EGU25-20202, updated on 15 Mar 2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-20202
EGU General Assembly 2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oral | Friday, 02 May, 11:20–11:30 (CEST)
 
Room 1.61/62
Modern grand solar minimum and its impact on the terrestrial environment
Valentina Zharkova2, Serhij Zharkov3, and Simon Shepherd2
Valentina Zharkova et al.
  • 2ZVS Research Enterprise Ltd., EC1V 2NX, London, U.K.
  • 3Hull University, Physics Department, Hull HU6 7RX, United Kingdom

Recent progress in undersatanding a role of the solar background magnetic field in defining solar activity is presented using eigen vectors derived with Principle Compnent Analysis. This approach revealed a presence of not only 11 year solar cycles but also of grand solar cycles with duration of 330-380 years. We demonstrated that these grand cycles are formed by the interferences of two magnetic waves produced by solar dynamo with dipole magnetic field in two layers of the solar interior with close but not equal frequencies. These grand cycles are always separated by grand solar minima (GSMs) similar to Maunder minimum type, with the modern GSM started in 2020 and to last until 2053. This GSM leads to a reduction of solar irradiance by about 0.22% from the modern level and a decrease of the average terrestrial temperature by about 1.0C in the cycle 26. The reduction of a terrestrial temperature can have important implications for different parts of the planet on growing vegetation, agriculture, food supplies and heating needs in both Northern and Southern hemispheres.

How to cite: Zharkova, V., Zharkov, S., and Shepherd, S.: Modern grand solar minimum and its impact on the terrestrial environment, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-20202, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-20202, 2025.