates of global snowfall are considered the reference for global snowfall estimates, but these data sets suffer from poor sampling and the inability to see shallow precipitation, which limits their use, for example, as input to surface mass balance models of the major ice sheets. WIVERN (WInd VElocity Radar Nephoscope) is one of the two remaining ESA Earth Explorer 11 candidate missions equipped with a conical scanning 94 GHz radar and a passive 94 GHz radiometer. The main objective of the mission is to measure global in-cloud winds using the Doppler effect, but can also quantify cloud ice water content and precipitation rate. 

 

This presentation discusses the potential of the WIVERN mission to provide improved estimates of global snowfall measurements. Compared to CloudSat, WIVERN's 800 km swath provides 70 times better coverage and its 42 degree angle of arrival significantly reduces the radar blind zone near the surface (especially over the ocean). In addition, WIVERN's radar is accompanied by a radiometer, which can further improve the estimation of snowfall rates. The improved sampling is demonstrated for specific regions ( Antarctica, Greenland) by computing the sampling error at different spatial and temporal scales via simulations of WIVERN vs. CloudSat orbits based on the snowfall rates produced by ERA5 reanalysis. Clutter and signal to clutter ratio simulations are performed for oceanic surfaces and orographic terrains by using a geometric–optics approach and the WIVERN illumination geometry.  Our results show that the WIVERN sampling strategy significantly reduces the uncertainty in polar snowfall estimates, making it a valuable product for climate model evaluation and as an input to surface mass balance models of the major ice sheets.

How to cite: Maahn, M., Battaglia, A., Illingworth, A., Kollias, P., Lhermitte, S., Scarsi, F. E., and Tridon, F.: How can the proposed  WIVERN satellite mission improve global snowfall measurements?, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-17876, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17876, 2024.

X5.12
|
EGU24-18277
|
ECS
Roxana S. Cremer, Paul Kim, Sara M. Blichner, Emanuele Tovazzi, Ben Johnson, Zak Kipling, Thomas Kühn, Duncan Watson-Parris, David Neubauer, Phillip Stier, Alistair Sellar, Eemeli Holopainen, Ilona Riipinen, and Daniel G. Partridge

Black Carbon (BC) aerosols are known to be important for the Earth’s climate, yet their exact role to the changing of the Earth’s climate and Arctic amplification remains unclear. An accurate description of the BC life cycle in general circulation models (GCMs) can help reduce the uncertainties due to BC aerosols and specify BC's role in the Arctic.

In this study, several GCMs (ECHAM6.3-HAM2.3, ECHAM6.3-HAM2.3-P3, ECHAM6.3-HAM2.3-SALSA2 and UKESM1.0) are compared in terms of their representation of BC mass in the Arctic within the AeroCom project GCM Trajectory. A novel Lagrangian framework is employed to examine the history of air masses reaching the observational station Zeppelin, Svalbard. Therfore the removal processes were analysed along the trajectory and the GCMs compared with each other. The analysis emphasises the impact of remote emissions on local BC concentrations in the Arctic, indicating a longer BC lifetime compared to the global average. This underlines the importance of dry and wet scavenging parametrisations in the GCMs.

 

 

 

How to cite: Cremer, R. S., Kim, P., Blichner, S. M., Tovazzi, E., Johnson, B., Kipling, Z., Kühn, T., Watson-Parris, D., Neubauer, D., Stier, P., Sellar, A., Holopainen, E., Riipinen, I., and Partridge, D. G.: Investigating the role of air mass history of Arctic black carbon in GCMs, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-18277, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18277, 2024.

X5.13
|
EGU24-18940
Mario Mech, Maximilin Ringel, Nils Risse, and Susanne Crewell

Arctic Amplification is most evident in the rise of the near-surface air temperature observed in the last decades, which has been at least twice as strong as the global average. The mechanisms behind that are widely discussed. Many processes and feedback mechanisms still need to be better understood, especially those connected to clouds and their role in the water and energy cycle. Thereby, the cloud liquid water path (LWP) is an important cloud parameter, and it is important to know its occurrence and spatial variability. However, observing LWP is prone to high uncertainties, especially in the Arctic, leading to about a factor of two difference in satellite retrievals between microwave and near-infrared retrievals. Moreover, weather and climate models show significant differences in Arctic regions.

Within this contribution, we will present LWP observations over the sea-ice-free Arctic ocean from measurements conducted during four airborne campaigns conducted within the framework of the "Arctic Amplification: Climate relevant atmospheric and surface processes and feedback mechanisms (AC)3" during the last years over the Fram Strait West of Svalbard. The LWP has been derived by statistical retrieval approaches based on brightness temperature measurements of the Microwave Radar/radiometer for Arctic Clouds (MiRAC) operated onboard the Polar 5 research aircraft of the Alfred-Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research (AWI). The consistent LWP product has been used in a comparison study to validate satellite estimates from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) and the one from the ERA5 reanalyses. It could be seen that the various products reveal a characteristic shape of the LWP distribution, but their overall performance varies with season and synoptic situations, i.e., ERA5 does not produce larger LWP values and an over- or under-estimation for specific flights and too high LWP values for MODIS and too low for AMSR2 during cold air outbreak events.

How to cite: Mech, M., Ringel, M., Risse, N., and Crewell, S.: Liquid water path derived from airborne observations over the sea-ice-free Arctic ocean, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-18940, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18940, 2024.

X5.14
|
EGU24-8702
|
ECS
Pravin Punde, Yngve Birkelund, Muhammad Virk, and Xingbo Han

Atmospheric icing ensues when water droplets in the atmosphere freeze upon interacting with diverse objects, presenting substantial hazards to infrastructure and leading to disruptions in both road and air traffic. 

This study introduces a detailed analysis of in-cloud icing conducted specifically over Fagernesfjellet, Norway. Utilizing the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, ERA-5 data was employed for both initial and lateral boundary conditions. The simulation covers a three-month period from October 1, 2022, to December 31, 2022, with a grid spacing of 9,3,1 km.

Acknowledging the substantial influence of local terrain on icing conditions, the analysis prioritizes the highest model resolution. The determination of the icing load involves the utilization of a Makkonen ice accretion model, and the resultant values, alongside surface parameters, undergo validation against field measurements taken at Fagernesfjellet, Norway. The representation of supercooled liquid water (SLW) in numerical weather prediction (NWP) models is crucial for precise atmospheric icing forecasts. Hence, we conduct a comprehensive evaluation of the Thompson scheme's performance in simulating liquid water content (LWC) and, consequently, the icing load, along with general weather parameters associated with icing.

From our preliminary analysis, the WRF model showcases effectiveness in simulating in-cloud icing conditions. WRF adeptly reproduces crucial surface parameters such as temperature, pressure, relative humidity, wind speed, and direction. Nevertheless, there are discernible differences between the observed data and WRF results, particularly noticeable in the case of wind speed and direction.

How to cite: Punde, P., Birkelund, Y., Virk, M., and Han, X.: Assessing the Performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model in Simulating Atmospheric In-Cloud Icing Over Fagernesfjellet, Norway, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-8702, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-8702, 2024.

X5.15
|
EGU24-6156
|
ECS
Iris Papakonstantinou Presvelou and Johannes Quaas

Mixed-phase and ice clouds are prominent parts of the Arctic climate system. In particular, boundary layer clouds and their interactions with local aerosols may play an important role in the amplified warming that has been observed in the Arctic during the recent years. These aerosols which are known as ice nucleating particles (INPs) are necessary for the heterogeneous ice formation in temperatures above -38oC. Several in-situ observations have measured a high number of effective ice nucleating particles, possibly related to biological activity in the open ocean. In contrast, in our previous study analyzing the novel active remote sensing dataset DARDAR-Nice for ten years in the Arctic region (Papakonstantinou-Presvelou et al., 2022), we found an increased ice number in low-level clouds over sea ice compared to the open ocean, suggesting other possible factors that might contribute to this difference. Here we perform several sensitivity experiments with the ICON model at kilometer-scale resolution in order to investigate the effect of these factors to the ice number, namely the contribution of local INPs, blowing snow and secondary ice production.

How to cite: Papakonstantinou Presvelou, I. and Quaas, J.: Ice crystal numbers in Arctic clouds over sea ice and ocean: satellite retrievals and cloud-resolving modelling, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-6156, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-6156, 2024.

X5.16
|
EGU24-5220
|
ECS
Imke Schirmacher, Sabrina Schnitt, Marcus Klingebiel, Nina Maherndl, Benjamin Kirbus, and Susanne Crewell

During Arctic marine cold air outbreaks (MCAOs), cold and dry air flows from the central Arctic southward over the open ocean. There, cloud streets form that transform to cellular convection downstream under extreme surface heat fluxes. MCAOs strongly affect the Arctic water cycle through large-scale air mass transformations and can lead to extreme weather conditions at mid-latitudes. The description of air mass transformations is still challenging partly because previous observations do not resolve fine scales and lack information about cloud microphysical properties. Therefore, we focus on the crucial initial phase of development within the first 170 km over open water of two MCAO events with different strengths observed during the HALO-(AC)3campaign. Both times the POLAR 5 and 6 aircraft flew several legs along the same track perpendicular to the cloud streets crossing the sea ice edge several times to allow a quasi-Lagrangian perspective. Based on high-resolution remote sensing and in-situ measurements, the development of the boundary layer, formation of clouds, onset of precipitation, and riming are studied. We establish a novel approach based on radar reflectivity measurements only to detect roll circulation that forms cloud streets.

For the event with the stonger contrast between surface and 850 hPa potential temperature (MCAO index), cloud tops are higher, more liquid-topped clouds exist, the liquid layer at cloud top is wider, and the liquid water path, mean radar reflectivity, amount of rime mass, precipitation rate and occurrence are larger compared to the weaker event. However, the width of the roll circulation is similar for both MCAO events. All parameters, moreover, evolve with distance over open water, as the boundary layer deepens and cloud top heights rise. Cloud streets form after traveling 15 km over open water. After 20 km, cloud cover increases to just below 100 % and after around 30 km, precipitation forms. We find that maxima in the rime mass have the same horizontal scale as the roll circulation. The presentation will highlight how cloud macro- and microphysical parameters vary with distance over open water and explain the differences between both MCAO events.

How to cite: Schirmacher, I., Schnitt, S., Klingebiel, M., Maherndl, N., Kirbus, B., and Crewell, S.: Clouds and precipitation in the initial phase of marine cold air outbreaks as observed by airborne remote sensing, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-5220, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5220, 2024.

X5.17
|
EGU24-15625
|
ECS
Fiona Paulus and Roel Neggers

Cold air outbreaks (CAOs) are a key component of the Arctic climate system, featuring intense convective cloud fields embedded in cold, dry air masses over relatively warm surfaces. Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) is a technique often used to investigate CAOs at high spatial and temporal resolutions, resolving the intricate processes involved and providing a wealth of virtual data. A complication with LES studies of CAOs is the typical absence of suitable observational data to fully constrain the simulations, and thus anchor them in reality. This study aims to use observational data from the recent airborn HALO-(AC)³ campaign in the Atlantic sector of the Arctic to drive LES experiments exclusively with observations. To this purpose data from Research Flights 10 and 11 are used, which probed a weak CAO in the Fram Strait on 29 and 30 March 2022. A Lagrangian model framework is adopted, making use of observations along the two-day low-level trajectory that stretched from close to the North Pole to the sea-ice free area Southwest of Svalbard. HALO observations are integrated into the reanalysis-based model forcing in an incremental way, yielding a suite of forcing datasets. These observational data consist of vertical soundings of thermodynamic state, pressure gradients, mesoscale divergence and advective tendencies, as
well as surface properties to act as boundary conditions. The LES code incorporates advanced representations for mixed-phase microphysical processes and radiative transfer, to allow a realistic representation of clouds and turbulence in the transforming low-level airmass. LES results obtained with
this setup are evaluated against independent HALO datasets on clouds and other boundary-layer properties. Inter-comparing the suite of LES runs with different forcing datasets elucidates the impacts of individual forcing components on the air mass transition and associated cloud evolution. 

How to cite: Paulus, F. and Neggers, R.: Studying Cloud Transformations in Cold Air Outbreaks using Large-Eddy Simulations Exclusively Driven by HALO-(AC)³ Campaign Data, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-15625, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-15625, 2024.

Posters virtual: Fri, 19 Apr, 14:00–15:45 | vHall X5

Display time: Fri, 19 Apr 08:30–Fri, 19 Apr 18:00
Chairperson: Florian Sauerland
vX5.1
|
EGU24-22016
|
ECS
Claudio Durán Alarcón, Irina Gorodetskaya, Diogo Luis, Alexis Berne, Michael Lehning, and Katherine Leonard

Snowfall is a key component to the Antarctic region, contributing significantly to the surface mass balance and influencing mean sea level changes. The intricate nature of ice particle microphysics, encompassing type, size, and structure, presents a great challenge in comprehending the processes of solid precipitation in Antarctica. The characteristics of individual ice crystals as they fall from clouds are crucial for understanding their formation and evolution along the vertical profile. Mechanisms such as aggregation, fragmentation, and riming play a pivotal role in accurately representing precipitation in numerical weather prediction models [1]. Despite their importance, the scarcity of observations for evaluating and validating these processes, particularly in the Southern Ocean and Antarctica, adds complexity. To address this gap, a comprehensive set of precipitation observations occurred during the Antarctic Circumnavigation Expedition (ACE) in the austral summer of 2016-2017 was carried out, utilizing diverse sensors aboard the research vessel Akademik Tryoshnikov. The observational toolkit included a snow particle counter (SPC), two total particle counters (Wenglors), vertical precipitation profiles from 24-GHz micro rain radar (MRR) observations, and manually collected Formvar samples. The Formvar technique, preserving ice particle shapes, offers insights into microphysical properties of ice crystals and snowflakes. SPC and Formvar were employed for particle size distribution (PSD) characterization and quantitative precipitation estimations (QPE) [2]. Precipitation was derived from MRR using the existing reflectivity (Ze)-snowfall (S) relationship for Antarctica [3,4,5]. During ACE, primary observations related to snowfall were near the coasts of the Antarctic Peninsula, Western Antarctica, and Adélie Land (Eastern Antarctica). In the last region, a large-scale event was observed by both the ACE expedition and a Multi-angle Snowflake Camera (MASC) at Dumont d’Urville station. Results showed good agreement between Formvar, SPC (size < 500µm), and MASC (size > 500µm) PSDs. Notably, the 20-µm resolution Formvar images exhibited significantly better performance for particles smaller than 500µm compared to MASC (35-µm resolution). Regarding QPE, all sources exhibited a large spread, particularly MRR estimations, sensitive to Ze-S relationship parameters. The use of PSD observations proved useful in making informed choices about these parameters. In monitoring snowfall precipitation, developing a multi-instrumental approach to overcome individual system limitations is crucial, reducing uncertainty.

References:

[1] Grazioli, J. et al. MASCDB, a database of images, descriptors and microphysical properties of individual snowflakes in free fall. Sci Data 9, 186 (2022).

[2] Sugiura, K. et al., Application of a snow particle counter to solid precipitation measurements under Arctic conditions. CRST, 58: 77-83, 2009.

[3] Grazioli, J. et al., Measurements of precipitation in Dumont d'Urville, Adélie Land, East Antarctica. TC 11, 1797–1811, 2017.

[4] Souverijns, N. et al., Estimating radar reflectivity – snowfall rate relationships and their uncertainties over Antarctica by combining disdrometer and radar observations. AR, 196: 211–223, 2017.

[5] M.S. Kulie and R. Bennartz, Utilizing Spaceborne Radars to Retrieve Dry Snowfall. JAMC, 48, 2564-2580.

Acknowledgements: PROPOLAR APMAR-2024, FCT ATLACE (CIRCNA/CAC/0273/2019) and ANR-APRES3. ACE was made possible by funding from the Swiss Polar Institute and Ferring Pharmaceuticals.

How to cite: Durán Alarcón, C., Gorodetskaya, I., Luis, D., Berne, A., Lehning, M., and Leonard, K.: Snowfall particle size distribution and precipitation observations in the Southern Ocean and coastal Antarctica, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-22016, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-22016, 2024.