SB1 | Observing and modelling meteors in planetary atmospheres

SB1

Observing and modelling meteors in planetary atmospheres
Co-organized by TP/ODAA
Convener: Hervé Lamy | Co-conveners: Maria Gritsevich, Eloy Peña-Asensio
Orals
| Fri, 13 Sep, 14:30–18:00 (CEST)|Room Sun (Auditorium)
Posters
| Attendance Fri, 13 Sep, 10:30–12:00 (CEST) | Display Fri, 13 Sep, 08:30–19:00|Poster area Level 2 – Galerie
Orals |
Fri, 14:30
Fri, 10:30
More than ten thousand tons of extraterrestrial objects, ranging in size from a few microns to tens of meters in diameter, enter Earth’s atmosphere annually. A small fraction of these objects yields free samples of extraterrestrial matter—meteorites—for laboratory study. The majority of these objects burn up or ablate completely in the Earth’s atmosphere, appearing as visible meteors in the night sky. By recording meteor activity and modeling the process of ablation, we can directly measure the flux of small planetary impactors. This provides ground truth for estimating present cratering rates and planetary surface ages.

The rapid advancement of observational and modeling techniques has elevated meteor science to one of the primary avenues for investigating the nature and origin of interplanetary matter and its parent bodies. This session aims to serve as a platform for presenting fundamental results and innovative concepts in this field, while also informing the broader planetary science community about the interdisciplinary impact of ongoing and future research efforts.

Session assets

Discussion on Discord

Orals: Fri, 13 Sep | Room Sun (Auditorium)

Chairperson: Hervé Lamy
14:30–14:45
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EPSC2024-146
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solicited
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Virtual presentation
Denis Vida

Meteoroid structure and bulk density are key indicators of its origin and thermal processing history. Physical properties of meteoroids with known parent bodies are of special interest and they provide an indirect way to probe the parent body itself (Flynn, 2004; Koten et al., 2019). The bulk density of shower meteoroids is a necessary assumption in dynamical simulations of meteoroid streams (Vaubaillon et al., 2005; Egal et al., 2019), with a major impact on the predicted particle sizes arriving on Earth (Vida et al., 2024) and the accuracy of meteor shower outburst predictions (Ye et al., 2014). The bulk density is also a key variable in spacecraft risk assessment, where the depth of hypervelocity impact craters scales with d ∝ ρ4/27 (Moorhead et al, 2017).

This work discusses the latest meteoroid ablation and fragmentation modelling efforts using the Canadian Automated Meteor Observatory (CAMO) mirror tracking system (Vida et al., 2021). The instrument tracks meteors in real-time and provides 100 frame-per-second video at meter-scale spatial measurement accuracy. Meteors can be tracked to a limiting magnitude of +8. This high spatial resolution and sensitivity allow observing details of fragmentation and the wake profile.

A meteoroid ablation model which assumes meteoroids fragment gradually, by releasing micrometer-sized refractory grains from their surface (Borovička et al., 2007), was applied to observations of several major meteor showers. The model fits were performed manually using a trial-and-error method. The model is constrained by the observed light curve, dynamics (velocity and deceleration), and wake; the latter strongly informing the production rate and size distribution of released grains (Vida et al., 2024).

The method has so far been applied to 14 meteor showers (Egal et al., 2023; Buccongello et al., 2024; Pinhas et al., 2024) which cover a range of bulk densities from 250 to 1400 kg/m3: tau-Herculids, Orionids, July Pegasids, eta-Aquariids, Perseids, Leonids, Aurigids, Lyrids, Taurids, December Monocerotids, alpha-Capricornids, eta-Lyrids, Geminids, and Southern delta-Aquariids. The most surprising finding was that meteoroids from several showers have a two-part structure: a dense non-eroding core embedded in a softer matrix. This structure appears on both ends of the density range, in low-density (300 kg/m3) Orionids and in Southern delta-Aquariids which have bulk densities akin to carbonaceous chondrites (~1400 kg/m3).

In general, these new estimates are at variance with previous estimates by Kikwaya et al. (2011) who found that meteoroids of Jupiter-family comet (JFC) origin have chondritic densities (~3500 kg/m3). In contrast, new estimates for mean bulk densities of ~600 kg/m3 were found for JFC shower meteoroids and ~350 kg/m3 for Halley-type meteoroids, consistent with in-situ measurements.

Finally, an overview of the latest efforts to automate model fits and provide realistic parameter uncertainties is given.

 

References

Borovička, J., Spurný, P., & Koten, P. (2007). Atmospheric deceleration and light curves of Draconid meteors and implications for the structure of cometary dust. Astronomy & Astrophysics, 473(2), 661-672.

Buccongello, N., Brown, P. G., Vida, D., & Pinhas, A. (2024). A physical survey of meteoroid streams: Comparing cometary reservoirs. Icarus, 410, 115907.

Egal, A., Wiegert, P., Brown, P. G., Moser, D. E., Campbell-Brown, M., Moorhead, A., ... & Moticska, N. (2019). Meteor shower modeling: Past and future Draconid outbursts. Icarus, 330, 123-141.

Egal, A., Wiegert, P. A., Brown, P. G., & Vida, D. (2023). Modeling the 2022 τ-herculid outburst. The Astrophysical Journal, 949(2), 96.

Flynn, G. J. (2004). Physical properties of meteorites and interplanetary dust particles: clues to the properties of the meteors and their parent bodies. Earth, Moon, and Planets, 95, 361-374.

Kikwaya, J. B., Campbell-Brown, M., & Brown, P. G. (2011). Bulk density of small meteoroids. Astronomy & Astrophysics, 530, A113.

Koten, P., Rendtel, J., Shrbený, L., Gural, P., Borovička, J., & Kozak, P. (2019). Meteors and meteor showers as observed by optical techniques. Meteoroids: Sources of Meteors on Earth and beyond, 90.

Moorhead, A. V., Blaauw, R. C., Moser, D. E., Campbell-Brown, M. D., Brown, P. G., & Cooke, W. J. (2017). A two-population sporadic meteoroid bulk density distribution and its implications for environment models. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 472(4), 3833-3841.

Pinhas, A., Krzeminski, Z., Vida, D., & Brown, P. (2024). Quantifying the bulk density of southern delta aquariid meteoroids: insights from the Canadian automated meteor observatory. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 529(4), 4585-4601.

Vaubaillon, J., Colas, F., & Jorda, L. (2005). A new method to predict meteor showers-I. Description of the model. Astronomy & Astrophysics, 439(2), 751-760.

Vida, D., Brown, P. G., Campbell-Brown, M., Weryk, R. J., Stober, G., & McCormack, J. P. (2021). High precision meteor observations with the Canadian automated meteor observatory: Data reduction pipeline and application to meteoroid mechanical strength measurements. Icarus, 354, 114097.

Vida, D., Brown, P. G., Campbell-Brown, M., & Egal, A. (2024). First holistic modelling of meteoroid ablation and fragmentation: A case study of the Orionids recorded by the Canadian Automated Meteor Observatory. Icarus, 408, 115842.

Vida, D., Scott, J. M., Egal, A., Vaubaillon, J., Ye, Q. Z., Rollinson, D., ... & Moser, D. E. (2024). Observations of the new meteor shower from comet 46P/Wirtanen. Astronomy & Astrophysics, 682, L20.

Ye, Q., Wiegert, P. A., Brown, P. G., Campbell-Brown, M. D., & Weryk, R. J. (2014). The unexpected 2012 Draconid meteor storm. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 437(4), 3812-3823.

How to cite: Vida, D.: Meteoroid bulk densities – a meteor shower survey, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-146, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-146, 2024.

14:45–14:55
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EPSC2024-95
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Ariane Courtot, Jérémie Vaubaillon, and Marc Fouchard

Asteroids and comets can both eject streams of meteoroids. If those meteoroids stay on similar orbits and then encounter the Earth, the resulting meteors are visible in our night sky as a series of bright lines seemingly originating from a single point: a meteor shower. If the link between the meteor shower observed and the parent body is definitely proven, any information about the meteor shower can lead to some interesting results on the parent body. 

This link can be quite complex to establish, as dynamical chaos can play a role in the evolution of meteoroid stream between the ejection from the parent body and the final encounter with the Earth. Dynamical chaos is characterized by the exponential divergence in time of two initially almost identical orbits. 

In order to study the amount of chaos in meteoroid stream, we have used the well-known method of chaos maps. They are drawn using a chaos indicator, which measures the level of chaos for a specific set of orbital elements. We chose to use the orthogonal fast Lyapunov indicator (see Fouchard et al., 2002). Thanks to these maps, we detect several key features in meteoroid streams. 

We started by studying the Geminids, the Draconids and the Leonids, three well-known and well-defined meteoroid steams, with widely different orbits (near-Earth orbit, similar to Jupiter-family comet and similar to Halley-type comet, respectively) (see Courtot et al., 2023, 2024). Despite these very different orbital environment, some mechanisms can be found in all three cases: the effect of mean-motion resonances is similar. These resonances with a specific planet capture meteoroids thus preventing them from encountering the planet, forming islands of relative stability. The planets affected by this mechanism are Venus and the Earth for the Geminids, and Jupiter for the Draconids and Leonids. 

Non-gravitational forces (Poynting-Robertson drag and solar radiation pressure) influence heavily the dynamical evolution of small particles (see Vaubaillon et al., 2005). In the case of the Geminids, we were able to detect the escape of small particles from the capture of mean-motion resonances, but this does not happen for the Draconids and Leonids, because the effect of those forces is much weaker in these regions and the mean-motion resonances are much wider (see again Courtot et al., 2023, 2024).

We also studied the Taurids, a less well-known meteroid stream. Here, the link between the supposed parent body of the stream and the observed meteors is not so clear and discussions on the origin of the stream are still ongoing. Despite the similarity with the Geminids in terms of orbits, the Taurids present very different chaos maps, where the effect of mean-motion resonances is much weaker. However, other phenomena can be studied and then compared to the results obtained for the three previous streams. 

This talk aims to present these results and the next steps on this topic.

How to cite: Courtot, A., Vaubaillon, J., and Fouchard, M.: Chaos maps as tools to explore meteoroid streams dynamics, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-95, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-95, 2024.

14:55–15:05
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EPSC2024-736
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Eloy Peña-Asensio and Juan Miguel Sánchez-Lozano

Meteor showers, originating from disruptions of comets or asteroids, offer insights into the composition and dynamics of the Solar System. However, distinguishing sporadic meteors from those belonging to specific meteoroid streams remains a challenge.

This study evaluates four orbital similarity criteria within a five-dimensional parameter space (DSH, DD, DH, and ϱ2 [1-4]) for dynamical associations, using the CAMS database as a benchmark. Additionally, we assess various Machine Learning distance metrics with two vectors: ORBIT (based on heliocentric orbital elements) and GEO (based on geocentric observational parameters). We test the Top-k agreement and compute the optimal cut-offs for distinguishing sporadic events by analyzing the ROC curve using Youden’s J statistic [5].

Our findings indicate that the sEuclidean metric paired with the GEO vector demonstrates superior performance compared to other metrics and the D-criteria, achieving the highest Top-1 accuracy of 87.06%. Among the D-criteria, DSH is the most effective for Top-1 accuracy at 86.23%, while ϱ2 leads in both Top-5 (95.67%) and Top-10 (97.93%) accuracy. The Bray-Curtis metric, when combined with the ORBIT vector, consistently outperforms other distance metrics and the DD criterion across all Top-k tests, achieving Top-1, Top-5, and Top-10 accuracies of 83.96%, 94.10%, and 96.61%, respectively. DD exhibits an opposite trend to other D-criteria when evaluated against distance metrics with the GEO vector. In general, ϱ2 appears to be the most comparable to distance metrics using the GEO vector and is the most compatible with both GEO and ORBIT vectors simultaneously.

The mean accuracies for Top-1, Top-5, and Top-10 tests are 83.7%, 93.6%, and 96.2%, respectively, with the highest accuracies achieved using the GEO vector (85.1%, 93.4%, 95.9%) rather than the ORBIT vector (81.8%, 93.2%, 95.9%). This suggests that geocentric parameters provide a more robust basis than orbital elements for meteor dynamical association.

The sEuclidean metric, when used with the GEO vector, achieves the highest overall accuracy (84.34%) and Matthews correlation coefficient (phi) of 0.6464, closely followed by Cityblock and Bray-Curtis metrics. Among the D-criteria, DSH distinguishes itself with a phi of 0.6400, translating to an accuracy rate of 84.17% in separating the background, while DD emerges as the least effective, with a phi of 0.5877 and an accuracy of 81.87%. In the context of the ORBIT vector, Cityblock takes the lead with a phi of 0.6359 and 84.04% accuracy, closely followed by Bray-Curtis and Euclidean metrics.

Excluding the Cosine metric, all distance metrics associated with the GEO vector surpass the D-criteria in phi when differentiating the meteoroid background. Despite the generally lower performance of the ORBIT vector, various distance metrics still exceed certain D-criteria in effectiveness. Optimal cut-offs for all D-criteria and distance metrics are provided, based on the CAMS database classification. See Table 1. The complete details of this work can be found in [6]

Table 1. Threshold, accuracies, and Matthews correlation coefficients for different D-criteria and distance metrics in the CAMS database taking into account the sporadic and associated events.

In conclusion, this study reveals that Machine Learning distance metrics can rival or even outperform specifically tailored orbital similarity criteria for meteor dynamical association.  

 

References

[1] Southworth, R. B., & Hawkins, G. S. (1963). Smithsonian Contributions to Astrophysics, 7, 261–285.

[2] Drummond, J. D. (1981). Icarus, 45(3), 545–553.

[3] Jopek, T. J. (1993). Icarus, 106(2), 603–607. 

[4] Kholshevnikov, K. V., Kokhirova, G. I., Babadzhanov, P. B. et al. (2016). Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 462(2), 2275–2283.

[5] Youden, W. J. (1950). Cancer, 3(1), 32–35.

[6] Peña-Asensio E., & Sánchez-Lozano J.M. (2024). Advances in Space Research, in press, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2024.05.005.

How to cite: Peña-Asensio, E. and Sánchez-Lozano, J. M.: Distance metrics for dynamical association of meteors, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-736, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-736, 2024.

15:05–15:10
15:10–15:20
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EPSC2024-204
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Virtual presentation
Apostolos Christou and Maria Gritsevich
While much is now known about the distribution of solar system dust down to nm-sized particles, the flux of mm-sized or larger grains is effectively unconstrained by direct observation outside of the Earth's immediate vicinity. Measuring the flux of those larger meteoroids requires using the surface area of an entire planet to record those particles as meteors burning up in the atmosphere. Cases in point are the SPOSH and EUSO/Mini-EUSO nadir-pointed optical-transient detector concepts [1,2] with the latter now successfully recording meteors from the International Space Station since 2019 [3,4]. The concept of an orbital meteor survey is particularly suited to the planet Venus, where the harsh surface environment and thick, opaque atmosphere preclude the use of ground-based assets for this purpose.
 
Figure 1:  Magnitude-height profile for a 0.25g mass meteoroid ablating in the atmospheres of Venus and the Earth. The dashed lines indicate the heights of maximum light.
 
We have used physics-based modelling to assess the detectability of meteors in the upper atmosphere of Venus and to compare the efficiency of orbital meteor surveys at Venus vs the Earth [5]. Application of our ablation model to Venus confirms earlier findings [6] that Venus meteors would be brighter but shorter-lived than Earth meteors due to the different density scale heights (Fig 1). Meteors at Venus would typically appear at 85-125 km altitude, meaning an orbital survey would be unimpeded by the perennial cloud layers. Finally, we consider the performance of a hypothetical meteor detector on the future ESA EnVision mission similar to the Mini-EUSO instrument, finding that the intrinsically higher luminosity of meteors at Venus yields a detection rate 1.5x-2.5x the corresponding Earth rate (Fig 2). We further estimate that a Mini-EUSO-type instrument at Venus will yield 33-55 detections per hr of observing time, more than sufficient for a thorough characterisation of the >mm meteoroid population at 0.7 au from the Sun.
 
 

Figure 2: Hourly meteor detection rate at Earth and at Venus for cameras with similar characteristics to SPOSH (left) and to Mini-EUSO (right). The gray line represents the ratio of the number of meteors detected at the two planets.

 
References
[1] Abdellaoui, G., Abe, S., 358 co-authors, 2017. Meteor studies in the framework of the JEM-EUSO program. Planet. Space Sci. 143, 245–255. doi:10.1016/j.pss.2016.12.001. [2] Oberst, J., Flohrer, J., Elgner, S., Maue, T., Margonis, A., Schrödter, R., Tost, W., Buhl, M., Ehrich, J., Christou, A., Koschny, D., 2011. The Smart Panoramic Optical Sensor Head (SPOSH) - A camera for observations of transient luminous events on planetary night sides. Planet. Space Sci.
59, 1–9. doi:10.1016/j.pss.2010.09.016. [3] Bacholle, S., Barrillon, P., 59 co-authors, 2021. Mini-EUSO mission to study Earth UV emissions on board the ISS. Astrophys. J. Suppl. Ser. 253, 36. doi:10.3847/1538-4365/abd93d. [4] Coleman, A., Eser, J., 96 co-authors, 2023. Ultra high energy cosmic rays: The intersection of the cosmic and energy frontiers. Astroparticle Physics 147, 102794. doi:10.1016/j.astropartphys.2022.102794. [5] Christou, A.A., Gritsevich, M., 2024. Feasibility of meteor surveying from a Venus orbiter, Icarus, accepted for publication. doi: 10.1016/j.icarus.2024.116116. [6] McAuliffe, J.P., Christou, A.A., 2006. Modelling meteor ablation in the venusian atmosphere. Icarus 180, 1–22. doi:10.1016/j.icarus.2005.07.012.

How to cite: Christou, A. and Gritsevich, M.: Characterising the meteoroid environment at 0.7 au from the sun with a Venus-orbiting meteor camera: a feasibility study, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-204, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-204, 2024.

15:20–15:30
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EPSC2024-626
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Joachim Balis, Peter Brown, Hervé Lamy, and Emmanuel Jehin

Abstract: 

It has been argued within the scientific community that meteoroids of all sizes fragment. Observations with the high-resolution optical network CAMO (Canadian Automated Meteor Observatory) have shown obvious fragments for 90% of meteoroids (Subasinghe et al., 2016). The remaining 10% may fragment as well, as Campbell-Brown et al. (2017) showed that even meteors with a very short wake cannot be fitted with a single body model.

Fragmentation is essential for a proper characterization of the structure and composition of meteoroids. In turn, the latter determine the dynamics of meteoroids in space, their ablation behavior when they enter the atmosphere and the potential damage that they cause to spacecraft. Ignoring fragmentation leads notably to an overestimation of ablation coefficients, an underestimation of meteoroid densities (Moorhead et al, 2017) and limit the accuracy in the determination of meteoroid orbits (Vida et al, 2018).

Direct measurements of fragmentation are particularly important for a better understanding of the underlying phenomenon and for improving the existing ablation models. Although high-resolution observations of meteor trails through optical means at mm-sizes have been done in the recent years (e.g., Campbell-Brown, 2017; Vida et al., 2021), there are few works performing fragmentation characterization through radio observations.

An approach that utilizes both the phase and amplitude associated to the radio echo of a meteor was developed by Elford (2001). This technique, called Fresnel Transform (FT), allows to study the structure of the ionized trail immediately behind the head of the meteor. Although it is highly effective for computing the variation of the electron line density along the trail and therefore characterizing fragmentation, to date the FT has been mainly used for the computation of meteoroid velocity (Baggaley & Grant, 2005; Campbell & Elford, 2006; Holdsworth et al., 2007; Roy et al., 2007).

We will present progress of a new Python software package which allows the computation of the FT applied to meteor echoes, with a specific aim of statistically examining the process of fragmentation at small meteoroid sizes.

With this software, we will apply the FT to meteor echoes detected by the Canadian Meteor Orbit Radar (CMOR) and compare the results with the high-resolution imagery furnished by CAMO as validation. This comparative analysis will validate both the accuracy of the Python tool and the physical interpretation of the scattering amplitudes produced by the FT.

This tool will be applicable in an automated mode to both backscatter and forward-scatter data, providing a versatile framework for meteoroid analysis. This project will, for the first time, enable us to examine fragmentation of small meteoroids in a self-contained manner.

 

References:        

- Subasinghe D., Campbell-Brown M. D., Stokan E. (2016). Physical characteristics of faint meteors by light curve and high-resolution observations, and the implications for parent bodies. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 457(2), 1289–1298. https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stw019

- Campbell-Brown M. D. (2017). Modelling a short-wake meteor as a single or fragmenting body. Planetary and Space Science, 143, 34-39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pss.2017.02.012

- Moorhead A. V., Blaauw R. C., Moser D. E, Campbell-Brown M. D., Brown. P.G., Cooke W. J. (2017). A two-population sporadic meteoroid bulk density distribution and its implications for environment models. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 472(4), 3833-3841. https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stx2175

- Vida D., Brown P. G., Campbell-Brown M. D. (2018). Modelling the measurement accuracy of pre-atmosphere velocities of meteoroids. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 479(4), 4307–4319. https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/sty1841

- Vida D., Brown P. G., Campbell-Brown M. D, Weryk R. J., Stober G., McCormack J. P. (2021). High precision meteor observations with the Canadian automated meteor observatory: Data reduction pipeline and application to meteoroid mechanical strength measurements. Icarus, 354, 114097. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icarus.2020.114097.

- Elford W. G. (2001). Observations of the structure of meteor trails at radio wavelengths using Fresnel holography. ESASP, 495, 405–411. https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2001ESASP.495..405E/abstract

- Baggaley W. J., Grant J. (2005). Techniques for Measuring Radar Meteor Speeds. In: Hawkes, R., Mann, I., Brown, P. (eds). Modern meteor science: an interdisciplinary view. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/1-4020-5075-5_56

- Campbell L. A., Elford W. G. (2006). Accuracy of meteoroid speeds determined using a Fresnel transform procedure. Planetary and Space Science, 54(3), 317–323. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pss.2005.12.016

- Holdsworth D. A., Elford W. G., Vincent R. A., Reid I. M., Murphy D. J., Singer W. (2007). All-sky interferometric meteor radar meteoroid speed estimation using the Fresnel transform. Annales Geophysicae, 25(2), 385–398. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-25-385-2007

- Roy A., Doherty J. F., Mathews J. D. (2007). Analyzing radar meteor trail echoes using the Fresnel transform technique: a signal processing viewpoint. Earth Moon Planet, 101, 27–39. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11038-007-9147-5

How to cite: Balis, J., Brown, P., Lamy, H., and Jehin, E.: Fresnel holography for radio characterization of meteoroid fragmentation, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-626, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-626, 2024.

15:30–15:40
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EPSC2024-1309
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On-site presentation
Maria Gritsevich, Daniel Kastinen, and Johan Kero
Understanding meteor phenomena involves deciphering not only the physical properties of meteoroids but also their dynamic histories. While various ground- and space-based instruments can capture these phenomena, High-Power Large-Aperture (HPLA) radar systems stand out for their capacity to offer superior data with enhanced sensitivity and extended detection ranges, enabling the study of fainter meteors.
 
Despite these advantages, meteor head echo detection with radar systems encounters inherent limitations, particularly regarding the inability to track the entire trajectory of meteors due to the narrow observational volume. This limitation often leads to missing the initial phase of the atmospheric meteor trajectory, where crucial information regarding pre-entry velocity, orbit determination, and mass estimation remains elusive.
 
In this study, we introduce a new approach to processing radar meteor head echo detection by embedding a physical model that enables the reconstruction of meteoroid trajectories based on partial detection. Using the observational data obtained with MU radar, we demonstrate that this method is capable of addressing the limiting factor of radar volume and resolving the challenge of estimating pre-atmospheric velocity of meteoroids. This capability drastically improves our ability to interpret radar observations, offering a more comprehensive exploration of both sporadic meteors and meteor showers. It allows for the reconstruction of trajectories of faint meteors that may not be detectable by other means, such as optical techniques. This approach bridges the gap between radar detection and self-consistent physical modeling, enhancing current understanding and extending interpretability of a wider range of meteor phenomena.

How to cite: Gritsevich, M., Kastinen, D., and Kero, J.: Physical Modeling of Meteors based on Radar Data, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-1309, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-1309, 2024.

15:40–15:55
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EPSC2024-838
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solicited
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On-site presentation
Maria Hajdukova

Introduction

This presentation will demonstrate the sensitivity of meteoroid orbit determination to errors in meteor measurements. Both parameters, speed and radiant, influence the computed heliocentric velocity of a meteoroid prior to encountering Earth, thus impacting its orbit determination. Whether a meteoroid's orbit is closed or open relative to the Sun determines its nature and origin. Unambiguously identifying an interstellar meteoroid therefore necessitates understanding the validity limits provided by uncertainties in these parameters. However, uncertainties in meteor databases are often underestimated or unknown. We introduce a general tool for estimating the accuracy of determined uncertainties in the data.

Hyperbolic excess velocities

Meteor observations provide direct insights into the original extraterrestrial material that formed our solar system and its distribution in Earth's vicinity and beyond. Detecting an interstellar meteoroid could offer clues about the materials in our nearby solar environment or the building blocks of exoplanetary systems.

However, the sole indicator of a particle's interstellar origin is a hyperbolic meteoroid orbit relative to the Sun, while the expected hyperbolic excess of a meteoroid's heliocentric velocity closely approximates the common uncertainty in velocity determination. Consequently, unambiguously identifying an interstellar meteoroid is exceedingly challenging, requiring a comprehensive examination of potential biases and errors.

The accuracy of the data determines the relevance of the conclusions drawn from the scientific results obtained from observed data, especially in meteor astronomy, where the orbit of an object prior to its encounter with Earth is derived from a phenomenon lasting only a few seconds in the atmosphere. Here, we demonstrate how the measured geocentric parameters, including both the meteor velocity v and the angular elongation ε of its apparent radiant from the Earth's apex, impact the resulting meteoroid orbit.

Kresaks’ diagram

It is possible to display both geocentric quantities (v and ε) of a meteor and observe the heliocentric orbit of the meteoroid on the same plot. As introduced by Lubor Kresak and Margita Kresakova in 1976 [1], such a diagram facilitates sufficiently accurate estimations to distinguish between various types of orbits. Hence, such a display is very useful when analyzing hyperbolic orbits [2]. For each hyperbolic meteor, it is possible to estimate the uncertainties in speed and radiant position, which may have shifted the event beyond the parabolic limit. But it is also useful for verifying whether the uncertainties of the dataset as a whole are not underestimated. If so, the spread of meteors in the data smoothly continues beyond the parabolic limit to much higher values than the uncertainties should have allowed [3].

The recent well-known case of an interstellar meteoroid candidate

A notable example is the fireball detected by U.S. Government sensors on January 8, 2014. Based on its parameters, provided in the CNEOSA catalog, the meteoroid exhibits a hyperbolic excess velocity, leading to its proposal as a candidate for an interstellar meteoroid [4]. Reports also suggest that fragments of this fireball were found on the ocean floor near Papua New Guinea, further supporting its potential interstellar origin [5]. The case has been re-analyzed in connection with the entire catalog, and it has been concluded that, based on the available data, there is no evidence to support the interstellar origin of any of the nominally hyperbolic fireballs from this data [6].

Acknowledgements. This work was supported by the Slovak Grant Agency for Science, grant No. 2/0009/22.

References

[1] Kresak, L. and Kresakova, M., 1976, BAC, 27, 106

[2] Hajdukova, M., Sterken V.J., and Wiegert, P., 2019, in Meteoro-ids: Sources of Meteors on Earth and Beyond, CUP, 235

[3] Barghini, D., Durisova, S., Koten, P., and Hajdukova, M., 2024, in preparation

[4] Siraj, A. and Loeb, A., 2022, Astrophys. J., 939, 53

[5] Siraj, A., Loeb, A., and Gallaudet, T. 2022, arXiv e-prints, arXiv:2208.00092

[6] Hajdukova, M., Stober, G., Barghini, D., Koten, P., Vaubaillon, J., Sterken, V.J., Durisova, S., Jackson, A., and Desch, S., 2024, in preparation

Ahttps://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/

How to cite: Hajdukova, M.: Interstellar meteoroids based on meteor observations: persistent controversies, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-838, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-838, 2024.

15:55–16:00
Coffee break
Chairpersons: Maria Gritsevich, Hervé Lamy, Eloy Peña-Asensio
16:30–16:45
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EPSC2024-928
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solicited
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On-site presentation
François Colas, Brigitte Zanda, Pierre Vernazza, Adrien Malgoyre, sylvain bouley, lucie maquet, Asma Steinhausser, Auriane Egal, Jérome Gattacceca, mirel Birlan, Karl Antier, Sebastien Bouquillon, Daniele gardio, Björn Poppe, Jim Rowe, Ashley King, Hervé Lamy, Salma Sylla, Sebastiaan De Vet, and zouhair Benkhaldoun

FRIPON project

The FRIPON fireball project was initially conceived and founded in France in 2014 with a grant from the ANR (Agence Nationale de la Recherche), the objective was to cover the country with a dense network of all-sky cameras (~ a hundred with 80 km spacing). We built (Colas at al 2020) [1] a centralized network, a data storage architecture and a real-time data processing (astrometry of each camera, triangulation of each event to calculate the trajectory of the bright flight and finally determination of the scientific parameters: orbit, incoming mass, final mass, etc.). A catalog of orbits is produced each year and is available on the fireball.fripon.org website. The FRIPON project is designed as a real-time network, the aim of which is to trigger a search in the field within 24 hours of the fall in order to recover fresh meteorites.

 

Extension and results

The architecture developed for the network allows for easy expansion, and from 2016, scientists from neighboring countries were interested in joining the project using the same hardware, software and infrastructure. The main extensions involved Italy (PRISMA), Germany (FRIPON-Germany), Romania (MOROI), the United Kingdom (SCAMP), Canada (DOME), the Netherlands (DOERAK), Spain (SPMN), Belgium (FRIPON-Belgium), Switzerland (FRIPON-Switzerland), South America (FRIPON-Andino), Morocco (MOFID) and Senegal (ASAMAAN). FRIPON (www.fripon.org) is now an international project and the French network is now FRIPON-VigieCiel (www.vigie-ciel.org) a merger of the camera network and of the Vigie-Ciel citizen science project supported by Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle with the aim of involving the general public in finding meteorites by learning how to identify them and thus take part in research. Ten years after the start of the network, we now have 250 active cameras, we have obtained more than 10,000 orbits and our data has been used in the recovery of 7 meteorites (Cavezzo 2020, Winchcombe 2020, Kindberg 2021, Saint-Pierre-le-Viger 2023, Matera 2023, Menetréol 2023, Ribbeck 2024). It is important to note that over these 10 years, more than 20 searches have been organized without positive results, as the recovery efficiency is often far from 100% due to vegetation, private land, etc.

Recovery statistics

Roughly 600 detections per year included at least one French camera, as described in (Colas et al 2020) [1] this corresponds to objects larger than 1 cm and is compatible with the surface area of the national territory (10⁶ km²) according to the previous estimate (Brown et al 2002) [2]. As it also predicts the fall of around 10 meteorites per year for France, we hoped at the start of the project to recover about one meteorite per year, which seems realistic: 50% of meteorites fall during the day, cloud cover is around 50% and ground searches are difficult one time out of two. Another clue is that in the 19th century, one meteorite was recovered every two years in France (Colas, 2020) [1]. Unfortunately, after 10 years of operation, we have only recovered 2 meteorites in France, which is a little disappointing but still better than the 20th century efficiency of one meteorite every 10 years. In the end, the realistic recovery rate seems close to one meteorite per year, but for all of Europe! Since the start of the program in 2015, we found 40 events with a final mass greater than 100g and 10 for 500g and more. These data are compatible with our initial estimate, but the recovery success is low due partly to agricultural changes from small farms where owners could easily identify "strange" stones to big intensive farms.

The case of 2023 CX1

Asteroid 2023 CX1 was discovered by Krisztián Sárneczky of the Konkoly Observatory on 12 February 2023, just 7 hours before it was due to hit the Earth, which made it possible to track it and calculate its orbit very precisely. Most of the telescopic data was obtained by amateurs. It is important to point out that we had to use data from different networks (FRIPON, GMN, AllSky 7, UKMON) and security cameras to calculate the atmospheric entry parameters. The potential strewnfield was then determined in parallel by several groups. The FRIPON/Vigie-ciel collaboration quickly mobilized its network and set up a field search. 4 stones were thus found by children, 4 others by amateurs and finally only 4 others by scientists who were not even meteorite specialists! In the end, amateurs played a fundamental role in the recovery success at all stages of the event: telescopic and fireball data as well as field searches.

Conclusion

The 7 meteorites found in Europe in the last 5 years would not have been found without the presence of fireball networks to give the alert and calculate the strewnfields. In Europe, we are fortunate to have a number of networks (FRIPON, GMN, AllSky7, DFN, etc.) that enable us to detect these events exhaustively. The success of our research is also largely due to citizen science programs such as Vigie-Ciel, which make it possible to organize effective field searches.

 

References: [1] Colas et al. (2020) Astronomy and Astrophysics 644, A53; [2] Brown et al (2002) Nature, Volume 420, Issue 6913

How to cite: Colas, F., Zanda, B., Vernazza, P., Malgoyre, A., bouley, S., maquet, L., Steinhausser, A., Egal, A., Gattacceca, J., Birlan, M., Antier, K., Bouquillon, S., gardio, D., Poppe, B., Rowe, J., King, A., Lamy, H., Sylla, S., De Vet, S., and Benkhaldoun, Z.: Update on the FRIPON network and the effectiveness of meteorite recovery in Europe including all fireball networks. The example of the Saint Pierre-le-Viger fall highlights the need for Pro-Am collaboration, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-928, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-928, 2024.

16:45–16:55
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EPSC2024-602
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Virtual presentation
Elizabeth Silber, Miro Ronac Giannone, Loring Schaible, Eleanor Sansom, Hadrien Devillepoix, Thomas Edwards, Randy Longenbaugh, Mark Boslough, Daniel Bowman, Iona Clemente, Denis Vida, and Damir Šegon

Very bright meteors, also referred to as fireballs and bolides, are generally produced by objects >10 cm in diameter. While impacts by large asteroids (10s of meters in diameter) are relatively rare, they are not statistically negligible. Such objects carry a destructive potential, as illustrated by the Chelyabinsk event that occurred over a decade ago. Thus, the characterization of these objects is of utmost importance, and helps shed light on why some events might result in more catastrophic outcomes than others. Different sensing modalities can be used in unison to derive various bolide parameters, including its trajectory, entry velocity, and energy deposition, among others. In addition to producing a spectacular display in the sky, bolides are also capable of generating shockwaves. A by-product of shockwaves is a low frequency (< 20 Hz) acoustic wave, or infrasound. Acoustic sensing using infrasound stations installed around the globe has gained momentum over the last decade due to its capability to detect bolides and help estimate their energy deposition irrespective of time of day or cloud coverage. Infrasound is generally used in conjunction with other sensing modalities, such as optical observations, which provide important ground truth information. We present the ground-to-space observations of an energetic bolide that resulted in an airburst over Australia on 20 May 2023. The bolide entered with a speed of 28 km/s over Queensland at 09:22 pm local time, and underwent a catastrophic disintegration at an altitude of 29 km. It deposited energy of ~7.2 kt of TNT equivalent (1 kt = 4.184·1012 J), making it one of the top 20 most energetic bolides detected by the US government sensors and reported in the JPL/NASA CNEOS database since 1988. The bolide was so bright that it was visible at a distance of 600 km. It saturated ground-based cameras, stifling efforts to derive the full trajectory and obtain photometric measurements. We found infrasound signals at four infrasound stations as far as 6000 km away. The energy estimate derived through infrasound signal analysis is ~7 kt of TNT equivalent, which corroborates the value reported by the CNEOS database. We will present observations of this energetic bolide event and discuss implications for planetary defense and characterization of similar events.

SNL is managed and operated by NTESS under DOE NNSA contract DE-NA0003525.

How to cite: Silber, E., Ronac Giannone, M., Schaible, L., Sansom, E., Devillepoix, H., Edwards, T., Longenbaugh, R., Boslough, M., Bowman, D., Clemente, I., Vida, D., and Šegon, D.: Ground-to-space observations of the 20 May 2023 bolide over Australia, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-602, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-602, 2024.

16:55–17:05
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EPSC2024-449
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Dario Barghini, Albino Carbognani, Daniele Gardiol, Sara Bertocco, Matteo Di Carlo, Mario Di Martino, Carmelo Falco, Marco Fenucci, Marco Morelli, Giovanni Pratesi, Walter Riva, Raffaele Salerno, Giovanna Maria Stirpe, and Cosimo Antonio Volpicelli and the PRISMA team

On 14/02/2023 at 17:68:29 UT, three all-sky cameras of the PRISMA network detected a bright bolide (IT20230214) over the regions of Puglia and Basilicata in Southern Italy. The bolide traversed the atmosphere for about 5.3 s, with an entry speed of 16.3 ± 0.1 km/s and at an inclination angle of 56.7° ± 0.3°, reaching a minimum absolute magnitude of -11. Projected on the ground, its trajectory began SW of Bari and ended NE of Matera. From the data collected by the PRISMA network, it was possible to fully characterize the meteoroid, which was determined to have a pre-atmospheric mass of 5 – 21 kg, corresponding to a size of 15 – 24 cm. Its pre-atmospheric orbit was determined to be of asteroidal origin, having a moderate eccentricity of 0.54 ± 0.02, an inclination on the ecliptic plane of 14.5° ± 0.2° and a semi-major axis of 2.10 ± 0.07 AU, with a Tisserand’s parameter of 3.51 ± 0.08. According to a photo-dynamic model, simultaneously fitting for the speed and magnitude data, the residual meteorite mass was determined to be 0.10 ± 0.04 kg (4.4 ± 0.7 cm of size). The area of fall of meteorites was estimated to be located north of Matera, in the Basilicata region. In this contribution, we discuss the analysis of the IT20230214 bolide and, in particular, the finding of the Matera meteorite on 17/03/2023, reported by the brothers Mr. Gianfranco and Pino Losignore in Contrada Rondinelle, in the municipality of Matera. With a total recovered mass of 117.5 g, the Matera meteorite was classified as an H5 ordinary chondrite.

How to cite: Barghini, D., Carbognani, A., Gardiol, D., Bertocco, S., Di Carlo, M., Di Martino, M., Falco, C., Fenucci, M., Morelli, M., Pratesi, G., Riva, W., Salerno, R., Stirpe, G. M., and Volpicelli, C. A. and the PRISMA team: The recovery of the Matera H5 ordinary chondrite thanks to the observations of the PRISMA fireball network, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-449, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-449, 2024.

17:05–17:15
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EPSC2024-865
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Dale Giancono, Hadrien Devillepoix, and Robert Howie

Imaging and all-sky brightness sensors are common instruments used to acquire light curve data of both fireballs and meteors during their bright flight. This data allows modelling of the ablation process using a photometric model which can be calibrated using light sources with known properties such as stars. 

The imaging systems typically consist of long exposure images which are occulted periodically by shutters, or video cameras[1][2][3]. The light curve sampling rates of these imaging systems is usually between 10Hz and 30Hz. However, they have limited dynamic range causing them to saturate during bright fireballs, and do not have the temporal resolution to identify brief flaring events which limits their use in photometric modelling.

To capture non-saturated bright fireballs at a higher temporal resolution, all-sky brightness sensors using photomultiplier tubes have been deployed to collect data with sampling rates between 500Hz and 5000Hz [4]. Photodiodes have also been explored as a low cost sensor for measuring all-sky brightness at similar sampling rates [5][6][7]. However calibration of the data from these sensors requires external calibrated photometric data acquired from imagery [8]. Operating photomultiplier tubes also requires special design considerations such as protection from the sun during the day, and high voltage power supply designs which can make them difficult to deploy and operate efficiently [9]. 

To address some of the limitations of these instruments, a low cost, all-sky, high frame rate camera system has been developed that captures 12 bit data at 470 frames per second, producing light curves of fireballs and meteors that can be directly photometrically calibrated using stars. The fast exposure period that this frame rate enables and high data bit depth allows the system to image brighter fireballs compared to other video camera systems. The first results show promise as an instrumentation method to produce high temporal resolution photometric data of these events using standard computing hardware, off-the-shelf cameras, and simple deployment.

[1] R. M. Howie, J. Paxman, P. A. Bland, M. C. Towner, E. K. Sansom, and H. A. R. Devillepoix, ‘Submillisecond fireball timing using de Bruijn timecodes’, Meteoritics & Planetary Science, vol. 52, no. 8, pp. 1669–1682, 2017, doi: 10.1111/maps.12878.

[2] D. Vida et al., ‘The Global Meteor Network - Methodology and first results’, Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, vol. 506, pp. 5046–5074, Oct. 2021, doi: 10.1093/mnras/stab2008.

[3] F. Colas et al., ‘FRIPON: a worldwide network to track incoming meteoroids’, A&A, vol. 644, p. A53, Dec. 2020, doi: 10.1051/0004-6361/202038649.

[4] P. Spurný, J. Borovička, G. Baumgarten, H. Haack, D. Heinlein, and A. N. Sørensen, ‘Atmospheric trajectory and heliocentric orbit of the Ejby meteorite fall in Denmark on February 6, 2016’, Planetary and Space Science, vol. 143, pp. 192–198, Sep. 2017, doi: 10.1016/j.pss.2016.11.010.

[5] D. Vida, R. Turčinov, D. Šegon, and E. Silađi, Low-cost meteor radiometer. 2015, p. 180. Accessed: May 15, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2015pimo.conf..180V

[6] S. R. G. Buchan, R. M. Howie, J. Paxman, and H. A. R. Devillepoix, Developing a Cost-Effective Radiometer for Fireball Light Curves. eprint: arXiv:1907.12807, 2019, pp. 123–126. doi: 10.48550/arXiv.1907.12807.

[7]  J.-L. Rault, A little tour across the wonderful realm of meteor radiometry. eprint: arXiv:1911.04290, 2020, pp. 112–117. doi: 10.48550/arXiv.1911.04290.

[8] P. Spurný, J. Borovička, and L. Shrbený, ‘The Žďár nad Sázavou meteorite fall: Fireball trajectory, photometry, dynamics, fragmentation, orbit, and meteorite recovery’, Meteoritics & Planetary Science, vol. 55, no. 2, pp. 376–401, 2020, doi: 10.1111/maps.13444.

[9] R. M. Howie et al., ‘How to build a continental scale fireball camera network’, Exp Astron, vol. 43, no. 3, pp. 237–266, Jun. 2017, doi: 10.1007/s10686-017-9532-7.

 

How to cite: Giancono, D., Devillepoix, H., and Howie, R.: RadCam: A High Frame Rate Camera for Producing Calibrated Fireball Light Curves at 470 Frames Per Second, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-865, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-865, 2024.

17:15–17:25
17:25–17:35
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EPSC2024-338
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Patrick Shober, Gonzalo Tancredi, Jeremie Vaubaillon, Hadrien Devillepoix, Sophie Deam, Simon Anghel, Eleanor Sansom, Francois Colas, and Silvia Martino

Background
Jupiter-family comets (JFCs) are distinct low-inclination comets predominantly originating from the Kuiper belt and the scattered disk. These regions, extending beyond Neptune’s orbit, are home to icy primitive bodies that have retained many of their volatile components. JFCs, characterized by their short orbital periods (<20 years) and Tisserand's parameter (2 < TJ < 3), occasionally venture into the inner solar system, where they become visible due to solar heating-induced sublimation. Their trajectories into the inner part of the solar system are characterized by chaotic interactions with Neptune and, in particular, Jupiter. Previous studies have shown that these frequent close encounters with Jupiter give JFCs an exceptionally short dynamical "memory," with Lyapunov lifetimes concentrating towards 50-150 yrs  [1, 2, 3, 4]. The frequent chaotic close encounters provide a very unique dynamical signature to the group that can be used to assess what objects likely originate from the JFC population, even for inactive bodies or meteoroids [5, 6, 3, 7].

Methods
Our study investigates the dynamics and population distribution of JFCs, focusing on their contribution to near-Earth objects (NEOs) and the fireball population. We investigated data from the NASA HORIZONS database (https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons/) along with data from multiple of the world`s largest fireball observation networks. We compared the trajectories and physical characteristics of 661 telescopically observed JFCs and 646 fireballs (Fig. 1) observed by the Desert Fireball Network (DFN; https://dfn.gfo.rocks/), European Fireball Network (EFN), Fireball Recovery and InterPlanetary Observation Network (FRIPON; https://fireball.fripon.org/), and Meteorite Observation and Recovery Project (MORP) [8, 9]. The fireball data was limited to objects fitting the Tisserand`s parameter definition of a JFC. The statistical analysis assessed the orbital elements and the frequency of close encounters within the populations over a 10,000 yr integration time period using the Rebound N-body Python library and the IAS15 integrator with all planets included [10, 11]. 

Fig. 1 Fireball data from DFN (blue dots), EFN (red diamonds), FRIPON (green triangle), and MORP (black squares) with 2 < TJ < 3. Also plotted, the 661 JFCs integrated in this study taken from NASA's HORIZONS database are shown as black crosses.}

Results

Our comprehensive analysis reveals significant insights into the nature and origins of objects on JFC-like orbits. We identified nine established meteor showers within the datasets from the DFN, EFN, MORP, and FRIPON networks, accounting for approximately 17% of the JFC-like fireballs. Showers such as the Quadrantids, Southern δ-Aquariids, and α-Capricornids were detected, with varying levels of shower associations across the networks. Interestingly, the October Draconids were identified as the only shower with dynamics consistent with typical JFCs, suggesting it may be the only pristine JFC material in our sample.

At the kilometer scale, the 661 JFCs exhibited frequent close encounters with Jupiter, resulting in rapid and significant changes in their orbits. Interestingly, 30% of near-Earth JFCs showed stable trajectories over 10,000 years, suggesting potential asteroidal contamination consistent with previous studies [6, 12]. However, the dynamics of the JFCs significantly contrast with the centimeter-to-meter scale meteoroids, where the vast majority originate from stable orbits. Only 8-21% of these meteoroids likely experienced close encounters with Jupiter over the 10,000-year integrations, indicating a different source or evolution compared to kilometer-scale JFCs [3, 4].

The Kozai resonance-induced circulation of the argument of perihelion (ω) was observed to protect many meteoroids from close encounters with Jupiter, contributing to their stability. This resonance effect, particularly prevalent among bodies like 96P/Machholz and Marsden group comets, indicates that these objects may contribute significantly to the meteoroid population. Our findings highlight the need for a nuanced understanding of small bodies' sources and evolutionary paths in the solar system. The JFC-like fireballs detected by fireball networks appear to be influenced by asteroidal contamination and survival biases, with only a small fraction consistent with pristine JFC material.

Conclusions
The observed differences in dynamical behavior between kilometer-scale JFCs and centimeter-to-meter-scale meteoroids underscore the varied evolutionary processes affecting these populations and the significance of the size dependence on source region. The findings suggest that the majority of meteoroids on JFC-like orbits are from stable, non-JFC sources, with only the October Draconids showing typical JFC characteristics. These results emphasize the importance of further research into the origins and dynamics of small solar system bodies and the importance of orbital stability and chaos as a metric for interpreting the source regions of meteoroids [3, 4]. 

References

[1] G. Tancredi Astronomy and Astrophysics 1995.   [2] G. Tancredi Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy 1998.   [3] P. M. Shober et al. The Planetary Science Journal 2021.   [4] P. Shober et al. Astronomy & Astrophysics 2024.   [5] J. A. Fern ́andez et al. Icarus 2014.   [6] J. A. Fern ́andez et al. Planetary and Space Science 2015.   [7] P. M. Shober et al. The Astronomical Journal 2020.   [8] I. Halliday et al. Meteoritics & Planetary Science 1996.   [9] J. Boroviˇcka et al. Astronomy & Astrophysics 2022.   [10] H. Rein et al. Astronomy & Astrophysics Jan. 2012.   [11] H. Rein et al. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 2015.   [12] H. H. Hsieh et al. The Astronomical Journal 2020.

How to cite: Shober, P., Tancredi, G., Vaubaillon, J., Devillepoix, H., Deam, S., Anghel, S., Sansom, E., Colas, F., and Martino, S.: The contribution of Jupiter-family comets to the fireball population, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-338, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-338, 2024.

17:35–17:45
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EPSC2024-878
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Silvia Ďurišová, Luboš Neslušan, Mária Hajduková, Regina Rudawska, and Tadeusz Jopek

Introduction

Almost 1000 meteor showers are known at present. But it is possible to connect the related meteoroid stream to a possible parent body only for a small fraction of them. The so-called D-criteria of the orbital similarity (or dissimilarity) enable us to reveal a possible connection through the similarity of orbits of the comet and such stream particles, which orbits have not been drastically altered by dynamical evolution. By using D-criteria we evaluate the similarity of such orbits to confirm and complete the list of possible parent comets to already known meteoroid streams.

Meteor shower data

The parameters of meteor showers are archived in the Shower Databasea (SD) of the Meteor Data Center (MDC) of the International Astronomical Union (IAU), which is currently undergoing a series of verifications and improvements [1, 2, 3]. One of them is the update of the information about suggested parent bodies of individual meteor showers, as it is incomplete due to various reasons. At the moment, only about 16% of meteor showers in IAU MDC SD has some kind of such information available. For this work, we used 1304 recorded meteor shower solutions downloaded from the IAU MDC SD, which represent 854 meteor showers.

Cometary data

We comprised a file with cometary orbits from three catalogues: the 17th edition of Catalogue of Cometary Orbits [4], orbits from the IAU Minor Planet Centerb and the Jet Propulsion Laboratory cometary cataloguec. In some cases, the changes of orbital elements are significant, osculating orbits of the same comet calculated for different epochs from all three catalogues were preserved. After omitting the orbits with perihelion values greater than 1.2 au (which orbits cannot be linked with known meteoroid streams via orbital similarity), we compiled a list of 2865 cometary orbits.

Confirmed and newly identified associations

For evaluation of the orbital similarity, we used Dsh [5], Dd [6] and the hybrid Dh [7] functions. The threshold values for all three criteria were identified by using a set of artificial meteoroid orbits with characteristics modeled after the observed orbits and assessing the probability of a random coincidence between each modeled orbit with the orbit of the considered comet.

By application of the above-mentioned criteria, we obtained the following lists with shower-comet associations: 1) shower-comet pairs proposed in the past by various authors which were confirmed by our search, 2)  new shower-comet pairs that have not been (to our knowledge) proposed previously and 3) shower-comet pairs that have been previously proposed by various authors but our search could not identify them. Several cases are discussed individually. These include the new discoveries, cases of a single comet being associated with more than one meteor shower, one meteor shower being associated with more than a single comet and some specific cases of multi-solution showers for which not all of the solutions provided consistent results.

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the Slovak Grant Agency for Science (VEGA), grant No. 2/0009/22. This research also made use of NASA’s Astrophysics Data System Bibliographic Services, data files from the IAU Minor Planet Center and Jet Propulsion Laboratory tools.

References

[1] Hajduková, M., Rudawska R., Jopek, T. J., Koseki, M., Kokhirova, G. and Neslušan, L., Astronomy and Astrophysics 671, A155, 2023

[2] Neslušan, L., Jopek, T. J., Rudawska R., Hajduková, M. and Kokhirova, G., Planetary and Space Science 235, 105737, 2023

[3] Jopek, T. J., Neslušan, L., Rudawska R. and Hajduková, M., Astronomy and Astrophysics 682, A159, 2024

[4] Green, D. W. E., IAU Circular 8958, 2008

[5] Southworth, R. B. and Hawkins, G. S., Smithsonian Contributions to Astrophysics 7, 261, 1963

[6] Drummond, J. D., Icarus 45, 545, 1981

[7] Jopek, T. J., Icarus 106, 603, 1993

 

a https://www.iaumeteordatacenter.org/

b https://minorplanetcenter.net/

c https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sb/elem_tables.html

How to cite: Ďurišová, S., Neslušan, L., Hajduková, M., Rudawska, R., and Jopek, T.: Parent comets of meteoroid streams, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-878, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-878, 2024.

17:45–17:55
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EPSC2024-987
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Sophie Deam, Hadrien Devillepoix, and Eleanor Sansom

NEO models for km-sized asteroids  

Near-Earth object (NEO) models are a useful tool for interpreting asteroid behaviour in near-Earth space (perihelion distances < 1.3 au). They can predict many asteroid properties such the size-dependent transport from the main-belt (Granvik et al., 2018; Nesvorný et al., 2023) and the disruptive processes of low perihelia passage (Granvik et al., 2016; Wiegart et al., 2020). They can also estimate the frequency of Earth impactors (Harris & Chodas, 2021; Morbidelli et al., 2020), and trace the origins of meteorites to the main asteroid belt (e.g. Brown et al., 2023).  

This field of work is not static and model improvements are enabled by many factors. Continuing NEO surveys for one, as seen by the update on Nesvorný et al. (2023) by Nesvorný et al. (2024a) to include additional years of asteroid detections. Models are also improved by an increase in computational power to perform statistical analysis and numerical simulations (Greenstreet et al. (2012) reworking Bottke et al. (2002)), or by the addition of albedo or compositional information (e.g. Nesvorný et al. (2024b) and Brož et al. (2024)). Even with several iterations, all models to date have made use of telescopic data covering NEOs with diameters ranging from the order of a kilometre down to ~ 30 metres (absolute magnitude range H=17 to H=25).  

Calibrating models based solely on telescopically observed NEOs is a limitation when making predictions for smaller impacting meteoroids. Results must be extrapolated down orders of magnitude in mass to as small as 3.5 kg or approximately H = 37.25, such is the size of the meteoroid for the Cavezzo orbital meteorite (Gardiol et al., 2021). This may not be appropriate as we expect there to be differences between km and m-sized NEO populations. NEO models themselves show size-dependent relative contributions of main-belt sources for NEOs over the range H=17 to H=25 (Granvik et al., 2018). Additionally, the abundance of currently known NEOs in the S-complex with an LL-ordinary chondrite like spectral classification does not match the abundance of LL-ordinary chondrite meteorites found on Earth (Vernazza et al., 2008). Future surveys such as the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) and NEO Surveyor will discover more NEOs and drive observational completeness down to smaller and smaller sizes. In the meantime, there exist a wealth of observations of smaller bodies (≲ 1 m) in the form of bolides and fireballs. These phenomena are from meteoroids well below the size of what is observable with telescopes and more closely represent the meteorite precursor population.  

A model calibrated to cm to m-sized objects  

To probe the size dependent processes for smaller asteroids, we approach NEO modelling from a new direction. We calibrate a NEO model to Earth impactors using the data from the Global Fireball Observatory (Devillepoix et al., 2020). The Global Fireball Observatory is a network of cameras around the world optimised to the detection and triangulation of fireballs. The dataset we use consists of more than 1,200 triangulated fireballs spanning 9 years of observations. The pre-atmospheric masses of the meteoroids range from 0.01 kg to 100 kg; probing the centimetre to metre-sized bodies.   

Preliminary results and future prospects  

We attempt to debias the dataset by weighting the sporadic events by their Earth impact probability. Following the methods of Nesvorný et al. (2023), we fit a model to the fireball orbital data. We hope to use this model to compare the relative delivery ratios of main-belt sources for cm to m-sized objects to those derived for ~ 100 metre NEOs. We will present the modelling methodology and preliminary results, discussing the challenges of using a relatively smaller dataset.   

References 

Bottke, W. F., Morbidelli, A., Jedicke, R., et al. 2002, Icarus, 156, 399.  

Brown, P. G., McCausland, P. J. A., Hildebrand, A. R., et al. 2023, Meteoritics and Planetary Science, 58, 1773. 

Brož, M., Vernazza, P., Marsset, M., et al. 2024, arXiv:2403.08552.  

Devillepoix, H. A. R., Cupák, M., Bland, P. A., et al. 2020, Planetary and Space Science, 191, 105036.  

Gardiol, D., Barghini, D., Buzzoni, A., et al. 2021, MNRAS, 501, 1215,  

Granvik, M., Morbidelli, A., Jedicke, R., et al. 2016, Nature, 530, 303.  

Granvik, M., Morbidelli, A., Jedicke, R., et al. 2018, Icarus, 312, 181.  

Greenstreet, S., Ngo, H., & Gladman, B. 2012, Icarus, 217, 355.  

Harris, A. W. & Chodas, P. W. 2021, Icarus, 365, 114452.  

Morbidelli, A., Delbo, M., Granvik, M., et al. 2020, Icarus, 340, 113631.  

Nesvorný, D., Deienno, R., Bottke, W. F., et al. 2023, The Astronomical Journal, 166, 55.  

Nesvorný, D., Vokrouhlický, D., Shelly, F., et al. 2024a, Icarus, 411, 115922.  

Nesvorný, D., Vokrouhlický, D., Shelly, F., et al. 2024b, arXiv:2404.18805.  

Vernazza, P., Binzel, R. P., Thomas, C. A., et al. 2008, Nature, 454, 858.  

Wiegert, P., Brown, P., Pokorný, P., et al. 2020, The Astronomical Journal, 159, 143.  

How to cite: Deam, S., Devillepoix, H., and Sansom, E.: A Near-Earth Object Model Calibrated to Earth Impactors, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-987, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-987, 2024.

17:55–18:00

Posters: Fri, 13 Sep, 10:30–12:00 | Poster area Level 2 – Galerie

Display time: Fri, 13 Sep, 08:30–Fri, 13 Sep, 19:00
Chairpersons: Maria Gritsevich, Eloy Peña-Asensio, Hervé Lamy
P25
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EPSC2024-607
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Virtual presentation
Elizabeth Silber

Natural and artificial impulsive sources in the atmosphere can generate infrasound, or very low frequency (f<20 Hz) acoustic waves. Infrasound can travel over long distances with minimal attenuation, and for that reason it is used in global monitoring efforts. Unlike other sensing modalities that might have geographic (e.g., inaccessible regions), time-of-day (e.g., optical), or other limitations, infrasound can be utilized continuously (day and night). Volcanoes, lightning, chemical explosions, re-entry vehicles, space debris, and bolides are among the sources producing infrasound. Among these, bolides present a particularly intriguing scientific challenge due to their varying parameters (e.g., velocity, entry angle, and physical properties). Theoretically, bolide infrasound signatures should carry information about the source, potentially also informing about the type (hypersonic or spherical) and altitude of the shock. To fully leverage infrasound in characterization of bolides and sources alike, it is important to have both the detailed event ground truth and accurate atmospheric specifications. However, atmospheric specifications might not always accurately portray the real conditions. For example, it is well-established that the dynamic changes in the atmosphere that occur on temporal scales of minutes to hours might lead to the degradation of information carried by the infrasonic wave from the source. Moreover, unexpected propagation paths might also exist, where signals could be detected despite not being anticipated to reach certain areas. Despite these issues, there are cases where infrasound can provide a more complete picture about possible propagation conditions as well as the origin of the shock (altitude and type). One such example is the 23 July 2008 bolide over Tajikistan. This event was detected at distant infrasound stations, between 1500 and 2100 km from the source. While propagation modeling using realistic atmospheric specifications indicated that the signal would readily arrive at one station, the opposite was true for the other station. The presence of the detectable signal where such is not expected is attributed to the acoustic energy being trapped in a leaky stratospheric AtmoSOFAR duct. This acoustic channel was previously theoretically predicted to exist but only recently validated through high-altitude balloon-borne infrasound experiments. The primary mode of shock production was a spherical blast generated by the main gross fragmentation episode at an altitude of 35 km. The utility of infrasound in characterization of this and similar events will be discussed.

SNL is managed and operated by NTESS under DOE NNSA contract DE-NA0003525.

How to cite: Silber, E.: Leveraging infrasound for estimating the characteristics of shockwaves generated by large bolides, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-607, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-607, 2024.

P26
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EPSC2024-810
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On-site presentation
Martin Cupak, Eleanor Sansom, Hadrien Devillepoix, Martin Towner, Srikanth Kompella, Paul Hancock, and Andrew Singleton

Fine resolution atmospheric models are used for a suite of planetary science applications, from the prediction of meteorite or human-made object fall locations, to modelling infrasound wave propagation. No matter the application, the research team typically needs to ask an expert from a local meteorological institute/bureau for such weather model data. This may be suitable for ad hoc cases, but is not suitable for routine use. On top of that, there still might be delays that would impact time sensitive uses, for example precipitation causing contamination of a recent meteorite fall. While building the Desert Fireball Network (DFN), including an automated data processing pipeline, we decided to invest into an in-house weather modelling knowledge base and solution.

The luminous flight of fireballs typically ends at tens of kilometres altitude, and there is always a need to model a potential meteorites’ fall to the ground.  

The dark flight modelling is a straightforward physical simulation, though is significantly influenced by the winds. The wind can blow the re-entering object many kilometres away from idealistic no—wind calculation. As a realistic search area covers only several square kilometres, ignoring the winds in the dark flight simulation could result in founding no meteorites at all. In some rare cases, there is a direct measurement of the weather state available - a vertical profile from a radiosonde on a balloon, launched nearby and recording at the time of the fireball. But in most scenarios, weather modelling is the only method to provide the atmospheric data needed for a successful fall location prediction leading to meteorite recovery.

Figure 1: Modelled flight path of 5g meteorite entering atmosphere in opposite direction with respect to the dominant wind direction, visualised in Google Earth.

We have developed a software toolkit to model weather conditions in a given area and time range in the past, using state of the art, freely available weather modelling software (WRF-ARW), configured for high temporal and spatial resolution.

We have been using and re-fining this method for a decade and the software has contributed to over 13 successful meteorite recoveries within Australian DFN and Global Fireball Observatory (GFO). As the number of meteorite- dropping fireballs captured by DFN and GFO was growing, and based on requests from our overseas collaborators to run modelling for their cases, we have recently refactored this software into a more user-friendly form and further automated the workflow, lowering the entry threshold for users who are not experts in weather simulations and meteorology. It allows the weather simulation to be run remotely, either on a Linux based system (both virtual and physical) or on an HP/Cray supercomputer. The functionality includes collecting the data product from the remote system to a local disk.

On top of dark flight calculation for meteorite recovery, the weather model toolkit has successfully been used in scenarios such as:  

  • Tracking re-entry of sample return space mission capsule,
  • To mitigate risk of interaction of the public with potentially hazardous space debris deorbiting out of control and to locate and collect evidence of “space littering,” 
  • To track trajectory of stratospheric balloon descent for spacecraft test flights.

It could also be used to support other planetary science areas, including acoustic wave propagation or density and temperature dispersion models.

The software is on Github and will be made publicly available (at the time of the congress), with instructions on how to use and configure for scenarios we have experienced. The weather modelling toolkit is complementary with dark flight modelling software that has previously been published by our team (also with code publicly available on Github).

We are planning to offer the weather modelling as an automated public service for researchers, providing we secure funding for a web app interface and long-term maintenance/operations. 

Figure 2: Modelled flight path of 1kg fragment of Soyuz spacecraft deorbiting in a direction approximately perpendicular to the dominant wind direction, visualised in Google Earth.

References

Skamarock, W. C., Klemp, J. B., Dudhia, J., et al. 2019, A description of the advanced research WRF version 4, Tech. rep., NCAR Technical Note NCAR/TN-556+STR, doi: 10.5065/1dfh-6p97

Towner, M. C., Jansen-Sturgeon, T., Cupák, M., et al. 2022, PSJ, 3, 44, doi: 10.3847/PSJ/ac3df5 

Howie, R. M., Paxman, J., Bland, P. A., et al. 2017a, Experimental Astronomy, 43, 237, doi: 10.1007/s10686-017-9532-7

Devillepoix, H. A. R., Cupák, M., Bland, P. A., Sansom, E. K., Towner, M. C., Howie, R. M., ... & Benedix, G. K. (2020). A Global Fireball Observatory. Planetary and Space Science 191:105036

DFN team page with contact information to request atmospheric modelling: https://dfn.gfo.rocks/data_code.html

How to cite: Cupak, M., Sansom, E., Devillepoix, H., Towner, M., Kompella, S., Hancock, P., and Singleton, A.: A weather modelling software toolkit for planetary science applications , Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-810, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-810, 2024.

P27
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EPSC2024-846
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Iona Clemente, Eleanor K. Sansom, and Hadrien A. R. Devillepoix

     Fireballs are unpredictable phenomena from large objects entering our atmosphere that continue to be the subject of numerous studies. Indeed, as they tend to last from a few seconds to several dozen seconds, and as we usually do not have samples of these bodies, we are missing a lot of information about their properties.  

Nevertheless, we know that when a meteoroid is large enough; greater than 10 centimetres diameter, it produces shock waves. These waves are either generated by the hypersonic passage of the meteoroid through the atmosphere, or by the fragmentation process. Indeed, a meteoroid undergoes fragmentation when the air pressure exerted over its surface exceeds its cohesion. In addition, surface waves such as Rayleigh waves, can also be induced by the coupling of shock waves with the ground. In the extremely rare case of an impact of the meteoroid on the ground, body waves may be generated as well.   

     In this study, we decided to focus on three main events: two metre-scale fireball entries and one re-entry event. The first event, the Kalabity event, occurred on January 2nd, 2015, and lasted 10.54 seconds (Devillepoix et al. (2019)). The meteoroid diameter was estimated by Devillepoix et al. (2019) to be approximately 1.2 metre. Baird bay event, the second metre-scale event occurred on June 30th, 2017. It lasted 5.46 seconds and was estimated to be greater than 1.7-metre diameter (Devillepoix et al. (2019)). The last event we are investigating is the re-entry of the SRC of Hayabusa 2. For context, the aim of this Japanese was to recover samples at the surface of the Ryugu asteroid and to bring them back to Earth for analyses. The SRC re-entry took place on January 5th, 2020, over the Woomera Prohibited are, South Australia, and persisted for 26.4 seconds.  

     In this work, we analyse the seismic signals recorded from these events with the aim of identifying characteristic properties and differences between the entry of natural bodies that fragment, and a man-made 'monolith' type object. 

For our seismic investigation, we use fireball trajectory information from the Desert Fireball Network (DFN) database and seismic data from seismic stations of the Australian National Seismograph Network (ANSN). Regarding the first meter-scale event (Kalabity event), interesting signals have been found at seismic stations AQ3G0 and HTT, respectively belonging to the 4J and AU networks. Similarly, stations BBOO (AU) and AUCAS (S1) display a likely signal from the Baird bay event. Additionally, one seismic station, MULG (network AU), provide interesting seismic data of the re-entry of Hayabusa 2. 

 Figure 1: Events locations. 

 

References 

H. A. R. Devillepoix, P. A. Bland, E. K. Sansom, M. C. Towner, M. Cupák, R. M. Howie, B. A. D. Hartig, T. Jansen-Sturgeon, M. A. Cox, Observation of metre-scale impactors by the Desert Fireball Network, Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, Volume 483, Issue 4, March 2019, Pages 5166–5178, https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/sty3442 

Yasuhiro Nishikawa, Masa-yuki Yamamoto, Eleanor K. Sansom, Hadrien A. R. Devillepoix, Martin C. Towner, Yoshihiro Hiramatsu, Taichi Kawamura, Kazuhisa Fujita, Makoto Yoshikawa, Yoshiaki Ishihara, Islam Hamama, Norihisa Segawa, Yoshihiro Kakinami, Hiroshi Katao, Yuichiro Inoue, Philip A. Bland, Modeling of 3D trajectory of Hayabusa2 re-entry based on acoustic observations, Publications of the Astronomical Society of Japan, Volume 74, Issue 2, April 2022, Pages 308–317, https://doi.org/10.1093/pasj/psab126 

How to cite: Clemente, I., Sansom, E. K., and Devillepoix, H. A. R.: Seismo-acoustic signals of fireballs: Comparing natural objects to a man-made sample return capsule entry. , Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-846, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-846, 2024.

P28
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EPSC2024-681
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On-site presentation
Jian-Yang Li, Xiaoshu Wu, Zhenye Li, Wenjun Liang, Jun Cui, and Jifeng Liu

Ground-based meteor surveillance network is the most widely used technique to monitor meteors. We report a newly developed optical meteor surveillance network in China, named the Large Automated Network of Remote All-sky Observatories (LANRAO) for Meteor Surveillance. Our goal is to support a comprehensive study of the dynamic meteoroid environment in near-Earth space. The objectives are 1) Providing nearly continuous monitoring of meteors and precisely determining their 3D trajectories; 2) Discovering new meteor streams and identifying their parent bodies, especially those associated with asteroidal objects; 3) Detecting potential unknown long-period comet impactors to Earth; and 4) Studying the evolution of meteor streams and their contribution to the zodiacal cloud. Additionally, the network will support citizen science, public outreach, and education. The system is composed of a network of self-developed, all-sky cameras and an automated data center. With a limiting magnitude of 4.2 for stars, the cameras can take all-sky images at a frequency of up to 30 Hz, and automatically identify meteors and measure the astrometry using the onboard software. The data center combines the measurements and GPS-based time tags from multiple stations to reconstruct the 3D trajectories and velocities of meteors. The brightness of meteors is estimated with relative photometry utilizing star catalogs. The results are visualized in nearly real-time. A testing network was installed in Beijing in 2023 and has since been operated for one year and detected 7253 meteors, including both sporadic and 225 streams. A full-scale network that currently contains 14 stations was deployed in Guangdong Province and Hong Kong and Macau SARs in December 2023, covering an area of over 180,000 km2. It has successfully observed the Geminids and the Quadrantids meteor showers. In the long term, we plan to expand the network to cover whole China, increase the sensitivity, and add multiband imaging and eventually spectroscopic capability. We also plan to combine this optical network with various atmospheric radars and ionospheric radars already constructed in China to expand the area, temporal, and size coverages of meteors.

How to cite: Li, J.-Y., Wu, X., Li, Z., Liang, W., Cui, J., and Liu, J.: A Fast-Developing All-Sky Meteor Surveillance Network in China, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-681, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-681, 2024.

P29
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EPSC2024-943
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On-site presentation
Hervé Lamy, Balis Joachim, Michel Anciaux, Stijn Calders, and Antoine Calegaro

BRAMS (Belgian RAdio Meteor Stations) is a network using forward scatter of radio waves on ionized meteor trails to detect and study meteoroids. It is made of a dedicated transmitter and of 50 receiving stations located in or near Belgium. The transmitter emits a circularly polarized CW radio wave with no modulation at a frequency of 49.97 MHz. One of the receiving stations is an interferometer using the Jones configuration.

In terms of infrastructure, we will present the current status of the network as well as recent and planned upgrades. Since begin of 2024, the transmitted CW power has increased from ~130 W to ~ 350 W. A second interferometer is currently being installed in the North of Belgium.  We also have plans to install a second transmitter emitting at a frequency of 49.971 MHz, which would produce meteor echoes in the audio bandwidth of our current receivers and would then double the number of pairs transmitter-receivers.

A summary about methods to reconstruct meteoroid trajectory and speed using BRAMS data will be provided.  The accuracy of the reconstruction is greatly improved when data from the interferometer are available, justifying the installation of the second interferometer in the Limburg region, where many receiving stations already exist.

The recent work on trajectory reconstruction has opened possibilities for many scientific applications in the future. These include

  • studies of meteoroid deceleration (using the fact that speed can be measured at different altitudes along the meteoroid path),
  • a systematic comparison of BRAMS radio data and optical observations from many networks such as GMN or CAMS-BeNeLux,
  • the study of the ionization profile along the meteoroid path since each receiving station samples a different region along the meteoroid path,
  • the determination of MLT wind speeds using a forward scatter system.

All these applications will be shortly discussed, trying to emphasize specificities that can be brought by a forward scatter system such as BRAMS.

How to cite: Lamy, H., Joachim, B., Anciaux, M., Calders, S., and Calegaro, A.: Status and future of the BRAMS meteor radio forward scatter network , Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-943, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-943, 2024.

P30
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EPSC2024-806
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On-site presentation
Jeremie Vaubaillon, Patrick Shober, and Ariane Courtot

Orbital similarity discriminants are an important tool in meteor science for identifying and characterizing meteoroid streams and meteor showers. The degree of similarity between meteoroid orbits is used to identify meteoroid streams and their associations with parent bodies. However, as many previous studies have shown, one must be careful when interpreting such similarity. For example, the widely used $D_{SH}$ criterion is mathematically not sound. In addition, thorough and careful statistical analysis is needed to estimate the probability of random association. Here we estimate the decoherence lifetime of meteoroid streams as a function of orbital elements. This is performed by generating terns of thousands of fictitious meteoroid streams and tracking their coherence over time. First results will be shown.

How to cite: Vaubaillon, J., Shober, P., and Courtot, A.: The limits of orbital similarity: meteoroid stream decoherence, Europlanet Science Congress 2024, Berlin, Germany, 8–13 Sep 2024, EPSC2024-806, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2024-806, 2024.