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Posters

UP1.1

Weather prediction has improved tremendously over the last decades. Ultimately, however, there are limits in predictability due to the multi-scale, non-linear nature of atmospheric dynamics.
To further improve our mechanistic understanding of atmospheric dynamics and to further improve numerical weather forecasting it is increasingly important to better understand the physical and dynamical processes connecting atmospheric motions across temporal and spatial scales. This includes, for example, the identification of the limits of predictability of different weather systems. For longer time scales, identifying and understanding sources of predictability and variability is of crucial importance. This session will therefore discuss the current understanding of physical and dynamical processes determining predictability and variability on different scales.

Contributions are invited that attempt to improve our understanding of atmospheric dynamics or that link process-based, dynamical understanding and predictability aspects. Atmospheric phenomena on all spatial and temporal scales are of interest. Particularly welcome are contributions that focus on high-impact weather, the sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescale, and related extremes. This may include, but is not limited to, the influence of remote factors (e.g., the stratosphere, the Artic, or the tropics) on the midlatitudes, predictability in the tropics and polar regions, stationary and recurrent systems (e.g. associated with heat waves, cyclone clustering, heavy precipitation), or processes driving seasonal or interannual variability.

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Convener: Sebastian Schemm | Co-Conveners: Christian M. Grams, Alessandro Dell'Aquila, Michael Riemer
Orals
| Thu, 12 Sep, 10:30–15:30|Oticon Hall
Posters
| Attendance Fri, 13 Sep, 10:30–11:30 | Display Wed, 11 Sep, 13:30–Fri, 13 Sep, 13:30|Sports Hall
Display time: Wednesday, 11 September 2019 13:30–Friday, 13 September 13:30

Attendance time: Friday, 13 September 2019, 10:30–11:30 | Sports Hall

Chairperson: 16892
P104 |
EMS2019-7
Xiuping Yao, Yuan Gao, and Jiali Ma
Chairperson: 16892
Chairperson: 16892
P106 |
EMS2019-54
On the Development of Three Extreme Rainfall Episodes along the Taihang Mountains in North China on 19–20 July 2016
(withdrawn)
Rudi Xia and Da-Lin Zhang
Chairperson: 16892
Chairperson: 16892
P108 |
EMS2019-170
Qimin Deng, Philipp Meyer, Zuntao Fu, and Holger Kantz
Chairperson: 16892
Chairperson: 16892
P110 |
EMS2019-445
Ki-Byung Kim and Kyung-Hee Seol
Chairperson: 16892
Chairperson: 16892
P112 |
EMS2019-494
Lin Zhao, S.-Y. Simon Wang, Chi-Hua Wu, Sebastian Los, Shihua Lyu, Xianhong Meng, Lijuan Wen, Siqiong Luo, Yinhuan Ao, and Zhaoguo Li
Chairperson: 16892
Chairperson: 16892
P114 |
EMS2019-661
Marek Kašpar, Vojtěch Bližňák, Miloslav Müller, and Petr Zacharov
Chairperson: 16892
P115 |
EMS2019-703
Philipp Zschenderlein, Stephan Pfahl, Heini Wernli, and Andreas H. Fink
Chairperson: 16892
P117 |
EMS2019-911
ENSO forced and local variability of the Indian Ocean Dipole
(withdrawn)
Yun Yang

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