EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts
Vol. 23, EMS2026-42, 2026, updated on 22 Jun 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/ems2026-42
EMS Annual Meeting 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Characteristics of Atmospheric Stratification and Melting Effect of Severe Hail Events Over Southern China
Yun Chen1, Zhilin Zeng2, Shengqi Li3, and Chengyuan Yu4
Yun Chen et al.
  • 1National Meteorological Center, Beijing, China (chenyun@cma.gov.cn)
  • 2Guangdong Meteorological Observatory, Guangzhou, China(445800133@qq.com)
  • 3National Satellite Meteorological Centre, Beijing,China (1274152631@qq.com)
  • 4Stony Brook Institute at Anhui University,Anhui,China(yuchengyuan2004@163.com)

Based on conventional L-band sounding, automatic weather station data and ERA-Interim 0.125°×0.125° 6h reanalysis data, we researched 23 heavy hail events (hail diameter ≥ 20mm ) selected according the grade of hail in China (GB/T 27957-2011) and occurring in Southern China from 2004 to 2017, mainly analyzed its characteristics of atmospheric stratifications, melting effect quantificationally, and set up a physical parameters model to distinguish heavy hail. The results are as follows: (1) vertical stratification of heavy hail events with characteristic of upper dry and lower moist is more evident than that of small hail (hail diameter ≥ 5mm and <20mm) events, and vertical potential instability is mainly triggered by upper dry and lower moist rather than upper cold and lower warm. (2) The ratio of H-/H+ (cold could/warm could) can be used to distinguish heavy hail and small hail, and the ratio above 1.6/1 is one of the conditions to forecast heavy hail. (3) Compared with small hail events, the height of maximum thermal buoyancy of heavy hail is higher than the height of -5℃, which helps hail embryo enter efficient growth layer (-10℃~-30℃), driving heavy hail growth. The maximum thermal buoyancy ≥4℃ is a key threshold to distinguish heavy hail and small hail. (4) based on statistics and comparative analysis of this paper, a physical parameters model was set up, including △Td85 ≥46℃, T-Td≥15℃ at 500hPa, the minimum T-Td≤2℃ between 700hPa and 1000hPa, H-/H+≥1.6/1, the intensity of maximum thermal buoyancy ≥ 4℃, and the height of maximum thermal buoyancy > the height of -5℃, which favor heavy hail generation.

How to cite: Chen, Y., Zeng, Z., Li, S., and Yu, C.: Characteristics of Atmospheric Stratification and Melting Effect of Severe Hail Events Over Southern China, EMS Annual Meeting 2026, Utrecht, Netherlands, 6–11 Sep 2026, EMS2026-42, https://doi.org/10.5194/ems2026-42, 2026.