CR2.3 | Hydrology of ice sheets, ice shelves and glaciers
Orals |
Fri, 08:30
Fri, 10:45
EDI
Hydrology of ice sheets, ice shelves and glaciers
Co-organized by HS13
Convener: Sammie Buzzard | Co-conveners: Alison Banwell, Riley Culberg, Amber Leeson, Gabriela Clara RaczECSECS
Orals
| Fri, 02 May, 08:30–10:15 (CEST)
 
Room L3
Posters on site
| Attendance Fri, 02 May, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Fri, 02 May, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X4
Orals |
Fri, 08:30
Fri, 10:45

Orals: Fri, 2 May | Room L3

Chairpersons: Sammie Buzzard, Naomi Ochwat
08:30–08:40
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EGU25-3771
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Tim Hill, Gwenn Flowers, Derek Bingham, and Matthew Hoffman

Subglacial drainage models sensitively depend on the values of numerous uncertain parameters. However, the computation time associated with running these models makes it difficult to quantify the associated uncertainty in model outputs and to use field data to calibrate parameter values. To overcome these computational limitations, we construct a Gaussian Process (GP) emulator that accelerates subglacial drainage modelling by ~1000x. The GP predicts spatiotemporally resolved water pressure as a function of eight model parameters and is trained using ensembles of up to 512 simulations with the Glacier Drainage System (GlaDS) model applied to the Kangerlussuaq sector of the western Greenland Ice Sheet. The GP reproduces the spatial patterns and daily temporal variations simulated by GlaDS within ~4%, with locally higher errors near moulins and during the early melt season. As an application of the GP, we compute the sensitivity of basal water pressure to each of the eight parameters and find that three parameters (ice-flow coefficient, bed bump aspect ratio and the subglacial cavity system conductivity) explain 90% of the variance in model outputs. Next, we explore using a borehole water-pressure timeseries to calibrate the eight uncertain parameters. We take a Bayesian perspective to quantify the uncertainty in parameter estimates and use the GP in place of the physics-based model to make Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling computationally feasible. We find meaningful constraints relative to the prior assumptions on most parameters and a factor-of-three reduction in uncertainty of the calibrated model predictions. However, significant differences between the calibrated model and the borehole data suggest that structural limitations of the model, rather than poorly constrained parameters or computational cost, remain the most important constraint on subglacial drainage modelling.

How to cite: Hill, T., Flowers, G., Bingham, D., and Hoffman, M.: Subglacial drainage modelling and Bayesian calibration using Gaussian Process emulators, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-3771, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-3771, 2025.

08:40–08:50
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EGU25-4180
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Gabriel Cairns, Ian Hewitt, and Graham Benham

The flow of Antarctic ice streams is modulated by a subglacial hydrological system, including “shallow” water transported through till and channels as well as “deep” groundwater stored in sedimentary basins. The latter has risen to prominence in recent years as a contributor to subglacial hydrology through the exchange of groundwater with the “shallow” system. These sedimentary basins possess complex geometries and display variations in salinity due to historic seawater intrusion. However, relatively little is known about the hydraulic properties of subglacial sedimentary basins, or their overall contribution to subglacial hydrology. To address these questions, we develop a mathematical model of groundwater flow in a sedimentary basin driven by an overlying marine ice sheet over geological timescales. By comparing modelled seawater intrusion to field observations of groundwater salinity, we  estimate the permeability of sedimentary basins in West Antarctica. We also show that exchange of groundwater between sedimentary basins and the shallow hydrological system is primarily driven by spatial variation in the basin geometry, and discuss implications for the dynamics of the ice stream. 

How to cite: Cairns, G., Hewitt, I., and Benham, G.: Modelling the hydrology of sedimentary basins beneath marine ice sheets, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-4180, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-4180, 2025.

08:50–09:00
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EGU25-6255
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On-site presentation
Thomas Zwinger, Tómas Jóhannesson, Peter Råback, and Juha Ruokolainen

We present a model for water flow at the base of a glacier implemented with the Elmer/Ice Open-Source Finite-Element Software. The model describes subglacial water flow in connection with the emptying of basal water bodies and the subglacial propagation of glacial outburst flood (jökulhlaup) fronts using a visco-elastic model for the overlying glacier combined with a turbulent thin-sheet model for water flow. The visco-elastic model is based on Maxwell-elements1 combining linear elasticity with the non-linear viscous behaviour described by Glen's ice-flow law, and, by introducing a pressure variable, allowing for incompressibility of the material. The dynamics of the subglacial ice–water interface is implemented as fluid–structure interaction (FSI), utilizing artificial compressibility. The coupled visco-elastic, thin-sheet model aims to represent the propagation of rapidly- and slowly-rising subglacial floods2, many of which are inferred from remote-sensing and in-situ observations to involve lifting of the glacier from its sole over large areas3. Dynamically similar subglacial ice–water interactions may be involved in widespread, propagating ice-velocity and surface-elevation disturbances that have been observed by remote sensing during subglacial drainage events in Greenland4 and Antarctica5, indicating that the dynamics of jökulhlaups may have wider implications for glacier dynamics in general. We will demonstrate the coupled model with simple synthetic examples. The visco-elastic model can simulate the observed geometry of ice-surface depressions formed by the collapse of basal water cupolas and conduits, for which we present simulation results with comparison to observed ice-surface depressions at Vatnajökull ice cap, Iceland.

References

1Zwinger, T., Nield, G. A., Ruokolainen, J., and King, M. A.: A new open-source viscoelastic solid earth    deformation module implemented in Elmer (v8.4), Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 1155–1164 (2020).

2 Jóhannesson, T. Propagation of a subglacial flood wave during the initiation of a jökulhlaup. Hydrol. Sci. J., 47, 417–434 (2002).

3 Magnússon, E., & 13 others. New insights into the development of slowly rising jökulhlaups from the Grímsvötn subglacial lake, Iceland, deduced from ICEYE SAR images and in-situ observations. EGU General Assembly 2024, EGU24-18204, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18204.

4 Maier, N., Andersen, J.K., Mouginot, J., Gimbert, F., & Gagliardini, O. Wintertime supraglacial  lake drainage cascade triggers large-scale ice flow response in Greenland. Geophys. Res.  Lett., 50(4), p.e2022GL10 (2023).

5Neckel, N., Franke, S., Helm, V., Drews, R., & Jansen, D. Evidence of cascading subglacial  water flow at Jutulstraumen Glacier (Antarctica) derived from Sentinel-1 and ICESat-2  measurements. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48(20), p.e2021GL094472 (2021).

How to cite: Zwinger, T., Jóhannesson, T., Råback, P., and Ruokolainen, J.: Numerical modelling of subglacial water flow under a visco-elastic glacier-ice cover, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-6255, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-6255, 2025.

09:00–09:10
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EGU25-19370
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On-site presentation
Jiangjun Ran, Pavel Ditmar, Michiel R. van den Broeke, Lin Liu, Roland Klees, Shfaqat Abbas Khan, Twila Moon, Jiancheng Li, Michael Bevis, Min Zhong, Xavier Fettweis, Junguo Liu, Brice Noël, Ck Shum, Jianli Chen, Liming Jiang, and Tonie van Dam

For the first time, we apply bedrock elastic deformation data to study meltwater transportation within the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). We consider the vertical component of the deformations extracted from GPS data records acquired by the Greenland GNSS Network (GNET) stations. Data time-series from 22 stations distributed along the entire Greenland coast are analyzed. Various geophysical models are used to eliminate nuisance signals from the data. This concerns, among others, deformation associated with surface mass balance (SMB) processes. To quantify the effect of SMB processes, we use the estimates produced by regional climate models, such as RACMO2.3p2. The residual vertical deformations remaining after the subtraction of nuisance signals are fit to a simple analytic model, which allows us to quantify some parameters associated with buffered water storage (i.e., the temporal storage of meltwater on its way to the ocean). Among others, we quantify the average water storage time per station. We find that the average water storage time in Greenland is about 8 weeks. It is slightly larger along the northeast (9±2 weeks) and west (9±3 weeks) coasts. For the southeast coast, it is roughly halved (4.5±2 weeks). This is likely because the ablation zone in the southeast is relatively narrow and steep. Furthermore, we find that the water runoff estimated by regional climate models may require a down- or up-scaling, with the scaling factors being correlated with summer temperature anomalies. In the warmest summers the required runoff upscaling may reach 20%. Likely explanations are an underestimation of water melt or an overestimation of water retention in the firn (or both). The latter can happen if the model underestimates degradation of firn storage capacity caused by a reduction in the pore space and formation of impermeable ice layers. The finding that current regional climate models may require an adjustment in instances of high summer temperature is highly important in view of the ongoing climate warming. Summer temperatures that are considered high nowadays may become normal in the near future. Our study paves the way for more realistic projections of future GrIS meltwater production and its contribution to global sea level rise. Our results have been recently published in Nature (https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08096-3).

How to cite: Ran, J., Ditmar, P., van den Broeke, M. R., Liu, L., Klees, R., Khan, S. A., Moon, T., Li, J., Bevis, M., Zhong, M., Fettweis, X., Liu, J., Noël, B., Shum, C., Chen, J., Jiang, L., and Dam, T. V.: Application of bedrock elastic deformation data to study meltwater transportation in Greenland, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-19370, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-19370, 2025.

09:10–09:20
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EGU25-5167
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Felipe Napoleoni, Rebecca Schlegel, Alex M. Brisbourne, Julien Bodart, Helen Ockenden, Robert G. Bingham, and Team Ghost

Understanding Antarctic subglacial hydrology is crucial for assessing ice sheet dynamics and their contributions to global sea-level rise. Subglacial water modulates basal friction, influencing ice flow and glacier stability, as shown in studies of Thwaites Glacier and other West Antarctic systems. Here, we present new insights into subglacial hydrology derived from geophysical observations. By integrating radar-derived bed reflectivity with subglacial topography analysis, and the geometry of englacial layers we identify potential subglacial flow pathways.

Our study focuses on a 350 km² region located 124 km upstream of the Thwaites Glacier grounding line, where an active subglacial lake has been inferred from satellite altimetry, reflecting periodic ice surface uplift and depression. We investigate the ice-bed interface reflectivity to identify areas of potential water accumulation or saturated sediments beneath the glacier. Additionally, we analyse the geometry of englacial layers to further explore subglacial water distribution and drainage patterns. To account for the influence of basal topography, we remove the topographic signal to derive layers relative to a "flattened" base. Residual englacial layers above regions of high bed reflectivity were examined for drawdowns and uplifts linked to subglacial hydrological processes.

We also simulate the hydropotential in this region to delineate the most likely drainage pathways around the active subglacial lake's fringe. Our findings reveal high bed reflectivity areas coinciding with englacial layer drawdowns, along with regions of apparent uplift in the englacial stratigraphy. These results suggest a potential flow routing for Subglacial Lake Thw 124 and indicate that its previously defined boundary may be overestimated, implying episodic lake growth.

How to cite: Napoleoni, F., Schlegel, R., Brisbourne, A. M., Bodart, J., Ockenden, H., Bingham, R. G., and Ghost, T.: New insights into Hydrology and Lake Dynamics Upstream of Thwaites Glacier, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-5167, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-5167, 2025.

09:20–09:30
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EGU25-9210
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Christophe Ogier, Mauro Fischer, Mauro A. Werder, Matthias Huss, Mauro Hupfer, Mylène Jacquemart, Olivier Gagliardini, Adrien Gilbert, Leo Hösli, Emmanuel Thibert, Christian Vincent, and Daniel Farinotti

The term "water pocket" is often used as an umbrella term to describe the unknown origin of glacial outburst floods. There is currently no consensus on its definition and the formation and rupture mechanisms of water pockets remain poorly understood. Here, we define a glacial water pocket as an englacial or subglacial water-filled cavity with a volume larger than 1000 m3. Glacier outburst floods originating from the rupture of a water pocket are called water pocket outburst floods (WPOFs). WPOFs are in contrast to glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs), for which the water giving rise to a flood stems from a detectable reservoir located either in the glacier forefield, at the surface of the glacier, at the glacier margin, or at the glacier base.

Here, we aim to understand the mechanisms behind WPOFs from alpine glaciers by analyzing their spatial and temporal distribution, pre-event meteorological conditions, and the glacio-geomorphic features of the glaciers from which the floods originate. We updated an inventory of known WPOFs in the Swiss Alps to 91 events from 37 individual glaciers. Among all the recorded events, 64 events have direct observations of the flood at the glacier tongue, while 27 events are characterized as speculative because of the lack of direct observations. Infrastructure damage was reported for 43 events, and two WPOFs caused the death of three people. Most WPOFs occurred between June and September, linked to meltwater input. Meteorological data indicate anomalously high temperatures during the days preceding most events and heavy precipitation on 25 % of days for which WPOFs occur, indicating that water pockets typically rupture during periods of high water input.

Based on the collected information, we propose four mechanisms of water pocket formation: temporary subglacial channel blockage, hydraulic barriers, water-filled crevasses, and accumulation of liquid water behind barriers of cold ice (thermal barriers). Overall, our analysis highlights the challenge of understanding WPOFs due to the sub-surface nature of water pockets, emphasizing the need for field-based research to improve their detection and monitoring.

How to cite: Ogier, C., Fischer, M., Werder, M. A., Huss, M., Hupfer, M., Jacquemart, M., Gagliardini, O., Gilbert, A., Hösli, L., Thibert, E., Vincent, C., and Farinotti, D.: Glacier outburst floods originating from glacial water pockets: what do we know?, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-9210, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-9210, 2025.

09:30–09:40
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EGU25-17121
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On-site presentation
Poul Christoffersen, Samuel Doyle, Bryn Hubbard, Kuba Oniszk, Charlotte Schoonman, Thomas Chudley, Robert Law, Tun Jan Young, and Coen Hofstede

Subglacial drainage systems exert control on glacier motion; however, the nature and evolution of these drainage systems are not well established. Here, we report the co-evolving state of friction, water pressure and water flows at the base of Sermeq Kujalleq (Store Glacier), a fast-moving glacier in west Greenland. Seismic records from a centreline location on a major subglacial drainage axis show stick-slip impulsive events (icequakes) to be far more frequent in winter than in summer. In contrast, the amplitude of low-frequency tremor from subglacial water flows are low in winter but high in summer. Additional insight into this basal environment is gained through boreholes, which show a strong anti-phase relationship between water pressure recorded in water-filled cavities that are either connected with or isolated from surface melt inputs.

Collectively, the observations show a winter-system of largely unconnected cavities switching rapidly to a system of linked or partially linked cavities as soon as meltwater reaches the bed. The formation of a channel occurs later in the summer season and is seen in our data as a distinct slow-down in glacier speed. The return to the winter system of mostly unconnected cavities is seen from a switch to in-phase water pressure in borehole records. Reduced seismic tremor at this point in time is consistent with linked cavities becoming isolated, while more frequent stick-slip events suggest the glacier bed is stronger after the melt season has ended. We hypothesise glacier motion is governed by the extent to which cavities are either isolated (strong bed) or linked (weak bed), and that channelisation strengthens the bed by capturing water from the latter.

To upscale our findings we use spaceborne measurements of glacier velocities to look for evidence of channelisation in the basal drainage system more widely. Out of 54 glaciers examined in west Greenland, we report 45 glaciers with strong self-regulation and a hydro-dynamic behaviour similar to Sermeq Kujalleq (Store Glacier). We found a statistically robust correlation between latitude and the elevation to which channelised systems could be traced on tidewater glaciers, with channels extending to 1,500 m or higher beneath tidewater glaciers in the southwest. For land-terminating glaciers in the same sector we found no evidence of channelisation above 1,000 m elevation and there was no statistical correlation with latitude. Contrary to the current consensus: that the additional runoff generated in warmer and longer summers is routed away with little or no impact on the ice sheet, our study shows this self-regulation is only strong for marine-terminating glaciers. High melt combined with poor drainage in the land-terminating setting make the southwest sector of the Greenland more vulnerable to climate change than previous work and the latest IPCC report has suggested.

How to cite: Christoffersen, P., Doyle, S., Hubbard, B., Oniszk, K., Schoonman, C., Chudley, T., Law, R., Young, T. J., and Hofstede, C.: Self-regulation of fast-moving glaciers in Greenland: from borehole observations to spaceborne measurements, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-17121, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-17121, 2025.

09:40–09:50
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EGU25-1811
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Ellen Mutter and Riley Culberg

Ice slabs are multi-meter thick layers of refrozen meltwater that form in the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) percolation zone and play a crucial role in modulating surface runoff. The limited permeability of ice slabs restricts the vertical percolation of meltwater into underlying firn, thus accelerating runoff. Improving understanding of ice slab growth and evolution is crucial to improving understanding of GrIS supraglacial hydrology, reducing uncertainty in projections of GrIS surface runoff rates, and improving global sea level rise estimates. Existing maps of ice slab extent have been developed using NASA’s Operation Ice Bridge Accumulation Radar data collected between 2011-2014 and 2017-2018 as well as Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) L-band radar data averaged over 2015-2019, however both of these datasets have some combination of limited spatial resolution, poor spatial coverage, or inconsistent temporal coverage, making it difficult to capture high resolution rates of inland expansion.

Here, we present the first annual time series of ice slab extent from 2015 through 2024, derived from polarimetric Sentinel-1 backscatter measurements. This work yields maps of the full spatial extent and continuity of ice slabs at 500 m2 resolution and establishes a comprehensive decade-long record of ice slab behavior in a warming climate. To assess atmospheric drivers of ice slab growth over this time, we compare our observations of inland expansion to hindcasts from two regional climate models: MAR and RACMO. We also compare our time series to the existing MacFerrin and Brils models of ice slab expansion to evaluate whether computationally expensive firn models are needed to predict ice slab expansion. Our work ensures continuous monitoring of ice slab expansion into the 2030s with the arrival of each new year of Sentinel-1 data and provides a basis for improving model predictions of surface mass balance in Greenland’s wet snow zone.

How to cite: Mutter, E. and Culberg, R.: Decade Long Time Series (2015 - 2024) of Ice Slab Expansion in Greenland using Sentinel-1 SAR , EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-1811, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-1811, 2025.

09:50–10:00
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EGU25-11189
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On-site presentation
Horst Machguth, Andrew Tedstone, Nicole Clerx, and Nicolas Jullien

Streams and lakes develop each summer over the marginal regions of the Greenland ice sheet. These hydrological features reach into the accumulation area and confirm that surface runoff of meltwater from above the ice sheet’s equilibrium line contributes to Greenland’s mass loss.

The CASSANDRA project (2019 to 2024) united a team of four researchers to (i) study the physical processes at the visible runoff limit of the Greenland Ice Sheet, (ii) quantify how the runoff limit changed over time and (iii) assess the impact of a rising runoff limit on the ice sheet’s surface mass balance.  To this end, we carried out six field campaigns on the ice sheet, we developed algorithms for runoff limit mapping from Landsat and MODIS, we quantified changing firn properties from Operation Ice Bridge (OIB) radar data and we modelled lateral meltwater flow and superimposed ice formation.

We found that the area of the ice sheet experiencing visible surface runoff has expanded by about 30 % since the late 1980s. The visible runoff area peaked in 2012 and thereafter fluctuated around relatively high extents. By comparing the extent of the runoff area with firn structure mapped from OIB, we found a clear agreement between visible runoff and areas where near-surface firn pore space is depleted. These areas contain metres-thick near-surface ice slabs, which are substantially thicker directly underneath supraglacial streams and lakes.

In our field area close to the visible runoff limit we measured and modelled that up to roughly 80 % of the meltwater refreezes as superimposed ice on top of existing ice slabs, thickening the slabs by between 0.2 to 1 m per year. Ice-sheet-wide estimates show that due to intense refreezing, current ice slab areas contribute only modest amounts of runoff.

While we shed light on the previously understudied area of the Greenland Ice Sheet around the runoff limit, we also revealed that this area is the source of substantial uncertainties in RCM-modelled Greenland surface mass balance. RCM-simulated runoff limits differ strongly between models, either placing them lower or higher than our measurements indicate. The differences between RCM-simulated runoff limits also substantially impact simulated total runoff. Addressing these uncertainties requires improved simulation of meltwater hydrology and refreezing processes near the runoff limit. This is crucial, as firn areas newly affected by surface runoff are projected to continue to expand.

How to cite: Machguth, H., Tedstone, A., Clerx, N., and Jullien, N.: Meltwater runoff from Greenland's firn area – what we have learned during five years of research focused on the Greenland Ice Sheet runoff limit, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-11189, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-11189, 2025.

10:00–10:10
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EGU25-8763
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Thomas Chudley, Chris Stokes, Thomas Winterbottom, James Lea, and Caroline Clason

Greenland’s crevasses are responsible for transferring the majority of seasonal runoff to the bed of the ice sheet in fast-flowing regions, with implications for ice rheology, subglacial hydrology, and ice dynamic feedbacks. However, their drainage mechanics are poorly understood, particularly relative to other transfer mechanisms such as lake drainage and moulins. Here, we use remote-sensing products to identify relationships between strain rates and crevasse drainage at Greenland’s fast-flowing outlet glaciers. We map the time-series evolution of water-filled crevasses by training and applying a convolutional neural network (CNN) to 10 metre resolution Sentinel-2 MSI imagery, and extract contemporaneous logarithmic strain rates from NASA MEaSUREs ITS_LIVE velocity data. We test the time-evolving relationship between strain rates and crevasse ponding across a range of outlet glaciers, and examine whether significant relationships between the two processes can be detected. We find that crevasse drainage displays a unique response to seasonal strain rate evolution not detectable in analogous lake drainage studies, with drainage events occurring following a seasonal transition from compressive to tensile strain rate regimes. We aim to use these relationships to parameterise dynamic controls on crevasse drainage into coupled models of Greenland Ice Sheet hydrology-dynamics.

How to cite: Chudley, T., Stokes, C., Winterbottom, T., Lea, J., and Clason, C.: Seasonal drainage of ponded crevasses in response to dynamics at Greenlandic outlet glaciers, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-8763, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-8763, 2025.

10:10–10:15

Posters on site: Fri, 2 May, 10:45–12:30 | Hall X4

Display time: Fri, 2 May, 08:30–12:30
Chairpersons: Sammie Buzzard, Naomi Ochwat
X4.1
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EGU25-21560
Rebecca Dell, Randall Scharien, and Connor Dean

Perennial Firn Aquifers (PFA’s) facilitate meltwater storage within an ice sheet’s firn layer. They have been extensively mapped across the Greenland Ice Sheet, largely using Operation Ice Bridge and Sentinel-1 data. However, in Antarctica, observations of PFA’s are limited to the Antarctic Peninsula, where the combination of high accumulation and ablation aids in the formation and insulation of extensive sub-surface meltwater reservoirs. On ice shelves, PFA’s have the potential to drive ice-shelf damage via hydrofracture, and it is therefore crucial that we have a better understanding of their presence beyond the Antarctic Peninsula.

 

To begin to improve our understanding for PFA’s elsewhere in Antarctica, we conduct a study on the Nivlisen Ice Shelf, an ice-shelf often characterised by extensive surface meltwater networks in Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica. In addition to high rates of ablation, Nivlisen Ice Shelf also experiences high accumulation rates, making the ice-shelf a good candidate for the formation of PFAs. To investigate this theory, we utilise a method previously applied on the Greenland Ice Sheet, and exploit the low backscatter values returned in C-band synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data to detect potential PFA’s. C-band SAR data is obtained from Sentinel-1 and RADARSAT Constellation Mission (RCM), and is complemented with L-band SAR imagery. With both the NASA-ISRO Synthetic Aperture Radar (NISAR) and Copernicus ROSE-L satellites planned for future launches, we hope that our work will allow us to better understand the value of combined C- and L- band research for for studies of buried meltwater across both the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets.

 

 

How to cite: Dell, R., Scharien, R., and Dean, C.: Detection of a perennial firn aquifer within Nivlisen Ice Shelf, East Antarctica, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-21560, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-21560, 2025.

X4.2
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EGU25-9617
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ECS
Paula Suchantke, Rebecca Dell, Neil Arnold, and Devon Dunmire

Antarctic ice shelves, which encircle approximately 75% of the continent, play a pivotal role in moderating global mean sea level rise as their buttressing properties restrict the flow of inland ice. Each ice shelf is subject to distinct glaciological and climatic conditions that influence its susceptibility to partial break-up or total disintegration. One factor compromising the stability of ice shelves is the presence of both surface and sub-surface meltwater, which may accelerate firn-air depletion and induce flexural stresses, possibly leading to fractures within the ice shelf.

While the occurrence of surface meltwater has been studied extensively in recent years – documenting widespread meltwater systems across several ice shelves during the austral summer – our understanding of meltwater storage below the surface remains limited. In some regions, liquid water may persist within the ice-shelf surface throughout the year, insulated by overlying snow, firn, or ice layers. This subsurface meltwater, particularly in the form of buried lakes, represents a potential mechanism for hydrofracture – even outside the melt season. However, buried lakes are typically difficult to detect using optical imagery, complicating efforts to understand their dynamics and their impact on ice-shelf stability.

Here, we aim to evaluate the feasibility of applying machine learning methods, previously employed on the Greenland Ice Sheet, to detect meltwater lakes buried beneath the surface of Antarctic ice shelves. Using a convolutional neural network in a deep learning approach, we seek to classify ice-shelf surface and subsurface features in Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar imagery (SAR), enabling the identification of buried lakes. Preliminary qualitative analysis of Sentinel-1 SAR data has revealed several possible buried meltwater lakes near the grounding line of the western Wilkins Ice Shelf near Merger Island. These lake findings provide an opportunity to assess the applicability of machine learning models developed for Greenlandic application in an Antarctic context. Additionally, it allows us to test the use of airborne radar data for validating buried lake identification in SAR imagery.  

How to cite: Suchantke, P., Dell, R., Arnold, N., and Dunmire, D.: Investigating Buried Meltwater Lakes on an Antarctic Ice Shelf with Sentinel-1 SAR Imagery and Machine Learning Methods, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-9617, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-9617, 2025.

X4.3
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EGU25-10780
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ECS
Adam Jake Hepburn and the SLIDE Team

Over 3,300 ice-marginal lakes exist around the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS), interacting with ~10% of its perimeter boundary. The number of ice-marginal lakes has increased over the last three decades, likely in response to enhanced meltwater runoff and glacier recession. We describe an ice-dammed, ice-marginal lake drainage event observed north of Isunnguata Sermia Glacier, south west Greenland in which ~1.6 million m3 of water drained from the 100 m deep lake over 4 days during the 2015 melt season. Using the Glacier Drainage System (GlaDS) model, fully-coupled to ice flow dynamics in the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM), we model this ice-marginal lake drainage as an instantaneous drop in water level at the boundary of our model domain. By modifying the subglacial hydrological inflow/outflow boundary conditions, and tracking the evolution of the system through time in terms of channelised discharge, sheet thickness, effective pressure, and ice velocity we show that ice-marginal lake-drainage of the scale observed in 2015 causes significant reorganisation of the channelised subglacial drainage, both in the short term with a sudden injection of water and channel development, and in the long term with changes in the outlet boundary conditions and basal friction. As the number of ice-marginal lakes and the frequency of their drainage increases going forward we expect these dynamic drainage reorganisations to become more common, with implications for future GrIS dynamics. 

How to cite: Hepburn, A. J. and the SLIDE Team: How do variations in ice-marginal lake water depth impact subglacial hydrology routing and ice dynamics? , EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-10780, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-10780, 2025.

X4.4
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EGU25-10834
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ECS
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Harry Stuart and Ian Hewitt

Meltwater lakes on the surface of the Greenland Ice Sheet are forming at higher altitudes due to atmospheric warming. They can often drain suddenly (within hours) by evacuating water through crevasses in the ice. This water then spreads along the ice-bedrock interface, resulting in hydraulic jacking on the order of metres. The effect of such events on the wider subglacial drainage system is poorly understood, and current models of the large-scale subglacial drainage system are unable to resolve these high volumes of fluid being injected over short time scales.

We present a mathematical model for the radial expansion of a subglacial ‘blister’ both during and after injection from a supraglacial lake. The model incorporates both turbulent and laminar water flow, both of which are found to be significant over different time and length scales. We also include a novel formulation for the fluid ‘leak-off’ to represent the decay of the blister volume as the injected water drains into the wider subglacial drainage system. This model can be used as a buffer to regularise numerical formulations of the larger-scale subglacial network.

How to cite: Stuart, H. and Hewitt, I.: Subglacial blister evolution in the event of supraglacial lake drainage, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-10834, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-10834, 2025.

X4.5
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EGU25-11107
|
ECS
|
Majbritt Kristin Eckert, Anne Solgaard, G. Hilmar Gudmundsson, and Christine S. Hvidberg

Surface melt runoff at the margins of the Greenland Ice Sheet has long been linked to seasonal surface velocity changes caused by water lubricating the base of the ice sheet and enhancing basal sliding. The relationship between seasonal runoff and velocity patterns has been studied and other behaviors besides increased sliding have been found. This suggests a link to different states of basal drainage systems and basal properties (Moon et al., 2014; Solgaard et al., 2022). We investigate the impact of surface melt runoff on the dynamics of the Greenland Ice Sheet margins by determining basal properties. Using the finite element ice flow model Úa (Gudmundsson et al., 2012) constrained by surface velocities from the PROMICE velocity product (Solgaard et al., 2021), we invert for the ice rate factor A and basal slipperiness C. This approach allows us to investigate the effect of surface melt water on ice velocities and is an important step towards improving the sensitivity of ice flow models to seasonal climate variations.

How to cite: Eckert, M. K., Solgaard, A., Gudmundsson, G. H., and Hvidberg, C. S.: Investigating seasonal basal properties in Greenland through ice velocity inversion, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-11107, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-11107, 2025.

X4.6
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EGU25-14465
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ECS
Kuba Oniszk, Jessica Badgeley, Gong Cheng, William Colgan, and Shfaqat Abbas Khan

The Greenland Ice Sheet is a major contributor to present-day sea-level rise, with ice dynamics playing a central role in its mass loss. Previous studies suggest that Greenland’s glaciers can be broadly classified into three distinct types based on seasonal velocity patterns near the ice front. The differences between patterns are primarily attributed to interactions of two critical processes: basal motion at the ice-bed interface and frontal ablation at the ice-ocean interface. Many glaciers exhibit behaviour that deviates from the idealised classifications, and even within the same glacier, the patterns may vary significantly from upstream to downstream. These observations underscore the complexity of the processes that drive ice motion.

In this study, we aim to separate the influences of basal motion and frontal ablation on the seasonal flow variations of 33 marine-terminating outlet glaciers in Northwestern and Central-West Greenland. Using surface velocity observations derived from the ITS_LIVE offset-tracking dataset, we compare these with modelled results from the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model, which incorporates monthly ice-front positions and surface mass balance inputs but neglects explicit subglacial hydrology. By incorporating modelled velocities, we move from correlation to causation, quantifying the contributions of frontal dynamics and basal conditions to the seasonal flow signal. This allows us to explore the extent to which each driver affects specific locations in a crucial step toward a greater understanding of the spatial and temporal variability in glacier behaviour.

How to cite: Oniszk, K., Badgeley, J., Cheng, G., Colgan, W., and Khan, S. A.: Bridging Observations and Models: Isolating Frictional and Frontal Controls on Glacier Dynamics in Northwestern and Central-West Greenland, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-14465, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-14465, 2025.

X4.7
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EGU25-11691
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ECS
Sarah Mann, Mike Prior-Jones, Hawkins Jonathan, and Craw Lisa and the SLIDE Team

Subglacial and englacial hydrology is a key driver of ice dynamics in glaciers and ice sheets. Observations of subglacial and englacial water storage, especially in moulins, are extremely challenging, and long-term datasets are consequently limited. The transition from the summer melt season to the winter drainage system shutdown is rarely observed.

We studied a glacial moulin on Isunnguata Sermia, West Greenland between July and December 2024 using Cryoegg instruments. Cryoegg is a spherical, wireless device which monitors conditions within the englacial and subglacial environment of glaciers and ice sheets. It provides hourly temperature, pressure, and electrical conductivity (EC) measurements[JH1]  of englacial and subglacial water. 

Three Cryoeggs were deployed, two at different depths in one moulin and the third in another moulin nearby. We observe the changing hydrology of these moulins, including the transition from summer to winter. In summer, warm sunny days produce diurnal cycles in the pressure and EC measurements, with high pressure and low-EC water being present during the local afternoon and evening. The transition to winter includes evidence of the release of stored (high-EC) water into the drainage system and a gradual transition to a high-pressure, high-EC state as midwinter approaches.  

How to cite: Mann, S., Prior-Jones, M., Jonathan, H., and Lisa, C. and the SLIDE Team: Summer-to-winter record of Greenland moulin water pressure and electrical conductivity revealed by Cryoegg wireless instruments, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-11691, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-11691, 2025.

X4.8
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EGU25-6766
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ECS
Nikola Jovanovic, Timm Schultz, and Angelika Humbert

The Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) has been losing mass at an accelerating rate, primarily due to meltwater runoff to the ocean. Firn, a porous transition layer between snow and ice, has the potential to buffer the GrIS’s contribution to sea level rise by retaining this meltwater. In regions with low surface accumulation, such as the K-transect in Southwest Greenland, high surface melt leads to the formation of thick, near-impermeable ice slabs which decrease the capacity of firn to retain meltwater. In contrast, in regions with high surface accumulation, such as the Helheim glacier in Southeast Greenland, high surface melt causes the formation of firn aquifers.

In this research, we simulate ice slabs and firn aquifers with a one-dimensional firn model, called Timm’s Firn Model (TFM), along glacier flowlines in different climate forcing scenarios. Instead of the commonly-used, more computationally efficient bucket scheme, the TFM solves the Richards’ equation, which simulates the vertical water transport more physically. We investigate whether the TFM simulates an earlier onset, greater extent, and expansion of ice slabs and firn aquifers towards the interior of the GrIS. In addition, we offer a new detection method for ice slabs based on hydraulic conductivity and volumetric liquid water content, enabled by the modeling of liquid water movement with the Richards’ equation.

The results show that firn aquifers were already forming in the Helheim glacier region before the GrIS started rapidly losing mass. Furthermore, the TFM results indicate that, with warming, firn aquifers form earlier along the flowline, expanding towards the interior of the ice sheet. Firn aquifer formation is highly dependent on surface accumulation, with higher accumulation rates favouring formation.

We further find that ice slabs, though less extensive than firn aquifers, were present along the K-transect in Southwest Greenland before the GrIS’ rapid mass loss. With warming, ice slabs form earlier along the flowline and expand towards the interior, consistent with available observations. Three consecutive years of extensive melt lead to ice slab formation. However, decade-old ice in the subsurface firn leads to ice slab formation as well, by merging with newly refrozen layers.

How to cite: Jovanovic, N., Schultz, T., and Humbert, A.: Simulating Greenland Ice Slabs and Firn Aquifers with a 1D Firn Model, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-6766, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-6766, 2025.

X4.9
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EGU25-13983
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ECS
|
|
Danielle Grau, Azeez Hussain, and Alexander A Robel

Over the past several decades, the abundance of melt lakes appearing on Antarctic ice shelves has increased. Most notably these melt lakes have led to large-scale fracturing and calving events such as the Larsen B Ice Shelf collapse during the 2001-2002 melt season. In this work, we analyze the surface roughness of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to determine its self-affinity, which quantifies the repeating topographical scaling pattern of the surface, using ICESat-2 land ice elevation altimeter tracks. We find a relationship between roughness parameters and mean melt lake depth and area fraction by developing a workflow of Monte Carlo simulations that simulate the distribution of melt lakes as they form on the glacial surface. From this workflow, we derive two mathematical parametrizations, that utilize the roughness parameters and melt supply, to estimate the mean melt lake depth and mean area fraction of melt lakes on a self-affine surface. We validate the effectiveness of these parameterizations by computing the estimated mean melt lake depth and area coverage from 2013-2018 using estimated runoff from RACMO and the analyzed ICESat-2 tracks and compare this estimation with a Landsat-based set of observations. In the future, we plan to implement these parameterizations into large-scale climate and ice sheet models to improve albedo and ice damage simulation.  

How to cite: Grau, D., Hussain, A., and Robel, A. A.: A Physics-Based Parameterization of Mean Melt Lake Depth and Area Fraction of Supraglacial Melt Lakes , EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-13983, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13983, 2025.

X4.10
|
EGU25-16505
Thomas Kleiner, Yannic Fischler, Christian Bischof, Dorthe Petersen, and Angelika Humbert

Subglacial hydrology plays a key role in many glaciological processes. The amount of water at the glacier base and the properties of the hydraulic system modulate the basal sliding and, thus, ice discharge. The subglacial discharge of fresh water impacts the physical, chemical, and biological properties of the adjacent fjords or ice shelf cavities. It is a main driver of submarine melting and glacier terminus retreat for Greenland’s marine-terminating glaciers.

We apply the MPI-parallel implementation of the Confined-Unconfined Aquifer System model (CUAS-MPI) to the entire Greenland Ice Sheet. The model is forced with water input from ice sheet basal melt and additional runoff (daily) from the regional climate model RACMO. CUAS-MPI is based on an effective porous media approach (single-layer, Darcy-type flow) in which the hydraulic transmissivity is spatially and temporally varying. The transmissivity evolves due to channel wall melt, creep-closure, and cavity opening. This makes it possible to simulate inefficient and efficient water transport without resolving individual channels.

Based on daily model output data, we analyse the evolution of Greenland’s subglacial system and the water discharge into selected fjords and compare the results for a normal year (2018) with a particularly warm year (2019).

How to cite: Kleiner, T., Fischler, Y., Bischof, C., Petersen, D., and Humbert, A.: Modelling Greenland’s subglacial hydrology using CUAS-MPI, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-16505, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-16505, 2025.

X4.11
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EGU25-18456
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ECS
|
Andrew Jones, Darrel Swift, and Stephen Livingstone

Ice loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) is currently the most significant single global contributor to barystatic sea level rise. The discharge of ice directly into the ocean from marine terminating glaciers is the cause of approximately 40% of this sea level rise. Understanding the processes that control how ice slides over the bed is fundamental to improving predictions of future GrIS mass loss.

Ice flow through major outlet glaciers dominates discharge of ice to the ocean, and this often involves flow through complexly overdeepened glacially eroded troughs. The adverse slopes of overdeepenings have the potential to modulate subglacial water pressure both by reducing hydraulic gradient, and via supercooling processes.

Here, we explore the control exerted on ice dynamics by the prominent overdeepening near the terminus of Upernavik Isstrøm II, an outlet glacier on the west coast of Greenland. We observe a ‘marine-isolating’ effect on the flow of inland ice, with ice dynamics dominated by marine processes downstream of the riegel and by melt processes inland of the riegel. Further, intriguing patterns of seasonal velocity variation were observed within the overdeepening under high melt conditions that support the possibility that adverse slopes of overdeepenings suppress the seasonal development of efficient channelised subglacial drainage, which is a key mediator of rates of sliding.   

How to cite: Jones, A., Swift, D., and Livingstone, S.: Control of seasonal ice dynamics by overdeepenings., EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-18456, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-18456, 2025.

X4.12
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EGU25-18570
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Sammie Buzzard, Jon Elsey, and Alex Robel

Remote sensing and modelling studies have shown several Antarctic Ice Shelves to be vulnerable to damage from surface meltwater. With surface melting predicated to increase, understanding the surface hydrology of ice shelves in the present and the future is an essential first step to reliably project future vulnerability of Antarctic ice shelves to meltwater driven hydrofracture. This has implications for sea level rise from ice sheet melt due to the loss of the buttressing effect provided by ice shelves on the grounded ice sheet.

Here we present a surface hydrology modelling study focused on the George VI Ice Shelf on the Antarctic Peninsula. George VI is the second largest ice shelf remaining on the Antarctic Peninsula and experiences significant seasonal surface melt including the formation of surface lakes.

We use MONARCHS: a 3-D model of ice shelf surface hydrology. MONARCHS is the first comprehensive model of surface hydrology to be developed for Antarctic ice shelves, enabling us to incorporate key processes such as the lateral transport of surface meltwater.

This community-driven, open-access model has been developed with input from observations, and allows us to provide new insights into surface meltwater distribution on Antarctica’s ice shelves. This enables us to answer key questions about their past and future evolution under changing atmospheric conditions and vulnerability to meltwater driven hydrofracture and collapse. We solicit community feedback on future additions of new processes to the model, or case studies of interest.

How to cite: Buzzard, S., Elsey, J., and Robel, A.: Modelling the surface hydrology of George VI Ice Shelf, Antarctica, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-18570, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-18570, 2025.

X4.13
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EGU25-6941
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ECS
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George Lu, Meredith Nettles, Laura Stevens, and Stacy Larochelle

The hydrofracture-driven drainage of supraglacial lakes rapidly introduces large volumes of meltwater to the ice-sheet bed, influencing ice-sheet dynamics on multiple timescales. Immediate ice deformation mainly arises from three sources: the opening of the hydrofracture crack, separation of the ice from the bed, and additional slip at the bed. An understanding of the ice response to drainage requires knowledge of these spatially and temporally varying sources, ideally constrained by observations obtained both on the ice surface and within the ice column. Previous work examining ice dynamics during supraglacial lake drainage relies on ice-surface observations only: aerial and satellite imagery, Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) data, and pressure-sensor records from draining lakes. We deployed three autonomous phase-sensitive radio echo sounders (ApRES) near a set of three supraglacial lakes at ~950 m elevation, in the mid-ablation zone of the western Greenland Ice Sheet, to record englacial deformation during lake drainage. The ApRES stations were embedded within a geophysical network including GNSS stations, air-temperature sensors, and a lake pressure logger, and were configured to make repeat measurements every 15 minutes from May 2022 to September 2023. In 2022, two of the lakes adjacent to the ApRES stations drained abruptly via hydrofracture, exhibiting characteristics of inter-lake static-stress triggering; in 2023, all three lakes drained in a similar manner. We demonstrate the capability of the ApRES system to provide estimates of the time-varying change in englacial vertical strain rate that accompanies hydrofracture-driven lake drainage, despite the short durations of the drainages and the wet and variable ice surface that is inevitable during the melt season. At station locations ~1 km away from the hydrofracture cracks, we observe vertical strain rates of magnitude up to ~1 yr-1 during lake drainages, averaged over the top 500 m of ice and over 15 minutes; background vertical strain rates have magnitudes of ~10-3 yr-1 at these locations. As a first step towards incorporating these englacial observations of deformation as constraints on an inverse problem to obtain the spatial and temporal history of the deformation source, we compare the englacial observations to predictions from a source model constructed using only GNSS data. Following previous work, we use an elastic dislocation model and invert the GNSS data to obtain time- and space-varying estimates of the opening of the hydrofracture crack, opening at the ice-bed interface, and excess slip at the bed during lake drainage. We then use this model to predict changes in strain in the ice under the ApRES stations, and compare the resulting timeseries with our observations. We evaluate the additional sensitivity provided by our englacial observations to the deformation source.

How to cite: Lu, G., Nettles, M., Stevens, L., and Larochelle, S.: Observations and models of englacial deformation during supraglacial lake drainage, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-6941, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-6941, 2025.

X4.14
|
EGU25-10272
Tilly Woods and Ian Hewitt

Shortwave radiation can penetrate a few metres below the surface of an ice sheet, causing subsurface melting which results in the formation of a surface layer of porous ice, called the weathering crust. The weathering crust evolves in response to changing weather conditions, affecting the albedo, the surface and near-surface melting, and the transport of meltwater across the ice-sheet surface. Here, we extend our existing one-dimensional mathematical model for the vertical structure and temperature of the weathering crust to also account for lateral flow of meltwater through the porous crust. This is done using Darcy’s law and a parametrisation for lateral drainage. Our model successfully reproduces observed temperature, porosity and surface lowering on the south-western Greenland Ice Sheet over several years. This enables our model to be used as a tool for predicting future mass loss and weathering crust evolution in a changing climate. We also explore how two key parameters in our model – representing the partitioning of shortwave radiation between surface and subsurface absorption, and the strength of lateral meltwater drainage – affect the ice structure, temperature and mass loss. From this, we demonstrate the importance of accounting for the weathering crust, particularly subsurface radiation, for correctly reproducing observed surface mass loss.

How to cite: Woods, T. and Hewitt, I.: Modelling surface mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet in response to radiation and lateral meltwater drainage, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-10272, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-10272, 2025.

X4.15
|
EGU25-13962
|
ECS
|
Virtual presentation
Alamgir Hossan, Andreas Colliander, Joel Harper, Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel, Baptiste Vandecrux, Julie Miller, and Shawn Marshall

Surface melting and consequent runoff/refreezing play an increasingly crucial role in the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) Surface Mass Balance (SMB) and its contribution to the global sea-level rise. Space-based L-band radiometry offers a promising tool for quantifying the total surface-to-subsurface liquid water amount (LWA) in the firn, in addition to providing the areal extent and duration of seasonal surface snow melt. Here, we evaluate the performance of commonly used microwave dielectric mixing models in determining the total LWA using a snow microwave emission and radiative transfer model in conjunction with L-band (1.4 GHz) brightness temperature (TB) observations from Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) and Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) missions. The L-band TB responds to the real and imaginary parts of the firn dielectric constant, which increases markedly with liquid water content (LWC) in the firn. The measured dielectric constant is translated into LWA using a model between snow LWC and the dielectric constant. The formulation of the effective dielectric constant of the ice, air, and water mixture is key to accurately quantifying LWA; as it is independent of the radiometer measurement, it adds an uncertainty component to the LWA retrieval that is solely depending on the accuracy of this dielectric mixing model. We apply different dielectric mixing formulations in the forward model to estimate LWA, which we compare to the corresponding LWA from a locally calibrated ice sheet Energy and Mass Balance (EMB) model and the Glacier Energy and Mass Balance (GEMB) model within NASA’s Icesheet and Sea-Level System Model (ISSM). The EMB model was driven by in situ measurements from automatic weather stations (AWS) of the Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE) and Greenland Climate Network (GC-Net) located in the percolation zone of the GrIS, and the GEMB model was forced with the ERA-5 reanalysis products. Both models were initialized with relevant in situ profiles of density, snow and firn stratigraphy, and the sub-surface temperature measured at the AWS locations. The agreements and discrepancies between the LWA estimates from the mixing models and their comparison with the LWA from firn models will be presented. The analysis assesses the impact of the dielectric mixing model choice on the LWA retrieval algorithm to create an observational dataset of seasonal LWA across GrIS.

How to cite: Hossan, A., Colliander, A., Harper, J., Schlegel, N.-J., Vandecrux, B., Miller, J., and Marshall, S.: Assessment of Dielectric Mixing Models for L-Band Radiometric Measurement of Liquid Water Content in Greenland Ice Sheet, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-13962, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13962, 2025.

X4.16
|
EGU25-18788
Yuting Dong, Ji Zhao, Michael Wolovick, Steven Franke, Angelika Humbert, Lukas Krieger, Dana Floricioiu, Daniela Jansen, Veit Helm, Thomas Kleiner, and Lea-Sophie Höyns

The Antarctic Peninsula (AP) accelerating mass loss is dominated by ice dynamics [1]. The most up-to-date research reveals a widespread increase in discharge from glaciers on the west coast of the Antarctic Peninsula since 2018 [2]. The western AP is roughly divided by Brabant and Anvers islands of the Palmer Archipelago between the cooler waters of the Bransfield Strait to the north and the warmer Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW) to the south. The warm ocean water is widely accepted to be the main driver for acceleration of marine-terminating ice streams by a reduction of the resistive force due to ocean-driven ice shelf thinning, ice shelf disintegration, terminus retreat and increasing ice damage [3, 4].

In addition to the long-term ice dynamics for decades, short-term seasonal speed variability on the grounded ice sheet of AP have been reported that an average summer speed-up of 12.4% for tidewater glaciers in western AP [5] and 15% for glaciers feeding into the George VI Ice Shelf [6]. Current research links these speed fluctuations with seasonal ocean warming and surface melt [5], however the seasonality of speed varies between years and regions. Changes in subglacial hydrology can have large effects on glacier dynamics, including reductions in basal friction and short-term accelerations of ice flow, but until now these changes have remained challenging to detect.

In our study, we focused on the dynamics and driving mechanisms of outlet glaciers that flow into Wordie Bay on western AP. After the Wordie Ice Shelf break-up, these former tributary glaciers have significantly increased their flow speed and dynamically thinned. The mainstream Fleming Glacier is currently one of the fastest outlet glaciers on western AP. We use high-resolution digital elevation model (DEM) data from the TanDEM-X mission and Reference Elevation Model of Antarctica (REMA), and the radar depth sounder (RDS) data from the Center for Remote Sensing and Integrated Systems (CReSIS) mission to detect new subglacial lakes. We also use time-series DEMs to estimate subglacial lake height anomalies and analyze how subglacial lake filling and drainage processes affect glacier surface velocities. To further explore the basal conditions of sliding, we invert for time-series basal drag distribution with the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM) using high resolution geometry and velocity data from remote sensing.

 

Reference:

  • Otosaka, I.N., et al., Mass balance of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets from 1992 to 2020. Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 2023. 15(4): p. 1597-1616.
  • Davison, B.J., et al., Widespread increase in discharge from west Antarctic Peninsula glaciers since 2018. The Cryosphere, 2024. 18(7): p. 3237-3251.
  • Cook, A.J., et al., Ocean forcing of glacier retreat in the western Antarctic Peninsula. Science, 2016. 353(6296): p. 283-286.
  • Wallis, B.J., et al., Ocean warming drives rapid dynamic activation of marine-terminating glacier on the west Antarctic Peninsula. Nature Communications, 2023. 14(1): p. 7535.
  • Wallis, B.J., et al., Widespread seasonal speed-up of west Antarctic Peninsula glaciers from 2014 to 2021. Nature Geoscience, 2023. 16(3): p. 231-237.
  • Boxall, K., et al., Seasonal land-ice-flow variability in the Antarctic Peninsula. The Cryosphere, 2022. 16(10): p. 3907-3932.

How to cite: Dong, Y., Zhao, J., Wolovick, M., Franke, S., Humbert, A., Krieger, L., Floricioiu, D., Jansen, D., Helm, V., Kleiner, T., and Höyns, L.-S.: Speed variability of Wordie Bay outlet glaciers driven by subglacial hydrology, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-18788, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-18788, 2025.

X4.17
|
EGU25-19537
|
ECS
The Dynamics of Lubricated Gravity Currents: Insights into Ice Stream Formation and Evolution
(withdrawn)
Sada Nand and Roiy Sayag