AS1.2 | Forecasting the weather
EDI
Forecasting the weather
Co-organized by NH1/NP5
Convener: Yong Wang | Co-conveners: Aitor Atencia, kan dai, Lesley De Cruz, Daniele NeriniECSECS
Orals
| Mon, 15 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST), 16:15–18:00 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12
Posters on site
| Attendance Tue, 16 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Tue, 16 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X5
Orals |
Mon, 14:00
Posters on site
Tue, 10:45
Forecasting the weather, in particular severe and extreme weather has always been the most important subject in meteorology. This session will focus on recent research and developments on forecasting techniques, in particular those designed for operations and impact oriented. Contributions related to nowcasting, meso-scale and convection permitting modelling, ensemble prediction techniques, and statistical post-processing are very welcome.
Topics may include:
 Nowcasting methods and systems, use of observations and weather analysis
 Mesoscale and convection permitting modelling
 Remote sensing and data assimilation
 Ensemble prediction techniques
 Ensemble-based products for severe/extreme weather forecasting
 Seamless deterministic and probabilistic forecast prediction
 Post-processing techniques, statistical methods in prediction
 Use of machine learning, data mining and other advanced analytical techniques
 Impact oriented weather forecasting
 Presentation of results from relevant international research projects of EU, WMO, and EUMETNET etc.

Key Words: Forecast technique, nowcasting, ensemble prediction, statistics, AI

Orals: Mon, 15 Apr | Room 0.11/12

Chairpersons: Yong Wang, Aitor Atencia
14:00–14:05
5-minute convener introduction
EGU24-13853
|
solicited
|
Highlight
|
Virtual presentation
A Research Agenda for the Evaluation of AI-Based Weather Forecasting Models
Imme Ebert-Uphoff et al.
EGU24-5373
|
ECS
|
Highlight
|
On-site presentation
Convective environments in AI-models - What have AI-models learned about atmospheric profiles?
Monika Feldmann et al.
EGU24-15431
|
ECS
|
Highlight
|
On-site presentation
Nowcasting of extreme precipitation events: performance assessment of Generative Deep Learning methods
Gabriele Franch et al.
EGU24-7536
|
On-site presentation
Nowcasting with Transformer-based Models using Multi-Source Data 
Çağlar Küçük et al.
EGU24-19257
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Dynamic Locally Binned Density Loss
Jan Prosi et al.
EGU24-5571
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
SHADECast: Enhancing solar energy integration through probabilistic regional forecasts
Alberto Carpentieri et al.
EGU24-19321
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Viability of satellite derived irradiance data for ML-based nowcasts
Pascal Gfäller et al.
EGU24-8449
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Radiation fog nowcasting with XGBoost using station and satellite data
Michaela Schütz et al.
Coffee break
Chairpersons: Daniele Nerini, Lesley De Cruz
EGU24-17158
|
solicited
|
Highlight
|
On-site presentation
AIFS – ECMWF’s Data-Driven Probabilistic Forecasting 
Zied Ben Bouallegue et al.
EGU24-14325
|
Virtual presentation
Improving NWP post-processing at the Bureau of Meteorology 
(withdrawn)
Benjamin Owen et al.
EGU24-9528
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Ensemble forecast post-processing based on neural networks and normalizing flows
Peter Mlakar et al.
EGU24-21770
|
Virtual presentation
A Local Data Assimilation Method (Local DA v1.0) and its Application in a Simulated Typhoon Case
Shizhang Wang and Xiaoshi Qiao
17:55–18:00
Discussion

Posters on site: Tue, 16 Apr, 10:45–12:30 | Hall X5

Display time: Tue, 16 Apr 08:30–Tue, 16 Apr 12:30
Chairpersons: Aitor Atencia, Lesley De Cruz, Daniele Nerini
EGU24-6873
|
On-site presentation
Does more frequent Very Short-Range Forecast provide more useful information?
Joohyung Son et al.
EGU24-6856
|
On-site presentation
Very Short-Range Precipitation Forecast in Korea Meteorological Administration
ho yong lee et al.
EGU24-19377
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Advancing Spatiotemporal Rainfall Nowcasting through Deep Learning Techniques
Ahmed Abdelhalim et al.
EGU24-16617
|
On-site presentation
Forecasting extreme events with the crossing-point forecast 
Zied Ben Bouallegue
EGU24-19699
|
ECS
|
On-site presentation
Evaluation of seamless forecasts for severe weather warnings 
Verena Bessenbacher et al.
EGU24-3548
|
On-site presentation
Improving the Completion of Weather Radar Missing Data with Deep Learning
Aofan Gong et al.