TS3.1 | Studying Active Faults from the Near-Surface to Seismogenic Depth: Innovations and Challenges in Seismotectonics and Active Tectonics
Orals |
Mon, 08:30
Tue, 14:00
Tue, 14:00
Studying Active Faults from the Near-Surface to Seismogenic Depth: Innovations and Challenges in Seismotectonics and Active Tectonics
Co-organized by GM7, co-sponsored by ILP
Convener: Fabio Luca BonaliECSECS | Co-conveners: Rita De NardisECSECS, Vanja KastelicECSECS, Debora Presti, Victor Alania
Orals
| Mon, 28 Apr, 08:30–12:30 (CEST), 14:00–15:45 (CEST)
 
Room D3
Posters on site
| Attendance Tue, 29 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Tue, 29 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X2
Posters virtual
| Attendance Tue, 29 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Tue, 29 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vPoster spot 2
Orals |
Mon, 08:30
Tue, 14:00
Tue, 14:00

Orals: Mon, 28 Apr | Room D3

Chairpersons: Fabio Luca Bonali, Debora Presti
08:30–08:35
08:35–08:45
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EGU25-12744
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On-site presentation
Kurt Decker, Michael Weissl, and Adrian Flores-Orozco

The Aderklaa- and Seyring faults are part of a series of normal faults accommodating active extension west of a releasing bend of the Vienna Basin strike-slip system. The faults are located in the urban area of Vienna and adjacent Lower Austria. The proximity to the Vienna city centre (ca. 13 km), high population density and the focus on the area for future urban development result in high vulnerability and risk. Exploration for deep geothermal energy in the immediate vicinity of the faults adds a further risk factor. The fault system was therefore the subject of focused paleoseismological investigations including spatial fault mapping of industrial 3D seismic, high-resolution near-surface geophysics, stress modelling (Levi et al. 2023, IJES), drilling and trenching.

The active fault system consists of two sets of (N)E- and (S)W-dipping normal faults, respectively, both offsetting Pleistocene terraces and capturing local streams. While cryoturbation prevents the identification of individual paleoearthquakes for the (S)W-dipping Aderklaa Fault (slip rate: 0,03 mm/y; Weissl et al., 2017, Quaternary International), three trenches (GER1 to GER3) revealed a detailed Late Pleistocene paloeoearthquake history for the (N)E-dipping Seyring faults. GER2 and GER3 exposed four event horizons in loess dated to 25 ka, 17-16 ka (two events) and 15 ka cal BP. Sand intrusions in a rupture surface of the youngest event prove liquefaction and seismic deformation. The exposed faults are antithetic secondary faults with respect to the W-dipping main normal fault formed by crestal collapse of a rollover above the main fault. The main fault does not cut up through the exposed section but offsets the base of a 400-200 ka old river terrace for 7 m and causes a 50-70 cm downward flexure of a 25 ka old paleosurface. Slip rates calculated independently from both markers are 0,02 mm/a, the average recurrence interval of paleoearthquakes is ca. 6.000 a. Trench GER1 excavated a second fault of the Seyring system with a normal offset of the base of aforementioned terrace of 8 m. Oppenauer et al. (2022; Pangeo 2022) identified six events that occurred between 32 and 14.8 ka BP corresponding to an average a recurrence rate of approximately 5,300 years. Two events formed colluvial wedges with 20 cm height each allowing to estimate the associated magnitudes with M≈6,4. The average slip rates calculated from the offset terrace and trench data are 0,02 mm/a. Whether the paleoearthquakes identified in GER2 and GER3 are time-correlated with the events recognised in GER1 is subject of current investigation.

We conclude that the Aderklaa and Seyring fault system consists of a minimum of three active faults with slip rates of 0,03-0,02 mm/a. Each fault needs to be taken into account in the assessment of regional earthquake hazard and risk. Available data for hazard modelling include: reliably determined fault kinematics consistent with the regional seismotectonic model of the Vienna Basin fault system; fault  geometries accurately determined from 3D seismic down to ca. 4 km depth; fault slip rates; average earthquake recurrence intervals; and recent stresses derived from a borehole-derived 1D stress model.

How to cite: Decker, K., Weissl, M., and Flores-Orozco, A.: Paleoseismology of the Seyring-Aderklaa Fault System, Vienna, Austria , EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-12744, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-12744, 2025.

08:45–08:55
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EGU25-16385
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Giorgio Tringali, Domenico Bella, Franz Livio, Anna Maria Blumetti, Gianluca Groppelli, Luca Guerrieri, Marco Neri, Vincenzo Adorno, Rosario Pettinato, Sara Trotta, and Alessandro Maria Michetti

Paleoseismology is a vital tool for the study of earthquake hazard and active tectonics. Its application in the context of Late Quaternary basaltic volcanoes encounters considerable limitations due to the inherent highly dynamic nature of such systems. Etna volcano, however, provides an ideal setting for such studies. In particular, the densely populated Mt. Etna eastern flank record frequent surface faulting earthquakes and aseismic fault creep, which result in significant offsets of well-dated historical landforms and stratigraphy, including lava flows, interlayered pyroclastic deposits, and anthropic structures. This allows for the analysis of fault slip rates across various time scales.

We present the first paleoseismological results along the Fiandaca Fault, the source of the 26 December 2018, Mw 4.9 Fleri earthquake. We excavated two exploratory trenches along the coseismic surface ruptures at the Collegio Fiandaca site. Analysis of trench walls allow identifying, besides the 2018 event, two historical surface faulting events. The youngest one occurred in the period 1281-1926 CE, and most likely during the 8 August 1894 Fiandaca earthquake. The oldest one, previously unknown, occurred in the Early Middle Ages (757-894 CE). This paleoseismic evidence strongly suggest increased seismic activity along the Fiandaca Fault in the last centuries. In order to verify this hypothesis, we conducted detailed morphotectonic analyses and throw rate measurements along the Fiandaca and other capable normal faults in the Mt. Etna eastern flank. Throw rates mean values show an increase from 1.4 mm/yr during the 15-3.9 ka time interval to 3.4 mm/yr between 3.9 ka and the Greek-Roman period, with a further increase since the late Middle Ages, reaching 10 mm/yr. This trend suggests a very recent growth in flank instability, in agreement with current geodetic data but also with historical eruptive activity.

These findings highlight an increase of the associated geological hazards along the inhabited eastern flank, emphasizing the need for further research and a multi-hazard approach to risk assessment and land planning for Mt. Etna and similar volcanic regions.

How to cite: Tringali, G., Bella, D., Livio, F., Blumetti, A. M., Groppelli, G., Guerrieri, L., Neri, M., Adorno, V., Pettinato, R., Trotta, S., and Michetti, A. M.: New paleoseismological findings along the Fiandaca Fault reveal the dynamics of Etna volcano's eastern flank, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-16385, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-16385, 2025.

08:55–09:05
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EGU25-13000
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Alysa Fintel, Harold Tobin, and Peter J. Haeussler

In the 1964 Mw 9.2 megathrust earthquake in South Central Alaska, a megathrust splay fault on Montague Island had co-seismic surface rupture and up to 10 meters of . The offshore expression of this fault has been proposed to be the source of a in Seward. Splay faults can transfer seismic slip from a megathrust rupture to the surface and thus influence tsunami-genesis. The unique exposure of an active megathrust splay fault on Montague Island provides us with the opportunity to investigate the geometry and structure of the fault zone and document the mechanical properties and alteration from wall rock to fault core. Outcrop-scale investigations have identified a 150m wide fault zone, intensely fractured host rock and , an 8m wide continuous gouge zone, and large-scale deformation variability across the fault. Microstructural analysis has documented cataclasite formation, foliated fault gouge, directional shear sense, and clay alteration and formation due to faulting processes. These results insight into co-seismic or aseismic slip behaviors, faulting related mechanical or chemical alteration, and slip weakening/strengthening behaviors. This identification of structural variation and deformation mechanics can be used to constrain empirical constitutive equations that dictate faulting and rupture behavior, provide real-world constraints for large-scale numerical models, and inform interpretations of offshore splay faults imaged by seismic reflection data.

How to cite: Fintel, A., Tobin, H., and Haeussler, P. J.: Outcrop to Microscale Field Observations of a Unique On-Land Exposure of an Active Long-Lived Tsunamigenic Splay Fault in South Central Alaska, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-13000, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13000, 2025.

09:05–09:15
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EGU25-520
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Souhila Bagdi Issaad, Sihem FZ Miloudi, and Mustapha Meghraoui

The Tell Atlas Mountains are characterized by active tectonics related to
oblique convergence along the Africa-Eurasia plate boundary. The region is
affected by a NNW-SSE to NW-SE transpressive regime, with shortening rates of
2.2 ± 0.5 mm/yr determined from tectonics and paleoseismology, confirmed by
GPS-derived rates of 1-3 mm/yr. The deformation manifests mainly as NE-SW to
E-W trending fault-related-folding structures, affected predominantly Mio-Plio-
Quaternary basins within the Tell Atlas. The Chelif is one such basins which has
experienced a major El Asnam Mw 7.1 seismic event in 1980 along Sara El
Maarouf blind fault. 40 km to the west lies a comparable structure, which is the
Boukadir fault related-folding , responsible for the moderate 2006 Tadjena
earthquake Mw 5.0, causing some damage in Abou El Hassan, Bouzghaïa and
Tadjena villages. The focal mechanism of the 2006 Tadjena earthquake, as well as
that of the 1980 El Asnam event, revealed a reverse fault with a lateral component.
The dislocation model indicated that the Tadjena event is related to a rupture along
a 6 km segment of the entire 35 km Boukadir fault. In this study, we aim to assess
seismic potential of the Boukadir FRF using a plural approach combining geology,
tectonic geomorphology, elastic modeling an Interferometric synthetic aperture
radar (InSAR). Field observations have shown that the Quaternary deposits reveal
progressive unconformities and form terraces along main streams, while the
conglomeratic levels of upper Pliocene are strongly tilted, dipping up to 70° to the
SW where the Boukadir fault is assumed to pass. The study of morphometric
parameters showed a disturbed hydrographic network on the Boukadir fold. We
used InSAR methodology to detect small surface displacements caused by the
Boukadir FRF genesis. PS-InSAR processing of Sentinel data from 2016-2022 in
ascending and descending orbits was employed. Analysis of mean displacement
rates in line of sight (LOS) directions showed subsidence south of the Boukadir
fault system and uplift to the north, consistent with our field investigations and
tectonic geomorphic analysis along the Boukadir reverse fault. Our results reflect
tectonic activity and seismic potential of the Boukadir FRF. They can be integrated
to the Tellian FRF models and contribute to updating the Algerian seismic hazard.

How to cite: Bagdi Issaad, S., Miloudi, S. F., and Meghraoui, M.: The Boukadir active fault-related folding: Active tectonic markers andInSAR analysis (Tell Atlas, Northern Algeria)., EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-520, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-520, 2025.

09:15–09:25
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EGU25-14194
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Virtual presentation
Ed Rhodes, James Dolan, Andrew Ivester, Sally McGill, and Russ Van Dissen

Recent developments in single grain K-feldspar IRSL (Infra-Red Stimulated Luminescence) dating of sediment coupled to high resolution surface morphology provides significant new opportunities to explore active fault, and fault system, behaviour over multiple earthquake cycles. Results from California and New Zealand demonstrate systematic variations in fault slip rate over multiple earthquake cycles. In New Zealand, sub-parallel faults within the Marlborough Fault System demonstrate complementary behaviour; as slip rate on one fault reduces, slip speeds up on another or others. The construction of these records depends on developing detailed chronologies of multiple slip events on each fault, and on reconstructing past fault slip with geomorphic markers. The approaches that our interdisciplinary collaborative team has developed to do this will be presented, along with an assessment of the reliability of the reconstructions, in particular the dense chronologies that are developed. New avenues to add further resolution and robustness to these approaches will be considered, along with innovative ideas to co-develop palaeoclimate and environmental reconstructions, and build an improved understanding of sediment grain transport trajectories.

How to cite: Rhodes, E., Dolan, J., Ivester, A., McGill, S., and Van Dissen, R.: Improved understanding of spatio-temporal variations in fault activity using high resolution geomorphic markers, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-14194, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-14194, 2025.

09:25–09:35
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EGU25-3018
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Panpan Hu and Fengli Yang

The South Yellow Sea (SYS) has experienced many moderate-strong earthquakes in the last four decades. On 17 November 2021, an Mw5.0 earthquake with a dextral strike-slip mechanism occurred in the Yancheng area of the SYS, resulting in various degrees of ground motions in many coastal cities of eastern China, such as Shanghai and Nanjing. The epicenter of the Yancheng event was characterized by the prevalent emplacement of hydrothermal vent complexes and strike-slip faults. However, the relationship between the strike-slip fault, the associated fluid migration and the Yancheng earthquake is poorly understood. Based on multichannel seismic profiles and well data acquired over the last 10 years, this study conducted a comprehensive investigation of the seismogenic strike-slip fault of the Yancheng event. Subsequently, the role of fluid migration along strike-slip faults in triggering this earthquake was analyzed. The result suggested that the active faults in the SYS were characterized by a conjugate fault system, the NNE trending strike-slip faults and the NW trending strike-slip faults. The NNE-trending fault F1 passing through the epicenter of this event is suggested as the seismogenic fault. The fault F1 and other active faults in the SYS were probably inherited from the pre-existing strike-slip faults formed during the late Jurassic to early Cretaceous. Various hydrothermal vent complexes were identified near the fault F1. Seismic facies analysis suggested that the hydrothermal activities could have continued to the Miocene and Quaternary in the vicinity of the fault F1, almost simultaneous with the reactivation of the fault F1 and other active strike-slip faults. The reactivation of the pre-existing faults and the associated hydrothermal events were suggested to be caused by the subduction of the Pacific Plate. We proposed that the hydrothermal fluid may have migrated along the F1, which further enhanced the faults’ slip, and finally triggered the Yancheng Mw 5.0 earthquake and other historical events in the SYS.

How to cite: Hu, P. and Yang, F.: The role of fluid migration along strike-slip faults in triggering the 2021 Mw 5.0 Yancheng earthquake in the South Yellow Sea, East Asia, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-3018, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-3018, 2025.

09:35–09:45
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EGU25-13171
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On-site presentation
Andy Nicol, John Walsh, Vasiliki Mouslopoulou, and Matt Parker

Faults in the brittle upper crust are thought to primarily grow due to repeated earthquakes. To understand better fault growth during incremental slip events we analyse geometric and displacement data for timescales of individual earthquakes (since 1840 AD) to millions of years on New Zealand active faults. The active faults studied are from connected networks with a range of orientations, lengths (1–200 km), displacement rates (0.1–27 mm/yr) and slip types. Our data indicate that individual earthquakes produce slip on multiple faults with variable sizes, orientations and slip types; in some cases these earthquakes cross tectonic domain boundaries. Earthquakes generally produce partial rupture of reactivated bedrock faults and show little evidence of tip propagation, characteristics most closely resembling the constant-length fault growth model, with growth primarily achieved by increases in cumulative slip. Earthquake slip profiles display a range of shapes with one or more maxima. High gradients along faults and approaching fault tips reflect coseismic slip transfer to nearby faults. These high slip gradients are consistent with stress interactions and kinematic coherence between faults during individual earthquakes (i.e., timescales of seconds to minutes). Coseismic increments of slip increase with rupture length and are described by a power function of ~0.5, while the power function for cumulative displacement and final length is ≥1. An important consequence of these divergent power functions is that larger faults broadly accrue their finite displacements in more earthquakes than smaller faults. The increase in earthquake number with fault size is achieved by a combination of shorter recurrence intervals and longer faulting histories for larger faults. We believe that our New Zealand observations have global application.

How to cite: Nicol, A., Walsh, J., Mouslopoulou, V., and Parker, M.: Fault growth Models: observations from historical earthquakes and active faults in New Zealand , EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-13171, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13171, 2025.

09:45–09:55
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EGU25-3740
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Christian Brandes, David Tanner, Jan Igel, and Andrew Nicol

Strike-slip faults often display complex, along-strike geometries with branches and splays, which play an important role in earthquake rupture processes. Based on field examples of active faults and analogue models, we show that this complexity can be caused by lateral changes in lithology. We use geomorphic and ground-penetrating radar analysis of the Awatere Fault in the South Island of New Zealand, to demonstrate that the number of branch faults and width of the fault zone increases as the fault passes from bedrock to unconsolidated alluvial sediments. With analogue models, we test whether this observation can be reproduced. The setup replicates strike-slip faulting using two plates translated at a constant rate of 3 cm/h relative to each other. This establishes a velocity discontinuity at the centre of the model that leads to the formation of a strike-slip fault zone in the overlying analogue material. Each model incorporates a lenticular sand body that represents a less consolidated sedimentary basin above basement, which is represented by corn starch. During multiple model runs, fault branch-points formed at the boundary between the two different materials in the analogue model, thus confirming that the geometric complexity of strike-slip faults is strongly controlled by lateral changes in the properties of the host material. Two processes could play a role here: 1) the frictional properties change abruptly at the lithological boundary, which promotes the nucleation of branch faults and, 2) the angle of internal friction of the material changes across the lithological boundary, thus fostering fault-bend formation at this point. Our analogue modelling results also show that the thicker the sedimentary basin on top of the basement, the wider the zone of deformation. This implies that the lateral passage of active faults from bedrock into unconsolidated material leads to a widening of the deformation zone, which is confirmed by the ground-penetrating radar survey across the Awatere Fault. The results of the study can be applied to situations in which active strike-slip faults run into sedimentary basins, such as the Newport-Inglewood Fault in the Los Angeles Basin. Based on our analogue models, we postulate that the more diffuse, near-surface en-echelon structure in the northwest of the Newport-Inglewood Fault is a function of the higher sediment-basin thickness, compared to the distinct fault trace that is developed above the shallower basin-fill in the southeast. 

How to cite: Brandes, C., Tanner, D., Igel, J., and Nicol, A.: Lithological control on geometric complexity of active continental strike-slip faults – insight from GPR surveys and analogue modelling, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-3740, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-3740, 2025.

09:55–10:05
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EGU25-14116
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On-site presentation
Tatsuya Ishiyama, Tetsuo No, and Hiroshi Sato

The 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake (M7.6) on January 1, 2024 occurred beneath the northern coast of Noto peninsula, central Japan. Focal mechanism of the mainshock, geodetic and seismic observations and their analyses indicate that it was a reverse fault-type earthquake which ruptured > 150 km long. In order to identify the structural characteristics and origins of nearshore and offshore active faults in the eastern Sea of Japan, including off the Noto Peninsula and Toyama trough, we performed structural analysis on offshore and onshore-offshore multi-channel seismic profilings (MCS) obtained before the earthquake. The structural and mechanical boundaries between continental and oceanic crust near the rift axis and surrounding marginal normal faults have been the most important rift structures related to the Miocene back-arc opening in terms of seismotectonics in the Sea of Japan, as demonstrated by the Nihonkai Chubu earthquake of 1983 (M7.7). We also estimate that the eastern portion of the fault plane that caused the 2024 mainshock has a fault bend or concave up shape at a depth of about 10 km, in conjunction with coseismic deformation and aftershock distribution. The discrepancy between the thrust geometry and the spatial distribution of the former shorelines of the MIS 5 marine terraces may indicate that the tectonic uplift of the peninsula at the intermediate (~105 yrs) timescales may be caused by both the 2024 thrust fault and nearby positively reactivated rift structures beneath the Toyama trough, which are underlain by a mechanical "core" made of high-Vp lower crust probably due to mafic intrusion. In the presentation,  we also discuss the late Cenozoic tectonic background of this back-arc seismically active region based on onshore and offshore seismic geophysical data. 

How to cite: Ishiyama, T., No, T., and Sato, H.: Active tectonics, tectonic background, and thrust geometries around the source regions of the 2024 Noto Peninsula earthquake (M7.6), EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-14116, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-14116, 2025.

10:05–10:15
Coffee break
Chairpersons: Vanja Kastelic, Victor Alania
10:45–10:50
10:50–11:10
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EGU25-5231
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solicited
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On-site presentation
Alik Ismail-Zadeh

Dynamics of lithospheric plates resulting in localisation of tectonic stresses and their release in earthquakes provides important information for seismotectonics. Numerical modelling of the dynamics and earthquake simulations have been changing our view about occurrences of large earthquakes in a system of major regional faults and about the recurrence time of the earthquakes. Models of tectonic stress generation and its transfer, as well fault dynamics models will be overviewed. I shall present the 35-year efforts in modelling of lithospheric block-and-fault dynamics allowing for better understanding how the blocks react to the plate motion, how stresses are localised and released in earthquakes, and how plate driving forces, the geometry of fault zones, and fault physical properties exert influence on the earthquake dynamics, clustering, and magnitudes. Also, this presentation will illustrate how data analysis and quantitative modelling contribute to advancing seismic hazard assessment.

How to cite: Ismail-Zadeh, A.: Lithosphere dynamics and earthquake modelling for seismotectonic analysis and hazard assessments, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-5231, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-5231, 2025.

11:10–11:20
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EGU25-12543
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On-site presentation
Tülay Kaya-Eken, Ç. Serhun Zoroğlu, Mısra Gedik, Gülşen Tekiroğlu, and Haluk Özener

The East Anatolian Fault Zone (EAFZ), a 580-kilometer-long transform plate boundary within the Anatolia-Arabia-Africa triple junction system, has been the site of several destructive earthquakes. This includes the February 2023 Mw7.8 and Mw7.5 Kahramanmaraş earthquake doublets, which occurred as part of a recent seismic sequence. The aftershock sequence indicates that the first earthquake on the Pazarcık fault segment triggered the second earthquake on the Sürgü Fault, located approximately 100 km north of the initial epicenter. Diffuse deformation in the region is evident by part of this latest earthquake sequence, nucleated on the northern splay of the main EAFZ. These two main shocks were subsequently followed by strong aftershocks in the region, including the October 16, 2024 Mw6.0 Malatya Earthquake. Given the region's seismic potential, complex deformational behavior evident from recent earthquake doublets, and distribution of post-seismic deformation following the latest activity, a proper seismic hazard assessment that incorporates seismological and geodetic constraints is of great importance in the region. The present work endeavors to provide a quantitative discussion on the seismic hazard potential in the EAFZ, with a particular focus on the Malatya region. To achieve this aim we utilize a multi-scale data set comprising precise aftershock distribution around Malatya, 3D Coulomb stress change pattern, spatio-temporal b-value distribution, the InSAR-based surface deformation of the recent Malatya earthquake and 3-D variation of seismic P- and S-wave speeds in and around broken fault segments in the region.

How to cite: Kaya-Eken, T., Zoroğlu, Ç. S., Gedik, M., Tekiroğlu, G., and Özener, H.: Seismic Hazard Implications on the East Anatolian Fault following the October 16, 2024 Mw6.0 Malatya Earthquake , EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-12543, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-12543, 2025.

11:20–11:30
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EGU25-20936
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
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Michele Carafa, Peter Bird, Alessandro Verdecchia, Matteo Taroni, and Carlo Doglioni

Regions with relatively low tectonic deformation rates, such as the Apennines in Italy, are commonly assumed to exhibit stationary geodetic velocities indicative of purely long-term, plate-tectonic-driven strain accumulation. However, moderate earthquakes (mw ≥ 5.9) can induce viscoelastic transients lasting multiple decades. These transients can bias strain-rate estimates by superimposing postseismic signals onto the long-term tectonic trend, thereby inflating geodesy-based seismic hazard forecasts.

In this study, we integrate GNSS velocity solutions and stress-orientation data generating strain-rate models for Italy. We then convert the strain-rate field into earthquake-rate forecasts by assuming a Tapered Gutenberg–Richter distribution. To test the stationarity assumption, we compare these forecasts against both (i) an extensively documented earthquake catalog since 1780 (mw ≥ 5.9) and (ii) a synthetic catalog constructed on mapped seismogenic sources. The correlation between epicenters and forecast “hotspots” is strongest for earthquakes in the last century, whereas older events exhibit systematically weaker alignment. This temporal pattern suggests that recent moderate-to-strong events are still driving postseismic deformation today.

A case study of the 2009 Mw 6.3 L’Aquila earthquake further demonstrates that multi-decadal viscoelastic relaxation can maintain elevated strain rates for at least 30–60 years. Because crustal extension in the Apennines is generally only a few millimeters per year, even a transient signal of 0.3–0.6 mm/yr is enough to skew hazard estimates if interpreted as steady deformation. Consequently, our results call for a refined approach in seismic forecasting—one that rigorously accounts for “ghost transients” before translating geodetic measurements into hazard models.

Overall, our study highlights the need to reconcile short- and medium-term postseismic processes with long-term tectonic loading in slow-deforming regions (Carafa et al., 2024). Incorporating better rheological constraints and denser geodetic networks can help isolate these persistent transients, ultimately leading to more accurate seismic risk assessments and improved mitigation strategies.

 

Carafa, M.M.C., Bird, P., Verdecchia, A., Taroni, M., Doglioni , C. Empirical evidence for multi-decadal transients affecting geodetic velocity fields and derived seismicity forecasts in Italy. Sci Rep 14, 19941 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-70816-6

How to cite: Carafa, M., Bird, P., Verdecchia, A., Taroni, M., and Doglioni, C.: Slow-Deforming Orogens Revisited: Multi-Decadal Postseismic Transients and Implications for Earthquake Forecasts in Italy, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-20936, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-20936, 2025.

11:30–11:40
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EGU25-16888
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Federico Pietrolungo, Asier Madarieta-Txurruka, Giusy Lavecchia, Daniele Cirillo, Carlo Andrenacci, Simone Bello, Federica Sparacino, and Mimmo Palano

This contribution explores the approach and results of crustal stress and strain rate comparisons across various geological contexts. Since the early 1980s, researchers have investigated the broad applicability of these comparisons in regions with high, intermediate and low deformation rates. The primary data sources for these studies include focal mechanisms and velocity fields from GNSS stations, although additional datasets, such as geological structural data, are also utilized. The stress field is obtained through formal stress inversion, while the strain rate is derived from optimal interpolation of GNSS velocities. The results are compared in terms of stress and strain axes to understand the relationship between them. The increasing number of seismic and geodetic stations over the years has significantly enhanced data quality and coverage, further improving the validity and reliability of this approach.

The multidisciplinary nature of this approach underscores its versatility. In seismotectonics, it has proven valuable for detailed kinematic characterizations of plate boundaries (Stephan et al., 2023) and faults (Zoback and Zoback, 1980). In seismic hazard assessment, it aids in identifying areas with relatively high strain rates but low seismic activity, suggesting the discussion of potential seismic gaps (Chang et al., 2003). In geodynamics, the approach enhances our understanding of the deformation forces driving earthquakes (Palano et al., 2013; Pietrolungo et al., 2024). Furthermore, it has significantly contributed to fault mechanics by providing insights into how crustal segments respond to stress loading (Bird et al., 2006). In volcanic contexts, the approach has been particularly effective in elucidating the interplay between tectonic stress and magmatic processes (Keiding et al., 2009). These findings highlight the need to distinguish between short-term deformation from episodic events and long-term tectonic forces to better understand complex geological dynamics (Townend and Zoback, 2006).

Drawing from an extensive body of literature, this review offers insights into the challenges and opportunities of applying digital technology to stress and strain comparisons. It summarizes key findings, evaluates their potential, and critically discusses their limitations, providing a nuanced perspective on the approach’s applications and future directions.

 

How to cite: Pietrolungo, F., Madarieta-Txurruka, A., Lavecchia, G., Cirillo, D., Andrenacci, C., Bello, S., Sparacino, F., and Palano, M.: Stress and strain comparison: methods, results and applicability, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-16888, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-16888, 2025.

11:40–11:50
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EGU25-19452
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Asier Madarieta-Txurruka, Juan F. Prieto, Joaquín Escayo, Federico Pietrolungo, José A. Peláez, Jesús Galindo-Zaldívar, Jesús Henares, Federica Sparacino, Gemma Ercilla, José Fernández, and Mimmo Palano

Iberia represents the westernmost tectonic region involved in the Eurasia-Nubia convergence, playing a key role in shaping the plate tectonics of the westernmost Mediterranean. It is affected by alpine deformation in the Pyrenees in the north and the Gibraltar Arc in the south, alongside other internal mountain ranges. Toward the south, the region is further deformed in the Atlas and Tell Cordilleras.

This study aims to analyze and compare the active stress and strain fields with seismicity and active faults to discuss the geodynamic processes, determine the main active structures, and assess how stresses are accommodated, whether seismically or aseismically.

The stress field is derived from an extensive compilation of available crustal earthquake focal mechanism solutions across the region. The data are inverted using the STRESSINVERSE software (Vavryčuk, 2014) on a 0.5° spaced grid, requiring a minimum of eight focal mechanism for cell. The geodetic dataset includes nearly 500 continuous GNSS stations, with time series spanning up to 25 years, along with 25 episodic GNSS stations. Data processing is performed using GAMIT/GLOBK (Herring et al., 2010), following the methodology outlined by Palano et al. (2020). The resulting velocity field is enhanced with other available velocity fields to increase station density. The strain field is estimated on a 0.5° grid according with the methodology illustrated by Shen et al. (2015). Finally, to compare the stress and strain fields, sHmax and eHmin are estimated.

The results show that the region is affected by NW-SE compression, causing irregular deformation. Shortening of up to 4–5 mm/yr, parallel to the compression, is mainly concentrated in southern Iberia, along the Eurasia-Nubia plate boundary, accompanied by frequent low-to-moderate seismicity. In southwestern Iberia and in the Tell Cordillera, the NW-SE compression can result in moderate-to-high seismicity. Meanwhile, both central-northern Iberia and the Atlas Cordillera undergo limited deformation under the general NW-SE compression. The first is characterized by zones of low seismicity linked to normal and strike-slip faults. The Atlas Cordillera, in contrast, exhibits sporadic but moderate-to-high magnitude seismicity related to thrusting. The stress pattern significantly changes in the westernmost Gibraltar Arc and in the Pyrenees. The Gibraltar Arc characterises by a slightly rotated NNE-SSW striking compressional axis, while the shortening aligns E-W. The former observation and the absence of seismicity in the front of the arc suggest aseismic displacement to the west of the Gibraltar Arc, perpendicular to the Eurasia-Nubia convergence. Finally, the data show that the shortening in the Pyrenees has ceased, and stress suggest a N-S extension, likely related to isostatic readjustment of the mountain range.

  • Herring, T. A., et al. (2010). GAMIT Reference Manual, GPS analysis at MIT, Release 10.4, Dept. of Earth Atmos. and Planet. , Mass. Inst. of Technol., Cambridge, MA, 171pp.
  • Palano, M., et al. (2020). Geopositioning time series from offshore platforms in the Adriatic Sea. Scientific Data, 7(1), 373.
  • Vavryčuk, V. (2014). Iterative joint inversion for stress and fault orientations from focal mechanisms.Geophysical Journal International199(1), 69-77.
  • Shen, Z. K., et al. (2015). Optimal interpolation of spatially discretized geodetic data. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 105(4), 2117-2127.

How to cite: Madarieta-Txurruka, A., Prieto, J. F., Escayo, J., Pietrolungo, F., Peláez, J. A., Galindo-Zaldívar, J., Henares, J., Sparacino, F., Ercilla, G., Fernández, J., and Palano, M.: Stress and strain fields in the Iberian Peninsula and adjacent Mountain Ranges, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-19452, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-19452, 2025.

11:50–12:00
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EGU25-14055
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Jon Bryan May, Michele Matteo Cosimo Carafa, and Peter Bird

Accurately characterizing Earth's geothermal gradient is critical for a variety of geophysical and environmental studies. Earth’s surface temperature can affect the geothermal gradient to significant depths over long time periods and, in turn, affect calculations of, for example, the brittle-ductile transition depth. It is expected that the geotherm has stabilised with respect to the long-term average surface temperatures, not current or relatively current averaged measurements. Therefore, when using the surface temperature, it is important to account for long-term behaviour without losing spatial variability.

Datasets containing predicted global mean surface temperatures (GMST) throughout the Holocene epoch, spanning the last 12,000 years, offer valuable insights into historic temperature conditions but often lack in spatial resolution. Meanwhile, modern surface temperature data, derived from advanced sensors and satellite observations, provides high-resolution snapshots of global temperatures over relatively short time periods. By combining these sources, we can create a dataset that not only retains the current spatial distribution but also integrates historical thermal data into a single dataset. This high-resolution global mean surface temperature dataset (HRGMST) would more closely match the current stabilised geothermal gradient.

This hybrid dataset would help to refine models which use Earth's surface temperature distribution, providing a more accurate representation of the subsurface thermal state. The improved dataset can offer significant insights for geophysical research, including better assessments of subsurface heat flow, energy resources, and tectonic processes.

This work will outline the development of a new HRGMST dataset that integrates predicted Holocene averages with contemporary direct temperature measurements to more accurately represent Earth's long-term average surface temperature. It will outline the methodology behind the dataset creation and discuss challenges in merging paleoclimate data with contemporary measurements. The enhanced dataset promises to improve the understanding of Earth's internal temperature structure and support more precise calculations in geothermal energy exploration and geophysical modelling. We will explore several methods of combining long-term GMST data with high-resolution data, testing the effect of each method using an existing global model and our software package ShellSet, discussing the changes which arise due to the new surface temperature dataset along with seismotectonic implications.

How to cite: May, J. B., Carafa, M. M. C., and Bird, P.: A new high-resolution global surface temperature dataset – combining recent measurements with global mean surface temperatures through the Holocene epoch, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-14055, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-14055, 2025.

12:00–12:10
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EGU25-4840
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On-site presentation
Michal Michalak, Christian Gerhards, and Peter Menzel

We present a novel supervised learning approach for fault detection in subsurface geological slopes. Synthetic faulted slopes were generated using Delaunay triangulation via the Computational Geometry Algorithms Library (CGAL), enabling precise control over model parameters. A total of 24 features, encompassing local geometric attributes and neighborhood analyses, were introduced for classification. A Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier was employed, achieving high precision and recall in identifying fault-related features.

Application of the method to real borehole data, specifically elevations of buried stratigraphic contacts, demonstrated its effectiveness in detecting fault orientations. However, challenges remain in distinguishing faults with opposite dip directions. The study highlights the necessity of addressing 3D fault zone complexities for more robust fault identification.

Despite these challenges, the proposed supervised approach represents a significant advancement over traditional clustering-based methods, demonstrating its potential for detecting faults across diverse orientations. Future work will focus on incorporating more complex geological scenarios and refining fault detection methodologies to improve accuracy and applicability. This work underscores the promise of machine learning in advancing fault detection in geological studies.

How to cite: Michalak, M., Gerhards, C., and Menzel, P.: SubsurfaceBreaks: A supervised detection of fault-related structures on triangulated models of subsurface slopes , EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-4840, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-4840, 2025.

12:10–12:20
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EGU25-12256
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Pauline Gayrin, Thilo Wrona, Sascha Brune, Derek Neuharth, Nicolas Molnar, Alessandro La Rosa, and John Naliboff

Faults and fractures can be observed across vast spatial (nm to km) and temporal scales (years to Myrs), often evolving into highly complex networks. Once established, they fundamentally alter the rheological behavior and transportative properties of the host rock. This makes them a critical focus for applications such as seismic hazard assessment, geothermal reservoirs, and carbon storage. The architecture and evolution of fault networks can be studied using recent advances in remote sensing and modelling. Numerical models provide insight into both the top-view and depth expression of faults, while analogue models simulate geodynamic processes to shed light on their mechanics. Furthermore, the topography of natural faults can now be captured with unprecedented accuracy using Tandem-X radar satellites for example. However, the sheer data volume and the continued reliance on manual fault mapping remain major obstacles in fault network analysis.

 

Here we present Fatbox v2.0, the Fault Analysis Toolbox. This python-based, open-source library is able to extract and characterize individual faults as well as entire fault networks from diverse datasets. Fatbox contains a large number of functions to map and analyze faults and fractures automatically from different types of observational data, geodynamic models and analogue models. Fault systems are described as 2D networks (graphs) using the coupling of nodes, defined by their position, and edges that connect the nodes. This allows us to capture the full complexity of natural fault and fracture systems. It is then possible to analyse features such as fault splays, intersections, and relay ramps, from topography, strain, strain rate, or model cross sections. In addition, the toolbox contains a number of functions to track faults through time, which is particularly useful for modelling data. This library is complemented by a wide range of functions that allow the geometry of the fault network to be filtered and analysed with high spatial resolution.

How to cite: Gayrin, P., Wrona, T., Brune, S., Neuharth, D., Molnar, N., La Rosa, A., and Naliboff, J.: Fatbox v2.0 - the Fault Analysis Toolbox: a python library for identification and geometric analysis of fault networks from numerical analogue, and digital elevation models, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-12256, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-12256, 2025.

12:20–12:30
Lunch break
Chairpersons: Rita De Nardis, Victor Alania, Debora Presti
14:00–14:05
14:05–14:15
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EGU25-17882
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Marco Battistelli, Federica Ferrarini, Francesco Bucci, Michele Santangelo, Mauro Cardinali, John Peter Merryman Boncori, Daniele Cirillo, Michele M.C. Carafa, and Francesco Brozzetti

Identifying active tectonics is a challenging goal, particularly in areas affected by low strain rates, complex structural and geological settings, and significant anthropogenic impact. Across the Italian Apennine belt, the Late-Quaternary activity of normal faults leaves a distinctive footprint on the landscape. This activity is often constrained by paleoseismological investigations and field geology evidence, and is supported by historical and instrumental seismicity, as well as being in agreement with stress and geodetic data. Active tectonics evidence sharply breaks up between the central and southern Apennines (Abruzzo-Molise regions’ boundary – AMB), although the sector is geographically and structurally in continuity with the overall extensional belt. In this sector, a lack of clear fault-geomorphic signature can be observed, likely fostered by lithologic high erodibility and landslide susceptibility. In addition, an evident seismic gap (Rovida et al., 2020) contrasts with geodetic data that, conversely, show as the area is currently undergoing rather fast permanent bulk deformation (Carafa et al., 2020).

To investigate this (apparent?) disconnection between active deformation and surface faulting, we combined a multi-scale and multi-source approach. To detect possible transients in the topography and analyse the spatial distribution of geomorphic features we carried out relief analysis and structural interpretation from stereoscopic imagery. To discriminate between tectonic versus gravitational (slope-related) signals, we used time-series InSAR data analysis.

We identified relief anomalies in three key areas and mapped displaced morphological features interpreted as the result of normal faulting. As well, interferometric data analysis highlighted a clustered spatial pattern on the distribution of gravitative movements that have been considered as a proxy of the control played by tectonic structures. Field survey providing structural evidence of normal-fault kinematics across the alleged structures helped in supporting the clues provided by remote data interpretation.

The overall outcomes, albeit preliminary, converge on evidence of diffuse normal faulting filling a structural gap within the AMB, providing additional hints on the seismic hazard of this area and inputs for future investigations.

 

Carafa M.M.C., Galvani A., Di Naccio D., Kastelic V., Di Lorenzo C., Miccolis S., Sepe V., Pietrantonio G., Gizzi C., Massucci A., Valensise G. & Bird P. (2020) – Partitioning the Ongoing Extension of the Central Apennines (Italy): Fault Slip Rates and Bulk Deformation Rates From Geodetic and Stress Data. J Geophys Res-Sol Ea, 125, e2019JB018956, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JB018956

Rovida A., Locati M., Camassi R., Lolli B., Gasperini P. (2020) – The Italian earthquake catalogue CPTI15. B. Earthq. Eng., 18(7), 2953-2984. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-020-00818-y

How to cite: Battistelli, M., Ferrarini, F., Bucci, F., Santangelo, M., Cardinali, M., Merryman Boncori, J. P., Cirillo, D., Carafa, M. M. C., and Brozzetti, F.: Reconciling active deformation and Quaternary normal faulting in a poorly understood sector of the central-southern Apennines (Italy): a multi-scale, multi-source data approach., EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-17882, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-17882, 2025.

14:15–14:25
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EGU25-13203
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Lauretta Kaerger, Chiara Del Ventisette, Paola Vannucchi, Giancarlo Molli, Carolina Pagli, and Derek Keir

The Inner Northern Apennines (Italy) are a region with a dominant N-S to NNW-SSE fault system. However, E-W to NE-SW oriented structures crossing and dissecting the dominant fault trend have long been recognised. These transversal structures are often believed to be inherited, but our knowledge about their nature, activity and role in current tectonic motions is still limited and debated. Especially their activity and seismotectonic relevance is unclear.

A new seismo-tectonic analysis identified and relocated two distinct earthquake clusters in the Viareggio Basin, western Tuscany, which clearly showed activity along NE-SW oriented fault systems in the vicinity of one of the major transverse structures in the Inner Northern Apennines, the Livorno – Empoli lineament. The relocated clusters show mostly oblique slip, with a depth-dependent switch of motion direction in one cluster, as well as a localised change of the stress field. The position of the clusters and their onshore-to-offshore nature suggest the identified fault system to be related to the reactivation of pre-existing structures. These results show that the transversal structures of the Inner Northern Apennines, even when they do not show a morphologic surface expression, are seismogenic.

Moreover, a new tectono-geomorphic analysis was carried out in the presumed source area of the 1846 ~M6 Orciano Pisano earthquake (Val di Fine Basin), the biggest and most destructive recorded earthquake in western Tuscany. Our investigation, combining an in-field structural analysis with a detailed qualitative and quantitative geomorphic approach (e.g. stream network analysis, knickpoint calculation, slope map) based on a 10x10 m DTM, could not confirm the general assumption which attributes this event to one of the N-S striking faults bounding the basin. Instead, large and small scale geomorphic features as well as structural observations (e.g. an E-W trending water divide, diverted rivers, a newly identified fault) suggest that the event might have originated along a, so far unrecognised, transversal structure with an oblique right-lateral motion direction located at the centre of the basin.

The combined results of the seismo-tectonic & tectono-geomorphic analysis show that a more detailed investigation of the, often elusive and therefore easily overlooked, transversal structures in the Inner Northern Apennines is necessary, as they seem to be holding a seismogenic potential and might pose a so far uncared seismic hazard for the region.

How to cite: Kaerger, L., Del Ventisette, C., Vannucchi, P., Molli, G., Pagli, C., and Keir, D.: Seismo-tectonic activity along transversal structures in the Inner Northern Apennines, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-13203, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13203, 2025.

14:25–14:35
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EGU25-21753
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On-site presentation
Ada De Matteo, Daniel Barrera, Silvio Seno, Andrea Di Giulio, and Giovanni Toscani

The central Po Plain (Italy) is a complex geological system where the outermost fronts of two mountain belts, the Northern Apennines and the Southern Alps, coexist sharing the same foreland. Thanks to a dense dataset of seismic reflection profiles and wells (courtesy of Eni as part of the Ph.D project of Daniel Barrera, Univ. of Pavia) it has been possible to reconstruct in detail the buried structure of the Emilian arc, one of the three structural arcs that compose the outermost fronts of the Northern Apennines and the external fronts of the Southern Alps, buried in the central Po Plain. From these data, it is evident that the Emilian arc of the Northern Apennines is composed of three main thrust systems and related anticlines. It was also possible to reconstruct the geometry of the outermost fronts of the Southern Alps and, most importantly, the top of the Mesozoic carbonates, above which the main detachment levels of the Southern Alps have developed and whose geometry deeply influences the development of the Emilian Arc. The reconstruction of six regional Plio-Pleistocene unconformities of known age allows the restoration of some of the reconstructed tectonic structures, thus obtaining a slip value and the amount of slip rates along different tectonic structures and along the strike of the same structure.

Through these analyses, it is possible to argue on the Plio-Pleistocene kinematics of several tectonic structures in the central Po Plain, quantifying the recent tectonic activity of the main thrusts. The slip distribution and the along-strike deformation are rather inhomogeneous and do not follow the classic pattern of deformation propagation from the inner to the outer sectors of the chain but show evidence of inner thrusts reactivation and external thrusts with little or no activity in recent times. The possible causes of this rather complex kinematics have been investigated through a series of analogue models that, by reproducing the presence of structural highs and rheological inhomogeneities of the Po Plain, allow us to investigate if, and how much, some geological features affect the development of tectonic structures in time (kinematics) and space (along-strike variations).

The preliminary results of the research show how the buried structural highs in the Po Plain and the presence of the outer Southern Alps fronts modify both the structure's kinematics and the distribution of the along-strike deformation, creating the present-day complex structural framework.

This demonstrates the need for a 3D modeling approach and detailed quantitative reconstructions of deformation, not limited to the outer sectors of the Emilian arc, but considering the thrust system that constitutes the Northern Apennine as a whole.

How to cite: De Matteo, A., Barrera, D., Seno, S., Di Giulio, A., and Toscani, G.: Evolution and Plio-Pleistocene fault kinematics and basin infilling in the central Po Plain (Italy): an integrated analysis from subsurface data and analogue models analysis, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-21753, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-21753, 2025.

14:35–14:45
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EGU25-19926
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Giorgio Arriga, Marta Marchegiano, Marion Peral, Hsun-Ming Hu, Domenico Cosentino, Chuan-Chou Shen, Hayden Dalton, Mauro Brilli, Luca Aldega, Philippe Claeys, and Federico Rossetti

Understanding the long-term tectono-stratigraphic evolution of active extensional faulting is key to deciphering how continental rifting propagates over time and space. The Pliocene-Quaternary L’Aquila Intermontane Basin (AIB) in the central Apennines serves as an ideal natural laboratory for investigating this process. Seismicity in the AIB is linked to NW-SE striking normal faults that have accommodated crustal stretching since the Late Pliocene. This study integrates fieldwork, mineralogical, geochemical (C-O stable and clumped isotopes), and geochronological (⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar, U-Th) analyses to explore the structural connection between the Mount Pettino Fault (MPF) and the Paganica Fault, two active, left-stepping basin boundary faults. The research proposes a two-stage tectono-stratigraphic evolution reflecting a shift from localized to distributed deformation and fault linkage. Stage-1 (pre-Middle Pleistocene) marks the nucleation and growth of the MPF, characterized by a ∼5 m thick fault core of isotopically closed cataclasite (T (∆47) ∼33–50°C). Stage-2 involves the development of a distributed fault zone linking the MPF and the Paganica Fault via a transfer zone. This zone facilitated meteoric fluid circulation, carbonate veining, and travertine formation (T (∆47) ∼8°C). U-Th dating of Stage-2 mineralizations constrains tectonic activity in the transfer zone to ∼182–331 ka. These findings provide insights into the tectono-stratigraphic evolution of the AIB and its seismotectonic behaviour, with implications on the regional geodynamic reconstructions.

How to cite: Arriga, G., Marchegiano, M., Peral, M., Hu, H.-M., Cosentino, D., Shen, C.-C., Dalton, H., Brilli, M., Aldega, L., Claeys, P., and Rossetti, F.: Tectono-Stratigraphic Evolution of a propagating extensional fault network: Insights from the L’Aquila Intermontane Basin, Central Apennines , EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-19926, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-19926, 2025.

14:45–14:55
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EGU25-16580
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On-site presentation
Riccardo Asti, Silvia Castellaro, Selina Bonini, Beatrice Tiboni, Lorenzo Gemignani, and Gianluca Vignaroli

The Mugello Basin is a WNW-ESE-striking, seismically active intermontane basin currently experiencing post-orogenic extension that affects the hinterland of the Northern Apennines belt (Italy). It lies near the main watershed of the Northern Apennines, a feature traditionally seen as separating the internal, extension-dominated (to the southwest) part of the belt from the external, contractional (to the northeast) part. Therefore, complex and controversial relationships exist between the recorded seismic activity and the surface manifestations of potentially seismogenic faults at depth in the Mugello region. The ITaly HAzard from CApable faults (ITHACA) catalogue reports active and capable faults along both margins of the basin. Moreover, coseismic surface ruptures were observed during the 1919 earthquake. However, surface expressions of active faults in the Mugello region are less pronounced compared to those associated with similar graben-bounding faults in other intermontane basins of the Northern Apennines. Moreover, the subsurface structure of the basin remains poorly constrained and is widely debated, with a significant lack of reliable geophysical data. This has led to contrasting views on the size, geometry, and orientation of the potential seismogenic sources, according to different researchers. Thus, the Mugello Basin offers an excellent opportunity to apply geophysical surveys to address the gaps in knowledge regarding its subsurface structure.

In this study, we used a combined methodological approach to propose a subsurface model for the basin's geometry and mechanical properties. We performed seismic microtremor measurements to be interpreted in the frame of the H/V and H&V methods along four profiles orthogonal to the basin’s axis (i.e., NNE-SSW) and one parallel to it (i.e., WNW-ESE). By integrating surface geological data and geomorphic analysis of the fluvial network (chi-map) based on a 10-m DEM, we were able to refine the geophysical model and more accurately evaluate the seismic behavior of the basin. We combined microtremor measurements with publicly available well log data and field geology observations, which helped us interpret the normalized H/V values and estimate the thickness of the basin’s sedimentary fill. Preliminary results suggest that the basin exhibits an asymmetric across-strike geometry, with active extensional faults likely concentrated along its northern margin. This is consistent with the epicentral distribution of seismic sequence that affected the area between 2009 and 2019, as highlighted by recent studies. Accordingly, geomorphic analysis shows the highest chi values in the northeast sector. This marks a disequilibrium of the river network which might be associated with active faulting, whereas in the southeast chi-values indicate steady state among rivers. The interpretation of the normalized H/V values in terms of bedrock geometry provides new insights into the basin's subsurface structure and offers constraints that challenge previously proposed models. These results have significant implications for evaluating seismic site effects at the scale of the Mugello Basin. Furthermore, they contribute to understanding the tectonic evolution of the basin within the larger geodynamic context of the Northern Apennines, particularly with respect to the transition from syn-orogenic compressive to post-orogenic extensional tectonics.

How to cite: Asti, R., Castellaro, S., Bonini, S., Tiboni, B., Gemignani, L., and Vignaroli, G.: Linking subsurface structure and active faulting in the intermontane Mugello Basin and its implication for the post-orogenic tectonic evolution of the Northern Apennines (Italy), EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-16580, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-16580, 2025.

14:55–15:05
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EGU25-5573
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On-site presentation
Daniele Cheloni, Nicola Angelo Famiglietti, Riccardo Caputo, and Annamaria Vicari

Taiwan, located at the convergent boundary between the Philippine Sea and Eurasian plates, is one of the most seismically active regions globally, with convergence rates reaching 80-90 mm/yr. The Longitudinal Valley suture zone in eastern Taiwan, accommodating ~30 mm/yr of NNW-SSE shortening, hosts two major reverse fault systems: the E-dipping Longitudinal Valley Fault (LVF) and the W-dipping Central Range Fault (CRF). These faults exhibit complex interactions, particularly in the northern sector of the Longitudinal Valley, where cross-cutting relationships and evolving tectonic dynamics generate significant seismotectonic complexity.

The 2 April 2024 MW 7.4 Hualien earthquake, the strongest instrumentally recorded event near Hualien since the 1951 sequence, exemplifies this complexity. Previous seismic events in this region have been associated with ruptures on both E- and W-dipping faults, reflecting the dynamic interplay between these systems. To investigate the faulting processes and source parameters of this sequence, we analyzed an extensive geodetic dataset, integrating Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) observations. Elastic dislocation modeling was applied to constrain the rupture geometry and evaluate the interaction between fault segments. GNSS and InSAR data from the 2024 event reveal a rupture pattern involving multiple fault segments, consistent with observations of focal mechanisms, aftershock distributions, and long-term moment release patterns. Although simple single-fault models (e.g., an E-dipping Longitudinal Valley Fault or a W-dipping Central Range Fault) can explain the geodetic data, a composite fault model, incorporating multiple segments, better accounts for the observed displacements, seismicity, and the complex structure of the northern Longitudinal Valley. Our findings provide new insights into the seismogenic processes and fault dynamics underlying this significant seismic event. They highlight the evolving tectonic setting of eastern Taiwan and contribute to the understanding of the processes driving seismotectonic complexity in one of the most tectonically active regions of the world.

How to cite: Cheloni, D., Famiglietti, N. A., Caputo, R., and Vicari, A.: Unveiling Tectonic Complexities in the 2024 Hualien (eastern Taiwan) Earthquake Sequence Using GNSS and InSAR Data, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-5573, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-5573, 2025.

15:05–15:15
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EGU25-18294
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Nathaniel Wire and Halldór Geirsson

Since 2019, unrest on the Reykjanes Peninsula, SW Iceland, has demonstrated that fracture movements are a significant component of volcano-tectonic deformation and pose major hazards to infrastructure. TerraSAR-X data covering the Reykjanes Peninsula were processed to produce 57 interferograms for fracture mapping for September 2021 to July 2024. The most extensive fracture movements during this period are associated with the 2022 Meradalir eruption, 2023 Litli-Hrútur eruption, and 2023 Nov. 10-11 Grindavík dike intrusion. Extensive activation of N-S trending strike-slip faults and NE-SW trending normal faults is observed during periods of shallow dike propagation and associated seismicity. Simple elastic modeling suggests that most of the observed displacements are a result of shallow slip within the upper tens to hundreds of meters of the crust. Many have existing topographic expressions and have been activated multiple times since 2020, highlighting the role preexisting weaknesses in the upper crust play in accommodating volcano-tectonic deformation. While some fracture movements can be explained by co-diking stress transfer, e.g. normal faulting directly above dikes or bookshelf faulting along the North American-Eurasian plate boundary, subtle (<10 mm) movements within neighboring fissure swarms occur where Coulomb stress transfer modeling indicates co-diking normal stress changes should suppress fracture movements. As such, other processes like shallow strain localization along preexisting weaknesses may be occurring. InSAR data also reveal repeated fracture movements within the Búrfell graben, SE of Reykjavík and within the Krýsuvík Fissure Swarm, which was surveyed with high-precision geodetic leveling in the summer of 2024. Since 2012, portions of the profile have subsided up to 34 ± 0.3 mm, corresponding to a rate of -2.8 mm/yr, substantially greater than that observed in previous decades. Fracture movements within the graben are only seen in interferograms spanning bursts of shallow microseismicity in October 2018, March 2021, and September 2023. Line of sight deformation of up to 5 cm is also observed during earthquake swarms (Mmax= 3.1) in January and June 2024 within the adjacent portion of the Krýsuvík Fissure Swarm. In both cases, observed deformation is larger than expected for the seismic moment released, implying that this deformation is both episodic and has a significant aseismic component. These observations offer insight into the mechanisms of fracture movements and may be applied to locations where similar processes occur such as Iceland’s Northern Volcanic Zone or the East African Rift.

How to cite: Wire, N. and Geirsson, H.: InSAR observations and modeling of volcano-tectonic fracture movements on the Reykjanes Peninsula, SW Iceland, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-18294, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-18294, 2025.

15:15–15:25
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EGU25-7530
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On-site presentation
Jennifer Eccles, Robert Pickle, Alutsyah Luthfian, Jill Kenny, Hugo Chevallier, Hannah Martin, Craig Miller, Sigrun Hreinsdottir, Kasper van Wijk, and James Muirhead

New Zealand’s largest city Auckland, 400 km into the overriding Australian plate from the Hikurangi subduction margin, sits on top of the active intraplate Auckland Volcanic Field. Low recurrence interval faults are mapped to the south of the city and ~30 km to the east within the active Hauraki Rift which is opening oblique to the plate boundary trend. Faulting within the urban area is obscured by the distributed <200,000 year old volcanics, Quaternary sedimentation and landscape modification. The potential structural control on magma ascent unclear or variable. While Auckland urbanisation provides the riskscape to motivate seismo-volcano-tectonic characterisation, the setting also provides challenges, and some advantages, to investigation. We discuss the ongoing programme of potential field and borehole studies that characterise crustal structure and geodesy, seismology, geomorphology, field studies that are also indicative of regional deformation.

The NNW-SSE trending Hauraki Rift parallels regional basement fabric characterised by the trend of the Mesozoic, ophiolite bearing Dun Mountain-Maitai basement terrane-sourced Junction Magnetic Anomaly. Geodesy has resolved a rifting rate of ~1 mm/year. Dominant NNW-NW and NE fault trends within/beneath Auckland are resolved from Lidar analysis, field mapping and reconstruction of a regional marker horizon, the “Waitemata Group Erosion Surface”, using extensive urban and urban-fringe borehole datasets. Few boreholes penetrate the deeper areas of Mesozoic basement so modelling of gravity data has proved useful to define the topography of the basement surface and interpret significant basement offsets. Although the historic 1891 ~Mw 6.2 Waikato Heads earthquake ~65 km SE of the Auckland CBD demonstrated the seismic potential in the region, rates of microseismicity are low and have been concentrated in South Auckland and the Hauraki Gulf. New seismometer deployments enhance potential resolution of spatial patterns of seismicity, with use of artificial intelligence in catalogue building investigated. These will also provide the potential for increased resolution crustal, crustal thickness, and mantle characterisation. The establishment of new campaign geodetic sites will also increase confidence in potential dislocations across proposed structures. Geomorphic and field studies attempt to characterise the paleoseismology of exposed faults.     

How to cite: Eccles, J., Pickle, R., Luthfian, A., Kenny, J., Chevallier, H., Martin, H., Miller, C., Hreinsdottir, S., van Wijk, K., and Muirhead, J.: Towards deciphering the tectono-magmatic dynamics of the Auckland Volcanic Field and Hauraki Rift, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-7530, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-7530, 2025.

15:25–15:35
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EGU25-15957
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Sandip Kumar Rana and Ashutosh Chamoli

We introduce a new high-resolution gravity dataset acquired along a profile in the Kumaon Himalaya, extending from the Indo-Gangetic plains in the south to the Main Central Thrust (MCT) zone in the north. The Garhwal-Kumaon Himalaya, located in the central Himalayan region, has not experienced any great earthquake in the last 500 years. Therefore, it is essential to study the detailed crustal structure in order to better understand the stress and seismicity patterns in this area. Power spectrum analysis of the calculated complete Bouguer gravity anomaly (CBA) reveals two distinct crustal interfaces corresponding to the Moho and the Main Himalayan Thrust (MHT). To obtain the residual gravity anomaly related to the upper crustal structure, we apply the modeling-based gravity isolation technique, which involves isolating the gravity responses of deeper intra-crustal interfaces based on previous studies. We find that the sharp variations in the residual gravity anomaly align well with the surface geology of the region. Prominent signatures of major thrust boundaries, such as the Main Boundary Thrust (MBT), North Almora Thrust (NAT), and Main Central Thrust (MCT), are clearly identified in the residual gravity anomaly. We performed the wavelet analysis and particle swarm optimization (PSO)-based fault inversion to extract the fault geometries of different fault/lithotectonic boundaries from the residual gravity anomaly. These results are incorporated as a priori information to constrain the upper crustal structure during the forward modeling of the CBA. The detailed density structure gives insight into the geometries of the Moho, the MHT, and the lithotectonic boundaries for the study region. We will compare the crustal density model of the Kumaon Himalaya with the adjacent Garhwal Himalaya and discuss the crustal architecture in the context of the seismotectonics of the region.

How to cite: Kumar Rana, S. and Chamoli, A.: Insight into the Crustal Density Structure of Kumaon Himalaya, India, based on Gravity Modeling and Inversion, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-15957, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-15957, 2025.

15:35–15:45

Posters on site: Tue, 29 Apr, 14:00–15:45 | Hall X2

Display time: Tue, 29 Apr, 14:00–18:00
Chairpersons: Fabio Luca Bonali, Rita De Nardis, Vanja Kastelic
X2.86
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EGU25-2680
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ECS
Structural architecture of the Georgian part of active Kura foreland fold-and-thrust belt
(withdrawn)
Alexandre Razmadze and Tamar Shikhashvili
X2.87
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EGU25-3031
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|
Omar Aldhanhani, Mohammed Ali, Aisha Alsuwaidi, and Ahmed Abdelmaksoud

The eastern offshore region of the United Arab Emirates, located along the northeastern boundary of the Arabian Plate in the Gulf of Oman, is influenced by the tectonic activity of the Zendan-Minab fault system and the Makran subduction zone. This research integrates data from multi-beam bathymetry, seismic reflection profiles, and earthquake monitoring to analyze fault behavior and regional tectonics. High-resolution bathymetric surveys, conducted with an EM 712 multi-beam echo sounder, reveal N-S to NNW fault lineaments. Some of these structures correspond to shallow earthquake events (magnitude ~2–3 Mw) occurring at depths of less than 5 km. Seismic reflection data indicate that these faults penetrate up to 3 km into the subsurface, cutting through Miocene-aged deposits. Additionally, sediment accumulation within Pleistocene-Holocene deposits, ranging from 1 to 2.5 km in thickness, and signs of eastward tilting suggest tectonic activity related to the Makran subduction. Fault geometries observed in the area, such as negative flower structures and en-echelon half-grabens, indicate a localized pull-apart basin formed through strike-slip faulting associated with the Zendan-Minab fault zone. The results of this study reveal ongoing seafloor ruptures, contributing to a better understanding of seismic activity and tectonic evolution in the Gulf of Oman.

How to cite: Aldhanhani, O., Ali, M., Alsuwaidi, A., and Abdelmaksoud, A.: Mapping Active Seabed Ruptures in the Eastern Offshore UAE, Gulf of Oman, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-3031, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-3031, 2025.

X2.88
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EGU25-3190
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ECS
Julia Rudmann, Sonja Wadas, and David Tanner

The NW-SE-striking Osning Fault System (OFS) is one of the most prominent fault zones in northern Germany. It consists of thrust faults (top-to-SW), which were caused by inversion of NE-dipping normal faults during the Upper Cretaceous. Although northern Germany shows relatively little seismic activity, 10 macro-seismic events have occurred along the OFS during the last 400 years, three of which caused serious damage. These events indicate that the OFS is neotectonically active and represents a geohazard. The investigation of its structure in depth is therefore of high societal relevance.

Our goal is to balance previously-published cross-sections along the OFS, to (1) verify their correctness and (2) obtain more information about the kinematic history. The OFS is assumed to be a pre-Variscan structure that was repeatedly reactivated during earth’s history (as mentioned above). However, its development and its (former and recent) kinematics have been debated over years, e.g., whether the OFS contains a strike-slip component or not.

For cross-section balancing, we use the software MOVETM and - in addition to the published cross-sections - we take all available data (e.g., geological maps, structural and geophysical data, drill information) into account. We examine four segments of the OFS (Gronau-, Osnabrück-, Bielefeld- and Berlebeck-Segments) and retrodeform at least one cross-section of each segment.

In this way, we can derive a high-resolution, well-constrained 3-D picture of the four segments of the OFS, which will contribute to a better understanding of the former and present-day kinematics of this fault zone, and can be used for further risk assessment.

How to cite: Rudmann, J., Wadas, S., and Tanner, D.: Verifying the structure and development of the Osning Fault System (Northern Germany) using cross-section balancing, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-3190, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-3190, 2025.

X2.89
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EGU25-9162
Victor Alania, Konstantine Abesadze, Mehmet Arif Yukler, Onise Enukidze, Badri Galdava, Durmishkhan Gakharia, Mamuka Kurtsikidze, Nino Kvavadze, Valeri Kurbanov, Demur Merkviladze, Anzor Giorgadze, and Saba-Giorgi Gakharia

In this study, we document the structural architecture of the frontal part of active Greater Caucasus orogen based on the interpretation of the seismic profile in western Georgia. It is a unique example to understand of far-field intracontinental ongoing mountain building within the Arabia–Eurasia collision system. The external zone of the western Greater Caucasus orogen, known as the Dzirula massif and Imereti Uplift Zone, developed during the late Alpine period in response to the convergence between the Arabian and Eurasian plates. The Dzirula Massif (DM) and Imereti Uplift Zone (IUZ) break a contiguous collisional foreland basin into disconnected basins, Rioni to the west and Kura to the east. The IUZ is an oil-bearing thrust system. Seismic profiles show that the dominant structural styles of the compressional structures are related to multiple detachments. Seismic reflection data within the study area reveals the presence of a thick-skinned triangle zone, crustal-scale duplexes, passive back thrust, and fault-related folds. Based on seismic profiles we have constructed regional balanced cross-sections for the external zone of the western GC orogen that merges the surface, well, and seismic data to provide a detailed structural model for the Mesozoic and Paleozoic units underlying the main detachments. Thick-skinned structures comprise fault-bend folds moving into the sedimentary cover, mainly along lower Jurassic shales, which form basement wedges that transfer the deformation to the south. Preexisting, basement-involved extensional faults inverted during compressive deformation produced basement-cored uplifts that transferred thick-skinned shortening southward onto the thin-skinned structures detached above the basement. From the SSW to the NNE, the seismic profiles and balanced cross-sections show: (1) basement-involved thrust faults or thick-skinned fault-bend folds, and (2) thin-skinned fault-related folds represented by fault-propagation and imbricate fault-bend folds. Contractional deformation in the study and surrounding area is recorded by well-preserved syn-tectonic shallow marine and continental sequences.

 

 

How to cite: Alania, V., Abesadze, K., Yukler, M. A., Enukidze, O., Galdava, B., Gakharia, D., Kurtsikidze, M., Kvavadze, N., Kurbanov, V., Merkviladze, D., Giorgadze, A., and Gakharia, S.-G.: Structural architecture of the frontal part of active Greater Caucasus orogen: A case study from the western Georgia, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-9162, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-9162, 2025.

X2.90
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EGU25-12607
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ECS
Simone Lenci, Derek Keir, Giancarlo Molli, Paola Vannucchi, Chiara Del Ventisette, and Carolina Pagli

Rifts and rifting orogens display complex three-dimensional fault patterns due to prolonged basin nucleation, propagation, and interaction. During rift development, faults with some amount of strike-slip component, and that range from oblique to orthogonal (transverse) to rift trend, can transfer extension between offset basins. The Northern Apennines exemplify this with an overall left stepping extensional system, developing with a NE-migrating active extensional front which progressively overprints previously shortened domains. While prominent lateral steps often mark transverse structures at various scales, surface evidence is limited, keeping the issue of transverse faults open.

This study tries to understand the geometry, kinematics and role of transverse faults in the Northern Apennines using a seismological approach by precisely relocating dense recent sequences in the adjacent Garfagnana and Lunigiana basins, where 2013-06 Mw=4.8 and 2013-01 Mw=5.1 mainshocks occurred, respectively. Public focal mechanisms suggest involvement of transverse structures, yet the events are rooted in different extensional domains at varying evolutionary stages. The Garfagnana cluster occurred in a high-topography, poorly extended external domain near active contraction, with minor lateral steps. The Lunigiana cluster, in contrast, occurred within a low-topography, highly extended internal domain with prominent pluri-kilometric basin offsets.

Using publicly available INGV phases and waveform data, we performed absolute location with NonLinLoc and precise waveform cross-correlation double-difference relocation using HypoDD and GrowClust codes. Focal mechanisms were re-computed for the identified faults. Relocations highlighted complex fault interactions and confirmed transverse fault slip in both cases. The Garfagnana sequence revealed two deep-seated transverse faults extending to 19 km depth, with shallower faults parallel to the chain and limited surface exposure of transverse structures. We suggest fault system interactions are in an incipient stage here. However, the existence of evolved transverse structures at depth in this young extensional domain indicates rapid extensional overprinting of contractional features. The Lunigiana sequence primarily develops on transverse faults and chain-parallel faults extending from the surface down to 16 km, which are part of a regional horsetail fault system, considered a major crustal-scale transfer zone. We propose alternative kinematics and faults architecture compared to previous studies, with a more accurate solution of the deep fault architecture underlying the observed seismicity.

These two cases illustrate how active extension is partitioned within soft- and hard-linkage configurations in two different sectors of the orogen. We interpret them to be inherited from pre-orogenic or contractional structures and we suggest that the two case studies represent distinct steps of progressive deformation in the evolution of the continental transverse fault zones within the Northern Apennines. We believe the Apennines is a key region for understanding how pre-existing transverse faults persist through an orogen's entire evolution, from undeformed foreland to subduction, the orogenic belt, and proximal to distal extensional domains.

How to cite: Lenci, S., Keir, D., Molli, G., Vannucchi, P., Del Ventisette, C., and Pagli, C.: Seismological Analysis of Active Transverse Faults in the rifted Northern Apennines: Insights into Fault Evolution, Linkage and Inheritance, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-12607, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-12607, 2025.

X2.91
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EGU25-13085
Lea Vidil, Elia d'Acremont, Laurent Emmanuel, Sara Lafuerza, Fabien Caroir, Sylvie Leroy, El Mehdi Latni, and Alain Rabaute and the Albacore-Albaneo teams

The Alboran Sea, located in the western Mediterranean is crossed from Spain to Morocco by a significant active fault system known as the Al Idrissi Fault System (AIFS). This predominantly sinistral strike-slip fault system formed to accommodate the oblique convergence between the African and Eurasian plates. It is characterized by moderate earthquakes (Mw > 6) aligned along NNE-SSW-oriented fault segments. The AIFS is considered a unique example of an emerging intracontinental plate boundary.

Along the AIFS, fault characteristics and long-term earthquake recurrence remain poorly understood. The ANR ALBANEO project aims to study the activity of key fault segments to advance our understanding of this strike-slip system. It will focus on the dynamic interactions between fault block displacement and sedimentation and seismic activity over time.

To achieve these objectives, various geological, geophysical, and geotechnical tools were used during the ALBACORE oceanographic campaign (R/V Pourquoi pas?, 2021, https://doi.org/10.17600/18001351). The data analyzed include (i) sediment calypso cores, (ii) piezocone penetration tests (CPTu), (iii) multibeam bathymetric data, and (iv) seismic reflection and sub-bottom profiles. This multi-proxy dataset, collected along a transect perpendicular to the Al Idrissi Fault System, provided detailed seismostratigraphy calibrated using identified seismic horizons, CPTu data, and sediment core dating.

Our study focuses on the northern part of the Al Idrissi volcano, where the Al Idrissi fault system has propagated southwards. In the study area, deformation is distributed as follows (i) the active Al Idrissi fault zone, characterized by a damage zone over 1.5 km wide, which disrupts the seafloor and offsets the volcano, and (ii) on the eastern fault compartment, a series of normal faults sealed by recent sedimentary layers. Interpretation, calibration, and correlation of the available data highlight that the cessation of activity in the eastern fault block was synchronous with the deposition of horizons H4 and H5, dated to 50 ka and 70 ka ± 7 ka, respectively. One of these inactive faults can be used to assess pre-70 ka paleoseismicity. At least five co-seismic displacements have been identified, which can be dated using an average sedimentation rate obtained from the sedimentary deposit and AMS dates obtained on the first meters of the cores.

Alongside fault activity, significant erosion has affected the eastern fault block, as evidenced by truncation surfaces seen atop units U5, U4, U3, and U2, spanning over 1.5 km. Horizon H1 marks the end of this erosional period, dated to prior to the Younger Dryas (14.4 ka). We hypothesize that this erosion was influenced by the dynamics of deep-water masses, influenced by climatic shifts during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and the vertical displacements linked to the main Al Idrissi fault's activity.

How to cite: Vidil, L., d'Acremont, E., Emmanuel, L., Lafuerza, S., Caroir, F., Leroy, S., Latni, E. M., and Rabaute, A. and the Albacore-Albaneo teams: Late Quaternary fault activity of the southern part of the Al Idrissi strike-slip fault system, Alboran sea: an integrated multi-proxy approach, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-13085, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13085, 2025.

X2.92
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EGU25-13766
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ECS
Martina Occhipinti, Filippo Carboni, Riccardo Lanari, Riccardo Gaspari, Fida Medina, Claudio Faccenna, Claudio Chiarabba, Taj-Eddine Cherkaoui, and Massimiliano Porreca

The integration of remote sensing, modelling methods and field observations has provided promising results in reconstructing a detailed seismotectonic setting referred to an earthquake, mostly for the recognition of the seismogenic tectonic structures and understanding the earthquake mechanism. In this study, a multidisciplinary approach is adopted for the recognition of the seismogenic fault responsible of the 8th September 2023 6.8 Mw Al Haouz earthquake (Western High Atlas, Morocco). Focal mechanisms for the earthquake indicate a compressive event with two nodal plane solutions: a high angle NW-dipping and a low angle SW-dipping plane.

Here, the DInSAR technique has been applied to generate displacement maps for vertical and horizontal (E-W) components for the detection of the coseismic displacement, alongside Okada fault modelling to obtain the theoretical displacement field for both nodal plane solutions. The DInSAR coseismic vertical deformation shows an asymmetric SW-verging uplift of the WHA, bounded to the south by the high-angle NW-dipping Tizi n’Test fault (TnTf). However, the comparison between observed DInSAR-based and the modelled deformation does not conclusively identify the causative fault.

Therefore, elastic modelling using the Triangular Elastic Dislocation (TDE) has been performed to simulate the real fault geometries corresponding to the outcropping faults which better reflect the characteristics of the two proposed nodal plane solutions. In this case, a good match between observed and modelled deformations has been detected for the NW-dipping fault (associable to the TnTf), whereas the SW-dipping fault (associable to the Jebilet thrust, JBt) appears to play a more passive role contributing for a minor amount to the observed deformation.

From the TDE, the Coulomb stress changes have been calculated for the TnTf, and the results have been compared with the aftershock distribution. The good agreement between the positive Coulomb stress changes referred to the NW-dipping fault and the distribution of the aftershocks allows to better constrain the TnTf as causative fault for the 2023 Al Haouz earthquake.

Such integration of observation and modelling methods, therefore, represents a good approach to formulate a novel and detailed reconstruction of the seismotectonic context of the Western High Atlas portion affected by the 2023 Al Haouz earthquake.

How to cite: Occhipinti, M., Carboni, F., Lanari, R., Gaspari, R., Medina, F., Faccenna, C., Chiarabba, C., Cherkaoui, T.-E., and Porreca, M.: Integrating DInSAR and modeling to constrain the seismogenic fault of the 2023 Mw 6.8 Al-Haouz earthquake: insights into the Western High Atlas seismotectonics, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-13766, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13766, 2025.

X2.93
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EGU25-8776
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ECS
Sofia Brando, Lorenzo Suranna, Davide Marchetti, Francesco Ferraioulo, Martina Pedicini, Noemi Corti, Federico Pasquarè Mariotto, Alessandro Tibaldi, and Fabio L. Bonali

The Fremri-Námur Fissure Swarm (FFS), located in the northern sector of the Icelandic rift, represents an ideal natural laboratory for investigating the interactions between magmatic intrusions and surface deformation. This region features a complex system of volcanic edifices, eruptive fissures, extensional fractures, and primarily normal faults. This swarm of structures, predominantly oriented NNE-SSW, spans approximately 160 km in length and up to 17 km in width. [NC1] This study focuses on exploring surface deformation dynamics induced by dyke intrusions in a specific area of the FFS, characterized by a volcanic cone and an asymmetrical central graben.

The volcanic cone under study is situated in the central-western part of the system and features a well-defined graben bordered by two major faults trending NNE-SSW, parallel to the cone maximum elongation axis. The cone measures approximately 3 km in length and 1.3 km in width, with an elongated shape consistent with the fracture orientation of the FFS. Geological mapping indicates that the cone is primarily composed of pillow lavas, hyaloclastites, and tuff from the latter half of the last glacial period. At its base, it contacts more recent lava flows, and scoria cones aligned parallel to the NNE-SSW direction are present on its western flank.

This study employs a multidisciplinary approach integrating advanced survey techniques, structural analysis, and numerical modelling. In situ data were acquired via aerial photogrammetry using drones and the MapIT app for georeferenced photos, enhancing lithological and structural characterization. Drone imagery was processed in Agisoft Metashape to produce a high-resolution 3D and 2D dataset, including an orthomosaic and a Digital Surface Model (DSM), providing a robust foundation for detailed geological structural analysis using GIS. This allowed for the identification of key structures and the measurement of fault offsets to analyse their relationship with the graben geometry.

Additionally, 2D numerical models were developed using the FEM software Comsol Multiphysics to investigate stress distribution and orientation at the dyke tip. These models explore the effect of factors such as dyke depth and inclination, Young’s modulus of the host rock, and topographical influences. Outputs show the distribution of tensile and von Mises stresses, the greatest compressive stress (σ1) and the least principal stress (σ3) to assess the relationship between the dyke intrusion and surface deformation. These models are ongoing, with results to be refined as additional data becomes available.

How to cite: Brando, S., Suranna, L., Marchetti, D., Ferraioulo, F., Pedicini, M., Corti, N., Pasquarè Mariotto, F., Tibaldi, A., and Bonali, F. L.: Fault Systems and Dyke-Induced Deformations: Insights from Drone Surveys and Numerical Modelling in the Fremri-Námur Area, Northern Iceland, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-8776, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-8776, 2025.

X2.94
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EGU25-14113
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ECS
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Wei Chang Hsu, Tien Kai Tang, Kenn Ming Yang, Being Zih Hsieh, and Ching Weei Lin

Taiwan lies at the collision zone between the Eurasian and Philippine Sea plates, leading to rapid crustal deformation in the mountain-building belt and making the region seismically active. The Liuchia Fault is one of the active faults in southwestern Taiwan, trending parallel to the stratal boundaries in the west-dipping forelimb of the Niushan Anticline in the western foothills and located not far from a high-tech industrial park producing semiconductors. Although geological and geophysical field surveys, as well as wellbore data, provide evidences for the existence of the Liuchia Fault, its subsurface structure, which is important for estimating earthquake potential, remains unclear. Several models for the fault-related fold have been proposed, including a detachment fold with or without breakthrough fault thrusting to the west, and a fault-propagation fold with westward vergence.

This study aims to propose a 3D geometry of the Liuchia Fault and the associated fold structure. We reconstruct several geological cross-sections based on surface and well data. On the surface, the Niushan Anticline axis is oriented N-S, with the hinge plunging to the north and south. The strata tilt westward at high angles as they approach the Liuchia Fault. In comparison, the east limb of the anticline, which is also cut off by another eastward-thrusting fault (the "A" fault), is steep but dips at a shallower angle. The linkage between the surface fault trace and the fault plane penetrated by wellbore data indicates that the Liuchia Fault thrusts to the west at an angle of approximately 30° to 40°. On the other hand, reconstruction of the balanced cross-section using surface and subsurface stratal dip angles shows that the subsurface Niushan Anticline is characterized by overturned layers in the forelimb (west limb) in its shallower part. The displacements of 200 meters along the Liuchia Fault and 170 meters along the "A" Fault, as estimated from wellbore data, could not fully explain the formation of the overturned strata. Here, we propose a new kinematic model different from the previous ones. There was once a blind fault beneath the present-day Niushan Anticline. This blind fault could have been a detachment fault, which formed the embryonic Niushan Anticline. The subsequent development of the Niushan Anticline resulted in the formation of the overturned strata, which in turn caused fold-accommodation faults, such as the Liuchia and "A" faults, which could be regarded as breakthrough faults cutting off both developing limbs of the detachment fold.

How to cite: Hsu, W. C., Tang, T. K., Yang, K. M., Hsieh, B. Z., and Lin, C. W.: Possible kinematic model for an active blind thrust fault in SW Taiwan: an example of fold-accommodation fault, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-14113, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-14113, 2025.

X2.95
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EGU25-2462
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ECS
Wan-Ting Wei, Yu-Chang Chan, En-Chao Yeh, and Yun-Pin Chen

The geological units of Taiwan are traditionally classified into five units from east to west: the Coastal Range, Backbone Range, Hsuehshan Range (HR), Western Foothills (WF), and Coastal Plain. While the boundaries between these tectonic units are generally associated with major faults, some of these boundaries remain inadequately defined and poorly understood. One notable example is the boundary between the WF and HR, which has historically been identified as the Chuchih Fault. However, biochronological research suggests that the Chuchih Fault does not coincide with the boundary between Paleogene and Neogene strata. Additionally, structural investigations indicate that certain segments of the Chuchih Fault lack the characteristics typically associated with a boundary fault, further complicating its role as a definitive cutoff line between these geological units. Due to limited exposure, there is insufficient field data near the boundary between the WF and HR within the Taoyuan geologic quadrangle area, and the detailed structural geometry remains unclear. In this study, Digital Elevation Modeling (DEM) derived from Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) is used to interpret macroscopic geological structures, which are often covered by vegetation. We used the open-access 3D DEM (20-meter resolution) and overlaid it with a 2D high-resolution hillshade image to explore the geology from multiple perspectives in a 3D GIS environment. Faults and folds with wavelengths of several kilometers are determined based on the bedding lineation. In the Taoyuan geological quadrangle, the detailed distribution and thickness of the strata, along with the geometry of folds and faults, are delineated. This analysis reveals the complex geological structures that define the boundary between the HR and WF and illustrates how these structural patterns evolve from the northeast to the southwest within the study area. The fault trace and displacement along the Chuchih Fault have been revised. Several minor faults that may be associated with folding are revealed. Additionally, close to open synclines plunging to the southwest are identified, with anticlines or faults occurring between them. The application of LiDAR DEM for refining geological structural mapping between the WF and HR proves to be a feasible and effective method. The enhanced understanding of structural geometry in the study area indicates that the boundary between the WF and HR is significantly more complex than previously thought. It should not be narrowly defined as a single fault, such as the Chuchih Fault, but rather as a structural zone with intricate fault and fold interactions.

How to cite: Wei, W.-T., Chan, Y.-C., Yeh, E.-C., and Chen, Y.-P.: Using 3D LiDAR Geological Mapping to Improve the Structural Geometry at the Boundary Between Two Geologic Units: A Case Study of the Taoyuan Quadrangle, Taiwan, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-2462, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-2462, 2025.

X2.96
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EGU25-8000
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ECS
Application of comprehensive geophysical-drilling exploration to detectthe buried Shunyi active fault belt in Beijing, China
(withdrawn)
Bangshen Qi, Chengjun Feng, Chengxuan Tan, Peng Zhang, Jing Meng, and Xiaoxiao Yang
X2.97
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EGU25-8997
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ECS
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Mattia Pizzati, Stefano Aretusini, Elena Spagnuolo, Luca Aldega, Anita Torabi, Fabrizio Storti, and Fabrizio Balsamo

The seismogenic zone is the locus of most earthquakes occurring in the Earth’s crust and is located in a depth interval from 5 to 35 km. The shallow portion (< 5 km) of the seismogenic zone is considered stable, as crosscuts low cohesion, water saturated, rocks and sediments. Nevertheless, many earthquakes have been documented at depths shallower than 5 km in different geodynamic settings. Such shallow, and still poorly understood, seismicity could represent an additional threat to be accounted for in seismically active regions.

To provide new hints on this subject, we present the results of a multidisciplinary study dealing with near-surface earthquake deformation recorded along an extensional fault zone affecting high porosity, Plio-Pleistocene age, sandstone. The studied fault zone is exposed along the Vitravo Creek canyon, in the Crotone Basin, South Italy. The cumulated displacement reaches ~50 m, and deformation is accommodated by the development of deformation bands and secondary faults, both in the footwall and hanging wall blocks. Within the fault core, where most of the displacement is accommodated, a 2-3 cm-thick dark gouge layer can be found. The gouge is continuous along the entire outcrop exposure and locally has been injected into the joints affecting the calcite cemented fault core. Secondary, thinner (~1 mm-thick), gouge layers are present a few cm away from the main one in the hanging wall block. Microstructural and particle size analyses conducted on the dark gouge allowed to document a severe cataclastic grain size reduction and a marked gradient in comminution from the footwall towards the hanging wall side. XRD mineralogical analysis performed on the < 2 µm size fraction of the dark gouge, revealed up to 60% of illite in the illite-smectite short-ordered mixed layers, suggesting deformation temperature up to 100-120 °C. XRD analyses conducted on control samples collected along the entire fault zone returned estimated deformation temperatures of < 50 °C, compatible with the maximum sediment overburden (< 800 m). The anomalous and localized increase in temperature within the dark gouge has been linked with flash-frictional heating processes during coseismic deformation under shallow burial conditions. Frictional laboratory experiments run on natural host sand samples collected along the fault zone allowed to constrain their mechanical behavior at aseismic (100 µm/s) and coseismic (1 m/s) slip rates, under different water contents (dry vs water saturated) and at different normal loading-burial conditions (10-20 MPa). The experimental gouge displayed similar micro-textural characteristics compared to their natural counterparts. The multidisciplinary approach combining field-structural survey and mapping, microstructural-textural and mineralogical analysis with rock mechanics experiments could be useful to the study of shallow coseismic deformation of sediments and high porosity rocks. The systematic implementation of such approach to several fault zones and fault systems could enhance and improve the earthquake risk and hazard assessment in seismically active regions, unveiling shallow, previously unknown, seismic sources.

How to cite: Pizzati, M., Aretusini, S., Spagnuolo, E., Aldega, L., Torabi, A., Storti, F., and Balsamo, F.: Near-surface earthquake rupturing in high-porosity sandstone documented by a combined meso-microstructural, mineralogical, and experimental approach (Crotone forearc Basin, Italy), EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-8997, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-8997, 2025.

X2.98
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EGU25-18558
Camanni Giovanni, Grazia De Landro, Stefano Mazzoli, Maddalena Michele, Titouan Muzellec, Alessandra Ascione, David P. Schaff, Stafania Tarantino, and Aldo Zollo

The Irpinia region is one of the most seismically active areas of Italy owing to continuing, late-orogenic extension in the axial zone of the Apennine mountain belt. However, the 3D architecture and the nature of the faults that drive this extension are still uncertain, posing challenges to seismic hazard assessment. Here, we address these uncertainties by integrating a new catalogue of high-resolution micro-seismicity (ML < 3.5), complemented by earthquake focal mechanisms, with existing 3D seismic velocity models and geological data. We found that micro-seismicity is primarily taking place along a segmented, approximately 60 km long, deep-seated, Mesozoic normal fault that was inverted during the shortening stages of the Apennine orogeny and then extensionally reactivated during the Quaternary. These findings suggest that multiple events of reactivation of long-lived faults can weaken their strength, making them prone to co-seismic remobilization under newly imposed strain fields in active mountain belts.

How to cite: Giovanni, C., De Landro, G., Mazzoli, S., Michele, M., Muzellec, T., Ascione, A., Schaff, D. P., Tarantino, S., and Zollo, A.: Active extension in the axial zone of the southern Apennines (Italy) is driven by the remobilization of inverted normal faults, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-18558, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-18558, 2025.

X2.99
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EGU25-7300
|
ECS
Lorenzo Suranna, Grazia Caielli, Fabio L. Bonali, Nicola Piana Agostinetti, Roberto de Franco, Alberto Villa, Graziano Boniolo, Davide Rusconi, Noemi Corti, Marta Arcangeli, Filippo Bianchi, Maria E. Poli, Giulia Patricelli, and Alessandro Tibaldi

This study evaluates the effectiveness of standard seismic reflection/refraction acquisition system and Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) in detecting the buried segment of the Budoia-Aviano Thrust in northeastern Italy. It is conducted as part of the NASA4SHA PRIN Project, “Fault segmentation and seismotectonics of active thrust systems: the Northern Apennines and Southern Alps laboratories for new Seismic Hazard Assessments in northern Italy.”
Within the seismotectonic framework of the eastern Southern Alps the Budoia-Aviano Thrust accommodates regional compressional deformation in a low strain-rate setting (Poli et al., 2014; Patricelli et al., 2024). Many geological and morphotectonic evidence testify the recent activity of the Budoia-Aviano Thrust. Considering the significant historical seismicity of the area, understanding the fault’s geometry and kinematics is crucial for seismic hazard assessment and for advancing knowledge of active thrust systems and blind faults in the region.
To investigate the fault’s hidden geometry, four seismic lines were acquired: one in the Aviano and three in the Budoia  municipalities respectively. Seismic waves were generated using as source a seismic shotgun and recorded using two complementary methods. Geophones (4.5 Hz, 5m spacing) were selected for their deeper penetration capability, while DAS, with its 1m spatial sampling, provided higher-resolution imaging of shallow features. Both acquisition system were deployed under similar conditions to facilitate comparison and integration of the datasets.
Preliminary results reveal key insights into the subsurface structure. Seismic reflection data identify offset stratigraphic layering and discontinuities suggestive of potential fault traces, aligning with the expected thrust geometry. Seismic refraction delineates velocity variations corresponding to lithological contrasts and deformation zones, adding constraints on fault characterization. The DAS data, still under analysis, is expected to enhance imaging of subtle near-surface features, complementing the ‘geophones’ ability to image deeper structures.
The results highlight the complementary strengths of geophones and DAS: geophones excel at imaging deeper fault geometries critical for defining the thrust structure, while DAS captures detailed variations near the surface. The integrated datasets adopt a multi-scale geophysical approach, improving the resolution of the Budoia-Aviano Thrust’s buried segment.
This research provides valuable insights into the geometry and kinematics of active thrust systems in the eastern Southern Alps, contributing to improved seismic hazard assessments and informing future geophysical investigations in similar tectonic settings.

How to cite: Suranna, L., Caielli, G., Bonali, F. L., Piana Agostinetti, N., de Franco, R., Villa, A., Boniolo, G., Rusconi, D., Corti, N., Arcangeli, M., Bianchi, F., Poli, M. E., Patricelli, G., and Tibaldi, A.: Innovative Approaches to Fault Detection: Integrating Geophones and DAS in the Budoia-Aviano Thrust Case Study, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-7300, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-7300, 2025.

X2.100
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EGU25-16036
Vincenzo Sapia, Fabio Villani, Federico Fischanger, Paolo Marco De Martini, Valentina Romano, Valerio Materni, Paola Baccheschi, Alessandra Smedile, Stefano Maraio, Alessandra Sciarra, Riccardo Civico, Luca Miconi, Carlo Alberto Brunori, Matteo Lupi, and Luigi Improta

The Molise-Sannio region, in the axial portion of the Southern Apennines (Italy), is a fold-and-thrust belt where the Late Miocene to Early Pleistocene compressional tectonics has been overprinted by a younger extensional stress regime responsible for a significant degree of seismicity, and which is coexisting with strike-slip faulting to the north-east. Active faults in this area are known to be capable of generating M6+ earthquakes. The goal of the MOSAICMO project (Molise SAnnio integrated crustal Model) is to develop a comprehensive multiscale crustal model of the Molise-Sannio region by combining seismological, geophysical and geological data, with a specific focus on the Quaternary intramontane Bojano basin (BB). The latter is a NE-trending depression whose genesis is debated, since according to recent studies it appears to be controlled by a system of NE-dipping active fault segments present on the southern side, while other studies claim the importance of SW-dipping faults on the other side of the basin. Indeed, the subsurface geometry and deep structure of the BB are poorly constrained by available geological data, which hampers a correct recognition of the master faults and their possible seismogenic significance. Resolving this ambiguity is a priority task that can be accomplished through an integrated geological and geophysical approach. In this project framework, multi-disciplinary geophysical studies were conducted to study the BB at different scales and resolutions, by interpreting subsurface geophysical parameters (e.g. electrical resistivity, seismic velocities, etc.) in terms of lithology and mechanical properties. Electrical methods have proven to be a powerful tool in imaging complex subsurface geology. By measuring the resistance of subsurface materials to electrical current flow, these methods can differentiate between various geological structures such as faults, basin infill sediments and basement rock types, providing high spatial resolution and significant investigation depth. 3D electrical resistivity tomography has often been used in recent years to image conductive bodies covering high-resistivity structures, such as tectonic basins or hydrothermal systems in volcanic regions. Here, we present a challenging case study for 3D geoelectrical imaging: a continental tectonic basin filled with low to moderately resistive sediments emplaced on conductive clayey-arenaceous rocks. The integration of different resistivity data (ERT and ResLog) with other geophysical methods, like seismic and magnetic surveys, further refines subsurface imaging, ensuring robust and reliable geological interpretations. We present the first 3D electrical resistivity model of the BB, down to 500 m depth, complemented by several 2-D ERT profiles calibrated with shallow boreholes. Subsurface geophysical models were further constrained by a scientific drilling, 170-m-deep, that we performed also to obtain new stratigraphic and geochronological data on the basin sedimentary sequence. This represents an important contribution to the understanding of the regional seismotectonic setting and, locally, the seismogenic sources surrounding the BB.

How to cite: Sapia, V., Villani, F., Fischanger, F., De Martini, P. M., Romano, V., Materni, V., Baccheschi, P., Smedile, A., Maraio, S., Sciarra, A., Civico, R., Miconi, L., Brunori, C. A., Lupi, M., and Improta, L.: Integrated geophysical and geological surveys for 3D modeling of complex geological structures: an application to the study of active faults in the southern Apennines (MOSAICMO Project), EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-16036, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-16036, 2025.

X2.101
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EGU25-15222
Rita de Nardis, Alessandro Vuan, Gemma Maria Cipressi, Luca Carbone, Donato Talone, Maria Adelaide Romano, and Giusy Lavecchia

Transient aseismic processes, driven by fluid movement, fault creeping, and slow slip events, can further influence earthquake distribution, primarily due to tectonic loading. Analyzing seismicity clusters induced by these transient processes is highly valuable for understanding fluid circulation dynamics (De Barros et al., 2021) and unraveling the geological complexities of tectonic structures that influence the spatiotemporal evolution of seismicity within complex fault systems (Ross et al., 2019: de Nardis et al., 2024).

To perform such analysis, it is essential to utilize comprehensive and accurate seismic catalogs with higher spatiotemporal resolution than the standard ones. From this perspective, we analyzed seismic activity in a high-seismic-hazard area of the central-southern Apennines in Italy, characterized by a complex fault network. This region, which has experienced large earthquakes in the past, has remained relatively quiet in recent years.

To explore the spatial relationships between background seismicity, clustered seismicity, and Quaternary geological structures, we examined seismic activity over 37 years (1981–2018) across various crustal depths. The whole dataset was split into three periods with consistent magnitude completeness (1981–2005, 2006–2011, and 2012–2018). For the 2012–2018 period, during which the seismic network configuration was stable, we applied a filter-matching technique to refine the catalog. This analysis identified 72 spatiotemporal clusters and established a baseline seismicity rate. Seismic sequences and swarm activities were distinguished, and their spatial distribution was analyzed concerning active faults, Vp/Vs ratios, and CO2 anomalies.

The seismicity in this area appears to be primarily localized between 10 and 14 km. A noteworthy finding is the absence of significant seismicity at depths < 10 km, which could suggest significant coupling of the shallower faults. These tectonic structures remain locked, preventing fluid ascent, but triggering seismic clusters at greater depths. Our results have helped to constrain some segments of active seismogenic structures at depth, enhancing the understanding of the area's seismogenic potential and seismic hazard, which remains high due to the occurrence of strong seismic sequences in the past.

De Barros, L., Wynants-Morel, N., Cappa, F., & Danré, P. (2021). Migration of fluid-induced seismicity reveals the seismogenic state of faults. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 126, e2021JB022767. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JB022767

de Nardis, R., Vuan, A., Carbone, L. et al. (2024). Interplay of tectonic and dynamic processes shaping multilayer extensional system in southern-central Apennines Sci Rep 14, 18375 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-69118-8.

Ross, Z. E., Trugman, D. T., Hauksson, E. & Shearer, P. M. (2019). Searching for hidden earthquakes in Southern California. Science 364, 767–771.

How to cite: de Nardis, R., Vuan, A., Cipressi, G. M., Carbone, L., Talone, D., Romano, M. A., and Lavecchia, G.: Unveiling the roots of seismogenic faults in central southern Apennines, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-15222, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-15222, 2025.

X2.102
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EGU25-19026
Daniele Cirillo, Giusy Lavecchia, Carmelo Monaco, Federica Ferrarini, Federico Pietrolungo, Simone Bello, Carlo Andrenacci, Anna Chiara Tangari, Marco Battistelli, Donato Talone, Ambra Palmucci, Valeriano Pio Santoro, and Francesco Brozzetti

The Crati Basin, located in Northern Calabria (Southern Italy), is a tectonically active region with complex fault systems and notable seismic activity (Brozzetti et al., 2017a; 2017b; Cirillo et al., 2022; Lavecchia et al., 2024). Understanding the tectonic dynamics of this area is essential for evaluating the current seismic hazards. This study presents a comprehensive 3D fault modelling approach that integrates geological field observations, topographic analysis, interpretation of high-resolution seismic reflection profiles, and geodetic measurements to map the fault system surface traces, define subsurface geometries and, ultimately, relate all the data to surface deformation. Integrating different datasets allowed building a detailed 3D structural model that provides insights into the spatial distribution and activity of fault systems in the basin.

The findings highlight active fault segments, primarily exhibiting normal kinematics associated, in some cases, with a minor strike-slip component, consistent with the region's extensional tectonic regime. Moreover, the faults’s geometries are compatible with the recorded seismicity and related to geodetic data, emphasizing their role in earthquake generation and surface deformation. Seismic hazard assessment, based on the integrated model, identifies high-risk areas, particularly at fault intersections and zones of active strain, where seismic activity and surface deformation are more pronounced. In our study, we identify a 60-km-long, east-dipping master fault, as the primary structural feature controlling the Crati Basin, referred to as the Crati Graben Detachment Fault (CGDF). This fault represents the main expression of Quaternary extension in the area. It is characterized by a low-angle, east-dipping normal fault that outcrops along the eastern border of the Catena Costiera Calabra. The CGDF plays a pivotal role in shaping the basin, influencing its deep geometry and depositional evolution. It acts as a detachment horizon for both the synthetic high-angle normal faults (E-ENE dipping) and the antithetic high-angle normal faults (W-WSW dipping), which define the western and eastern boundaries of the basin, respectively.

This comprehensive approach highlights the importance of integrating geological, geophysical, and geodetic data to construct reliable fault models for seismic hazard analysis in active tectonic regions. The results offer a basic framework for better understanding the active tectonics in Northern Calabria and provide valuable insights for regional planning and risk mitigation strategies.

 

References

Brozzetti, F., Cirillo, D., Liberi, F., et al.,: Structural style of Quaternary extension in the Crati Valley (Calabrian Arc): evidence in support of an east-dipping detachment fault, Italian Journal of Geosciences, 136, 434-453, 10.3301/IJG.2017.11, 2017

Brozzetti, F., Cirillo, D., de Nardis, R., et al.,: Newly identified active faults in the Pollino seismic gap, southern Italy, and their seismotectonic significance, Journal of Structural Geology, 94, 13-31, 10.1016/j.jsg.2016.10.005, 2017

Cirillo, D., Totaro, C., Lavecchia, G., et al.,: Structural complexities and tectonic barriers controlling recent seismic activity in the Pollino area (Calabria–Lucania, southern Italy) – constraints from stress inversion and 3D fault model building, Solid Earth, 13, 205-228, 10.5194/se-13-205-2022, 2022

Lavecchia, G., Bello, S., Andrenacci, C., Cirillo, D., et al.,: QUIN 2.0 - new release of the QUaternary fault strain INdicators database from the Southern Apennines of Italy, Sci Data, 11, 189, 10.1038/s41597-024-03008-6, 2024

How to cite: Cirillo, D., Lavecchia, G., Monaco, C., Ferrarini, F., Pietrolungo, F., Bello, S., Andrenacci, C., Tangari, A. C., Battistelli, M., Talone, D., Palmucci, A., Santoro, V. P., and Brozzetti, F.: 3D Fault Modelling of the Crati Basin (Northern Calabria, Southern Italy): Integrating Geology, Seismic Interpretation, Earthquake Analysis, and Geodetic Data for Hazard Assessment in an Active Tectonic Region., EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-19026, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-19026, 2025.

X2.103
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EGU25-21729
Marco Francescone and Alberto Pizzi

Major normal fault systems are composed of segments that link as displacement accumulates, with linkage zone characteristics that reveal fault zone evolution. The steeply southwest-dipping Aremogna Fault (ACF) and Cinque Miglia Fault (CMF) in the southeastern Abruzzo region (Central Apennines - Italy), are connected by a complex relay zone that developed between the two subparallel NW-striking segments, 2-4 km away from the main villages. The overall normal fault system is 16 km long and range bounding, with adjacent intermontane basins: the Aremogna plain at an average elevation of 1450-1500 m a.s.l. to the south, and the Cinque Miglia one (1250 m a.s.l.) to the north filled by glacial- fluvioglacial and alluvial-lacustrine deposits, respectively. Geologic map data derived from a field survey and nine cross-sections reveal synthetic and antithetic Quaternary normal active segments, showing a range of geometries including along strike-changes and step-overs. First results from displacement profiles suggest that deformation at the relay zone between ACF and CMF was initially dominated by two overlapping subparallel faults that became linked toward the south. With a complex fault network, the present-day setting shows offsets that transition smoothly from the lower displacement (~500 m) southern segment to the higher displacement (~1000 m) northern segment. The cumulative offset is also assessed on each fault portion towards the north exhibiting morphological evidence of activity by topographic profiles extracted from a high-resolution DEM and then compared with geological throws. That transition, combined with extensional deformation within the zone, suggests that connected Aremogna-Cinque Miglia Fault System (ACMFS) could be associated with future major ruptures as identified in paleoseismological studies (D’Addezio et al., 2001). The model of fault evolution presented here has implications also for those investigating seismic hazards.

How to cite: Francescone, M. and Pizzi, A.: Comparing cumulative displacements at various time scales: insights into complex segment linkage along an active extensional system, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-21729, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-21729, 2025.

X2.104
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EGU25-12632
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Deborah Di Naccio, Angela Stallone, and Michele MC Carafa

In the past decade, seismic hazard assessment has increasingly relied on innovative approaches based on seismotectonic models for accurate physics-based short-term and long-term forecasts. Ensuring consistency and homogenization is essential when assembling data for a scientifically robust seismotectonic model. Additionally, a rigorous probabilistic framework is necessary to properly explore the uncertainties related to the seismotectonic model components, including geometric and kinematic characteristics (e.g., length, strike, dip, depth, and rake), and seismotectonic potential (e.g., long-term slip rate, and Mw).

In this contribution, we focus on the Mt. Morrone active fault in the central Apennines, which has a seismotectonic potential Mw+6.7 but has been silent for the past 1.8 kyr. We modeled the fault and used smoothed boxcar functions as probability density functions (PDFs) for the source parameters (Mw, Hypocenter coordinates, Strike, Dip, Rake). We then generated an ensemble of source scenarios by randomly sampling from these PDFs. This approach allowed us to encompass the uncertainty associated with the Mt. Morrone fault model by defining a set of plausible rupture scenarios, all compatible with the modeled fault. In order to assess the impact of source uncertainty on ground-motion predictions, we implemented ProbShakemap [Stallone et al., 2024], a Python toolbox designed for rapid earthquake source uncertainty propagation to ground-shaking estimates. Our test case includes all municipalities within the region as Point of Interest (POI) highlighting the importance of understanding ground shaking impact for effective land-use planning and risk mitigation.

How to cite: Di Naccio, D., Stallone, A., and Carafa, M. M.: The Mt. Morrone seismotectonic source: analysis of fault model uncertainty for Ground Motion Prediction, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-12632, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-12632, 2025.

X2.105
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EGU25-636
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ECS
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Mısra Gedik, Tülay Kaya Eken, and Haluk Özener

Türkiye is known as one of the most seismically active regions in the world due to its rapidly deforming tectonic properties that has been developed by the northward movement of the African and Arabian plates relative to the Eurasian plate. These plate movements caused the Anatolian plate to be compressed in the east and move westward, resulting in the formation of the most important tectonic structures in the region, the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ) with ∼1500 km length and right-lateral strike-slip motion in the east-west direction, and the East Anatolian Fault Zone (EAFZ) with ∼700 km length and left-lateral strike-slip motion in the northeast direction.  Historical records show that seismic energy release along the NAFZ migrated westward with large earthquakes, i.e., the 1939 Erzincan earthquake (Mw7.9), 1942 Erbaa-Niksar earthquake (Mw7.0), 1999 İzmit earthquake (Mw7.4), and 1999 Düzce earthquake (Mw7.2). However, two significant seismic gaps exist throughout the NAFZ; Marmara and Yedisu. We, in particular, examined the Yedisu Seismic Gap (YSG) in this study, by investigating the interrelationships between seismicity, Coulomb stress changes, seismotectonic b-values, and surface deformation with the aim of understanding the characteristics and seismic hazard potential in and around the YSG. More specifically, we analyzed the seismic activity of the eastern NAFZ extending from the Erzincan basin to the Karlıova Triple Junction (KTJ) using earthquake catalogs from 1900 to 2024, which include both Mw≥1 earthquakes and Mw≥4 earthquakes. 3D Coulomb stress change behavior was compared with the background seismicity pattern in the region. We further performed a joint interpretation of lateral variation of statistical b-values, seismic P- and S-wave speeds, and InSAR-based surface deformation in order to understand possible regions of asperities or high pore-pressure where the accumulated stress often released due to the decreasing normal stress on the fault. Our preliminary results indicate that the stress has been transferred to the YSG following the 14 June 2020 Mw5.7 Karlıova earthquake. The results of our multi-data analysis will provide invaluable insight into the current seismic hazard potential of the YSG, which will be essential for future urban planning in this region.

How to cite: Gedik, M., Kaya Eken, T., and Özener, H.: Seismic Hazard Potential in and around the Yedisu Seismic Gap: Implications from Seismological and Geodetic Constraints, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-636, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-636, 2025.

X2.107
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EGU25-16349
Barbara Orecchio, Andrea Billi, Fabio Corbi, Marco Cuffaro, Mimmo Palano, Debora Presti, and Cristina Totaro

Devastating earthquakes continue to surprise scientists, especially when they exhibit unexpected characteristics, such as the 2023 doublet of Mw>7.5 earthquakes in a day along the same fault system in eastern Türkiye. These earthquakes struck the East Anatolian Fault, a major >600 km long tectonic boundary, separating the Anatolian, Arabian, and Eurasian plates, resulting in approximately 60,000 fatalities in Türkiye and Syria and causing more slip than expected. Occurrences of temporally and spatially close earthquakes are hence rare and unmissable opportunities to advance our understanding of active fault mechanics and regional hazard. Such superevents could be part of a supercycle, wherein the likelihood of a large earthquake is determined by accumulated strain rather than time since past earthquakes. To advance our understanding of multiple earthquakes along fault systems and hence of seismic supercycles, we compare tectonic and seismological features of the two 2023 earthquake sequences near Pazarcik and Elbistan with those of the two previous Mw≥6.1 sequences, which occurred in 2010 and 2020, respectively, near Elâzığ along the northeastern East Anatolian Fault. We examined the four strong sequences along the East Anatolian Fault within a multimillennial context of historical seismicity and discovered progressively younger and nonuniform earthquakes moving southwestward. This pattern corresponds to a general progression and dispersion of seismic ruptures southwestward and we use it as a proxy to understand the mechanism of at least two major supercycles identified over the last two millennia. The supercycles evolved from the northeast spreading southwestward with an increasing number of earthquakes. Earthquakes to the northeast are spatially and kinematically well channelized along the main fault, efficiently translating slip toward the southwest, where dispersed and kinematically nonuniform earthquakes are triggered by the push from the northeast, until a new supercycle restarts from the northeast. Insights from recent events offer a crucial framework for interpreting past supercycles and enhancing seismic hazard assessment, providing essential guidance for future mitigation strategies.

How to cite: Orecchio, B., Billi, A., Corbi, F., Cuffaro, M., Palano, M., Presti, D., and Totaro, C.: Nonuniform seismic unzipping of East Anatolian Fault reveals supercycle behavior, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-16349, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-16349, 2025.

X2.108
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EGU25-1491
Alexander L. Peace, Joseph I. Boyce, Abigail Clark, Lawrence Wejuli, and Wayna Sattar

Seismicity in eastern North America occurs in sporadic clusters distal from plate boundaries throughout western Quebec and continues with typically lower magnitude and frequency events in southern Ontario and the Great Lakes region. Although M4-5 earthquakes have been recorded in southern Ontario, there is limited understanding of regional seismogenic structures, the state of stress, and reactivation potential of basement faults. Stress-release structures, such as ‘pop-ups’, whilst somewhat rare and poorly documented, have been previously reported across the region. These structures can be produced by far-field intraplate tectonic processes far from plate boundaries, and thus can be used infer stress states and assess seismic hazard potential. 
This study aims to document, analyse, and interpret potential stress release features, including pop-ups, in southern Ontario, Canada. Employing a DJI Matrice 350 RTK with an L2 LiDAR payload and Emlid RS3 DGPS, we conducted a high-resolution (sub-cm) LiDAR and photogrammetry survey of well-exposed pop-ups at Wainfleet Wetlands, a former aggregate quarry located ~4 km west of Port Colborne, Ontario. 250 MHz ground-penetrating radar (GPR) profiles were also collected along several transects across the folds. Previous work here had identified at least two ~NW-SE oriented curvilinear pop-up structures ~100 m each in length within Devonian dolomitic limestones of the Onondaga Formation. The features exhibit en-echelon fractures with stepovers, indicating complex fault geometries and reactivation history. 
Regional estimates of the maximum horizontal stress (σH) suggest σH is ~NE-SW, consistent with the pop-up orientations and formation by far-field intraplate stresses.  FracPaQ analysis of fracture orientation, density (P20) and intensity (P21) on UAV-orthomosaics reveals deviations from regional fracture orientations and an increase in P20 and P21 proximal to pop-ups compared to nearby outcrops on the Lake Erie shoreline. GPR profiles imaged the internal geometry of fold structures to a depth of > 5 m.
The pop-ups are interpreted as stress-release buckles triggered by local overburden removal during quarrying. This initial work indicates that stress-release structures are perhaps more widespread, and structurally complex, in southern Ontario than previously considered, and that they may inherit complex geometries from deep-seated faults. Our work underscores the need to seek out and document other potential stress-release structures elsewhere in the region to elucidate their implications for intraplate stress and thus seismic hazards.

How to cite: Peace, A. L., Boyce, J. I., Clark, A., Wejuli, L., and Sattar, W.: UAV-LiDAR-Photogrammetry analyses of Stress-Release Structures in Southern Ontario, Canada: Implications for Regional Seismic Hazard Assessment, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-1491, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-1491, 2025.

X2.109
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EGU25-17433
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ECS
Dani Forester and Gregory P. De Pascale

In the past century, seismicity in Tröllaskagi, North Iceland, has resulted in infrastructure damage and landscape changes. However, the faults responsible for these events (up to Mw 6.3) and the persistent trend of microseismicity in the region, the Dalvik Lineament (DL), are poorly understood. Drone surveys, fieldwork, and remote sensing methods were used to map faults, dikes, and Quaternary elements such as large landslides along the DL. Preliminary results include the observation that landslide distribution and frequency correlate with seismicity along the DL and that dikes found in the field share the same orientation as trends present in the microseismicity data in locations with high concentrations of landslides. Microseismicity trends and dikes are oriented north-south in Tröllaskagi, and many of the landslides have headscarps coincident with dikes. While prior studies suggest that landslide events were triggered by glacial debuttressing, our data suggest additional seismic and structural controls on failure in the Tröllaskagi region. These landslides also provide insight into the location of sometimes concealed yet active faults, where abundant moss cover and geomorphological processes (i.e., slope creep) obscure neotectonic features. Finally, low-temperature geothermal fields in Tröllaskagi align with the dikes, emphasizing the importance of geological structures in controlling subsurface fluid flow. 

How to cite: Forester, D. and De Pascale, G. P.: New preliminary insights into the Dalvik Lineament in North Iceland, earthquakes, landslides, dikes, and geothermal resources, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-17433, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-17433, 2025.

X2.110
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EGU25-18876
Maria Giulia Di Giuseppe, Monica Sposato, Roberto Isaia, Antonio Troiano, Alessandro Fedele, Tommaso Pivetta, Stefano Carlino, Emanuela Falcucci, and Stefano Gori

This study aims to identify and characterize structures through geophysical investigations within a sector of the central Apennines (Central Italy). The research focuses on the L’Aquila-Scoppito Basin (ASB), which constitutes the western part of the larger L’Aquila intermontane basin. This area is notable for its high density of Quaternary faults and urban settlements of significant historical value. ASB is bounded by active normal faults responsible for significant historical and recent seismicity, with events of magnitude of up to M 6.5-7, including the Mw 6.29 earthquake that struck L’Aquila on April 6, 2009. The destructive effects of these events, including severe damage to the historic downtown and surrounding areas, are primarily attributed to the basin’s complex active faulting architecture.

To enhance the understanding of the subsurface structure, a combined audiomagnetotelluric (AMT) and gravity survey was carried out. Based on the inversion of data collected from 17 independent soundings in the study area, the AMT modelling provided a 2D electrical resistivity model of the subsurface. This model, integrated with surface geology and stratigraphic data from both deep and shallow boreholes, revealed the major structures of the ASB down to a depth of at least 1.5 km below ground level. Gravity observations were processed to obtain the Free-air, Bouguer and residual anomalies, along the same profile of the AMT, consisting of 14 points; the residual anomalies were modelled along the 2D profile, using the AMT results to constrain the subsurface bodies geometry. 

The integration of these datasets enabled the development of a detailed geological model of the subsurface and the identification of several faults. These findings contribute to the understanding of the fault architecture, that conditioned the evolution of the basin over the past 3-4 million years, and that controls the seismotectonic setting of this region.

 

How to cite: Di Giuseppe, M. G., Sposato, M., Isaia, R., Troiano, A., Fedele, A., Pivetta, T., Carlino, S., Falcucci, E., and Gori, S.: Audio-magnetotelluric and gravity surveys in Tectonically Active area: a case study of the L'Aquila-Scoppito Basin (central Italy), EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-18876, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-18876, 2025.

X2.111
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EGU25-18994
Alessandra Esposito, Federico Pietrolungo, Giuseppe Pezzo, Aladino Govoni, Gaia Soldati, Mirko Iannarelli, Andrea Terribili, Claudio Chiarabba, and Mimmo Palano

The Aeolian Archipelago, situated in the Southern Tyrrhenian Sea, is a region where active fault systems and volcanic activities converge, making it a focal point for geodynamic studies. The Aeolian-Tindari-Letojanni (ATL) and Sisifo-Alicudi fault systems, located in the western portion of the archipelago, are key structures influencing the region's deformation patterns. To monitor and analyze these geodynamic processes, particularly concerning seismic and volcanic hazards, Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) observations are indispensable. In June 2023, a new local GNSS network was established on Salina Island, comprising five stations equipped with STONEX SC600+ GNSS receivers and SA1200 GNSS antennas. This network aims to provide high-precision data to better understand the island's deformation patterns and contribute to the broader geodynamic monitoring of the Aeolian Archipelago. Salina Island itself is composed of several stratovolcanoes, including Monte Fossa delle Felci and Monte dei Porri, which have been inactive in the Holocene epoch. The island's geological composition and proximity to active fault systems make it a critical location for monitoring ground deformation and assessing potential geohazards. The implementation of the GNSS network on Salina Island enhances the existing geodetic infrastructure in the Aeolian Islands, complementing other monitoring techniques such as Multi-Temporal Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (MT-InSAR) (Pezzo et al., 2023). These combined methodologies allow for a comprehensive analysis of ground deformation, improving the understanding of volcanic and seismic hazards in the region. We evaluate the quality and continuity of the first two years GNSS data, assessing signal performance including multipath errors and cycle-slip occurrences and analysing time series, computed by using GAMIT/GLOBK 10.71 software, (Herring et al., 2018). Results indicate that the newly installed stations provide robust measurements, with error values consistent with international standards and comparable across the network.

Bibliography

  • Herring, T.A., Floyd, M., Perry, M., 2018. Herring et al., 2018 - GAMIT-GLOBK for GNSS. GAMIT-GLOBK GNSS 1–48.
  • Pezzo, G., Palano, M., Beccaro, L., Tolomei, C., Albano, M., Atzori, S., Chiarabba, C., 2023. Coupling Flank Collapse and Magma Dynamics on Stratovolcanoes: The Mt. Etna Example from InSAR and GNSS Observations. Remote Sens. 15, 847. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15030847

How to cite: Esposito, A., Pietrolungo, F., Pezzo, G., Govoni, A., Soldati, G., Iannarelli, M., Terribili, A., Chiarabba, C., and Palano, M.: New GNSS Network on Salina Island: A Key Element in the Geodynamic Framework, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-18994, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-18994, 2025.

X2.112
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EGU25-18914
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ECS
Federica Davani, Iolanda Gaudiosi, Maurizio Simionato, Grazia Maria Caielli, Graziano Boniolo, Attilio Porchia, Giuseppe Tortorici, Jessica Bellanova, Giuseppe Calamita, Angela Perrone, Sabatino Piscitelli, Luca Maria Puzzilli, Vincenzo Di Fiore, Marco Mancini, Edoardo Peronace, Stefano Catalano, Antonio Torrisi, and Roberto De Franco

In this study, we present the results of 76 Horizontal-to-Vertical Spectral Ratio (HVSR) measurements carried out near three active fault lineaments on the eastern flank of Mt. Etna (Santa Tecla-Linera, Fiandaca and Trecastagni). In this area, earthquakes are very shallow (within 2 km of depth) and produce surface fracturing and deformations around the identified emerging fault zones, even for moderate magnitude (Mw > 3.5), leading to widespread damage to  buildings. Therefore, accurately identifying the zones affected by surface faulting is fundamental for improving territorial management.

The dataset was processed using HVSR technique to obtain the HVSR curves and the related spectra, as well as to extrapolate information on the directional effects of the signals as a function of both frequency and azimuth. In the literature, the HVSR method has been successfully used to detect polarization effects across fault zones: previous studies have shown that horizontal polarization in Mt. Etna is often strong and tends to be perpendicular to the predominant fracture field or has high-angle polarization from the fault strike (Rigano et al. 2008; Di Giulio et al., 2009). We thus applied the wavefield polarization analysis to the ambient noise measurements to investigate the areal pattern of horizontal polarization and to identify any existing spatial variations. Moreover, the polarization angles were also estimated by using the Matlab code POLARGUI (Huailiang Li et al., 2021). This method allowed us to map the polar histograms and display the distributions of polarization azimuths in different frequency bands. The code is based on the decomposition of the eigenvectors and eigenvalues of the covariance matrix of the three ground motion components of Jurkevics (1988).

Lastly, since fault zones may produce fault-zone trapped waves, which may consist primarily of Love-type waves with particle motion parallel to the fault strike (e.g. Lewis & Ben-Zion 2010) or may include Rayleigh-type components with different polarization angles (e.g Ellsworth & Malin 2011), we computed the ellipticity curves obtained with the RayDec method (Hobiger et al., 2009) to isolate the contribution of Rayleigh waves alone.

The ellipticity of the Rayleigh waves was analyzed for all the measurements to identify any differences that might indicate the presence of a surface faulting zone. To emphasize the deviation between the HVSR curves and the ellipticity curves, a residuals analysis was performed based on the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE).

These results enabled the identification and proposal a new indicator as proxy for the presence of the fault system and/or any associated fracture field, to be integrated with other types of geophysical measurements.

Acknowledgements: The measurements are part of the geophysical acquisitions for the ETNA-FAC project, signed by CNR IGAG with the Regional Department of Sicilian Civil Protection. The project involved: CNR IGAG, INGV, University of Catania, OGS, ISPRA, CNR ISPC and CNR IMAA.

How to cite: Davani, F., Gaudiosi, I., Simionato, M., Caielli, G. M., Boniolo, G., Porchia, A., Tortorici, G., Bellanova, J., Calamita, G., Perrone, A., Piscitelli, S., Puzzilli, L. M., Di Fiore, V., Mancini, M., Peronace, E., Catalano, S., Torrisi, A., and De Franco, R.: Field examples regarding Horizontal-to-Vertical Spectral Ratio measurements as a tool for shallow faulting investigation, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-18914, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-18914, 2025.

X2.113
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EGU25-3751
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ECS
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Pedro Bauli, André Negrão, Gabriel Tagliaro, Mateus Gama, Adolfo Britzke, Ricardo Shyu, Gilberto Dias, and Luigi Jovane

Fault analysis in marine seismic data is conducted across various contexts, including tectonic, seismological and basin analysis studies, as well as in oil exploration and engineering projects. Generally, the higher the dominant frequency (Fdominant) of seismic data, the greater its vertical and horizontal resolution, making seismic features more representative of the geological record. However, most geological fault studies in marine environments rely on low-frequency seismic data (Fdominant ~ 50 Hz). As a result, geological records of deformation, erosion, and deposition at scales smaller than 8 meters remain invisible to interpreters, potentially leading to inaccurate structural interpretations. Despite this, the literature lacks comparative studies using real (i.e. non-modeled) data to assess the impact of seismic frequency on the concealment and/or distortion of geological features. This raises the following question: What kind of information in the geological fault record could be omitted from seismic interpretation when the seismic frequency is reduced?  This study employs both conventional (airgun source; Fdominant ~ 50 Hz, vertical resolution ~ 8 m) and high resolution (sparker source; Fdominant ~ 500 Hz, vertical resolution ~ 50 cm) multichannel seismic sections, which overlap the same fault that deforms the seafloor, to explore differences in the interpretation of its growth history. The normal fault analyzed has a minimum Quaternary age and is located above a salt dome in the Santos Basin (Southeast Brazil). A total of 36 seismic units were mapped in the sparker section, while the airgun visibility limit allowed only 13 units to be identified within the same stratigraphic interval (first 200 meters below the seafloor). Analysis of Throw-Depth Plots (T-D Plots) and Expansion Index (EI) revealed that the fault experienced 6 growth periods and 6 blind periods in the sparker data, while only 3 growth periods and 3 blind periods were identified in the airgun section. Only 65% of the growth and blind periods were synchronous between the two datasets. The sparker section revealed that noise features in the airgun data correspond to normal drags that generate footwall anticlines, hanging wall synclines, and synthetic dips in the fault's hanging wall. All seismic reflectors in the airgun section were plane-parallel. In contrast, the presence of offlaps, toplaps, and downlaps in the sparker data suggests that 4th and 5th order Quaternary sedimentary processes interacted with deformational features, generating differential thicknesses between footwall and hanging wall strata after fault growth periods. In summary, the comparative analysis demonstrated that reducing seismic frequency can result in: 1) underestimating the number of fault reactivation and quiescence periods; 2) hide ductile structures of shallow faults in marine sediments; and 3) suppress the identification of sedimentary processes that interacted with deformation features. Furthermore, the analysis of the high resolution seismic data shows that: 1) well-established fault analysis methods such as T-D Plots and EI should be analyzed together with stratigraphic features to avoid misinterpretations of growth periods; 2) it provides unprecedented level of detail about the Quaternary polycyclic evolution of a fault related to the halokinesis in the Santos Basin. 

How to cite: Bauli, P., Negrão, A., Tagliaro, G., Gama, M., Britzke, A., Shyu, R., Dias, G., and Jovane, L.: A methodological comparison between low-frequency and high-frequency seismic reflection data for studying near-surface faults, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-3751, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-3751, 2025.

X2.114
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EGU25-19002
Kai Huang, Kejie Chen, Guoguang Wei, Mingjia Li, Lei Wu, and Luca Dal Zilio

Earthquakes are super shallow when their rupture on the upper crust that of the depth no more than 10 km. In the canonical view, geoscience community often attributes the supper shallow earthquake to the relative crustal motions along the known underlying faults, and repeated earthquake cycles build mountain ranges over millions of years. However, seismic activity and the underlying faults in the margins of evolving orogenic belts exhibit complex spatial relationships in the practice. These events are difficult to locate at depth and to match with the subsurface structures, but they can be highly destructive due to the associated strong ground shaking. Understanding why they occur may provide insights into seismogenic mechanisms and mitigate the hazards, especially in areas in front of mountains that are home to large populations and industries. We herein examine and review the super shallow earthquakes in global fold-thrust belts, based on the subsurface structures, InSAR analysis and Bayesian inversion. We find that much more super shallow earthquakes were not caused by slip along known faults, but by interbed slip due to buckling, demonstrating for the first time that buckling could result in moderate earthquakes (Mw5-Mw7). It can either act as an independent seismogenic structure or be triggered by the mainshock that is often of Mw 7 or higher. This type of seismogenic structure is often overlooked due to its parallel alignment with the layer interface, and its very shallow depth can lead to significant casualties, which must be closely monitored. Additionally, because this seismogenic structure is easily triggered by major earthquakes, locations where such geological records are found may also indicate the presence of potentially larger seismogenic structures, capable of producing earthquakes above magnitude 7. Our findings underscore the buckle folding—a significant mechanism involving bed-parallel contraction—not only produce the short-term intense coseismic deformation on the surface by interbed slip, but also accommodates the long-term long-term mountain building in active fold-thrust belts.

How to cite: Huang, K., Chen, K., Wei, G., Li, M., Wu, L., and Dal Zilio, L.: Ultra-shallow Earthquakes Caused by Interbed Slip in Global Fold-Thrust Belts, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-19002, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-19002, 2025.

Posters virtual: Tue, 29 Apr, 14:00–15:45 | vPoster spot 2

Display time: Tue, 29 Apr, 08:30–18:00
Chairpersons: Paola Vannucchi, João Duarte, Sergio Vinciguerra

EGU25-6123 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS28

Investigation of the Growth of Active Faults in the Tehran Metropolitan Employing Historical Aerial Photos and Photogrammetric Techniques
(withdrawn)

Parvaneh Alizadeh, Esmaeil Shabanian, and Zohreh Masoumi
Tue, 29 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST)   vPoster spot 2 | vP2.18

EGU25-2827 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS28

Discrete element modeling of earthquake-induced fault rupture evolution: The 2024 Mw7.4 Hualien Taiwan earthquake 

Xiaofei Guo, Yosuke Aoki, and Jianghai Li
Tue, 29 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | vP2.23

Surface rupture caused by a strong earthquake is extremely hazardous to the safety of people’s lives. Understanding the rupture evolution mechanism of co-seismic faults and assessing the influence of fault area propagation is essential for disaster prevention and resilience. Since 2000, Hualien and nearby areas in eastern Taiwan have experienced 33  earthquakes, which is a good area to study the evolution of fault rupture. In this study, we propose a dynamic discrete element model to explain fault rupture evolution and use it to analyze the rupture behavior of the 2024 Mw7.4 earthquake of Hualian. This earthquake occurred near the northern Longitudinal Valley Fault (LVF), where crustal movement can be seen from the Milun Fault (MF) to the north part of the LVF. We use ALOS-2 data to identify major faults and the Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) method to access the spatial displacement on the surface of the study area. In order to simulate the complex geometry and corresponding deformation of the co-seismic rupture surface under the compound influence of multiple faults, we set a rock biaxial simulation test to obtain effective model parameters. We then established a series of dynamic models with different bond types and strengths based on the discrete element method. The model demonstrates the deformation along the fault rupture surface, corresponding to the observation results. The simulation results cover the rupture behavior of the fault and the displacement of the shallow fault under long time series, which can provide a reference for the subsequent seismic hazard assessment and fault displacement analysis.

How to cite: Guo, X., Aoki, Y., and Li, J.: Discrete element modeling of earthquake-induced fault rupture evolution: The 2024 Mw7.4 Hualien Taiwan earthquake, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-2827, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-2827, 2025.