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Tropical cyclones (TCs) are devastating weather phenomena that can cause vast socio-economic impacts. Here the term TC encompasses tropical depressions, tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons. Each TC is predominantly influenced by synoptic-scale conditions, whereas, TC activity from sub-seasonal to decadal timescales is influenced by large-scale climate variability. Advances in understanding and prediction of TC activity enable us to make meaningful TC predictions with longer lead time. Since TCs in different basins have similarities and differences in terms of how large-scale conditions modulate TC activity, comprehensive understanding of TC variability in different basins helps deepen our knowledge of TC predictability and enhances our capability for TC prediction. This session offers a unique opportunity for research and operational communities to share recent progress in climate monitoring and prediction of TCs in all basins from sub-seasonal to decadal timescales. Both prediction and process understanding studies are welcomed.

Convener: Yuhei Takaya | Co-Conveners: Louis-Philippe Caron, Philip Klotzbach
| Wed, 11 Sep, 16:00–18:00|Room M1
| Attendance Thu, 12 Sep, 09:30–10:30 | Display Wed, 11 Sep, 13:30–Fri, 13 Sep, 13:30|Sports Hall

Wednesday, 11 September 2019 | Room M1

Chairperson: Louis Philippe Caron
16:00–16:15 |
Karl Hoarau, Mark Lander, Chip Guard, and Roger Edson
16:15–16:30 |
Chih Hua Tsou, Kuan-Chieh Chen, and Chi-Cherng Hong
16:30–16:45 |
Yuhei Takaya, Yutaro Kubo, Shoji Hirahara, and Shuhei Maeda
17:00–17:15 |
Contributions to the Atlantic potential intensity decrease during the 1970s and 1980s hurricane drought
Raphael Rousseau-Rizzi and Kerry Emanuel
17:15–17:30 |
Philip Klotzbach and Louis-Philippe Caron
17:30–17:45 |
Jhordanne Jones, Michael Bell, and Philip Klotzbach
17:45–18:00 |
Peter Pfleiderer, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Marlene Kretschmer, and Tobias Geiger
Poster pitches

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